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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – Randie's Rascal (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Wartime (15/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Smoke Trail (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – August (7/2), 16 – Pride Rock (9/2), 3 – Generational (6/1), 15 – Baytown Theo (6/1), 5 – Good To Be King (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Get Your Steps In (10/1), 4 – Ez Pal (5/2), 14 – Tic Tic Tic (4/1), 9 – P V Panther Pride (15/1), 12 – Go Victory (20/1), 1 – Baytown Da Vinci (30/1), 10 – Epic Roll (12/1), 13 – Locus (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-11-2-8-16-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-11-4-8-5-6-14-10-16-3-13-15-2-9-12-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Global Sensation (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Derby Date (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Fifty Cent Dollars (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Be Here (15/1), 5 – Furious Anger (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Catamount (5/1), 4 – Illini (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-6-4-1-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Gewurztraminer (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Fountain Run (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – My Noble Knight (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Military Road (3/1), 2 – C F V Bullet (20/1), 1 – Prince Day (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Underdressed (10/1), 3 – Runwithheart (30/1), 7 – Mowins (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-5-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-4-8-1-2-5-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lasting Quality (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Kuch (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Hamlet (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hellacious (6/1), 5 – Susan's Boy (6/5), 6 – Nyttime Story (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Soho Jimmy (30/1), 8 – Stoic Sage (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-4-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-4-2-1-3-6-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 7 – Step Forward (3/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Normandy Coast (6/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Exploration (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Otto The Conqueror (6/1), 14 – Launch Control (8/1), 9 – Mister Mmmmm (8/1), 12 – Three Zero (6/1), 6 – Scat Free (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 15 – The Minkster (15/1), 10 – B D Valeski (10/1), 8 – Chiseler (12/1), 13 – Swill (10/1), 2 – Invulnerable (15/1), 1 – Coming In Hot (30/1), 11 – Dark Vintage (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 15-10-1-14-13-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-11-5-3-12-9-14-10-2-4-8-6-13-15-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Both Sides Of Bad (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Whatever (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Bourbon Rage (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Good Sal (20/1), 2 – Paired (10/1), 9 – Fitzgerald (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – The Reinbow Factor (12/1), 7 – Big Rog (6/1), 5 – Big Fuzz (30/1), 6 – Old Trace (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-8-10-3-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-1-7-4-2-9-10-5-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Big Gain (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Bebedouro (10/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Palacios (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Attersee (9/2), 2 – Sharons Beach (6/1), 4 – Social Hour (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Speedstorm (12/1), 5 – Bourbon's Fault (20/1), 7 – Easy Dial (30/1), 1 – Baytown Bruiser (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-6-10-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-10-2-1-3-4-9-5-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Supercharger (8/5) |
| Place: | 12 – Lazlo (10/1) |
| Show: | 8 – My Boy Tony (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Telescopic (8/1), 10 – Blast Furnace (6/1), 6 – King Of Ashes (20/1), 11 – Discreet Dancer (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Rapoport (10/1), 7 – Rothschild (6/1), 9 – Taunting (20/1), 4 – Mary's Boy Bolt (12/1), 2 – Demetrius (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-9-4-2-10-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-11-8-1-3-4-12-10-9-7-2-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – Randie's Rascal (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Wartime (15/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Smoke Trail (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ez Pal (5/2), 3 – Generational (6/1), 8 – August (7/2), 14 – Tic Tic Tic (4/1), 1 – Baytown Da Vinci (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 16 – Pride Rock (9/2), 5 – Good To Be King (8/1), 15 – Baytown Theo (6/1), 6 – Get Your Steps In (10/1), 10 – Epic Roll (12/1), 13 – Locus (10/1), 9 – P V Panther Pride (15/1), 12 – Go Victory (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-11-2-4-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-11-4-8-5-6-14-10-16-3-13-15-2-9-12-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Global Sensation (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Fifty Cent Dollars (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Derby Date (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Catamount (5/1), 4 – Illini (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Furious Anger (6/1), 2 – Be Here (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-4-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-6-4-1-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Gewurztraminer (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Fountain Run (6/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Military Road (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – My Noble Knight (9/2), 2 – C F V Bullet (20/1), 1 – Prince Day (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Underdressed (10/1), 3 – Runwithheart (30/1), 7 – Mowins (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-9-1-5-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-4-8-1-2-5-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lasting Quality (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Kuch (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Hamlet (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hellacious (6/1), 5 – Susan's Boy (6/5), 6 – Nyttime Story (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Soho Jimmy (30/1), 8 – Stoic Sage (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-4-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-4-2-1-3-6-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 7 – Step Forward (3/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Exploration (9/2) |
| Show: | 11 – Dark Vintage (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Otto The Conqueror (6/1), 9 – Mister Mmmmm (8/1), 6 – Scat Free (20/1), 4 – Normandy Coast (6/1), 12 – Three Zero (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – B D Valeski (10/1), 8 – Chiseler (12/1), 2 – Invulnerable (15/1), 14 – Launch Control (8/1), 13 – Swill (10/1), 1 – Coming In Hot (30/1), 15 – The Minkster (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 15-10-7-13-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-11-5-3-12-9-14-10-2-4-8-6-13-15-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Whatever (9/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Both Sides Of Bad (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Bourbon Rage (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Paired (10/1), 7 – Big Rog (6/1), 9 – Fitzgerald (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – The Reinbow Factor (12/1), 1 – Good Sal (20/1), 6 – Old Trace (30/1), 5 – Big Fuzz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-8-10-3-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-1-7-4-2-9-10-5-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Palacios (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Attersee (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Sharons Beach (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Social Hour (8/1), 10 – Bebedouro (10/1), 9 – Big Gain (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Speedstorm (12/1), 1 – Baytown Bruiser (12/1), 5 – Bourbon's Fault (20/1), 7 – Easy Dial (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-6-1-10-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-10-2-1-3-4-9-5-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Supercharger (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – My Boy Tony (4/1) |
| Show: | 12 – Lazlo (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Telescopic (8/1), 3 – Rapoport (10/1), 7 – Rothschild (6/1), 11 – Discreet Dancer (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Blast Furnace (6/1), 4 – Mary's Boy Bolt (12/1), 6 – King Of Ashes (20/1), 9 – Taunting (20/1), 2 – Demetrius (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-9-4-2-10-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-11-8-1-3-4-12-10-9-7-2-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – Randie's Rascal (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Wartime (15/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Smoke Trail (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ez Pal (5/2), 8 – August (7/2), 14 – Tic Tic Tic (4/1), 16 – Pride Rock (9/2), 15 – Baytown Theo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Generational (6/1), 5 – Good To Be King (8/1), 1 – Baytown Da Vinci (30/1), 6 – Get Your Steps In (10/1), 13 – Locus (10/1), 10 – Epic Roll (12/1), 9 – P V Panther Pride (15/1), 12 – Go Victory (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-11-2-4-8-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-11-4-8-5-6-14-10-16-3-13-15-2-9-12-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Global Sensation (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Fifty Cent Dollars (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Derby Date (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Catamount (5/1), 4 – Illini (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Furious Anger (6/1), 2 – Be Here (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-4-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-7-6-4-1-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Gewurztraminer (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Fountain Run (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – My Noble Knight (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Military Road (3/1), 1 – Prince Day (10/1), 2 – C F V Bullet (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Runwithheart (30/1), 8 – Underdressed (10/1), 7 – Mowins (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-9-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-4-8-1-2-5-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lasting Quality (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Kuch (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Hamlet (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hellacious (6/1), 5 – Susan's Boy (6/5), 6 – Nyttime Story (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Soho Jimmy (30/1), 8 – Stoic Sage (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-4-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-4-2-1-3-6-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 7 – Step Forward (3/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Exploration (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Otto The Conqueror (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Dark Vintage (7/2), 12 – Three Zero (6/1), 4 – Normandy Coast (6/1), 9 – Mister Mmmmm (8/1), 14 – Launch Control (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 15 – The Minkster (15/1), 6 – Scat Free (20/1), 10 – B D Valeski (10/1), 2 – Invulnerable (15/1), 13 – Swill (10/1), 8 – Chiseler (12/1), 1 – Coming In Hot (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 15-10-7-14-13-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-11-5-3-12-9-14-10-2-4-8-6-13-15-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Both Sides Of Bad (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Bourbon Rage (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Whatever (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Good Sal (20/1), 7 – Big Rog (6/1), 9 – Fitzgerald (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Paired (10/1), 10 – The Reinbow Factor (12/1), 6 – Old Trace (30/1), 5 – Big Fuzz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-6-3-10-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-1-7-4-2-9-10-5-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Big Gain (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Bebedouro (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Attersee (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Palacios (5/2), 8 – Speedstorm (12/1), 2 – Sharons Beach (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Social Hour (8/1), 5 – Bourbon's Fault (20/1), 1 – Baytown Bruiser (12/1), 7 – Easy Dial (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-6-10-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-10-2-1-3-4-9-5-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Supercharger (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – My Boy Tony (4/1) |
| Show: | 12 – Lazlo (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Telescopic (8/1), 11 – Discreet Dancer (8/1), 10 – Blast Furnace (6/1), 3 – Rapoport (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Mary's Boy Bolt (12/1), 6 – King Of Ashes (20/1), 9 – Taunting (20/1), 7 – Rothschild (6/1), 2 – Demetrius (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-9-4-2-8-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-11-8-1-3-4-12-10-9-7-2-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 3 | 2 – C F V Bullet | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 6 | 1 – Good Sal | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 8 | 6 – King Of Ashes | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 1 | 6 – Get Your Steps In | 10/1 | 13.9% | +53.0% | 1.32% | $2.65 |
| 1 | 13 – Locus | 10/1 | 13.3% | +46.3% | 1.16% | $2.31 |
| 3 | 8 – Underdressed | 10/1 | 13.0% | +42.9% | 1.07% | $2.15 |
| 7 | 10 – Bebedouro | 10/1 | 12.8% | +41.2% | 1.03% | $2.06 |
| 1 | 11 – Wartime | 15/1 | 8.8% | +40.9% | 0.68% | $1.36 |
| 5 | 13 – Swill | 10/1 | 12.7% | +39.7% | 0.99% | $1.99 |
| 4 | 3 – Hamlet | 15/1 | 8.6% | +37.4% | 0.62% | $1.25 |
| 8 | 9 – Taunting | 20/1 | 6.4% | +34.0% | 0.43% | $0.85 |
| 5 | 15 – The Minkster | 15/1 | 8.4% | +33.6% | 0.56% | $1.12 |
| 1 | 9 – P V Panther Pride | 15/1 | 8.2% | +31.9% | 0.53% | $1.06 |
| 8 | 3 – Rapoport | 10/1 | 11.9% | +31.3% | 0.78% | $1.56 |
| 3 | 1 – Prince Day | 10/1 | 11.6% | +28.1% | 0.70% | $1.41 |
| 5 | 2 – Invulnerable | 15/1 | 7.9% | +27.2% | 0.45% | $0.91 |
| 5 | 10 – B D Valeski | 10/1 | 11.1% | +22.4% | 0.56% | $1.12 |
| 2 | 2 – Be Here | 15/1 | 7.6% | +21.9% | 0.37% | $0.73 |
| 6 | 2 – Paired | 10/1 | 10.8% | +18.8% | 0.47% | $0.94 |
| 1 | 10 – Epic Roll | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 7 | 8 – Speedstorm | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 8 | 4 – Mary'S Boy Bolt | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 7 | 1 – Baytown Bruiser | 12/1 | 8.6% | +12.1% | 0.25% | $0.50 |
| 6 | 10 – The Reinbow Factor | 12/1 | 8.5% | +10.6% | 0.22% | $0.44 |
| 5 | 8 – Chiseler | 12/1 | 8.5% | +10.4% | 0.22% | $0.43 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ATTERSEE | AUGUST | B D VALESKI | BAYTOWN BRUISER | BAYTOWN DA VINCI |
| BE HERE | BEBEDOURO | BIG FUZZ | BIG GAIN | BIG ROG |
| BOTH SIDES OF BAD | BOURBON RAGE | BOURBON'S FAULT | C F V BULLET | CATAMOUNT |
| COMING IN HOT | DARK VINTAGE | DEMETRIUS | DERBY DATE | DISCREET DANCER |
| EPIC ROLL | EXPLORATION | EZ PAL | FIFTY CENT DOLLARS | FITZGERALD |
| FURIOUS ANGER | GENERATIONAL | GET YOUR STEPS IN | GEWURZTRAMINER | GLOBAL SENSATION |
| GOOD SAL | GOOD TO BE KING | HAMLET | HELLACIOUS | ILLINI |
| KING OF ASHES | KUCH | LASTING QUALITY | LAUNCH CONTROL | LAZLO |
| MARY'S BOY BOLT | MILITARY ROAD | MISTER MMMMM | MOWINS | MY BOY TONY |
| NORMANDY COAST | NYTTIME STORY | OLD TRACE | OTTO THE CONQUEROR | P V PANTHER PRIDE |
| PALACIOS | PRIDE ROCK | PRINCE DAY | RANDIE'S RASCAL | RAPOPORT |
| RUNWITHHEART | SCAT FREE | SHARONS BEACH | SMOKE TRAIL | SOCIAL HOUR |
| SPEEDSTORM | STEP FORWARD | STOIC SAGE | SUPERCHARGER | SUSAN'S BOY |
| TAUNTING | TELESCOPIC | THE MINKSTER | THE REINBOW FACTOR | THREE ZERO |
| UNDERDRESSED | WARTIME | WHATEVER |
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