Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Delta Downs — in-the-money rate
How often the pick finished first, second or third — not how often it won. 143 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-11-07.
In-the-money rate, same races for both. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 62.2% | 143 |
| Morning-line favourite | 58.0% | 143 |
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Severus Squall (5/2) |
| Place: | 4He's Ready To Win (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Daat (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Jackson's Speaker (9/2), 8El Gansito (6/1), 6Heath's Soldier (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Stormcatholic Spot (20/1), 5Make Me A Deal (20/1), 2Red Power (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 749186 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 749156238 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Wannabeeloved (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Woods N Water (4/1) |
| Show: | 10Quaternion (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Robbiesstormangel (8/1), 8Traitour (10/1), 2Razor Crest (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Midnight Rules (12/1), 5Cavanal (15/1), 9Little Warrior (20/1), 4Kee Jee (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6110728 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67381210549 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #10, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Princess Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 7Married For Money (7/2) |
| Show: | 2R T's Cajun Star (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Lady Ella (6/1), 10Kisses For Cooper (8/1), 9She's By My Side (10/1), 11Rockaby Baby (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Frisee (12/1), 3Dreamchaser Jewels (10/1), 1Candy Girl Miss (20/1), 4Go North Boss (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 57281011 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5721068193114 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 8Mucino (7/5) |
| Place: | 3Guns (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Field Study (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Zavala (8/1), 1Jeffrow (8/1), 9Three Echoes (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Coattails (12/1), 6I'm Your Man (15/1), 5Backfire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 832719 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 893476152 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Olympiad's Choice (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Alakazam (6/1) |
| Show: | 7Miss T (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3My Sweet Caroline (6/1), 1Leo's Chic (5/1), 9Shirley Our Joy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Warmhearted Lady (10/1), 8Saratoga Speak (15/1), 2Prollydid (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 675319 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 675314928 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $28,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Snazzy Gal (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Dolly's Guitar (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Crusin Like A Cat (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Two Jet (6/1), 7Charge The Deal (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Call Me Susan (8/1), 4One Line Ruler (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 563712 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5621374 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Iron In The Fire (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Mi Solution (2/1) |
| Show: | 3Native Star (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Yockey's Drivethru (9/2), 4Home Visit (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7San Juan Hill (10/1), 6My Dad's Guitar (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 253147 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2735416 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Sassi Royal (2/1) |
| Place: | 8Greatizlove (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Hadean Star (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Catalina Classic (10/1), 9Riddick (5/1), 3Cadillac Bo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Cabanabobanna (6/1), 7Texano Hero (20/1), 5Auston Got Even (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 682941 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 648237915 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Delta Downs — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 138 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-11-07.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 33.3% | 138 |
| Morning-line favourite | 29.7% | 138 |
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Severus Squall (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 9Jackson's Speaker (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Daat (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4He's Ready To Win (7/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -46%, 6Heath's Soldier (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -30%, 8El Gansito (6/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -53% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Red Power (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -39%, 3Stormcatholic Spot (20/1) 5% · fair 21-1, 5Make Me A Deal (20/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -37% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 794186 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 749156238 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #9, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Wannabeeloved (9/5) 29% · fair 5-2 underlay -25% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Woods N Water (4/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 10Quaternion (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Robbiesstormangel (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -26%, 8Traitour (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 3Midnight Rules (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Razor Crest (8/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -48%, 5Cavanal (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -29%, 9Little Warrior (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -35%, 4Kee Jee (20/1) 2% · fair 115-2 underlay -65% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6110728 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 67381210549 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #10, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Princess