How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 7:32 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 29% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 38% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 9 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 1 finished in the money.
Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Altadena (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – She's On A Roll (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Butterfly Jasmine (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Roiling (4/1), 8 – Merry An (15/1), 6 – Social Scene (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – The Look (6/1), 3 – Kastria (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-8-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-2-4-1-7-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Koivun (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Shacklebolt (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Frozenknife (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Steve Wood (15/1), 5 – Industrious (9/2), 6 – Midnight Rumble (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Reinforcement (15/1), 8 – Ritornello (20/1), 9 – Lutkenhaus (6/1), 10 – Vukota (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-10-6-5-1-9-8-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dice Shot (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Ginger Money (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Juneau (7/2), 5 – Luna Toscana (15/1), 6 – Shays Gray (12/1), 7 – Ardennes (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Dance Like This (5/1), 9 – Molly Mciver (8/1), 10 – Countthetrue (6/1), 11 – Lily Isabella (8/1), 12 – Lady Biz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-1-3-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-12-3-4-9-2-1-10-8-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Only After Midnite (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Firebird Suite (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Ribadeo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Tiz Salty (3/1), 3 – Voluntold (10/1), 5 – My Sexy Blonde (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Seek And Find (20/1), 6 – Pauline's Angel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-7-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-8-7-5-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Colortime (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Better Quality (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Armando (30/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Union Star (4/1), 5 – Violent Reserve (15/1), 6 – Tchaikovsky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Dark Sky (15/1), 8 – Bermuda (3/1), 9 – Just For Pipa (12/1), 10 – Ever Royal (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-2-7-5-1-8-4-6-9-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – American Man (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Gilded Bandit (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Stop The Car (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tagermeen (4/1), 5 – Creole Chrome (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Doublecents (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-1-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Dawn Dragon (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Easy Wind (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Winter Holiday (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Vaporetti (8/1), 1 – Gene And Jude (6/1), 3 – Intuitive Wisdom (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Restore (15/1), 7 – Natural Rights (20/1), 9 – Utopian (12/1), 5 – Free Advice (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-2-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-2-3-9-6-5-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Grade 3 Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Explora (3/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Movie Night (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – A Fine Chardonnay (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Conceit (7/2), 3 – Where Luck Lives (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – My Steel Magnolia (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Clairita (6/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Multiplication (6/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Goodbetterbest (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Caviar Breakfast (9/2), 7 – Next Up (10/1), 4 – Buttons And Lace (10/1), 11 – Sanctify (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Asteria (30/1), 9 – Run Camila Run (20/1), 12 – Icona (5/1), 1 – Flash Wear (30/1), 6 – More Galilady (15/1), 13 – R Katiebug (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-7-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-4-8-11-2-6-10-12-9-5-13-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Consequent (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – A. P.'s Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – In Total Awe (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Knickleandime (6/1), 2 – Answered Prayers (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Woodstock (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 9 – Beijing (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Great Moment (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Lifes Reward (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 14 – Mr. All In (9/2), 10 – Rocky Raccoon (15/1), 6 – Mizzou (10/1), 5 – King Of Heat (8/1), 11 – Harbor Prince (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Centerline (20/1), 12 – Roman Rogue (15/1), 4 – Boss' Deed (12/1), 7 – Tuxedo Park (20/1), 13 – Merited (8/1), 15 – Soho Jimmy (20/1), 8 – Hayburn's Case (20/1), 16 – A. P. Cloud (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-10-15-2-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-11-10-12-13-3-7-6-4-5-1-14-2-15-8-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #2, #14 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
