AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied
Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.
| Track | Race | Model | New Top Pick | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DMR | 2 | Model Algo 1 | #6 – Keep Movin' On | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 2 | Model Algo 2 (Ensemble) | #1 – Big Juanito | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 2 | Model Algo 3 (Win Prob) | #1 – Big Juanito | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 2 | Model Weight set 2 | #6 – Keep Movin' On | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 2 | Model Weight set 3 | #1 – Big Juanito | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 4 | Model Algo 1 | #3 – Cagey Burglar | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 4 | Model Algo 2 (Ensemble) | #2 – Bowtie Boys | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 4 | Model Algo 3 (Win Prob) | #3 – Cagey Burglar | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 4 | Model Weight set 2 | #3 – Cagey Burglar | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 4 | Model Weight set 3 | #3 – Cagey Burglar | 1 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 8 | Model Algo 1 | #4 – Preclude | surface Turf → Dirt — off-track ranking applied; 2 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 8 | Model Weight set 2 | #4 – Preclude | surface Turf → Dirt — off-track ranking applied; 2 scratch(es) |
| DMR | 8 | Model Weight set 3 | #4 – Preclude | surface Turf → Dirt — off-track ranking applied; 2 scratch(es) |
Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:
- Trifecta play: DMR Race 2 — Tessuto (SCRATCHED)
- Trifecta play: DMR Race 4 — Mio Bambino (SCRATCHED)
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Bold Type (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Ala Sawab (6/5) |
| Show: | 2Cyprus Avenue (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Et Al (6/1), 5Bid (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Mystic Stay (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 612354 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 612534 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Tessuto (7/5) |
| Place: | 1Big Juanito (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Keep Movin' On (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Wizard Of Westwood (12/1), 3Leyas Candy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Bert's Prospect (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516324 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 542163 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Ocean Club (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Jet E Z (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Gallant Jack (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Franciscus (4/1), 5Forest Warrior (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Savvy Motive (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 643251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 634215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Mio Bambino (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Bowtie Boys (7/2) |
| Show: | 3Cagey Burglar (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Ballyhooligan (8/1), 6Lead Pipe Joe (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Chase N Ryan (8/1), 5Straight Buzzin (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 723461 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7641523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| Win: | 7Legal Heir (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Tees Touch (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Artic Power (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Hemet Gold (4/1), 2Chapter One (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Throwthefirstpunch (8/1), 3Sirnami (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745126 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7426315 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1He's Got Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Lucky Sniper (3/1) |
| Show: | 11Duke Of Orleans (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12Fine Irish Morning (4/1), 4Halninethousand (5/1), 10Low Tox (8/1), 8Wicked Spud (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3He's A Fighter (10/1), 9Tiger To You (12/1), 2Miguelito (8/1), 5Foregoneconclusion (20/1), 7Fire Chief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 161211410 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 110611912438257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #11, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Majestic Palisades (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Sogno Di Vino (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Keep Dancin Nick (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Keithing Thunder (6/1), 1The Gypsy Cowboy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Piper's Causeway (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 456231 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451263 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Preclude (7/2) |
| Place: | 3Chair's Coin (9/2) |
| Show: | 1Velvet Reign (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Silkie Sevei (5/1), 7Bourbon Story (8/1), 8Ronilla (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Cuban Flame (8/1), 9Banzai Betty (15/1), 2Tonakitty (8/1), 10Authentic Grace (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 436178 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48175396210 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Bold Type (8/5) 58% · fair 4-5 overlay +121% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Cyprus Avenue (5/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Et Al (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Ala Sawab (6/5) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -91%, 5Bid (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Mystic Stay (30/1) 0% · fair 541-2 underlay -89% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 612354 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 612534 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Tessuto (7/5) 37% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Big Juanito (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Keep Movin' On (5/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -66% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Leyas Candy (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 2Wizard Of Westwood (12/1) 10% · fair 17-2 overlay +39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Bert's Prospect (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 516324 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 542163 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Ocean Club (5/2) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Franciscus (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Gallant Jack (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Savvy Motive (8/1) 15% · fair 11-2 overlay +42%, 5Forest Warrior (5/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -67% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Jet E Z (3/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -81% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 632415 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 634215 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Mio Bambino (8/5) 40% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Cagey Burglar (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -26% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Bowtie Boys (7/2) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Chase N Ryan (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 6Lead Pipe Joe (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Straight Buzzin (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -34%, 4Ballyhooligan (8/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -53% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 723165 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 7641523 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Legal Heir (3/1) 30% · fair 5-2 overlay +26% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Artic Power (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Tees Touch (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -58% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Sirnami (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 1Hemet Gold (4/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -54% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Chapter One (12/1) 10% · fair 9-1 overlay +34%, 6Throwthefirstpunch (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 745136 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 7426315 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $17,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1He's Got Fire (5/2) 28% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Lucky Sniper (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -51% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 12Fine Irish Morning (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 11Duke Of Orleans (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -32%, 4Halninethousand (5/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -42%, 10Low Tox (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -40%, 9Tiger To You (12/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3He's A Fighter (10/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -60%, 8Wicked Spud (8/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -70%, 2Miguelito (8/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -78%, 5Foregoneconclusion (20/1) 1% · fair 69-1 underlay -71%, 7Fire Chief (30/1) 1% · fair 229-2 underlay -74% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 161211410 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 110611912438257 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #12, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Majestic Palisades (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Sogno Di Vino (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Keep Dancin Nick (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -35% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Keithing Thunder (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 1The Gypsy Cowboy (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Piper's Causeway (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 456321 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 451263 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $35,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Preclude (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Velvet Reign (6/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Silkie Sevei (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Chair's Coin (9/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -28%, 7Bourbon Story (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 8Ronilla (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Cuban Flame (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -42%, 2Tonakitty (8/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -66%, 9Banzai Betty (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 10Authentic Grace (20/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 461378 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 48175396210 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
Algo 1 (Weighted Rating) at Del Mar Racetrack — average winning payout
What a $2 win bet returned WHEN THE PICK WON. 280 graded races at Del Mar Racetrack, 2026-07-17 to 2026-11-08.
