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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Churchill Downs, November 15, 2026

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AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied

Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.

TrackRaceModelNew Top PickWhy
CDX7Model Algo 2 (Ensemble)#4 – Easy Dial2 scratch(es)
CDX7Model Algo 3 (Win Prob)#4 – Easy Dial2 scratch(es)
CDX8Model Algo 1#8 – Run Camila Run1 scratch(es)
CDX8Model Algo 2 (Ensemble)#6 – Tiffany Twist1 scratch(es)
CDX8Model Algo 3 (Win Prob)#5 – Dozen Diamonds1 scratch(es)
CDX8Model Weight set 2#8 – Run Camila Run1 scratch(es)

Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:

  • Longshot ⭐: CDX Race 9 — Sweet Note (SCRATCHED)
  • Edge Radar: CDX Race 9 — Sweet Note (SCRATCHED)


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Nilo's Rose (9/5)
Place:5Pens Street (5/2)
Show:2Crushed Ice (6/1)
Other contenders:8Beach Dancer (8/1), 3Cora's Legacy (8/1), 6Acousticat (15/1)
Rest of field:4Ce La Vi Charli (6/1), 7Sunset Harbour (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 152834
🎯 Longshots: 15836274
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $63,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Don't Be Salty (6/5)
Place:5Song Of Songs (5/2)
Show:6Heartbeat (4/1)
Other contenders:2Leafology (9/2), 7Beara Peninsula (10/1)
Rest of field:3Freak City (30/1), 1Fasta Lavista Baby (50/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 456273
🎯 Longshots: 4576231
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $78,000
Win:6Huck's Agenda (7/5)
Place:2Carol's Melody (5/2)
Show:1Tetiaroa (4/1)
Other contenders:7Just Do Believe (8/1), 5Good Call (8/1)
Rest of field:4Tempting Eve (12/1), 3Mom's Cheesecake (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6275413
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Goal To Go (7/2)
Place:4Celtic Mo (2/1)
Show:6Mined That Gold (6/1)
Other contenders:7Mo Que (5/1), 2Very Royal (9/2), 3Chasing Em (8/1)
Rest of field:5Prove Me Wrong (20/1), 8Shamrock Guard (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 416723
🎯 Longshots: 41367528
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:7Bluebeard (2/1)
Place:8Eleos (3/1)
Show:4Rank (4/1)
Other contenders:3Justice (6/1), 2Patriot Moon (8/1), 1Sparked (6/1)
Rest of field:5Magic Moose (15/1), 6Leading Off (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 784321
🎯 Longshots: 87234516
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
Win:3Mackinac (5/1)
Place:10Twirling Claire (3/1)
Show:4Ratu Jawa (6/1)
Other contenders:1Ships Inn (8/1), 2Lady Revenge (10/1), 14Cactus Cairo (10/1), 12Sunny Ray (6/1), 9Aldene (8/1)
Rest of field:8Ms. Jay Dee Em (10/1), 16Storm Cloud Rising (10/1), 13Black Cherry (12/1), 5Cotillard (20/1), 6Coco G (15/1), 15Windy Houston (20/1), 7Solemn Vow (30/1), 11Quick To Charm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 10341212
🎯 Longshots: 19231041381416126515711
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:9Culprit (3/1)
Place:4Easy Dial (6/1)
Show:10Pezzonovante (9/2)
Other contenders:6T V Channel (8/1), 1Surfin' M (5/1), 8Bagg O Time (6/1)
Rest of field:2Our Standard (12/1), 3Swamp King (10/1), 5Refined Design (20/1), 7Dewy's Denali (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9410618
🎯 Longshots: 69347102581
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #4, #10, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $64,000
Win:4Sassy Princess (5/2)
Place:6Tiffany Twist (4/1)
Show:5Dozen Diamonds (7/2)
Other contenders:8Run Camila Run (4/1), 1Tennesseehoneybee (8/1), 7Creative Quality (5/1)
Rest of field:2Liuzza (15/1), 3Spring Spinning (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 465871
🎯 Longshots: 14865723
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:10Princess Attitude (3/1)
Place:3Lit Ship (9/2)
Show:11Icona (7/2)
Other contenders:12Fiery Lucy (6/1), 4Next Up (8/1), 9Lady Iva (10/1), 1Faye's Gold (12/1)
Rest of field:6Devassa (15/1), 8Sanctify (20/1), 7Sweet Note (30/1), 2J Z's Last Schance (30/1), 5Dream On Stormy (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 101131249
🎯 Longshots: 410119311268752
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #3, #11, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000
◇ Thin spot — race 9 or later: the AI Ensemble has not beaten the morning-line favourite this late on the card. Treat with less confidence.