| Race 1 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – She's On A Roll (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Altadena (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Roiling (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Social Scene (5/2), 7 – Butterfly Jasmine (6/1), 8 – Merry An (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – The Look (6/1), 3 – Kastria (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-8-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-2-4-1-7-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Vukota (4/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Midnight Rumble (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Frozenknife (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Industrious (9/2), 9 – Lutkenhaus (6/1), 1 – Koivun (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Shacklebolt (12/1), 7 – Reinforcement (15/1), 8 – Ritornello (20/1), 4 – Steve Wood (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-6-3-5-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-10-6-5-1-9-8-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Juneau (7/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Dance Like This (5/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Countthetrue (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dice Shot (9/2), 9 – Molly Mciver (8/1), 11 – Lily Isabella (8/1), 2 – Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Shays Gray (12/1), 3 – Ginger Money (20/1), 7 – Ardennes (20/1), 5 – Luna Toscana (15/1), 12 – Lady Biz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-8-1-6-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-12-3-4-9-2-1-10-8-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #10, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Firebird Suite (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Only After Midnite (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Ribadeo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Tiz Salty (3/1), 5 – My Sexy Blonde (8/1), 3 – Voluntold (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Pauline's Angel (15/1), 1 – Seek And Find (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-6-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-8-7-5-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Colortime (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Union Star (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Bermuda (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Ever Royal (8/1), 2 – Better Quality (8/1), 6 – Tchaikovsky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Dark Sky (15/1), 5 – Violent Reserve (15/1), 9 – Just For Pipa (12/1), 3 – Armando (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-8-10-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-2-7-5-1-8-4-6-9-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #8, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – American Man (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Gilded Bandit (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Stop The Car (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tagermeen (4/1), 5 – Creole Chrome (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Doublecents (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Winter Holiday (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Dawn Dragon (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Easy Wind (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gene And Jude (6/1), 8 – Vaporetti (8/1), 3 – Intuitive Wisdom (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Utopian (12/1), 10 – Restore (15/1), 5 – Free Advice (15/1), 7 – Natural Rights (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-4-2-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-2-3-9-6-5-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Grade 3 Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Explora (3/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Conceit (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Movie Night (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – A Fine Chardonnay (6/1), 3 – Where Luck Lives (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – My Steel Magnolia (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Goodbetterbest (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Caviar Breakfast (9/2) |
| Show: | 10 – Multiplication (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12 – Icona (5/1), 5 – Clairita (6/1), 7 – Next Up (10/1), 4 – Buttons And Lace (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Sanctify (15/1), 9 – Run Camila Run (20/1), 6 – More Galilady (15/1), 1 – Flash Wear (30/1), 2 – Asteria (30/1), 13 – R Katiebug (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-7-3-12 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-4-8-11-2-6-10-12-9-5-13-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #10, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Consequent (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – A. P.'s Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – In Total Awe (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Answered Prayers (5/1), 4 – Knickleandime (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Woodstock (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 9 – Beijing (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Great Moment (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Lifes Reward (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Mizzou (10/1), 14 – Mr. All In (9/2), 5 – King Of Heat (8/1), 4 – Boss' Deed (12/1), 11 – Harbor Prince (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Centerline (20/1), 10 – Rocky Raccoon (15/1), 7 – Tuxedo Park (20/1), 13 – Merited (8/1), 12 – Roman Rogue (15/1), 15 – Soho Jimmy (20/1), 8 – Hayburn's Case (20/1), 16 – A. P. Cloud (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-15-10-7-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-11-10-12-13-3-7-6-4-5-1-14-2-15-8-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Social Scene (5/2) 26% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 2 – She's On A Roll (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -42% |
