How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 8:14 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 8 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 2 finished in the money.
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Beauxbatons (8/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Rising Creek (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Serenity Song (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Rumbar (3/1), 4 – She's Gotta Go (4/1), 1 – Pink Moon (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Vinno Ronnie (15/1), 5 – Strife (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-7-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Weaponized (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Culprit (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Inordinary (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Dispersion (8/1), 1 – Carcar Express (12/1), 2 – Surfin' M (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Valiant Award (30/1), 7 – Mountain Wolf (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-6-5-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-4-2-5-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Chrome (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Amazing Max (8/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Concrete Overlay (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Mambo Man (30/1), 8 – Honor And Courage (15/1), 3 – Ritzy Rags (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Tmac's Royalty (6/1), 4 – Camping Siete (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-6-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-5-3-8-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $71,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – California Burrito (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Curlin's Malibu (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – J B Strikes Back (7/5) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bestfriend Rocket (9/2), 3 – Dai Vernon (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Real Fast (20/1), 6 – Smoken Boy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-4-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-3-5-1-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Divine Truth (20/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Soap Note (20/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Farrokh (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cicero Ave (6/1), 5 – Psalm One Eighteen (12/1), 6 – Drain The Shot (8/1), 7 – Jersey Jack (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Modern (6/1), 9 – Good Lies (20/1), 10 – Breadcrumb Trail (4/1), 11 – Knicks Warrior (20/1), 12 – Charging Force (9/2), 13 – Double Arrow (10/1), 14 – When I Go (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-13-9-2-14-10-4-12-8-7-11-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $37,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Diagram (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Modern Sound (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Dancewhenyoucan (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Glazin' Fury (6/1), 11 – Call Me Angel (10/1), 2 – Ashkenazi (15/1), 1 – Magic Seeker (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Miss Pierre (12/1), 8 – Ducat (15/1), 6 – Bright Lady Day (20/1), 9 – Super Costly (15/1), 5 – Code Of Valor (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-10-2-11-12 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-11-10-2-9-8-12-1-5-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Pirate Ship (5/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Unbridled Freedom (7/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Touch Money (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Clonmacnoise (12/1), 3 – Coltrane (15/1), 2 – Uncle With Money (12/1), 4 – Detention (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Golden Reserve (12/1), 14 – Bonzo (8/1), 9 – Sunfyre (20/1), 13 – Buffalo Soldier (15/1), 5 – Lindenborg (20/1), 12 – Major John (15/1), 8 – Mitole Joe (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-1-11-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-1-11-14-6-9-13-8-2-7-3-4-12-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #10, #1, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $83,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Remi's Moon (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Bob's Carrot (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Trouble Time (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Ghostwritten (6/1), 7 – Mo Work (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Ski Bum (6/1), 3 – Stomp (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-1-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $48,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Shot At Perfection (9/5) |