Win:5Sweet Venture (5/2)
Place:9Timbertop (6/1)
Show:2Debating (4/1)
Other contenders:4Finally No Drama (9/2), 3Fumed (10/1), 10Puunene (15/1), 1Yousuredoshine (12/1), 12Bourbon Ice (12/1)
Rest of field:6She's A Beauty (20/1), 14J Z's Not Again (12/1), 15Wish You Were Here (10/1), 16I Want Her (15/1), 13Benevolencia (20/1), 7Selah Breeze (30/1), 8So Jelly (20/1), 11Andy's Call (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 529431
🎯 Longshots: 25349151211416106138711
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:1Nilo's Rose (9/5) 29% · fair 5-2 underlay -27%
Place:5Pens Street (5/2) 21% · fair 7-2 underlay -33%
Show:2Crushed Ice (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Other contenders:8Beach Dancer (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 3Cora's Legacy (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 4Ce La Vi Charli (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%
Rest of field:6Acousticat (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 7Sunset Harbour (30/1) 3% · fair 67-2
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Nilo'S Rose — 29.0% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Nilo'S Rose29.0% ◀Pens Street — 21.2% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Pens Street21.2%Crushed Ice — 13.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Crushed Ice13.9%Beach Dancer — 11.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Beach Dancer11.6%Cora'S Legacy — 8.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Cora'S Legacy8.7%Ce La Vi Charli — 7.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Ce La Vi Charli7.7%Acousticat — 5.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Acousticat5.1%Sunset Harbour — 2.9% win probability, morning line 30/1Sunset Harbour2.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Nilo'S Rose29.0%1.8/1
Pens Street21.2%2.5/1
Crushed Ice13.9%6/1
Beach Dancer11.6%8/1
Cora'S Legacy8.7%8/1
Ce La Vi Charli7.7%6/1
Acousticat5.1%15/1
Sunset Harbour2.9%30/1
🌧️ Off-track: 152483
🎯 Longshots: 15836274
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:6Heartbeat (4/1) 26% · fair 3-1 overlay +38%
Place:5Song Of Songs (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -30%
Show:2Leafology (9/2) 22% · fair 7-2
Other contenders:4Don't Be Salty (6/5) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -70%, 7Beara Peninsula (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1
Rest of field:3Freak City (30/1) 2% · fair 40-1, 1Fasta Lavista Baby (50/1) 0% · fair 237-1 underlay -79%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Heartbeat — 25.6% win probability, morning line 4/1Heartbeat25.6% ◀Song Of Songs — 22.0% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Song Of Songs22.0%Leafology — 21.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Leafology21.5%Don'T Be Salty — 20.3% win probability, morning line 1.2/1Don'T Be Salty20.3%Beara Peninsula — 7.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Beara Peninsula7.7%Freak City — 2.5% win probability, morning line 30/1Freak City2.5%Fasta Lavista Baby — 0.4% win probability, morning line 50/1Fasta Lavista Baby0.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Heartbeat25.6%4/1
Song Of Songs22.0%2.5/1
Leafology21.5%4.5/1
Don'T Be Salty20.3%1.2/1
Beara Peninsula7.7%10/1
Freak City2.5%30/1
Fasta Lavista Baby0.4%50/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherHeartbeat: model 25.6% vs market 15.8% (+9.8 points)Heartbeat+9.8Song Of Songs: model 22.0% vs market 22.6% (-0.6 points)Song Of Songs-0.6Leafology: model 21.5% vs market 14.4% (+7.2 points)Leafology+7.2Don'T Be Salty: model 20.3% vs market 35.9% (-15.7 points)Don'T Be Salty-15.7Beara Peninsula: model 7.7% vs market 7.2% (+0.5 points)Beara Peninsula+0.5Freak City: model 2.5% vs market 2.6% (-0.1 points)Freak City-0.1Fasta Lavista Baby: model 0.4% vs market 1.6% (-1.1 points)Fasta Lavista Baby-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Heartbeat25.6%15.8%+9.8
Song Of Songs22.0%22.6%-0.6
Leafology21.5%14.4%+7.2
Don'T Be Salty20.3%35.9%-15.7
Beara Peninsula7.7%7.2%+0.5
Freak City2.5%2.6%-0.1
Fasta Lavista Baby0.4%1.6%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 456273
🎯 Longshots: 4576231
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $78,000
Win:6Huck's Agenda (7/5) 30% · fair 5-2 underlay -40%
Place:2Carol's Melody (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:1Tetiaroa (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:7Just Do Believe (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 4Tempting Eve (12/1) 8% · fair 23-2
Rest of field:5Good Call (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -31%, 3Mom's Cheesecake (15/1) 3% · fair 77-2 underlay -61%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Huck'S Agenda — 30.2% win probability, morning line 1.4/1Huck'S Agenda30.2% ◀Carol'S Melody — 24.0% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Carol'S Melody24.0%Tetiaroa — 17.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Tetiaroa17.8%Just Do Believe — 9.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Just Do Believe9.7%Tempting Eve — 7.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Tempting Eve7.9%Good Call — 7.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Good Call7.9%Mom'S Cheesecake — 2.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Mom'S Cheesecake2.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Huck'S Agenda30.2%1.4/1
Carol'S Melody24.0%2.5/1
Tetiaroa17.8%4/1
Just Do Believe9.7%8/1
Tempting Eve7.9%12/1
Good Call7.9%8/1
Mom'S Cheesecake2.5%15/1
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6275413
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:1Goal To Go (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2
Place:6Mined That Gold (6/1) 22% · fair 7-2 overlay +68%
Show:4Celtic Mo (2/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -61%
Other contenders:7Mo Que (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%, 3Chasing Em (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 2Very Royal (9/2) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -57%