Peach (5/2) 31% · fair 2-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2R T's Cajun Star (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Married For Money (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -33% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 8Lady Ella (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -35%, 9She's By My Side (10/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -30%, 10Kisses For Cooper (8/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -62%, 1Candy Girl Miss (20/1) 4% · fair 55-2 underlay -27% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Frisee (12/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -58%, 3Dreamchaser Jewels (10/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -66%, 11Rockaby Baby (6/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -81%, 4Go North Boss (20/1) 2% · fair 49-1 underlay -59% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 57281110 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 5721068193114 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Mucino (7/5) 41% · fair 3-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Guns (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Field Study (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Zavala (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%, 1Jeffrow (8/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -51%, 9Three Echoes (12/1) 4% · fair 21-1 underlay -43% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Coattails (12/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -46%, 6I'm Your Man (15/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -49%, 5Backfire (20/1) 2% · fair 81-2 underlay -51% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 832719 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 893476152 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Olympiad's Choice (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Alakazam (6/1) 20% · fair 4-1 overlay +47% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Leo's Chic (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3My Sweet Caroline (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%, 7Miss T (7/2) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -63%, 4Warmhearted Lady (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 9Shirley Our Joy (12/1) 8% · fair 25-2, 8Saratoga Speak (15/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -48%, 2Prollydid (15/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -51% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 651734 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 675314928 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $28,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Snazzy Gal (2/1) 31% · fair 5-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Dolly's Guitar (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -27% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Two Jet (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Crusin Like A Cat (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 7Charge The Deal (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -40% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Call Me Susan (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -40%, 4One Line Ruler (15/1) 6% · fair 16-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 563172 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 5621374 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Iron In The Fire (3/1) 27% · fair 3-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Home Visit (5/1) 21% · fair 4-1 overlay +32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Native Star (6/1) 18% · fair 9-2 overlay +29% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Yockey's Drivethru (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2, 5Mi Solution (2/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -74% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 7San Juan Hill (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -39%, 6My Dad's Guitar (12/1) 2% · fair 111-2 underlay -78% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 254137 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 2735416 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Sassi Royal (2/1) 44% · fair 3-2 overlay +58% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 8Greatizlove (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -50% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Hadean Star (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Catalina Classic (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 9Riddick (5/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -64%, 1Cabanabobanna (6/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -65% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Cadillac Bo (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -48%, 7Texano Hero (20/1) 4% · fair 25-1, 5Auston Got Even (20/1) 1% · fair 73-1 underlay -73% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 682914 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 648237915 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 7Severus Squall (5/2) |
| Place: | 9Jackson's Speaker (9/2) |
| Show: | 1Daat (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4He's Ready To Win (7/2), 6Heath's Soldier (8/1), 8El Gansito (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Red Power (12/1), 5Make Me A Deal (20/1), 3Stormcatholic Spot (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 749186 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 749156238 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #9, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 6Wannabeeloved (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Woods N Water (4/1) |
| Show: | 8Traitour (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Quaternion (5/1), 7Robbiesstormangel (8/1), 3Midnight Rules (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Razor Crest (8/1), 5Cavanal (15/1), 4Kee Jee (20/1), 9Little Warrior (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6110872 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67381210549 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 5Princess Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 2R T's Cajun Star (5/1) |
| Show: | 8Lady Ella (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Married For Money (7/2), 9She's By My Side (10/1), 10Kisses For Cooper (8/1), 11Rockaby Baby (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Dreamchaser Jewels (10/1), 6Frisee (12/1), 1Candy Girl Miss (20/1), 4Go North Boss (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 57281110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5721068193114 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 8Mucino (7/5) |
