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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – I'm Smoken Hot (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Lease Instead (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Icecream Ontheside (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Rosa's Miracle (3/1), 3 – Compromise (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bell Bottom Blues (6/1), 2 – Estrella Esmeral (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-4-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-2-4-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stay In Line (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Tequilaandtherapy (6/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Shop Till You Drop (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Smile Baby Smile (8/1), 4 – Baytown Butterfly (8/1), 6 – Clubhouse Bride (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Running Super (8/1), 3 – Knightwithlouis (10/1), 5 – Sexy Blue (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-2-9-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-2-3-9-8-6-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sugar Reign (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Springline (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Lady Ruth (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Isntsheloverly (5/1), 3 – Melba Montgomery (6/1), 7 – Hard Hearted (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Smokem Hot Girl (12/1), 2 – Darlin' Duchess (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-4-7-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-5-8-2-1-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Come Out Fighting (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Zombo Bombo (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Chasin Munny (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Windribbon (5/1), 4 – Swaggish (12/1), 2 – Kahuna Magic (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Magic Connection (8/1), 5 – Perfecto Amor (15/1), 6 – The Key Is Unity (20/1), 10 – Mandela Effect (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-9-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-4-5-2-9-1-6-10 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 9 – Birkin Girl (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Cat The Confidante (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Kintrigue (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Angelica Bay (8/1), 5 – Orange Thunder (12/1), 11 – Lanilla (12/1), 8 – Lil's Coffee (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Specialty (12/1), 4 – Rehearsal (6/1), 6 – Shining River (15/1), 7 – Intuitivebynature (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-1-8-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-10-5-11-2-9-6-4-8-7 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bowtie Boys (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Soi Ngern (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Mio Bambino (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Rhythem On Stage (7/2), 2 – Tee N Off (12/1), 9 – Spiritual Advisor (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – What A Gift (12/1), 4 – Fix It Quick (8/1), 3 – Tiggrrr Whitworth (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-5-2-9-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-9-6-5-2-3-8-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Syntax (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Miss Kona (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bessie Coleman (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Redheaded Reba (8/1), 4 – La Silenciosa (6/1), 8 – Miss Practical (8/1), 7 – The Loan Exchange (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Lady Gregory (12/1), 11 – Lady Gambita (12/1), 6 – Timekeeper's Charm (15/1), 2 – Baby Needs Shoes (20/1), 12 – Harney Lane (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-9-3-1-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-10-5-8-9-7-3-11-6-4-2-12 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 10 – Justivar (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Winika (8/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Zuraya (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Astronomically (8/1), 3 – Caves (12/1), 9 – Velvet Reign (4/1), 1 – Sunny Creed (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Greys Over Bays (12/1), 2 – Authentic Grace (15/1), 14 – Chef Kate (12/1), 5 – Storm Lady (10/1), 8 – Alyn's Girl (15/1), 7 – Medina Del Campo (12/1), 13 – Tonakitty (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 12-10-2-3-1-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-10-3-1-2-7-12-8-9-11-14-13 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – I'm Smoken Hot (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Rosa's Miracle (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Lease Instead (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Bell Bottom Blues (6/1), 4 – Icecream Ontheside (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Compromise (8/1), 2 – Estrella Esmeral (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-1-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-2-4-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stay In Line (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Shop Till You Drop (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Tequilaandtherapy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Baytown Butterfly (8/1), 6 – Clubhouse Bride (6/1), 5 – Sexy Blue (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Running Super (8/1), 3 – Knightwithlouis (10/1), 2 – Smile Baby Smile (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-9-4-6-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-2-3-9-8-6-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Springline (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Sugar Reign (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Melba Montgomery (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Isntsheloverly (5/1), 5 – Lady Ruth (7/2), 8 – Smokem Hot Girl (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Hard Hearted (20/1), 2 – Darlin' Duchess (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-4-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-5-8-2-1-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Zombo Bombo (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Come Out Fighting (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Chasin Munny (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Windribbon (5/1), 6 – The Key Is Unity (20/1), 7 – Magic Connection (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Swaggish (12/1), 2 – Kahuna Magic (12/1), 10 – Mandela Effect (20/1), 5 – Perfecto Amor (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-9-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-4-5-2-9-1-6-10 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Cat The Confidante (7/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Birkin Girl (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Angelica Bay (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Kintrigue (8/1), 4 – Rehearsal (6/1), 6 – Shining River (15/1), 5 – Orange Thunder (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Lil's Coffee (6/1), 10 – Specialty (12/1), 11 – Lanilla (12/1), 7 – Intuitivebynature (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-1-2-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-10-5-11-2-9-6-4-8-7 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bowtie Boys (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Rhythem On Stage (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Soi Ngern (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mio Bambino (5/1), 9 – Spiritual