Rest of field:5Prove Me Wrong (20/1) 6% · fair 15-1 overlay +35%, 8Shamrock Guard (12/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -66%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Goal To Go — 22.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Goal To Go22.7% ◀Mined That Gold — 21.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Mined That Gold21.8%Celtic Mo — 16.5% win probability, morning line 2/1Celtic Mo16.5%Mo Que — 12.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Mo Que12.2%Chasing Em — 9.0% win probability, morning line 8/1Chasing Em9.0%Very Royal — 8.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Very Royal8.7%Prove Me Wrong — 6.3% win probability, morning line 20/1Prove Me Wrong6.3%Shamrock Guard — 2.8% win probability, morning line 12/1Shamrock Guard2.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Goal To Go22.7%3.5/1
Mined That Gold21.8%6/1
Celtic Mo16.5%2/1
Mo Que12.2%5/1
Chasing Em9.0%8/1
Very Royal8.7%4.5/1
Prove Me Wrong6.3%20/1
Shamrock Guard2.8%12/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherGoal To Go: model 22.7% vs market 17.3% (+5.3 points)Goal To Go+5.3Mined That Gold: model 21.8% vs market 11.1% (+10.7 points)Mined That Gold+10.7Celtic Mo: model 16.5% vs market 26.0% (-9.5 points)Celtic Mo-9.5Mo Que: model 12.2% vs market 13.0% (-0.8 points)Mo Que-0.8Chasing Em: model 9.0% vs market 8.7% (+0.3 points)Chasing Em+0.3Very Royal: model 8.7% vs market 14.2% (-5.5 points)Very Royal-5.5Prove Me Wrong: model 6.3% vs market 3.7% (+2.6 points)Prove Me Wrong+2.6Shamrock Guard: model 2.8% vs market 6.0% (-3.2 points)Shamrock Guard-3.2

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Goal To Go22.7%17.3%+5.3
Mined That Gold21.8%11.1%+10.7
Celtic Mo16.5%26.0%-9.5
Mo Que12.2%13.0%-0.8
Chasing Em9.0%8.7%+0.3
Very Royal8.7%14.2%-5.5
Prove Me Wrong6.3%3.7%+2.6
Shamrock Guard2.8%6.0%-3.2
🌧️ Off-track: 146723
🎯 Longshots: 41367528
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:8Eleos (3/1) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:7Bluebeard (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -41%
Show:3Justice (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:4Rank (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46%, 1Sparked (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -44%, 2Patriot Moon (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%
Rest of field:6Leading Off (20/1) 4% · fair 51-2, 5Magic Moose (15/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -44%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Eleos — 25.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Eleos25.1% ◀Bluebeard — 22.8% win probability, morning line 2/1Bluebeard22.8%Justice — 16.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Justice16.0%Rank — 11.9% win probability, morning line 4/1Rank11.9%Sparked — 8.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Sparked8.5%Patriot Moon — 8.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Patriot Moon8.4%Leading Off — 3.8% win probability, morning line 20/1Leading Off3.8%Magic Moose — 3.6% win probability, morning line 15/1Magic Moose3.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Eleos25.1%3/1
Bluebeard22.8%2/1
Justice16.0%6/1
Rank11.9%4/1
Sparked8.5%6/1
Patriot Moon8.4%8/1
Leading Off3.8%20/1
Magic Moose3.6%15/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherEleos: model 25.1% vs market 19.4% (+5.8 points)Eleos+5.8Bluebeard: model 22.8% vs market 25.8% (-3.1 points)Bluebeard-3.1Justice: model 16.0% vs market 11.1% (+5.0 points)Justice+5.0Rank: model 11.9% vs market 15.5% (-3.6 points)Rank-3.6Sparked: model 8.5% vs market 11.1% (-2.6 points)Sparked-2.6Patriot Moon: model 8.4% vs market 8.6% (-0.2 points)Patriot Moon-0.2Leading Off: model 3.8% vs market 3.7% (+0.1 points)Leading Off+0.1Magic Moose: model 3.6% vs market 4.8% (-1.3 points)Magic Moose-1.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Eleos25.1%19.4%+5.8
Bluebeard22.8%25.8%-3.1
Justice16.0%11.1%+5.0
Rank11.9%15.5%-3.6
Sparked8.5%11.1%-2.6
Patriot Moon8.4%8.6%-0.2
Leading Off3.8%3.7%+0.1
Magic Moose3.6%4.8%-1.3
🌧️ Off-track: 784312
🎯 Longshots: 87234516
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:3Mackinac (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Place:10Twirling Claire (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -52%
Show:4Ratu Jawa (6/1) 11% · fair 15-2
Other contenders:2Lady Revenge (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 1Ships Inn (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28%, 14Cactus Cairo (10/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -30%, 12Sunny Ray (6/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -62%, 9Aldene (8/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -54%
Rest of field:16Storm Cloud Rising (10/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -48%, 8Ms. Jay Dee Em (10/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -60%, 13Black Cherry (12/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -63%, 6Coco G (15/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -56%, 5Cotillard (20/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -44%, 15Windy Houston (20/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -54%, 7Solemn Vow (30/1) 2% · fair 131-2 underlay -54%, 11Quick To Charm (30/1) 1% · fair 71-1 underlay -58%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mackinac — 16.8% win probability, morning line 5/1Mackinac16.8% ◀Twirling Claire — 13.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Twirling Claire13.8%Ratu Jawa — 11.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Ratu Jawa11.5%Lady Revenge — 9.1% win probability, morning line 10/1Lady Revenge9.1%Ships Inn — 8.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Ships Inn8.2%Cactus Cairo — 6.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Cactus Cairo6.5%Sunny Ray — 6.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Sunny Ray6.0%Aldene — 5.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Aldene5.5%Storm Cloud Rising — 4.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Storm Cloud Rising4.9%Ms. Jay Dee Em — 3.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Ms. Jay Dee Em3.8%Black Cherry — 3.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Black Cherry3.0%Coco G — 2.9% win probability, morning line 15/1Coco G2.9%Cotillard — 2.7% win probability, morning line 20/1Cotillard2.7%Windy Houston — 2.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Windy Houston2.2%Solemn Vow — 1.5% win probability, morning line 30/1Solemn Vow1.5%Quick To Charm — 1.4% win probability, morning line 30/1Quick To Charm1.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mackinac16.8%5/1
Twirling Claire13.8%3/1
Ratu Jawa11.5%6/1
Lady Revenge9.1%10/1
Ships Inn8.2%8/1
Cactus Cairo6.5%10/1
Sunny Ray6.0%6/1
Aldene5.5%8/1
Storm Cloud Rising4.9%10/1
Ms. Jay Dee Em3.8%10/1
Black Cherry3.0%12/1
Coco G2.9%15/1
Cotillard2.7%20/1
Windy Houston2.2%20/1
