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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – H K Mimi (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Starfall (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Machina (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Texas Humor (4/1), 4 – Smokin Joy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Puttingonthefoil (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Awesome Crusader (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Toriador (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Horatio (6/1), 2 – Whatwomenwant (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rapture Bay (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Media Sensation (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Andaleigh (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Willingness (8/1), 2 – Pickledagain (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Hangin' Tuff (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Inxpress (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Loveaboveandbeyond (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Bound For Heaven (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sailingforthestars (9/2), 4 – Speightsoulcomet (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kitten Kandy (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-4-3-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Linahaspecshoes (9/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Betty Jo (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – February (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stay Up (5/1), 2 – Hazael (6/1), 7 – Crown Of Cairo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Count On It (30/1), 3 – Diplomatica (30/1), 5 – Chatty Gal (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-4-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-9-7-2-1-3-6-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Anothersunnyday (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Quality Command (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Affair (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Fastestgirlintown (7/2), 8 – Aintafraidtodream (6/1), 4 – Dreamb (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Licorice (10/1), 7 – Higher Image (20/1), 9 – Thrill Of The Nite (30/1), 2 – Rose Of Texas (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-6-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-10-5-2-4-6-8-7-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – H K Mimi (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Starfall (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Machina (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Texas Humor (4/1), 4 – Smokin Joy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Puttingonthefoil (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Awesome Crusader (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Toriador (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Horatio (6/1), 2 – Whatwomenwant (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rapture Bay (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Media Sensation (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Pickledagain (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Andaleigh (3/1), 6 – Hangin' Tuff (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Willingness (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-5-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Inxpress (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Loveaboveandbeyond (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Bound For Heaven (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Speightsoulcomet (8/1), 2 – Sailingforthestars (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kitten Kandy (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-4-3-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Betty Jo (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – February (2/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Linahaspecshoes (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stay Up (5/1), 2 – Hazael (6/1), 7 – Crown Of Cairo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Diplomatica (30/1), 5 – Chatty Gal (30/1), 6 – Count On It (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-9-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-9-7-2-1-3-6-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Anothersunnyday (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Affair (15/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Fastestgirlintown (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Quality Command (7/2), 10 – Licorice (10/1), 8 – Aintafraidtodream (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Dreamb (15/1), 7 – Higher Image (20/1), 2 – Rose Of Texas (15/1), 9 – Thrill Of The Nite (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-1-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-10-5-2-4-6-8-7-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – H K Mimi (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Starfall (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Machina (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Texas Humor (4/1), 4 – Smokin Joy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Puttingonthefoil (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Awesome Crusader (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Toriador (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Horatio (6/1), 2 – Whatwomenwant (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rapture Bay (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Media Sensation (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Pickledagain (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Andaleigh (3/1), 6 – Hangin' Tuff (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Willingness (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-6-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Inxpress (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Loveaboveandbeyond (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Bound For Heaven (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Speightsoulcomet (8/1), 2 – Sailingforthestars (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kitten Kandy (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-4-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Betty Jo (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – February (2/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Linahaspecshoes (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stay Up (5/1), 2 – Hazael (6/1), 7 – Crown Of Cairo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Diplomatica (30/1), 6 – Count On It (30/1), 5 – Chatty Gal (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-9-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-9-7-2-1-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #9, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Anothersunnyday (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Fastestgirlintown (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Affair (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Quality Command (7/2), 10 – Licorice (10/1), 8 – Aintafraidtodream (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Dreamb (15/1), 7 – Higher Image (20/1), 2 – Rose Of Texas (15/1), 9 – Thrill Of The Nite (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-1-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-10-5-2-4-6-8-7-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 10 – Licorice | 10/1 | 17.4% | +70.3% | 1.76% | $1.76 |
| 7 | 7 – Crown Of Cairo | 15/1 | 10.1% | +47.2% | 0.79% | $0.79 |
| 8 | 7 – Higher Image | 20/1 | 6.9% | +33.9% | 0.42% | $0.42 |
| 8 | 4 – Dreamb | 15/1 | 7.8% | +18.8% | 0.31% | $0.31 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 3.3% | $3.28 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| A DASHING WAGON | AFFAIR | AINTAFRAIDTODREAM | ANDALEIGH | ANOTHERSUNNYDAY |
| BABES WAGON | BETTY JO | BOSSY CARTEL | BOUND FOR HEAVEN | CHATTY GAL |
| CROWN OF CAIRO | CW KACY SIX | DIPLOMATICA | DREAMB | FASTESTGIRLINTOWN |
| FIRST FLASH THE MOON | H K MIMI | HANGIN' TUFF | HAZAEL | HIGHER IMAGE |
| INXPRESS | JB FAMES EASY EFFORT | KITTEN KANDY | LICORICE | LINAHASPECSHOES |
| MACHINA | MEDIA SENSATION | MR GHOST BUSTER | PICKLEDAGAIN | PUTTINGONTHEFOIL |
| RAPTURE BAY | ROOTERS WAGON | ROSE OF TEXAS | SAILINGFORTHESTARS | SMOKIN JOY |
| SPITTIN CHICLETS | SPLASHY NIGHTRIDER | STARFALL | STAY UP | STREAKIN SNOW WAGON |
| THE FRIENDLY FIRE | THRILL OF THE NITE | TORIADOR | WHATWOMENWANT | WILLINGNESS |
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