| Show: | 1 – Roiling (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -37% |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Butterfly Jasmine (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 4 – Altadena (4/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -42%, 5 – The Look (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Merry An (15/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 3 – Kastria (30/1) 3% · fair 57-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-8-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-2-4-1-7-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Vukota (4/1) 21% · fair 7-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Midnight Rumble (7/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -34% |
| Show: | 3 – Frozenknife (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -36% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Industrious (9/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -42%, 9 – Lutkenhaus (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -34%, 2 – Shacklebolt (12/1) 8% · fair 25-2 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Koivun (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 7 – Reinforcement (15/1) 6% · fair 16-1, 8 – Ritornello (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -25%, 4 – Steve Wood (15/1) 3% · fair 57-2 underlay -48% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-6-3-5-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-10-6-5-1-9-8-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Juneau (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Place: | 8 – Dance Like This (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Show: | 10 – Countthetrue (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Lily Isabella (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 1 – Dice Shot (9/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -46%, 9 – Molly Mciver (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 6 – Shays Gray (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Princess Chanty (12/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -34%, 3 – Ginger Money (20/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -31%, 7 – Ardennes (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -34%, 5 – Luna Toscana (15/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -53%, 12 – Lady Biz (30/1) 3% · fair 71-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-8-1-6-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-12-3-4-9-2-1-10-8-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #10, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Firebird Suite (2/1) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -43% |
| Place: | 7 – Only After Midnite (9/2) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 8 – Tiz Salty (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -40% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Ribadeo (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -37%, 5 – My Sexy Blonde (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 3 – Voluntold (10/1) 9% · fair 19-2 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Pauline's Angel (15/1) 6% · fair 15-1, 1 – Seek And Find (20/1) 2% · fair 53-1 underlay -62% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-6-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-8-7-5-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Bermuda (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -28% |
| Place: | 4 – Union Star (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 1 – Colortime (5/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -52% |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Ever Royal (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 2 – Better Quality (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -31%, 6 – Tchaikovsky (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2 |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Violent Reserve (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 7 – Dark Sky (15/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 9 – Just For Pipa (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 3 – Armando (30/1) 2% · fair 125-2 underlay -52% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-1-10-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-2-7-5-1-8-4-6-9-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #1, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – American Man (9/5) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -55% |
| Place: | 3 – Stop The Car (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 1 – Gilded Bandit (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -33% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Creole Chrome (6/1) 17% · fair 5-1, 4 – Tagermeen (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Doublecents (12/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-3-1-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Dawn Dragon (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -44% |
| Place: | 6 – Easy Wind (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Show: | 2 – Winter Holiday (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43% |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Vaporetti (8/1) 14% · fair 13-2 overlay +27%, 1 – Gene And Jude (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 9 – Utopian (12/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Intuitive Wisdom (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 10 – Restore (15/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 5 – Free Advice (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -31%, 7 – Natural Rights (20/1) 4% · fair 49-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-4-2-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-2-3-9-6-5-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Grade 3 Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Explora (3/5) 35% · fair 2-1 underlay -67% |
| Place: | 4 – Conceit (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 5 – Movie Night (9/2) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Other contenders: | 6 – A Fine Chardonnay (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 3 – Where Luck Lives (12/1) 9% · fair 19-2 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – My Steel Magnolia (30/1) 3% · fair 31-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-4-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Caviar Breakfast (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Place: | 8 – Goodbetterbest (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% |