| Place: | 3Guns (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Field Study (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Zavala (8/1), 1Jeffrow (8/1), 9Three Echoes (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Coattails (12/1), 6I'm Your Man (15/1), 5Backfire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 832719 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 893476152 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| Win: | 6Olympiad's Choice (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Alakazam (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Leo's Chic (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Miss T (7/2), 3My Sweet Caroline (6/1), 4Warmhearted Lady (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Shirley Our Joy (12/1), 2Prollydid (15/1), 8Saratoga Speak (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 675134 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 675314928 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 5Snazzy Gal (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Dolly's Guitar (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Two Jet (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Charge The Deal (5/1), 3Crusin Like A Cat (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2Call Me Susan (8/1), 4One Line Ruler (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561372 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5621374 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 3Native Star (6/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 2Iron In The Fire (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Mi Solution (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Yockey's Drivethru (9/2), 4Home Visit (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7San Juan Hill (10/1), 6My Dad's Guitar (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 521347 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2735416 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 6Sassi Royal (2/1) |
| Place: | 8Greatizlove (7/2) |
| Show: | 4Catalina Classic (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Hadean Star (6/1), 9Riddick (5/1), 3Cadillac Bo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Cabanabobanna (6/1), 7Texano Hero (20/1), 5Auston Got Even (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 682914 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 648237915 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #7 over #9 ($1 straight; box #7-#9 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #7, #4, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #3, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #5 over #2 ($1 straight; box #5-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #8, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #8 over #3 ($1 straight; box #8-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #2 over #5 ($1 straight; box #2-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #2, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #6 over #8 ($1 straight; box #6-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.40 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 4Catalina Classic | 10/1 | — | 10.2% | +12.7% | 0.32% | $0.32 |
| 2 | 3Midnight Rules | 12/1 | — | 8.2% | +6.7% | 0.14% | $0.14 |
| TOTAL across 2 plays: | 0.5% | $0.46 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 1Daat (5/1) |
| Place: | 7Severus Squall (5/2) |
| Show: | 4He's Ready To Win (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9Jackson's Speaker (9/2), 8El Gansito (6/1), 6Heath's Soldier (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Red Power (12/1), 5Make Me A Deal (20/1), 3Stormcatholic Spot (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 749186 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 749156238 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 6Wannabeeloved (9/5) |
| Place: | 3Midnight Rules (12/1) |
| Show: | 1Woods N Water (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Quaternion (5/1), 7Robbiesstormangel (8/1), 8Traitour (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Razor Crest (8/1), 5Cavanal (15/1), 4Kee Jee (20/1), 9Little Warrior (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6110372 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67381210549 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 5Princess Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 2R T's Cajun Star (5/1) |
| Show: | 8Lady Ella (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Married For Money (7/2), 10Kisses For Cooper (8/1), 11Rockaby Baby (6/1), 9She's By My Side (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Candy Girl Miss (20/1), 3Dreamchaser Jewels (10/1), 4Go North Boss (20/1), 6Frisee (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 57281110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5721068193114 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 8Mucino (7/5) |
| Place: | 3Guns (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Field Study (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Jeffrow (8/1), 7Zavala (8/1), 6I'm Your Man (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Coattails (12/1), 9Three Echoes (12/1), 5Backfire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 832174 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 893476152 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| Win: | 6Olympiad's Choice (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Alakazam (6/1) |
| Show: | 7Miss T (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Leo's Chic (5/1), 3My Sweet Caroline (6/1), 4Warmhearted Lady (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Shirley Our Joy (12/1), 8Saratoga Speak (15/1), 2Prollydid (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 675134 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 675314928 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 5Snazzy Gal (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Two Jet (6/1) |
| Show: | 2Call Me Susan (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Dolly's Guitar (3/1), 7Charge The Deal (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Crusin Like A Cat (9/2), 4One Line Ruler (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561732 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5621374 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 5Mi Solution (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Native Star (6/1) |