Solemn Vow1.5%30/1
Quick To Charm1.4%30/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMackinac: model 16.8% vs market 10.5% (+6.3 points)Mackinac+6.3Twirling Claire: model 13.8% vs market 15.7% (-1.9 points)Twirling Claire-1.9Ratu Jawa: model 11.5% vs market 9.0% (+2.5 points)Ratu Jawa+2.5Lady Revenge: model 9.1% vs market 5.7% (+3.4 points)Lady Revenge+3.4Ships Inn: model 8.2% vs market 7.0% (+1.2 points)Ships Inn+1.2Cactus Cairo: model 6.5% vs market 5.7% (+0.8 points)Cactus Cairo+0.8Sunny Ray: model 6.0% vs market 9.0% (-3.0 points)Sunny Ray-3.0Aldene: model 5.5% vs market 7.0% (-1.5 points)Aldene-1.5Storm Cloud Rising: model 4.9% vs market 5.7% (-0.8 points)Storm Cloud Rising-0.8Ms. Jay Dee Em: model 3.8% vs market 5.7% (-1.9 points)Ms. Jay Dee Em-1.9Black Cherry: model 3.0% vs market 4.8% (-1.8 points)Black Cherry-1.8Coco G: model 2.9% vs market 3.9% (-1.1 points)Coco G-1.1Cotillard: model 2.7% vs market 3.0% (-0.3 points)Cotillard-0.3Windy Houston: model 2.2% vs market 3.0% (-0.8 points)Windy Houston-0.8Solemn Vow: model 1.5% vs market 2.0% (-0.5 points)Solemn Vow-0.5Quick To Charm: model 1.4% vs market 2.0% (-0.6 points)Quick To Charm-0.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Mackinac16.8%10.5%+6.3
Twirling Claire13.8%15.7%-1.9
Ratu Jawa11.5%9.0%+2.5
Lady Revenge9.1%5.7%+3.4
Ships Inn8.2%7.0%+1.2
Cactus Cairo6.5%5.7%+0.8
Sunny Ray6.0%9.0%-3.0
Aldene5.5%7.0%-1.5
Storm Cloud Rising4.9%5.7%-0.8
Ms. Jay Dee Em3.8%5.7%-1.9
Black Cherry3.0%4.8%-1.8
Coco G2.9%3.9%-1.1
Cotillard2.7%3.0%-0.3
Windy Houston2.2%3.0%-0.8
Solemn Vow1.5%2.0%-0.5
Quick To Charm1.4%2.0%-0.6
🌧️ Off-track: 10341122
🎯 Longshots: 19231041381416126515711
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000
Win:9Culprit (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -27%
Place:4Easy Dial (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2
Show:10Pezzonovante (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -34%
Other contenders:6T V Channel (8/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 3Swamp King (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 1Surfin' M (5/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -57%
Rest of field:2Our Standard (12/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 8Bagg O Time (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -57%, 5Refined Design (20/1) 5% · fair 20-1, 7Dewy's Denali (20/1) 4% · fair 23-1
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Culprit — 19.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Culprit19.7% ◀Easy Dial — 15.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Easy Dial15.7%Pezzonovante — 12.8% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Pezzonovante12.8%T V Channel — 12.8% win probability, morning line 8/1T V Channel12.8%Swamp King — 7.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Swamp King7.9%Surfin' M — 7.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Surfin' M7.9%Our Standard — 7.6% win probability, morning line 12/1Our Standard7.6%Bagg O Time — 6.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Bagg O Time6.7%Refined Design — 4.8% win probability, morning line 20/1Refined Design4.8%Dewy'S Denali — 4.1% win probability, morning line 20/1Dewy'S Denali4.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Culprit19.7%3/1
Easy Dial15.7%6/1
Pezzonovante12.8%4.5/1
T V Channel12.8%8/1
Swamp King7.9%10/1
Surfin' M7.9%5/1
Our Standard7.6%12/1
Bagg O Time6.7%6/1
Refined Design4.8%20/1
Dewy'S Denali4.1%20/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCulprit: model 19.7% vs market 19.9% (-0.2 points)Culprit-0.2Easy Dial: model 15.7% vs market 11.4% (+4.4 points)Easy Dial+4.4Pezzonovante: model 12.8% vs market 14.4% (-1.6 points)Pezzonovante-1.6T V Channel: model 12.8% vs market 8.8% (+4.0 points)T V Channel+4.0Swamp King: model 7.9% vs market 7.2% (+0.7 points)Swamp King+0.7Surfin' M: model 7.9% vs market 13.2% (-5.4 points)Surfin' M-5.4Our Standard: model 7.6% vs market 6.1% (+1.5 points)Our Standard+1.5Bagg O Time: model 6.7% vs market 11.4% (-4.6 points)Bagg O Time-4.6Refined Design: model 4.8% vs market 3.8% (+1.0 points)Refined Design+1.0Dewy'S Denali: model 4.1% vs market 3.8% (+0.3 points)Dewy'S Denali+0.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Culprit19.7%19.9%-0.2
Easy Dial15.7%11.4%+4.4
Pezzonovante12.8%14.4%-1.6
T V Channel12.8%8.8%+4.0
Swamp King7.9%7.2%+0.7
Surfin' M7.9%13.2%-5.4
Our Standard7.6%6.1%+1.5
Bagg O Time6.7%11.4%-4.6
Refined Design4.8%3.8%+1.0
Dewy'S Denali4.1%3.8%+0.3
🌧️ Off-track: 9410618
🎯 Longshots: 69347102581
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #4, #10, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $64,000
Win:4Sassy Princess (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Place:5Dozen Diamonds (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -31%
Show:6Tiffany Twist (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:7Creative Quality (5/1) 15% · fair 6-1, 8Run Camila Run (4/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -32%, 1Tennesseehoneybee (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2
Rest of field:2Liuzza (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 3Spring Spinning (30/1) 1% · fair 273-2 underlay -78%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Sassy Princess — 24.2% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sassy Princess24.2% ◀Dozen Diamonds — 16.5% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Dozen Diamonds16.5%Tiffany Twist — 16.1% win probability, morning line 4/1Tiffany Twist16.1%Creative Quality — 14.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Creative Quality14.7%Run Camila Run — 14.5% win probability, morning line 4/1Run Camila Run14.5%Tennesseehoneybee — 9.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Tennesseehoneybee9.4%Liuzza — 3.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Liuzza3.8%Spring Spinning — 0.7% win probability, morning line 30/1Spring Spinning0.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Sassy Princess24.2%2.5/1
Dozen Diamonds16.5%3.5/1
Tiffany Twist16.1%4/1
Creative Quality14.7%5/1
Run Camila Run14.5%4/1
Tennesseehoneybee9.4%8/1
Liuzza3.8%15/1
Spring Spinning0.7%30/1
🌧️ Off-track: 456871
🎯 Longshots: 14865723
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000
Win:10Princess Attitude (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Place:3Lit Ship (9/2) 17% · fair 5-1
Show:11Icona (7/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -35%