| Show: | 12 – Icona (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2 |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Clairita (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 10 – Multiplication (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 7 – Next Up (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 4 – Buttons And Lace (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Sanctify (15/1) 6% · fair 16-1, 9 – Run Camila Run (20/1) 4% · fair 23-1, 6 – More Galilady (15/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -43%, 13 – R Katiebug (30/1) 3% · fair 37-1, 1 – Flash Wear (30/1) 2% · fair 45-1 underlay -34%, 2 – Asteria (30/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -36% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-4-7-9-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-4-8-11-2-6-10-12-9-5-13-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #12, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Consequent (6/5) 33% · fair 2-1 underlay -40% |
| Place: | 5 – A. P.'s Girl (3/1) 21% · fair 7-2 |
| Show: | 6 – In Total Awe (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43% |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Answered Prayers (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 4 – Knickleandime (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Woodstock (20/1) 5% · fair 18-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 9 – Beijing (2/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -51% |
| Place: | 14 – Mr. All In (9/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -38% |
| Show: | 5 – King Of Heat (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Lifes Reward (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -40%, 1 – Great Moment (9/2) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -59%, 11 – Harbor Prince (12/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -28%, 6 – Mizzou (10/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -45%, 4 – Boss' Deed (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -38% |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Rocky Raccoon (15/1) 5% · fair 39-2, 13 – Merited (8/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -60%, 12 – Roman Rogue (15/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -32%, 3 – Centerline (20/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -37%, 7 – Tuxedo Park (20/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -43%, 15 – Soho Jimmy (20/1) 3% · fair 38-1 underlay -47%, 8 – Hayburn's Case (20/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -49%, 16 – A. P. Cloud (30/1) 1% · fair 116-1 underlay -74% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-15-10-7-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-11-10-12-13-3-7-6-4-5-1-14-2-15-8-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #14, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #2 over #4 ($1 straight; box #2-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #10 over #6 ($1 straight; box #10-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #10 ($1 straight; box #4-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #2 over #7 ($1 straight; box #2-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #7, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #8 over #1 ($1 straight; box #8-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #4, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #8 over #10 ($1 straight; box #8-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #3, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 10 | AI Exacta: #3 over #5 ($1 straight; box #3-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 11 | AI Exacta: #9 over #1 ($1 straight; box #9-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #9 over #1, #2, #14 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 9 | 1 – Flash Wear | 30/1 | — | 6.9% | +98.9% | 0.82% | $0.82 |
| 9 | 9 – Run Camila Run | 20/1 | — | 8.0% | +60.4% | 0.76% | $0.76 |
| 11 | 3 – Centerline | 20/1 | — | 7.5% | +50.9% | 0.64% | $0.64 |
| 3 | 12 – Lady Biz | 30/1 | — | 4.0% | +20.2% | 0.17% | $0.17 |
| 1 | 8 – Merry An | 15/1 | — | 7.7% | +20.0% | 0.33% | $0.33 |
| 11 | 7 – Tuxedo Park | 20/1 | — | 5.8% | +18.7% | 0.23% | $0.23 |
| 11 | 4 – Boss' Deed | 12/1 | — | 9.3% | +18.5% | 0.38% | $0.38 |
| 11 | 6 – Mizzou | 10/1 | — | 10.7% | +15.2% | 0.38% | $0.38 |
| 2 | 8 – Ritornello | 20/1 | — | 5.3% | +10.4% | 0.13% | $0.13 |
| 9 | 11 – Sanctify | 15/1 | — | 6.9% | +9.6% | 0.16% | $0.16 |
| TOTAL across 10 plays: | 4.0% | $4.01 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Altadena (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 - She's On A Roll (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Social Scene (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Butterfly Jasmine (6/1), 1 - Roiling (4/1), 5 - The Look (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Merry An (15/1), 3 - Kastria (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-8-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-2-4-1-7-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Koivun (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Shacklebolt (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Frozenknife (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Steve Wood (15/1), 5 - Industrious (9/2), 6 - Midnight Rumble (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Reinforcement (15/1), 8 - Ritornello (20/1), 9 - Lutkenhaus (6/1), 10 - Vukota (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-10-6-5-1-9-8-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Dice Shot (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 - Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Ginger Money (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Juneau (7/2), 5 - Luna Toscana (15/1), 6 - Shays Gray (12/1), 7 - Ardennes (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Dance Like This (5/1), 9 - Molly Mciver (8/1), 10 - Countthetrue (6/1), 11 - Lily Isabella (8/1), 12 - Lady