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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Spicy Bubba (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Chelsea's Dream (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Ruby Bay (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Another Fine Juba (8/1), 1 – Sable (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – True Buckpassing (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Paynoworpaylater (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Lolita (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Lisola (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Glory's Wish (3/1), 4 – Fake Strolling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Candyvance (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-1-4-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Preshow Hype (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Count The Flowers (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Alice's Moon (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Saucy Boss (10/1), 3 – Reece's Drama (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Modest Kay (8/1), 5 – Malibu Miss (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-6-5-2-3-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Burlsworth (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Chance (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Pudge Boy Palace (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Youthinkthatsfunny (7/2), 3 – Yuletide Gallop (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Uncle Cat (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-5-4-3-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Gallant Creek (6/5) |
| Place: | 4 – El Rabano (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – B Thirsty (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Ponchito Rojo (12/1), 8 – Charlie Hustle (15/1), 7 – In The Cloud (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Raptor Razzle (20/1), 2 – Super Banker (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-2-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-3-5-8-2-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Thelastsay (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Redhotchiliphilly (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Coal Country (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Party Time For Me (9/2), 4 – Golden Circles (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Love The Lad (10/1), 1 – Boss Lady K P (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-1-7-3-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Game Energy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Maidstone (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Drama (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Thelastbulletsmine (6/1), 6 – Last Gift (5/1), 1 – Candy Tricks (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Poppy Mac (15/1), 3 – Tafaany (15/1), 2 – Climate Change (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-7-9-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-5-2-8-3-7-6-4-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hobnob's Girl (9/5) |
| Place: | 9 – Unusual Bay (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Beautiful Noise (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Graceful Cat (10/1), 4 – Bab's Estate (6/1), 2 – Pawleys Island (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Silver Sonde (10/1), 7 – Ekati Indian (20/1), 1 – Duchess Dee Anna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-4-7-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-3-2-8-6-5-7-4-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Spicy Bubba (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Chelsea's Dream (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Ruby Bay (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Another Fine Juba (8/1), 1 – Sable (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – True Buckpassing (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Paynoworpaylater (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Glory's Wish (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Lolita (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Lisola (5/2), 4 – Fake Strolling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Candyvance (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-1-4-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Preshow Hype (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Count The Flowers (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Alice's Moon (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Saucy Boss (10/1), 6 – Modest Kay (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Malibu Miss (12/1), 3 – Reece's Drama (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-6-5-2-3-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Chance (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Burlsworth (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Youthinkthatsfunny (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Pudge Boy Palace (4/1), 2 – Uncle Cat (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Yuletide Gallop (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-5-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-5-4-3-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Gallant Creek (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – B Thirsty (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – El Rabano (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Charlie Hustle (15/1), 7 – In The Cloud (8/1), 5 – Ponchito Rojo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Super Banker (20/1), 1 – Raptor Razzle (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-6-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-3-5-8-2-4-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Thelastsay (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Redhotchiliphilly (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Coal Country (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Golden Circles (5/1), 7 – Party Time For Me (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Love The Lad (10/1), 1 – Boss Lady K P (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-1-7-3-4 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Game Energy (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Drama (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Last Gift (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Maidstone (9/2), 4 – Thelastbulletsmine (6/1), 1 – Candy Tricks (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Climate Change (15/1), 3 – Tafaany (15/1), 5 – Poppy Mac (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-7-6-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-5-2-8-3-7-6-4-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hobnob's Girl (9/5) |
| Place: | 9 – Unusual Bay (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Bab's Estate (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Pawleys Island (8/1), 5 – Beautiful Noise (15/1), 8 – Graceful Cat (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Silver Sonde (10/1), 7 – Ekati Indian (20/1), 1 – Duchess Dee Anna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-4-7-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-3-2-8-6-5-7-4-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Spicy Bubba (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Chelsea's Dream (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Ruby Bay (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Another Fine Juba (8/1), 1 – Sable (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – True Buckpassing (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Paynoworpaylater (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Glory's Wish (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Lolita (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Lisola (5/2), 4 – Fake Strolling (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Candyvance (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Preshow Hype (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Count The Flowers (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Alice's Moon (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Saucy Boss (10/1), 6 – Modest Kay (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Malibu Miss (12/1), 3 – Reece's Drama (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-6-5-2-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Chance (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Burlsworth (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Youthinkthatsfunny (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Pudge Boy Palace (4/1), 2 – Uncle Cat (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Yuletide Gallop (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-5-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-5-4-3-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Gallant Creek (6/5) |
| Place: | 3 – B Thirsty (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – El Rabano (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Charlie Hustle (15/1), 7 – In The Cloud (8/1), 5 – Ponchito Rojo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Raptor Razzle (20/1), 2 – Super Banker (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-6-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-3-5-8-2-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Thelastsay (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Redhotchiliphilly (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Coal Country (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Golden Circles (5/1), 7 – Party Time For Me (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Love The Lad (10/1), 1 – Boss Lady K P (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-1-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Game Energy (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Drama (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Last Gift (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Maidstone (9/2), 4 – Thelastbulletsmine (6/1), 1 – Candy Tricks (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Climate Change (15/1), 3 – Tafaany (15/1), 5 – Poppy Mac (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-7-6-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-5-2-8-3-7-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hobnob's Girl (9/5) |
| Place: | 9 – Unusual Bay (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Bab's Estate (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Pawleys Island (8/1), 5 – Beautiful Noise (15/1), 8 – Graceful Cat (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Silver Sonde (10/1), 7 – Ekati Indian (20/1), 1 – Duchess Dee Anna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-4-2-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-3-2-8-6-5-7-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.42 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 7 – Ekati Indian | 20/1 | 21.4% | +306.4% | 3.83% | $3.83 |
| 2 | 3 – Candyvance | 15/1 | 11.1% | +67.8% | 1.13% | $1.13 |
| 8 | 5 – Beautiful Noise | 15/1 | 10.0% | +53.0% | 0.88% | $0.88 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 5.8% | $5.84 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALICE'S MOON | ANOTHER FINE JUBA | B THIRSTY | BAB'S ESTATE | BEAUTIFUL NOISE |
| BURLSWORTH | CANDY TRICKS | CANDYVANCE | CHANCE | CHARLIE HUSTLE |
| CLIMATE CHANGE | COAL COUNTRY | COUNT THE FLOWERS | DRAMA | DUCHESS DEE ANNA |
| EL RABANO | FAKE STROLLING | GALLANT CREEK | GAME ENERGY | GLORY'S WISH |
| GRACEFUL CAT | HOBNOB'S GIRL | IN THE CLOUD | LAST GIFT | LISOLA |
| LOVE THE LAD | MAIDSTONE | MALIBU MISS | MODEST KAY | PARTY TIME FOR ME |
| PAYNOWORPAYLATER | PONCHITO ROJO | POPPY MAC | PRESHOW HYPE | PUDGE BOY PALACE |
| REDHOTCHILIPHILLY | REECE'S DRAMA | RUBY BAY | SABLE | SAUCY BOSS |
| SPICY BUBBA | SUPER BANKER | TAFAANY | THELASTBULLETSMINE | THELASTSAY |
| UNCLE CAT | UNUSUAL BAY | YOUTHINKTHATSFUNNY | YULETIDE GALLOP |
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