Other contenders:12Fiery Lucy (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 4Next Up (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 1Faye's Gold (12/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -31%, 9Lady Iva (10/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -51%
Rest of field:6Devassa (15/1) 4% · fair 51-2 underlay -41%, 8Sanctify (20/1) 4% · fair 26-1, 7Sweet Note (30/1) 2% · fair 43-1 underlay -30%, 5Dream On Stormy (30/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -36%, 2J Z's Last Schance (30/1) 2% · fair 107-2 underlay -44%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Princess Attitude — 20.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Princess Attitude20.1% ◀Lit Ship — 16.8% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Lit Ship16.8%Icona — 15.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Icona15.7%Fiery Lucy — 12.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Fiery Lucy12.8%Next Up — 10.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Next Up10.8%Faye'S Gold — 5.5% win probability, morning line 12/1Faye'S Gold5.5%Lady Iva — 4.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Lady Iva4.6%Devassa — 3.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Devassa3.8%Sanctify — 3.7% win probability, morning line 20/1Sanctify3.7%Sweet Note — 2.3% win probability, morning line 30/1Sweet Note2.3%Dream On Stormy — 2.1% win probability, morning line 30/1Dream On Stormy2.1%J Z'S Last Schance — 1.8% win probability, morning line 30/1J Z'S Last Schance1.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Princess Attitude20.1%3/1
Lit Ship16.8%4.5/1
Icona15.7%3.5/1
Fiery Lucy12.8%6/1
Next Up10.8%8/1
Faye'S Gold5.5%12/1
Lady Iva4.6%10/1
Devassa3.8%15/1
Sanctify3.7%20/1
Sweet Note2.3%30/1
Dream On Stormy2.1%30/1
J Z'S Last Schance1.8%30/1
🌧️ Off-track: 101131249
🎯 Longshots: 410119311268752
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #3, #11, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000
Win:5Sweet Venture (5/2) 31% · fair 5-2
Place:9Timbertop (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2
Show:4Finally No Drama (9/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -49%
Other contenders:3Fumed (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 10Puunene (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2, 2Debating (4/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -79%, 12Bourbon Ice (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -40%, 14J Z's Not Again (12/1) 4% · fair 51-2 underlay -53%
Rest of field:13Benevolencia (20/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -44%, 6She's A Beauty (20/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -46%, 15Wish You Were Here (10/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -75%, 7Selah Breeze (30/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -34%, 1Yousuredoshine (12/1) 2% · fair 49-1 underlay -75%, 16I Want Her (15/1) 2% · fair 109-2 underlay -73%, 8So Jelly (20/1) 1% · fair 78-1 underlay -74%, 11Andy's Call (30/1) 1% · fair 363-2 underlay -83%
Race 10 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Sweet Venture — 30.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sweet Venture30.7% ◀Timbertop — 14.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Timbertop14.8%Finally No Drama — 10.2% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Finally No Drama10.2%Fumed — 9.3% win probability, morning line 10/1Fumed9.3%Puunene — 5.7% win probability, morning line 15/1Puunene5.7%Debating — 5.1% win probability, morning line 4/1Debating5.1%Bourbon Ice — 4.8% win probability, morning line 12/1Bourbon Ice4.8%J Z'S Not Again — 3.8% win probability, morning line 12/1J Z'S Not Again3.8%Benevolencia — 2.7% win probability, morning line 20/1Benevolencia2.7%She'S A Beauty — 2.6% win probability, morning line 20/1She'S A Beauty2.6%Wish You Were Here — 2.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Wish You Were Here2.5%Selah Breeze — 2.1% win probability, morning line 30/1Selah Breeze2.1%Yousuredoshine — 2.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Yousuredoshine2.0%I Want Her — 1.8% win probability, morning line 15/1I Want Her1.8%So Jelly — 1.3% win probability, morning line 20/1So Jelly1.3%Andy'S Call — 0.5% win probability, morning line 30/1Andy'S Call0.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Sweet Venture30.7%2.5/1
Timbertop14.8%6/1
Finally No Drama10.2%4.5/1
Fumed9.3%10/1
Puunene5.7%15/1
Debating5.1%4/1
Bourbon Ice4.8%12/1
J Z'S Not Again3.8%12/1
Benevolencia2.7%20/1
She'S A Beauty2.6%20/1
Wish You Were Here2.5%10/1
Selah Breeze2.1%30/1
Yousuredoshine2.0%12/1
I Want Her1.8%15/1
So Jelly1.3%20/1
Andy'S Call0.5%30/1
Race 10 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSweet Venture: model 30.7% vs market 18.4% (+12.4 points)Sweet Venture+12.4Timbertop: model 14.8% vs market 9.2% (+5.7 points)Timbertop+5.7Finally No Drama: model 10.2% vs market 11.7% (-1.5 points)Finally No Drama-1.5Fumed: model 9.3% vs market 5.8% (+3.4 points)Fumed+3.4Puunene: model 5.7% vs market 4.0% (+1.7 points)Puunene+1.7Debating: model 5.1% vs market 12.9% (-7.8 points)Debating-7.8Bourbon Ice: model 4.8% vs market 4.9% (-0.2 points)Bourbon Ice-0.2J Z'S Not Again: model 3.8% vs market 4.9% (-1.1 points)J Z'S Not Again-1.1Benevolencia: model 2.7% vs market 3.1% (-0.3 points)Benevolencia-0.3She'S A Beauty: model 2.6% vs market 3.1% (-0.4 points)She'S A Beauty-0.4Wish You Were Here: model 2.5% vs market 5.8% (-3.4 points)Wish You Were Here-3.4Selah Breeze: model 2.1% vs market 2.1% (+0.1 points)Selah Breeze+0.1Yousuredoshine: model 2.0% vs market 4.9% (-2.9 points)Yousuredoshine-2.9I Want Her: model 1.8% vs market 4.0% (-2.2 points)I Want Her-2.2So Jelly: model 1.3% vs market 3.1% (-1.8 points)So Jelly-1.8Andy'S Call: model 0.5% vs market 2.1% (-1.5 points)Andy'S Call-1.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Sweet Venture30.7%18.4%+12.4
Timbertop14.8%9.2%+5.7
Finally No Drama10.2%11.7%-1.5
Fumed9.3%5.8%+3.4
Puunene5.7%4.0%+1.7
Debating5.1%12.9%-7.8
Bourbon Ice4.8%4.9%-0.2
J Z'S Not Again3.8%4.9%-1.1
Benevolencia2.7%3.1%-0.3
She'S A Beauty2.6%3.1%-0.4
Wish You Were Here2.5%5.8%-3.4
Selah Breeze2.1%2.1%+0.1
Yousuredoshine2.0%4.9%-2.9
I Want Her1.8%4.0%-2.2
So Jelly1.3%3.1%-1.8
Andy'S Call0.5%2.1%-1.5
🌧️ Off-track: 5942315
🎯 Longshots: 25349151211416106138711
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
Algo 1 (Weighted Rating) at Churchill Downs — average winning payout

What a $2 win bet returned WHEN THE PICK WON. 542 graded races at Churchill Downs, 2026-04-25 to 2026-11-13.