Biz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-1-3-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-12-3-4-9-2-1-10-8-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Firebird Suite (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Only After Midnite (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Ribadeo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Tiz Salty (3/1), 5 - My Sexy Blonde (8/1), 3 - Voluntold (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Seek And Find (20/1), 6 - Pauline's Angel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-7-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-8-7-5-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Colortime (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 - Better Quality (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Armando (30/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Union Star (4/1), 5 - Violent Reserve (15/1), 6 - Tchaikovsky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Dark Sky (15/1), 8 - Bermuda (3/1), 9 - Just For Pipa (12/1), 10 - Ever Royal (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-2-7-5-1-8-4-6-9-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Gilded Bandit (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Tagermeen (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Stop The Car (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - American Man (9/5), 5 - Creole Chrome (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Doublecents (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-2-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Winter Holiday (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Dawn Dragon (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Intuitive Wisdom (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 - Utopian (12/1), 10 - Restore (15/1), 6 - Easy Wind (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Gene And Jude (6/1), 8 - Vaporetti (8/1), 5 - Free Advice (15/1), 7 - Natural Rights (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-8-10-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-2-3-9-6-5-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Grade 3 Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Explora (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 - A Fine Chardonnay (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Conceit (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Movie Night (9/2), 3 - Where Luck Lives (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - My Steel Magnolia (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000 | |
| Win: | 10 - Multiplication (6/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Clairita (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Caviar Breakfast (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Goodbetterbest (7/2), 11 - Sanctify (15/1), 4 - Buttons And Lace (10/1), 7 - Next Up (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 - Icona (5/1), 9 - Run Camila Run (20/1), 1 - Flash Wear (30/1), 2 - Asteria (30/1), 13 - R Katiebug (30/1), 6 - More Galilady (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-7-2-5-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-4-8-11-2-6-10-12-9-5-13-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Consequent (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 - A. P.'s Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 - In Total Awe (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Knickleandime (6/1), 2 - Answered Prayers (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Woodstock (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 9 - Beijing (2/1) |
| Place: | 14 - Mr. All In (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 - Great Moment (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Lifes Reward (6/1), 6 - Mizzou (10/1), 11 - Harbor Prince (12/1), 5 - King Of Heat (8/1), 4 - Boss' Deed (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 - Rocky Raccoon (15/1), 13 - Merited (8/1), 12 - Roman Rogue (15/1), 3 - Centerline (20/1), 7 - Tuxedo Park (20/1), 8 - Hayburn's Case (20/1), 15 - Soho Jimmy (20/1), 16 - A. P. Cloud (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-15-10-9-2-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-11-10-12-13-3-7-6-4-5-1-14-2-15-8-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #14, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Altadena (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 - She's On A Roll (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 - Butterfly Jasmine (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Roiling (4/1), 6 - Social Scene (5/2), 8 - Merry An (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - The Look (6/1), 3 - Kastria (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-4-8-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-2-4-1-7-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Koivun (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Shacklebolt (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Frozenknife (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Steve Wood (15/1), 5 - Industrious (9/2), 6 - Midnight Rumble (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Reinforcement (15/1), 8 - Ritornello (20/1), 9 - Lutkenhaus (6/1), 10 - Vukota (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-10-6-5-1-9-8-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Dice Shot (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 - Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Ginger Money (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Juneau (7/2), 5 - Luna Toscana (15/1), 6 - Shays Gray (12/1), 7 - Ardennes (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Dance Like This (5/1), 9 - Molly Mciver (8/1), 10 - Countthetrue (6/1), 11 - Lily Isabella (8/1), 12 - Lady Biz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-1-3-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-12-3-4-9-2-1-10-8-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $36,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Firebird Suite (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Only After Midnite (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Ribadeo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Tiz Salty (3/1), 3 - Voluntold (10/1), 