| Place: | 11 – Fraudster (4/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Market Strategy (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 14 – Crystal Frost (6/1), 13 – Cosmopolitan Lady (5/2), 16 – Perpetua (6/1), 3 – Valiant War Girl (15/1), 15 – Wado Wave (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Sister Wife (6/1), 2 – Vinointhemoonlight (10/1), 7 – Total Fabrication (20/1), 9 – Spotted (20/1), 8 – Diamond Tiara (30/1), 1 – Loves To Fish (15/1), 6 – No Mo Rags (30/1), 4 – Gucci Gammy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-12-11-14-16-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-13-3-15-11-2-10-14-9-7-1-5-16-6-4-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #11, #10, #14 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Rising Creek (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – She's Gotta Go (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Rumbar (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Serenity Song (9/2), 7 – Beauxbatons (8/1), 1 – Pink Moon (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Vinno Ronnie (15/1), 5 – Strife (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-4-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Culprit (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Weaponized (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Inordinary (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Dispersion (8/1), 1 – Carcar Express (12/1), 2 – Surfin' M (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Valiant Award (30/1), 7 – Mountain Wolf (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-8-3-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-4-2-5-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Amazing Max (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Chrome (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Concrete Overlay (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Ritzy Rags (9/2), 2 – Tmac's Royalty (6/1), 8 – Honor And Courage (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Camping Siete (20/1), 6 – Mambo Man (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-5-3-8-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $71,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Curlin's Malibu (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – J B Strikes Back (7/5) |
| Show: | 5 – California Burrito (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bestfriend Rocket (9/2), 3 – Dai Vernon (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Real Fast (20/1), 6 – Smoken Boy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-4-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-3-5-1-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 14 – When I Go (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Breadcrumb Trail (4/1) |
| Show: | 12 – Charging Force (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cicero Ave (6/1), 8 – Modern (6/1), 6 – Drain The Shot (8/1), 7 – Jersey Jack (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Farrokh (10/1), 13 – Double Arrow (10/1), 11 – Knicks Warrior (20/1), 1 – Divine Truth (20/1), 5 – Psalm One Eighteen (12/1), 9 – Good Lies (20/1), 2 – Soap Note (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-12-4-8-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-13-9-2-14-10-4-12-8-7-11-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #14 over #10, #12, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $37,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Modern Sound (3/1) |
| Place: | 12 – Diagram (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Dancewhenyoucan (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Glazin' Fury (6/1), 2 – Ashkenazi (15/1), 11 – Call Me Angel (10/1), 1 – Magic Seeker (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Miss Pierre (12/1), 9 – Super Costly (15/1), 8 – Ducat (15/1), 5 – Code Of Valor (20/1), 6 – Bright Lady Day (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-10-2-8-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-11-10-2-9-8-12-1-5-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #12, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Unbridled Freedom (7/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Pirate Ship (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Touch Money (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Uncle With Money (12/1), 4 – Detention (8/1), 11 – Clonmacnoise (12/1), 3 – Coltrane (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Golden Reserve (12/1), 14 – Bonzo (8/1), 9 – Sunfyre (20/1), 5 – Lindenborg (20/1), 12 – Major John (15/1), 13 – Buffalo Soldier (15/1), 8 – Mitole Joe (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-1-2-4-11-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-1-11-14-6-9-13-8-2-7-3-4-12-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $83,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Remi's Moon (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Bob's Carrot (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Trouble Time (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mo Work (8/1), 1 – Ski Bum (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ghostwritten (6/1), 3 – Stomp (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $48,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Shot At Perfection (9/5) |
| Place: | 13 – Cosmopolitan Lady (5/2) |
| Show: | 11 – Fraudster (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sister Wife (6/1), 10 – Market Strategy (9/2), 14 – Crystal Frost (6/1), 16 – Perpetua (6/1), 15 – Wado Wave (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Valiant War Girl (15/1), 2 – Vinointhemoonlight (10/1), 7 – Total Fabrication (20/1), 1 – Loves To Fish (15/1), 9 – Spotted (20/1), 4 – Gucci Gammy (30/1), 6 – No Mo Rags (30/1), 8 – Diamond Tiara (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-11-12-14-16-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-13-3-15-11-2-10-14-9-7-1-5-16-6-4-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #13, #11, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Rumbar (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Place: | 3 – Rising Creek (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -42% |