Advisor (12/1), 4 – Fix It Quick (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Tee N Off (12/1), 3 – Tiggrrr Whitworth (12/1), 8 – What A Gift (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-6-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-9-6-5-2-3-8-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Syntax (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Miss Kona (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bessie Coleman (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – La Silenciosa (6/1), 1 – Redheaded Reba (8/1), 8 – Miss Practical (8/1), 9 – Lady Gregory (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – The Loan Exchange (12/1), 2 – Baby Needs Shoes (20/1), 6 – Timekeeper's Charm (15/1), 11 – Lady Gambita (12/1), 12 – Harney Lane (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-3-9-4-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-10-5-8-9-7-3-11-6-4-2-12 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 10 – Justivar (7/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Velvet Reign (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Winika (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Zuraya (5/1), 6 – Astronomically (8/1), 3 – Caves (12/1), 12 – Greys Over Bays (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 14 – Chef Kate (12/1), 5 – Storm Lady (10/1), 8 – Alyn's Girl (15/1), 2 – Authentic Grace (15/1), 1 – Sunny Creed (12/1), 13 – Tonakitty (12/1), 7 – Medina Del Campo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-12-9-2-11-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-10-3-1-2-7-12-8-9-11-14-13 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 7 – I'm Smoken Hot (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Rosa's Miracle (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Lease Instead (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Bell Bottom Blues (6/1), 4 – Icecream Ontheside (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Compromise (8/1), 2 – Estrella Esmeral (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-3-2-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stay In Line (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Shop Till You Drop (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Tequilaandtherapy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Clubhouse Bride (6/1), 4 – Baytown Butterfly (8/1), 5 – Sexy Blue (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Running Super (8/1), 3 – Knightwithlouis (10/1), 2 – Smile Baby Smile (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-9-4-6-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-2-3-9-8-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #9, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Springline (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Sugar Reign (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Isntsheloverly (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Melba Montgomery (6/1), 5 – Lady Ruth (7/2), 8 – Smokem Hot Girl (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Hard Hearted (20/1), 2 – Darlin' Duchess (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-5-8-2-1-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Zombo Bombo (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Come Out Fighting (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Chasin Munny (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Windribbon (5/1), 6 – The Key Is Unity (20/1), 7 – Magic Connection (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Kahuna Magic (12/1), 4 – Swaggish (12/1), 10 – Mandela Effect (20/1), 5 – Perfecto Amor (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-9-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-8-7-4-5-2-9-1-6-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #9, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Cat The Confidante (7/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Birkin Girl (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Kintrigue (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Angelica Bay (8/1), 4 – Rehearsal (6/1), 10 – Specialty (12/1), 6 – Shining River (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Lil's Coffee (6/1), 5 – Orange Thunder (12/1), 11 – Lanilla (12/1), 7 – Intuitivebynature (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-10-1-2-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-1-10-5-11-2-9-6-4-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bowtie Boys (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Rhythem On Stage (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Soi Ngern (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mio Bambino (5/1), 9 – Spiritual Advisor (12/1), 4 – Fix It Quick (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Tee N Off (12/1), 3 – Tiggrrr Whitworth (12/1), 8 – What A Gift (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-6-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-9-6-5-2-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Syntax (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Miss Kona (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bessie Coleman (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – La Silenciosa (6/1), 1 – Redheaded Reba (8/1), 8 – Miss Practical (8/1), 9 – Lady Gregory (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – The Loan Exchange (12/1), 6 – Timekeeper's Charm (15/1), 2 – Baby Needs Shoes (20/1), 11 – Lady Gambita (12/1), 12 – Harney Lane (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-3-9-4-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-10-5-8-9-7-3-11-6-4-2-12 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 10 – Justivar (7/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Velvet Reign (4/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Zuraya (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Winika (8/1), 6 – Astronomically (8/1), 3 – Caves (12/1), 14 – Chef Kate (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Greys Over Bays (12/1), 5 – Storm Lady (10/1), 8 – Alyn's Girl (15/1), 2 – Authentic Grace (15/1), 13 – Tonakitty (12/1), 1 – Sunny Creed (12/1), 7 – Medina Del Campo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-12-9-11-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-10-3-1-2-7-12-8-9-11-14-13 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #9, #11, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 2 | 5 – Sexy Blue | 20/1 | 21.4% | +348.6% | 4.36% | $4.36 |
| 4 | 6 – The Key Is Unity | 20/1 | 21.4% | +348.6% | 4.36% | $4.36 |
| 3 | 7 – Hard Hearted | 20/1 | 6.9% | +44.1% | 0.55% | $0.55 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 9.3% | $9.27 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALYN'S GIRL | ANGELICA BAY | ASTRONOMICALLY | AUTHENTIC GRACE | BABY NEEDS SHOES |
| BELL BOTTOM BLUES | BESSIE COLEMAN | BIRKIN GIRL | BOWTIE BOYS | CAT THE CONFIDANTE |
| CHASIN MUNNY | CHEF KATE | CLUBHOUSE BRIDE | COME OUT FIGHTING | COMPROMISE |
| ESTRELLA ESMERAL | FIX IT QUICK | GREYS OVER BAYS | HARD HEARTED | HARNEY LANE |
| ICECREAM ONTHESIDE | INTUITIVEBYNATURE | ISNTSHELOVERLY | JUSTIVAR | KAHUNA MAGIC |
| KNIGHTWITHLOUIS | LA SILENCIOSA | LADY GAMBITA | LADY GREGORY | LADY RUTH |
| LEASE INSTEAD | LIL'S COFFEE | MAGIC CONNECTION | MANDELA EFFECT | MEDINA DEL CAMPO |
| MIO BAMBINO | MISS KONA | MISS PRACTICAL | ORANGE THUNDER | PERFECTO AMOR |
| REHEARSAL | RHYTHEM ON STAGE | ROSA'S MIRACLE | RUNNING SUPER | SEXY BLUE |
| SHOP TILL YOU DROP | SMILE BABY SMILE | SMOKEM HOT GIRL | SOI NGERN | SPECIALTY |
| SPRINGLINE | STAY IN LINE | STORM LADY | SUGAR REIGN | SUNNY CREED |
| SYNTAX | TEE N OFF | TEQUILAANDTHERAPY | THE KEY IS UNITY | THE LOAN EXCHANGE |
| TIMEKEEPER'S CHARM | TONAKITTY | VELVET REIGN | WHAT A GIFT | WINDRIBBON |
| ZOMBO BOMBO | ZURAYA |
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