This is the size of a winning payout, not a measure of profit — a pick that wins less often at a longer price can average more per winner and still lose money over the month. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Average payout | Winners |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | $6.75 | 62 |
| Morning-line favourite | $5.37 | 73 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Bold Type (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Ala Sawab (6/5) |
| Show: | 2Cyprus Avenue (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Et Al (6/1), 5Bid (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Mystic Stay (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 612354 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 612534 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000 | |
| Win: | 5Tessuto (7/5) |
| Place: | 6Keep Movin' On (5/2) |
| Show: | 2Wizard Of Westwood (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Bert's Prospect (12/1), 3Leyas Candy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Big Juanito (3/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561324 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 542163 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Ocean Club (5/2) |
| Place: | 2Franciscus (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Gallant Jack (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Jet E Z (3/1), 1Savvy Motive (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Forest Warrior (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 643251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 634215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 7Mio Bambino (8/5) |
| Place: | 3Cagey Burglar (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Chase N Ryan (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Bowtie Boys (7/2), 6Lead Pipe Joe (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Ballyhooligan (8/1), 5Straight Buzzin (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 732164 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7641523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 7Legal Heir (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Tees Touch (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Artic Power (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Throwthefirstpunch (8/1), 1Hemet Gold (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Chapter One (12/1), 3Sirnami (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745163 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7426315 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 1He's Got Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 11Duke Of Orleans (5/1) |
| Show: | 4Halninethousand (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12Fine Irish Morning (4/1), 6Lucky Sniper (3/1), 10Low Tox (8/1), 2Miguelito (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3He's A Fighter (10/1), 9Tiger To You (12/1), 8Wicked Spud (8/1), 5Foregoneconclusion (20/1), 7Fire Chief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 161211410 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 110611912438257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #11, #4, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Majestic Palisades (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Sogno Di Vino (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Keep Dancin Nick (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Keithing Thunder (6/1), 1The Gypsy Cowboy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Piper's Causeway (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 456231 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451263 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 3Chair's Coin (9/2) |
| Place: | 4Preclude (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Velvet Reign (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Ronilla (8/1), 6Silkie Sevei (5/1), 7Bourbon Story (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tonakitty (8/1), 9Banzai Betty (15/1), 5Cuban Flame (8/1), 10Authentic Grace (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 431687 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48175396210 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #7 over #2 ($1 straight; box #7-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #7 over #4 ($1 straight; box #7-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #1 over #12 ($1 straight; box #1-#12 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #6, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Bold Type (8/5) |
| Place: | 3Et Al (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Ala Sawab (6/5) |
| Other contenders: | 5Bid (12/1), 2Cyprus Avenue (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Mystic Stay (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 163254 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 612534 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000 | |
| Win: | 5Tessuto (7/5) |
| Place: | 6Keep Movin' On (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Big Juanito (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Bert's Prospect (12/1), 3Leyas Candy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Wizard Of Westwood (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561342 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 542163 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Ocean Club (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Gallant Jack (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Franciscus (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Jet E Z (3/1), 5Forest Warrior (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Savvy Motive (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 643251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 634215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 7Mio Bambino (8/5) |
| Place: | 3Cagey Burglar (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Bowtie Boys (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Chase N Ryan (8/1), 5Straight Buzzin (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Lead Pipe Joe (8/1), 4Ballyhooligan (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 732156 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7641523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 7Legal Heir (3/1) |
| Place: | 3Sirnami (8/1) |
| Show: | 4Tees Touch (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Artic Power (4/1), 1Hemet Gold (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Throwthefirstpunch (8/1), 2Chapter One (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745136 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7426315 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 1He's Got Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 11Duke Of Orleans (5/1) |