| Show: | 4 – She's Gotta Go (4/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -31% |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Serenity Song (9/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -36%, 7 – Beauxbatons (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 1 – Pink Moon (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Vinno Ronnie (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 5 – Strife (20/1) 4% · fair 24-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-4-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Inordinary (3/1) 27% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 4 – Culprit (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -30% |
| Show: | 6 – Weaponized (9/5) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -56% |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Dispersion (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 1 – Carcar Express (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 2 – Surfin' M (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -32% |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Valiant Award (30/1) 4% · fair 51-2, 7 – Mountain Wolf (30/1) 2% · fair 41-1 underlay -27% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-3-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-4-2-5-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Amazing Max (8/5) 27% · fair 5-2 underlay -40% |
| Place: | 5 – Concrete Overlay (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 3 – Ritzy Rags (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Tmac's Royalty (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 1 – Chrome (7/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -46%, 4 – Camping Siete (20/1) 6% · fair 33-2 |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Honor And Courage (15/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -27%, 6 – Mambo Man (30/1) 3% · fair 75-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-5-3-8-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $71,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Curlin's Malibu (5/2) 32% · fair 2-1 |
| Place: | 7 – J B Strikes Back (7/5) 21% · fair 7-2 underlay -62% |
| Show: | 5 – California Burrito (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bestfriend Rocket (9/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -37%, 3 – Dai Vernon (15/1) 7% · fair 25-2 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Real Fast (20/1) 5% · fair 20-1, 6 – Smoken Boy (20/1) 4% · fair 51-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-4-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-3-5-1-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 14 – When I Go (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -28% |
| Place: | 10 – Breadcrumb Trail (4/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -31% |
| Show: | 4 – Cicero Ave (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -45% |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Modern (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%, 12 – Charging Force (9/2) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -63%, 6 – Drain The Shot (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -37%, 3 – Farrokh (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1 |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jersey Jack (6/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -55%, 13 – Double Arrow (10/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -38%, 11 – Knicks Warrior (20/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 9 – Good Lies (20/1) 4% · fair 25-1, 1 – Divine Truth (20/1) 4% · fair 53-2, 2 – Soap Note (20/1) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -38%, 5 – Psalm One Eighteen (12/1) 1% · fair 74-1 underlay -84% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-8-12-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-13-9-2-14-10-4-12-8-7-11-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #14 over #10, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $37,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Modern Sound (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 12 – Diagram (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 7 – Glazin' Fury (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1 |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Dancewhenyoucan (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -31%, 11 – Call Me Angel (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 10 – Miss Pierre (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 9 – Super Costly (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Magic Seeker (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -42%, 2 – Ashkenazi (15/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -34%, 8 – Ducat (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 6 – Bright Lady Day (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -34%, 5 – Code Of Valor (20/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -35% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-10-2-8-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-11-10-2-9-8-12-1-5-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #12, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Pirate Ship (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Place: | 10 – Unbridled Freedom (7/5) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -75% |
| Show: | 4 – Detention (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2 |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Touch Money (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 11 – Clonmacnoise (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 3 – Coltrane (15/1) 7% · fair 29-2, 2 – Uncle With Money (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2 |