| Show: | 2Iron In The Fire (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Yockey's Drivethru (9/2), 7San Juan Hill (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Home Visit (5/1), 6My Dad's Guitar (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 523147 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2735416 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 6Sassi Royal (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Catalina Classic (10/1) |
| Show: | 8Greatizlove (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Cadillac Bo (12/1), 2Hadean Star (6/1), 9Riddick (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Texano Hero (20/1), 1Cabanabobanna (6/1), 5Auston Got Even (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 689421 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 648237915 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 1Daat (5/1) |
| Place: | 7Severus Squall (5/2) |
| Show: | 4He's Ready To Win (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9Jackson's Speaker (9/2), 6Heath's Soldier (8/1), 8El Gansito (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Red Power (12/1), 3Stormcatholic Spot (20/1), 5Make Me A Deal (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 741986 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 749156238 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 6Wannabeeloved (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Woods N Water (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Midnight Rules (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Quaternion (5/1), 8Traitour (10/1), 2Razor Crest (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Robbiesstormangel (8/1), 5Cavanal (15/1), 4Kee Jee (20/1), 9Little Warrior (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6110278 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67381210549 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #3, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 5Princess Peach (5/2) |
| Place: | 8Lady Ella (6/1) |
| Show: | 7Married For Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2R T's Cajun Star (5/1), 10Kisses For Cooper (8/1), 3Dreamchaser Jewels (10/1), 9She's By My Side (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Rockaby Baby (6/1), 1Candy Girl Miss (20/1), 6Frisee (12/1), 4Go North Boss (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 57281011 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5721068193114 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 8Mucino (7/5) |
| Place: | 3Guns (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Field Study (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Jeffrow (8/1), 7Zavala (8/1), 9Three Echoes (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6I'm Your Man (15/1), 4Coattails (12/1), 5Backfire (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 832179 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 893476152 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| Win: | 6Olympiad's Choice (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Alakazam (6/1) |
| Show: | 1Leo's Chic (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Miss T (7/2), 3My Sweet Caroline (6/1), 4Warmhearted Lady (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Shirley Our Joy (12/1), 2Prollydid (15/1), 8Saratoga Speak (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 657134 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 675314928 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 5Snazzy Gal (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Dolly's Guitar (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Two Jet (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Crusin Like A Cat (9/2), 2Call Me Susan (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Charge The Deal (5/1), 4One Line Ruler (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 563172 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5621374 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 3Native Star (6/1) |
| Place: | 2Iron In The Fire (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Yockey's Drivethru (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Mi Solution (2/1), 4Home Visit (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7San Juan Hill (10/1), 6My Dad's Guitar (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 521347 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2735416 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 8 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 6Sassi Royal (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Hadean Star (6/1) |
| Show: | 4Catalina Classic (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Greatizlove (7/2), 3Cadillac Bo (12/1), 9Riddick (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Cabanabobanna (6/1), 7Texano Hero (20/1), 5Auston Got Even (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 682941 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 648237915 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #6,#1,#10 (63%) / R3: #5,#2,#7 (64%) / R4: #8,#3,#2 (71%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#2,#7 (64%) / R4: #8,#3,#2 (71%) / R5: #6,#5,#1 (56%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #8,#3,#2 (71%) / R5: #6,#5,#1 (56%) / R6: #5,#6,#1 (64%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #5,#6,#1 (64%) / R7: #2,#4,#3 (65%) / R8: #6,#8,#2 (68%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #7,#9,#1 (59%) / R2: #6,#1,#10 (63%) / R3: #5,#2,#7 (64%) / R4: #8,#3,#2 (71%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
| Pick 4 R4-7 | R4: #8,#3,#2 (71%) / R5: #6,#5,#1 (56%) / R6: #5,#6,#1 (64%) / R7: #2,#4,#3 (65%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALAKAZAM | AUSTON GOT EVEN | BACKFIRE | CABANABOBANNA | CADILLAC BO |
| CANDY GIRL MISS | CATALINA CLASSIC | CAVANAL | CHARGE THE DEAL | COATTAILS |
| DAAT | DOLLY'S GUITAR | DREAMCHASER JEWELS | EL GANSITO | FIELD STUDY |
| GO NORTH BOSS | GREATIZLOVE | GUNS | HADEAN STAR | HE'S READY TO WIN |
| HOME VISIT | I'M YOUR MAN | IRON IN THE FIRE | JACKSON'S SPEAKER | JEFFROW |
| KISSES FOR COOPER | LADY ELLA | LEO'S CHIC | LITTLE WARRIOR | MAKE ME A DEAL |
| MI SOLUTION | MIDNIGHT RULES | MISS T | MUCINO | MY DAD'S GUITAR |
| NATIVE STAR | OLYMPIAD'S CHOICE | ONE LINE RULER | PRINCESS PEACH | PROLLYDID |
| R T'S CAJUN STAR | RAZOR CREST | RED POWER | RIDDICK | ROBBIESSTORMANGEL |
| SAN JUAN HILL | SARATOGA SPEAK | SASSI ROYAL | SEVERUS SQUALL | SHE'S BY MY SIDE |
| SNAZZY GAL | STORMCATHOLIC SPOT | TEXANO HERO | THREE ECHOES | TRAITOUR |
| WANNABEELOVED | WARMHEARTED LADY | WOODS N WATER | YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU | ZAVALA |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