5 - My Sexy Blonde (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Pauline's Angel (15/1), 1 - Seek And Find (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-7-2-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-8-7-5-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Colortime (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 - Better Quality (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Armando (30/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Union Star (4/1), 5 - Violent Reserve (15/1), 6 - Tchaikovsky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Dark Sky (15/1), 8 - Bermuda (3/1), 9 - Just For Pipa (12/1), 10 - Ever Royal (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-2-7-5-1-8-4-6-9-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - American Man (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Tagermeen (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Stop The Car (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Gilded Bandit (3/1), 5 - Creole Chrome (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Doublecents (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-3-1-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance · Purse $127,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Dawn Dragon (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Winter Holiday (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Easy Wind (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Vaporetti (8/1), 1 - Gene And Jude (6/1), 7 - Natural Rights (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 - Restore (15/1), 3 - Intuitive Wisdom (12/1), 9 - Utopian (12/1), 5 - Free Advice (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-8-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-2-3-9-6-5-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Grade 3 Stake · Purse $300,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Explora (3/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Conceit (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - A Fine Chardonnay (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Movie Night (9/2), 3 - Where Luck Lives (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - My Steel Magnolia (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-4-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $134,000 | |
| Win: | 8 - Goodbetterbest (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Caviar Breakfast (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Clairita (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 - Multiplication (6/1), 4 - Buttons And Lace (10/1), 12 - Icona (5/1), 7 - Next Up (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 - Sanctify (15/1), 2 - Asteria (30/1), 1 - Flash Wear (30/1), 9 - Run Camila Run (20/1), 6 - More Galilady (15/1), 13 - R Katiebug (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-2-7-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-4-8-11-2-6-10-12-9-5-13-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Consequent (6/5) |
| Place: | 6 - In Total Awe (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - A. P.'s Girl (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Answered Prayers (5/1), 4 - Knickleandime (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Woodstock (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 9 - Beijing (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Great Moment (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Lifes Reward (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 14 - Mr. All In (9/2), 6 - Mizzou (10/1), 4 - Boss' Deed (12/1), 5 - King Of Heat (8/1), 10 - Rocky Raccoon (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 - Harbor Prince (12/1), 3 - Centerline (20/1), 7 - Tuxedo Park (20/1), 12 - Roman Rogue (15/1), 13 - Merited (8/1), 15 - Soho Jimmy (20/1), 8 - Hayburn's Case (20/1), 16 - A. P. Cloud (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-10-15-2-1-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-11-10-12-13-3-7-6-4-5-1-14-2-15-8-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #2, #14 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #2,#7,#8 (59%) / R5: #8,#4,#1 (53%) / R6: #2,#3,#1 (58%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 18% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #2,#3,#1 (58%) / R7: #4,#6,#2 (45%) / R8: #1,#4,#5 (73%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #4,#6,#2 (45%) / R8: #1,#4,#5 (73%) / R9: #3,#8,#12 (42%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 14% |
| Pick 3 R8-10 | R8: #1,#4,#5 (73%) / R9: #3,#8,#12 (42%) / R10: #3,#5,#6 (69%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 4 R5-8 | R5: #8,#4,#1 (53%) / R6: #2,#3,#1 (58%) / R7: #4,#6,#2 (45%) / R8: #1,#4,#5 (73%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 10% |
| Pick 4 R7-10 | R7: #4,#6,#2 (45%) / R8: #1,#4,#5 (73%) / R9: #3,#8,#12 (42%) / R10: #3,#5,#6 (69%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 10% |
| A FINE CHARDONNAY | A. P. CLOUD | A. P.'S GIRL | ALTADENA | AMERICAN MAN |
| ARDENNES | ARMANDO | ASTERIA | BEIJING | BERMUDA |
| BOSS' DEED | BUTTERFLY JASMINE | BUTTONS AND LACE | CAVIAR BREAKFAST | CENTERLINE |
| COLORTIME | CONCEIT | CONSEQUENT | COUNTTHETRUE | CREOLE CHROME |
| DARK SKY | DAWN DRAGON | DICE SHOT | DOUBLECENTS | EASY WIND |
| EXPLORA | FIREBIRD SUITE | FLASH WEAR | FREE ADVICE | FROZENKNIFE |
| GILDED BANDIT | GINGER MONEY | GOODBETTERBEST | GREAT MOMENT | HARBOR PRINCE |
| ICONA | IN TOTAL AWE | INDUSTRIOUS | INTUITIVE WISDOM | JUNEAU |
| KASTRIA | KING OF HEAT | KNICKLEANDIME | KOIVUN | LADY BIZ |
| LILY ISABELLA | LUNA TOSCANA | LUTKENHAUS | MERITED | MERRY AN |
| MIZZOU | MOLLY MCIVER | MORE GALILADY | MOVIE NIGHT | MR. ALL IN |
| MY SEXY BLONDE | MY STEEL MAGNOLIA | NATURAL RIGHTS | NEXT UP | ONLY AFTER MIDNITE |
| PRINCESS CHANTY | R KATIEBUG | REINFORCEMENT | RESTORE | RIBADEO |
| ROCKY RACCOON | ROILING | ROMAN ROGUE | RUN CAMILA RUN | SANCTIFY |
| SHACKLEBOLT | SHAYS GRAY | SHE'S ON A ROLL | SOCIAL SCENE | SOHO JIMMY |
| STOP THE CAR | TAGERMEEN | TCHAIKOVSKY | THE LOOK | TIZ SALTY |
| UNION STAR | UTOPIAN | VAPORETTI | VIOLENT RESERVE | VOLUNTOLD |
| WHERE LUCK LIVES | WINTER HOLIDAY | WOODSTOCK |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