| Rest of field: | 14 – Bonzo (8/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -48%, 6 – Golden Reserve (12/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -34%, 13 – Buffalo Soldier (15/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -44%, 9 – Sunfyre (20/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -28%, 12 – Major John (15/1) 3% · fair 33-1 underlay -55%, 5 – Lindenborg (20/1) 3% · fair 67-2 underlay -40%, 8 – Mitole Joe (30/1) 2% · fair 45-1 underlay -34% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-1-11-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-1-11-14-6-9-13-8-2-7-3-4-12-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #10, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $83,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Remi's Moon (2/1) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -34% |
| Place: | 5 – Bob's Carrot (5/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -55% |
| Show: | 1 – Ski Bum (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1 |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Trouble Time (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -34%, 6 – Ghostwritten (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2 |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Mo Work (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 3 – Stomp (15/1) 8% · fair 12-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $48,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Shot At Perfection (9/5) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -70% |
| Place: | 13 – Cosmopolitan Lady (5/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -63% |
| Show: | 11 – Fraudster (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46% |
| Other contenders: | 16 – Perpetua (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -32%, 10 – Market Strategy (9/2) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -54%, 5 – Sister Wife (6/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -51%, 14 – Crystal Frost (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -57%, 15 – Wado Wave (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -45% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Loves To Fish (15/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -36%, 2 – Vinointhemoonlight (10/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -59%, 3 – Valiant War Girl (15/1) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -54%, 7 – Total Fabrication (20/1) 3% · fair 67-2 underlay -41%, 9 – Spotted (20/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -46%, 4 – Gucci Gammy (30/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -37%, 6 – No Mo Rags (30/1) 1% · fair 77-1 underlay -61%, 8 – Diamond Tiara (30/1) 1% · fair 163-2 underlay -63% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-11-16-14-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-13-3-15-11-2-10-14-9-7-1-5-16-6-4-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #13, #11, #16 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #3 over #8 ($1 straight; box #3-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #4, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #4 ($1 straight; box #6-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #4, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #7 over #1 ($1 straight; box #7-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #7 over #4 ($1 straight; box #7-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #7, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #14 over #10 ($1 straight; box #14-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #4 over #12 ($1 straight; box #4-#12 for cover) Trifecta: #12 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #10 over #7 ($1 straight; box #10-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #10 over #7, #1, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #2 over #5 ($1 straight; box #2-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #12 over #13 ($1 straight; box #12-#13 for cover) Trifecta: #11 over #12, #10, #13 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 5 | 11 – Knicks Warrior | 20/1 | — | 7.2% | +49.3% | 0.62% | $0.62 |
| 3 | 6 – Mambo Man | 30/1 | — | 4.6% | +41.3% | 0.34% | $0.34 |
| 9 | 3 – Valiant War Girl | 15/1 | — | 8.3% | +30.6% | 0.51% | $0.51 |
| 9 | 4 – Gucci Gammy | 30/1 | — | 4.2% | +27.9% | 0.23% | $0.23 |
| 7 | 2 – Uncle With Money | 12/1 | — | 9.3% | +20.4% | 0.42% | $0.42 |
| 9 | 7 – Total Fabrication | 20/1 | — | 5.5% | +15.7% | 0.20% | $0.20 |
| 7 | 3 – Coltrane | 15/1 | — | 7.2% | +15.1% | 0.25% | $0.25 |
| 6 | 2 – Ashkenazi | 15/1 | — | 7.2% | +13.9% | 0.23% | $0.23 |
| TOTAL across 8 plays: | 2.8% | $2.81 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - Beauxbatons (8/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Rising Creek (2/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Rumbar (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - She's Gotta Go (4/1), 2 - Serenity Song (9/2), 1 - Pink Moon (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Vinno Ronnie (15/1), 5 - Strife (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-4-5-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Weaponized (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Culprit (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Inordinary (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Surfin' M (10/1), 1 - Carcar Express (12/1), 8 - Dispersion (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Valiant Award (30/1), 7 - Mountain Wolf (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-8-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-4-2-5-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - Amazing Max (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Chrome (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Concrete Overlay (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Tmac's Royalty (6/1), 3 - Ritzy Rags (9/2), 8 - Honor And Courage (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Mambo Man (30/1), 4 - Camping Siete (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-5-3-8-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $71,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - J B Strikes Back (7/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Curlin's Malibu (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 - Bestfriend Rocket (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - California Burrito (7/2), 3 - Dai Vernon (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Smoken Boy (20/1), 2 - Real Fast (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-3-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-3-5-1-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Divine Truth (20/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Soap Note (20/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Farrokh (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Cicero Ave (6/1), 5 - Psalm One Eighteen (12/1), 6 - Drain The Shot (8/1), 7 - Jersey Jack (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Modern (6/1), 9 - Good Lies (20/1), 10 - Breadcrumb Trail (4/1), 11 - Knicks Warrior (20/1), 12 - Charging Force (9/2), 13 - Double Arrow (10/1), 14 - When I Go (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-13-9-2-14-10-4-12-8-7-11-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $37,000 | |
| Win: | 12 - Diagram (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Modern Sound (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Glazin' Fury (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Call Me Angel (10/1), 3 - Dancewhenyoucan (5/1), 10 - Miss Pierre (12/1), 1 - Magic Seeker (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Ashkenazi (15/1), 6 - Bright Lady Day (20/1), 8 - Ducat (15/1), 9 - Super Costly (15/1), 5 - Code Of Valor (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-11-12-10-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-11-10-2-9-8-12-1-5-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #4, #7, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 10 - Unbridled Freedom (7/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Pirate Ship (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Touch Money (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Clonmacnoise (12/1), 6 - Golden Reserve (12/1), 4 - Detention (8/1), 14 - Bonzo (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Coltrane (15/1), 2 - Uncle With Money (12/1), 13 - Buffalo Soldier (15/1), 9 - Sunfyre (20/1), 5 - Lindenborg (20/1), 8 - Mitole Joe (30/1), 12 - Major John (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-1-11-6-4-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-1-11-14-6-9-13-8-2-7-3-4-12-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #1, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $83,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Remi's Moon (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Mo Work (8/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Bob's Carrot (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Ski Bum (6/1), 6 - Ghostwritten (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Trouble Time (4/1), 3 - Stomp (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $48,000 | |
| Win: | 12 - Shot At Perfection (9/5) |
| Place: | 10 - Market Strategy (9/2) |
| Show: | 13 - Cosmopolitan Lady (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 15 - Wado Wave (8/1), 11 - Fraudster (4/1), 14 - Crystal Frost (6/1), 3 - Valiant War Girl (15/1), 16 - Perpetua (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Sister Wife (6/1), 2 - Vinointhemoonlight (10/1), 1 - Loves To Fish (15/1), 9 - Spotted (20/1), 6 - No Mo Rags (30/1), 7 - Total Fabrication (20/1), 8 - Diamond Tiara (30/1), 4 - Gucci Gammy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-12-11-14-3-16 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-13-3-15-11-2-10-14-9-7-1-5-16-6-4-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #10, #13, #15 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Rising Creek (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 - She's Gotta Go (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Serenity Song (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Beauxbatons (8/1), 8 - Rumbar (3/1), 1 - Pink Moon (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Vinno Ronnie (15/1), 5 - Strife (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-1-6-4-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Weaponized (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Culprit (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Inordinary (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Dispersion (8/1), 2 - Surfin' M (10/1), 1 - Carcar Express (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Valiant Award (30/1), 7 - Mountain Wolf (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-8-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-4-2-5-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - Amazing Max (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Chrome (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Concrete Overlay (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Ritzy Rags (9/2), 2 - Tmac's Royalty (6/1), 8 - Honor And Courage (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Mambo Man (30/1), 4 - Camping Siete (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-5-3-8-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $71,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - California Burrito (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 - J B Strikes Back (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 - Curlin's Malibu (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Bestfriend Rocket (9/2), 3 - Dai Vernon (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Smoken Boy (20/1), 2 - Real Fast (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-3-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-3-5-1-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Divine Truth (20/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Soap Note (20/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Farrokh (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Cicero Ave (6/1), 5 - Psalm One Eighteen (12/1), 6 - Drain The Shot (8/1), 7 - Jersey Jack (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Modern (6/1), 9 - Good Lies (20/1), 10 - Breadcrumb Trail (4/1), 11 - Knicks Warrior (20/1), 12 - Charging Force (9/2), 13 - Double Arrow (10/1), 14 - When I Go (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-13-9-2-14-10-4-12-8-7-11-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $37,000 | |
| Win: | 12 - Diagram (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Modern Sound (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Dancewhenyoucan (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Glazin' Fury (6/1), 11 - Call Me Angel (10/1), 2 - Ashkenazi (15/1), 1 - Magic Seeker (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 - Miss Pierre (12/1), 8 - Ducat (15/1), 9 - Super Costly (15/1), 6 - Bright Lady Day (20/1), 5 - Code Of Valor (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-12-10-2-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-11-10-2-9-8-12-1-5-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $92,000 | |
| Win: | 10 - Unbridled Freedom (7/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Pirate Ship (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Touch Money (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Clonmacnoise (12/1), 2 - Uncle With Money (12/1), 3 - Coltrane (15/1), 4 - Detention (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Golden Reserve (12/1), 14 - Bonzo (8/1), 9 - Sunfyre (20/1), 13 - Buffalo Soldier (15/1), 8 - Mitole Joe (30/1), 5 - Lindenborg (20/1), 12 - Major John (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-1-11-2-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-1-11-14-6-9-13-8-2-7-3-4-12-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #1, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $83,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Remi's Moon (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Bob's Carrot (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Trouble Time (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Ski Bum (6/1), 6 - Ghostwritten (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Mo Work (8/1), 3 - Stomp (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-1-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-7-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $48,000 | |
| Win: | 11 - Fraudster (4/1) |
| Place: | 12 - Shot At Perfection (9/5) |
| Show: | 10 - Market Strategy (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 13 - Cosmopolitan Lady (5/2), 14 - Crystal Frost (6/1), 5 - Sister Wife (6/1), 16 - Perpetua (6/1), 3 - Valiant War Girl (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 15 - Wado Wave (8/1), 2 - Vinointhemoonlight (10/1), 9 - Spotted (20/1), 7 - Total Fabrication (20/1), 1 - Loves To Fish (15/1), 8 - Diamond Tiara (30/1), 6 - No Mo Rags (30/1), 4 - Gucci Gammy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-11-12-14-16-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-13-3-15-11-2-10-14-9-7-1-5-16-6-4-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #12, #10, #13 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #8,#3,#4 (60%) / R2: #5,#4,#6 (69%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (60%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #5,#4,#6 (69%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (60%) / R4: #4,#7,#5 (72%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #7,#5,#3 (60%) / R4: #4,#7,#5 (72%) / R5: #14,#10,#4 (40%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #4,#7,#5 (72%) / R5: #14,#10,#4 (40%) / R6: #4,#12,#7 (50%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 14% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #8,#3,#4 (60%) / R2: #5,#4,#6 (69%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (60%) / R4: #4,#7,#5 (72%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 18% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #5,#4,#6 (69%) / R3: #7,#5,#3 (60%) / R4: #4,#7,#5 (72%) / R5: #14,#10,#4 (40%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 12% |
| AMAZING MAX | ASHKENAZI | BEAUXBATONS | BESTFRIEND ROCKET | BOB'S CARROT |
| BREADCRUMB TRAIL | BRIGHT LADY DAY | BUFFALO SOLDIER | CALIFORNIA BURRITO | CALL ME ANGEL |
| CARCAR EXPRESS | CHARGING FORCE | CHROME | CICERO AVE | CLONMACNOISE |
| COLTRANE | CONCRETE OVERLAY | COSMOPOLITAN LADY | CRYSTAL FROST | CULPRIT |
| DAI VERNON | DANCEWHENYOUCAN | DETENTION | DIAGRAM | DIAMOND TIARA |
| DIVINE TRUTH | DOUBLE ARROW | DRAIN THE SHOT | DUCAT | FARROKH |
| GHOSTWRITTEN | GLAZIN' FURY | GOLDEN RESERVE | GOOD LIES | GUCCI GAMMY |
| INORDINARY | J B STRIKES BACK | JERSEY JACK | KNICKS WARRIOR | LINDENBORG |
| MAGIC SEEKER | MAJOR JOHN | MAMBO MAN | MARKET STRATEGY | MISS PIERRE |
| MO WORK | MODERN | MODERN SOUND | MOUNTAIN WOLF | NO MO RAGS |
| PINK MOON | PIRATE SHIP | PSALM ONE EIGHTEEN | REAL FAST | REMI'S MOON |
| RITZY RAGS | RUMBAR | SERENITY SONG | SHE'S GOTTA GO | SHOT AT PERFECTION |
| SKI BUM | SMOKEN BOY | SOAP NOTE | SPOTTED | STOMP |
| SUNFYRE | SUPER COSTLY | SURFIN' M | TMAC'S ROYALTY | TOTAL FABRICATION |
| TROUBLE TIME | UNBRIDLED FREEDOM | UNCLE WITH MONEY | VALIANT AWARD | VALIANT WAR GIRL |
| VINOINTHEMOONLIGHT | WADO WAVE | WEAPONIZED | WHEN I GO |
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