$0$2$4$6$7Our top pick: $5.91 from 153 racesOur top pick$5.91Morning-line favourite: $5.12 from 152 racesMorning-line favourite$5.12

This is the size of a winning payout, not a measure of profit — a pick that wins less often at a longer price can average more per winner and still lose money over the month. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupAverage payoutWinners
Our top pick$5.91153
Morning-line favourite$5.12152
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:1Nilo's Rose (9/5)
Place:5Pens Street (5/2)
Show:2Crushed Ice (6/1)
Other contenders:8Beach Dancer (8/1), 4Ce La Vi Charli (6/1), 3Cora's Legacy (8/1)
Rest of field:6Acousticat (15/1), 7Sunset Harbour (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 152483
🎯 Longshots: 15836274
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:5Song Of Songs (5/2)
Place:4Don't Be Salty (6/5)
Show:2Leafology (9/2)
Other contenders:6Heartbeat (4/1), 7Beara Peninsula (10/1)
Rest of field:3Freak City (30/1), 1Fasta Lavista Baby (50/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 456273
🎯 Longshots: 4576231
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $78,000
Win:6Huck's Agenda (7/5)
Place:2Carol's Melody (5/2)
Show:1Tetiaroa (4/1)
Other contenders:7Just Do Believe (8/1), 5Good Call (8/1)
Rest of field:4Tempting Eve (12/1), 3Mom's Cheesecake (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6275413
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:1Goal To Go (7/2)
Place:4Celtic Mo (2/1)
Show:6Mined That Gold (6/1)
Other contenders:7Mo Que (5/1), 2Very Royal (9/2), 3Chasing Em (8/1)
Rest of field:5Prove Me Wrong (20/1), 8Shamrock Guard (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 417263
🎯 Longshots: 41367528
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:7Bluebeard (2/1)
Place:8Eleos (3/1)
Show:3Justice (6/1)
Other contenders:4Rank (4/1), 2Patriot Moon (8/1), 1Sparked (6/1)
Rest of field:5Magic Moose (15/1), 6Leading Off (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 784312
🎯 Longshots: 87234516
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:10Twirling Claire (3/1)
Place:3Mackinac (5/1)
Show:4Ratu Jawa (6/1)
Other contenders:1Ships Inn (8/1), 2Lady Revenge (10/1), 9Aldene (8/1), 14Cactus Cairo (10/1), 12Sunny Ray (6/1)
Rest of field:16Storm Cloud Rising (10/1), 8Ms. Jay Dee Em (10/1), 6Coco G (15/1), 13Black Cherry (12/1), 7Solemn Vow (30/1), 5Cotillard (20/1), 15Windy Houston (20/1), 11Quick To Charm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 10341122
🎯 Longshots: 19231041381416126515711
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #3, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000
Win:4Easy Dial (6/1) no strong opinion
This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection.
Place:9Culprit (3/1)
Show:10Pezzonovante (9/2)
Other contenders:1Surfin' M (5/1), 3Swamp King (10/1), 6T V Channel (8/1)
Rest of field:8Bagg O Time (6/1), 2Our Standard (12/1), 7Dewy's Denali (20/1), 5Refined Design (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9104186
🎯 Longshots: 69347102581
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #10, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $64,000
Win:4Sassy Princess (5/2)
Place:8Run Camila Run (4/1)
Show:1Tennesseehoneybee (8/1)
Other contenders:5Dozen Diamonds (7/2), 6Tiffany Twist (4/1), 7Creative Quality (5/1)
Rest of field:2Liuzza (15/1), 3Spring Spinning (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 458671
🎯 Longshots: 14865723
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000
Win:3Lit Ship (9/2)
Place:10Princess Attitude (3/1)
Show:11Icona (7/2)
Other contenders:4Next Up (8/1), 9Lady Iva (10/1), 1Faye's Gold (12/1), 12Fiery Lucy (6/1)
Rest of field:8Sanctify (20/1), 5Dream On Stormy (30/1), 6Devassa (15/1), 7Sweet Note (30/1), 2J Z's Last Schance (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 103111249
🎯 Longshots: 410119311268752
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #11, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000
Win:5Sweet Venture (5/2)
Place:9Timbertop (6/1)
Show:4Finally No Drama (9/2)
Other contenders:3Fumed (10/1), 2Debating (4/1), 12Bourbon Ice (12/1), 14J Z's Not Again (12/1), 10Puunene (15/1)
Rest of field:13Benevolencia (20/1), 1Yousuredoshine (12/1), 6She's A Beauty (20/1), 15Wish You Were Here (10/1), 7Selah Breeze (30/1), 16I Want Her (15/1), 8So Jelly (20/1), 11Andy's Call (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5429312
🎯 Longshots: 25349151211416106138711
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #5, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #5, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #6 over #2 ($1 straight; box #6-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #2, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #4, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #7 over #8 ($1 straight; box #7-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #8, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #10 over #3 ($1 straight; box #10-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #10, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #9 over #4 ($1 straight; box #9-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #9, #10, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #10 over #11 ($1 straight; box #10-#11 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #10, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 10AI Exacta: #5 over #2 ($1 straight; box #5-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #3, #4, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder))    Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)    Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $
bankroll
103Fumed10/1—13.7%+41.5%1.04%$1.04
62Lady Revenge10/1—12.5%+30.7%0.77%$0.77
107Selah Breeze ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer30/1—2.5%+-18.2%0.00%$0.00
106She'S A Beauty ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer20/1—3.5%+-22.4%0.00%$0.00
97Sweet Note ⚠ high risk: 20-1 or longer30/1—2.1%+-28.0%0.00%$0.00
TOTAL across 5 plays:1.8%$1.80
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
⚠ High risk: 20-1 or longer. Since late June our longshot picks at these odds have won about 3 times in 100 and lost about half of every dollar bet; in maiden races they do worse still.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:1Nilo's Rose (9/5)
Place:8Beach Dancer (8/1)
Show:5Pens Street (5/2)
Other contenders:2Crushed Ice (6/1), 4Ce La Vi Charli (6/1), 3Cora's Legacy (8/1)
Rest of field:6Acousticat (15/1), 7Sunset Harbour (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 152843
🎯 Longshots: 15836274
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:5Song Of Songs (5/2)
Place:2Leafology (9/2)
Show:7Beara Peninsula (10/1)
Other contenders:4Don't Be Salty (6/5), 6Heartbeat (4/1)
Rest of field:3Freak City (30/1), 1Fasta Lavista Baby (50/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 452673
🎯 Longshots: 4576231
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $78,000
Win:2Carol's Melody (5/2)
Place:6Huck's Agenda (7/5)
Show:5Good Call (8/1)
Other contenders:1Tetiaroa (4/1), 7Just Do Believe (8/1)
Rest of field:4Tempting Eve (12/1), 3Mom's Cheesecake (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621574
🎯 Longshots: 6275413
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:1Goal To Go (7/2)
Place:4Celtic Mo (2/1)
Show:7Mo Que (5/1)
Other contenders:6Mined That Gold (6/1), 2Very Royal (9/2), 3Chasing Em (8/1)
Rest of field:5Prove Me Wrong (20/1), 8Shamrock Guard (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 417263
🎯 Longshots: 41367528
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:3Justice (6/1)
Place:7Bluebeard (2/1)
Show:8Eleos (3/1)
Other contenders:4Rank (4/1), 2Patriot Moon (8/1), 1Sparked (6/1)
Rest of field:5Magic Moose (15/1), 6Leading Off (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 783412
🎯 Longshots: 87234516
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:10Twirling Claire (3/1)
Place:9Aldene (8/1)
Show:4Ratu Jawa (6/1)
Other contenders:3Mackinac (5/1), 8Ms. Jay Dee Em (10/1), 1Ships Inn (8/1), 12Sunny Ray (6/1), 2Lady Revenge (10/1)
Rest of field:14Cactus Cairo (10/1), 16Storm Cloud Rising (10/1), 6Coco G (15/1), 15Windy Houston (20/1), 7Solemn Vow (30/1), 5Cotillard (20/1), 13Black Cherry (12/1), 11Quick To Charm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 10349121
🎯 Longshots: 19231041381416126515711
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #9, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000
Win:7Dewy's Denali (20/1)
Place:10Pezzonovante (9/2)
Show:9Culprit (3/1)
Other contenders:1Surfin' M (5/1), 4Easy Dial (6/1), 8Bagg O Time (6/1)
Rest of field:3Swamp King (10/1), 6T V Channel (8/1), 5Refined Design (20/1), 2Our Standard (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9101487
🎯 Longshots: 69347102581
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #10, #9, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $64,000
Win:4Sassy Princess (5/2)
Place:8Run Camila Run (4/1)
Show:6Tiffany Twist (4/1)
Other contenders:1Tennesseehoneybee (8/1), 5Dozen Diamonds (7/2), 7Creative Quality (5/1)
Rest of field:2Liuzza (15/1), 3Spring Spinning (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 485671
🎯 Longshots: 14865723
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000
Win:3Lit Ship (9/2)
Place:10Princess Attitude (3/1)
Show:4Next Up (8/1)
Other contenders:11Icona (7/2), 12Fiery Lucy (6/1), 9Lady Iva (10/1), 5Dream On Stormy (30/1)
Rest of field:1Faye's Gold (12/1), 8Sanctify (20/1), 6Devassa (15/1), 7Sweet Note (30/1), 2J Z's Last Schance (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 103111249
🎯 Longshots: 410119311268752
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #4, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000
Win:5Sweet Venture (5/2)
Place:4Finally No Drama (9/2)
Show:2Debating (4/1)
Other contenders:3Fumed (10/1), 9Timbertop (6/1), 12Bourbon Ice (12/1), 1Yousuredoshine (12/1), 15Wish You Were Here (10/1)
Rest of field:10Puunene (15/1), 6She's A Beauty (20/1), 14J Z's Not Again (12/1), 13Benevolencia (20/1), 16I Want Her (15/1), 8So Jelly (20/1), 7Selah Breeze (30/1), 11Andy's Call (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5429315
🎯 Longshots: 25349151211416106138711
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:1Nilo's Rose (9/5)
Place:5Pens Street (5/2)
Show:2Crushed Ice (6/1)
Other contenders:8Beach Dancer (8/1), 4Ce La Vi Charli (6/1), 6Acousticat (15/1)
Rest of field:3Cora's Legacy (8/1), 7Sunset Harbour (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 152483
🎯 Longshots: 15836274
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:2Leafology (9/2)