| Show: | 4Halninethousand (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Lucky Sniper (3/1), 12Fine Irish Morning (4/1), 10Low Tox (8/1), 3He's A Fighter (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Tiger To You (12/1), 2Miguelito (8/1), 8Wicked Spud (8/1), 5Foregoneconclusion (20/1), 7Fire Chief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 161211410 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 110611912438257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #11, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Majestic Palisades (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Sogno Di Vino (5/2) |
| Show: | 1The Gypsy Cowboy (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Keep Dancin Nick (4/1), 2Keithing Thunder (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Piper's Causeway (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 456123 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451263 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 1Velvet Reign (6/1) |
| Place: | 6Silkie Sevei (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Chair's Coin (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8Ronilla (8/1), 4Preclude (7/2), 7Bourbon Story (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tonakitty (8/1), 5Cuban Flame (8/1), 9Banzai Betty (15/1), 10Authentic Grace (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 436187 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48175396210 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Bold Type (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Cyprus Avenue (5/1) |
| Show: | 1Ala Sawab (6/5) |
| Other contenders: | 3Et Al (6/1), 5Bid (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Mystic Stay (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 612354 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 612534 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000 | |
| Win: | 5Tessuto (7/5) |
| Place: | 1Big Juanito (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Wizard Of Westwood (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Keep Movin' On (5/2), 3Leyas Candy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Bert's Prospect (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516324 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 542163 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Ocean Club (5/2) |
| Place: | 2Franciscus (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Gallant Jack (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Savvy Motive (8/1), 4Jet E Z (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Forest Warrior (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 634251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 634215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 7Mio Bambino (8/5) |
| Place: | 3Cagey Burglar (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Chase N Ryan (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Bowtie Boys (7/2), 4Ballyhooligan (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Straight Buzzin (8/1), 6Lead Pipe Joe (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 732145 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7641523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 7Legal Heir (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Tees Touch (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Hemet Gold (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Artic Power (4/1), 3Sirnami (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Throwthefirstpunch (8/1), 2Chapter One (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 741536 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7426315 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 1He's Got Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Lucky Sniper (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Halninethousand (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11Duke Of Orleans (5/1), 12Fine Irish Morning (4/1), 10Low Tox (8/1), 3He's A Fighter (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Miguelito (8/1), 9Tiger To You (12/1), 8Wicked Spud (8/1), 5Foregoneconclusion (20/1), 7Fire Chief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 161241110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 110611912438257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Majestic Palisades (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Sogno Di Vino (5/2) |
| Show: | 1The Gypsy Cowboy (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Keep Dancin Nick (4/1), 2Keithing Thunder (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Piper's Causeway (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 456321 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451263 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 1Velvet Reign (6/1) |
| Place: | 3Chair's Coin (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Preclude (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Silkie Sevei (5/1), 7Bourbon Story (8/1), 8Ronilla (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tonakitty (8/1), 5Cuban Flame (8/1), 10Authentic Grace (20/1), 9Banzai Betty (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 431678 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 48175396210 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #6,#2 (78%) / R2: #5,#1,#6 (70%) / R3: #6,#2,#3 (73%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 39% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #5,#1,#6 (70%) / R3: #6,#2,#3 (73%) / R4: #7,#3,#2 (70%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 36% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #6,#2,#3 (73%) / R4: #7,#3,#2 (70%) / R5: #7,#5,#4 (59%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #7,#3,#2 (70%) / R5: #7,#5,#4 (59%) / R6: #1,#6,#12 (54%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 23% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #6,#2 (78%) / R2: #5,#1,#6 (70%) / R3: #6,#2,#3 (73%) / R4: #7,#3,#2 (70%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #5,#1,#6 (70%) / R3: #6,#2,#3 (73%) / R4: #7,#3,#2 (70%) / R5: #7,#5,#4 (59%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALA SAWAB | ARTIC POWER | AUTHENTIC GRACE | BALLYHOOLIGAN | BANZAI BETTY |
| BID | BIG JUANITO | BOLD TYPE | BOURBON STORY | BOWTIE BOYS |
| CHAIR'S COIN | CHAPTER ONE | CHASE N RYAN | CUBAN FLAME | CYPRUS AVENUE |
| ET AL | FINE IRISH MORNING | FIRE CHIEF | FOREGONECONCLUSION | FOREST WARRIOR |
| GALLANT JACK | HALNINETHOUSAND | HE'S A FIGHTER | HE'S GOT FIRE | HEMET GOLD |
| KEEP DANCIN NICK | KEEP MOVIN' ON | KEITHING THUNDER | LEAD PIPE JOE | LEGAL HEIR |
| LOW TOX | LUCKY SNIPER | MAJESTIC PALISADES | MIGUELITO | MIO BAMBINO |
| OCEAN CLUB | PIPER'S CAUSEWAY | PRECLUDE | RONILLA | SAVVY MOTIVE |
| SIRNAMI | SOGNO DI VINO | STRAIGHT BUZZIN | TEES TOUCH | TESSUTO |
| THROWTHEFIRSTPUNCH | TIGER TO YOU | TONAKITTY | VELVET REIGN | WICKED SPUD |
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