Place:5Song Of Songs (5/2)
Show:6Heartbeat (4/1)
Other contenders:4Don't Be Salty (6/5), 7Beara Peninsula (10/1)
Rest of field:3Freak City (30/1), 1Fasta Lavista Baby (50/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 452673
🎯 Longshots: 4576231
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $78,000
Win:6Huck's Agenda (7/5)
Place:2Carol's Melody (5/2)
Show:1Tetiaroa (4/1)
Other contenders:5Good Call (8/1), 7Just Do Believe (8/1)
Rest of field:4Tempting Eve (12/1), 3Mom's Cheesecake (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621574
🎯 Longshots: 6275413
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:1Goal To Go (7/2)
Place:4Celtic Mo (2/1)
Show:7Mo Que (5/1)
Other contenders:6Mined That Gold (6/1), 2Very Royal (9/2), 3Chasing Em (8/1)
Rest of field:5Prove Me Wrong (20/1), 8Shamrock Guard (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 417263
🎯 Longshots: 41367528
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:7Bluebeard (2/1)
Place:8Eleos (3/1)
Show:4Rank (4/1)
Other contenders:3Justice (6/1), 2Patriot Moon (8/1), 1Sparked (6/1)
Rest of field:5Magic Moose (15/1), 6Leading Off (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 784312
🎯 Longshots: 87234516
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:3Mackinac (5/1)
Place:10Twirling Claire (3/1)
Show:4Ratu Jawa (6/1)
Other contenders:2Lady Revenge (10/1), 1Ships Inn (8/1), 14Cactus Cairo (10/1), 9Aldene (8/1), 12Sunny Ray (6/1)
Rest of field:8Ms. Jay Dee Em (10/1), 16Storm Cloud Rising (10/1), 5Cotillard (20/1), 6Coco G (15/1), 7Solemn Vow (30/1), 15Windy Houston (20/1), 13Black Cherry (12/1), 11Quick To Charm (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 10341212
🎯 Longshots: 19231041381416126515711
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000
Win:4Easy Dial (6/1)
Place:9Culprit (3/1)
Show:10Pezzonovante (9/2)
Other contenders:3Swamp King (10/1), 6T V Channel (8/1), 8Bagg O Time (6/1)
Rest of field:2Our Standard (12/1), 1Surfin' M (5/1), 5Refined Design (20/1), 7Dewy's Denali (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9410186
🎯 Longshots: 69347102581
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #10, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $64,000
Win:8Run Camila Run (4/1)
Place:4Sassy Princess (5/2)
Show:1Tennesseehoneybee (8/1)
Other contenders:5Dozen Diamonds (7/2), 6Tiffany Twist (4/1), 7Creative Quality (5/1)
Rest of field:2Liuzza (15/1), 3Spring Spinning (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 485671
🎯 Longshots: 14865723
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000
Win:3Lit Ship (9/2)
Place:10Princess Attitude (3/1)
Show:4Next Up (8/1)
Other contenders:11Icona (7/2), 12Fiery Lucy (6/1), 8Sanctify (20/1), 9Lady Iva (10/1)
Rest of field:1Faye's Gold (12/1), 6Devassa (15/1), 5Dream On Stormy (30/1), 7Sweet Note (30/1), 2J Z's Last Schance (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 103111249
🎯 Longshots: 410119311268752
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #4, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000
Win:5Sweet Venture (5/2)
Place:3Fumed (10/1)
Show:4Finally No Drama (9/2)
Other contenders:9Timbertop (6/1), 2Debating (4/1), 12Bourbon Ice (12/1), 10Puunene (15/1), 14J Z's Not Again (12/1)
Rest of field:13Benevolencia (20/1), 6She's A Beauty (20/1), 1Yousuredoshine (12/1), 7Selah Breeze (30/1), 15Wish You Were Here (10/1), 16I Want Her (15/1), 8So Jelly (20/1), 11Andy's Call (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5429312
🎯 Longshots: 25349151211416106138711
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #4, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #1,#5,#2 (64%) / R2: #6,#5,#2 (69%) / R3: #6,#2,#1 (72%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #6,#5,#2 (69%) / R3: #6,#2,#1 (72%) / R4: #1,#6,#4 (61%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #6,#2,#1 (72%) / R4: #1,#6,#4 (61%) / R5: #8,#7,#3 (64%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28%
Pick 3 R8-10R8: #4,#5,#6 (57%) / R9: #10,#3,#11 (53%) / R10: #5,#9,#4 (56%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #1,#5,#2 (64%) / R2: #6,#5,#2 (69%) / R3: #6,#2,#1 (72%) / R4: #1,#6,#4 (61%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #6,#5,#2 (69%) / R3: #6,#2,#1 (72%) / R4: #1,#6,#4 (61%) / R5: #8,#7,#3 (64%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ACOUSTICATALDENEANDY'S CALLBAGG O TIMEBEACH DANCER
BENEVOLENCIABLACK CHERRYBLUEBEARDBOURBON ICECACTUS CAIRO
CE LA VI CHARLICELTIC MOCHASING EMCOCO GCORA'S LEGACY
CREATIVE QUALITYCRUSHED ICECULPRITDEBATINGDEVASSA
DON'T BE SALTYDOZEN DIAMONDSDREAM ON STORMYEASY DIALELEOS
FAYE'S GOLDFIERY LUCYFINALLY NO DRAMAFREAK CITYFUMED
GOOD CALLHEARTBEATHUCK'S AGENDAI WANT HERICONA
J Z'S NOT AGAINJUST DO BELIEVEJUSTICELADY IVALADY REVENGE
LEAFOLOGYLIT SHIPLIUZZAMACKINACMAGIC MOOSE
MO QUEMOM'S CHEESECAKEMS. JAY DEE EMNEXT UPNILO'S ROSE
PATRIOT MOONPENS STREETPEZZONOVANTEPRINCESS ATTITUDEPROVE ME WRONG
QUICK TO CHARMRANKRATU JAWAREFINED DESIGNRUN CAMILA RUN
SASSY PRINCESSSELAH BREEZESHAMROCK GUARDSHE'S A BEAUTYSHIPS INN
SOLEMN VOWSONG OF SONGSSPARKEDSPRING SPINNINGSTORM CLOUD RISING
SUNSET HARBOURSURFIN' MSWAMP KINGSWEET NOTESWEET VENTURE
TEMPTING EVETENNESSEEHONEYBEETETIAROATIFFANY TWISTTIMBERTOP
VERY ROYALWINDY HOUSTONWISH YOU WERE HEREYOUSUREDOSHINE

 


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