Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Delta Downs, November 14, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 9 – Sister Ella (8/1)
Place: 2 – Wings Of A Sparrow (5/1)
Show: 12 – Nownowdancer (15/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Hittin My Stride (2/1), 10 – Saucy Gem (10/1), 6 – Too Spicy (15/1), 4 – Destiny’S Grace (7/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 2 – Miss Dealority (5/2)
Place: 3 – Ground Control (4/1)
Show: 4 – Warrior’S Justice (8/5)
Other contenders: 1 – Rusty’S Sunrise (8/1), 6 – Island Gold (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – Minimus Maximus (10/1)
Place: 2 – He’S Exaggerating (5/1)
Show: 3 – Money Drop (20/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Alotlikechocolate (20/1), 5 – All Lake (8/1), 6 – Scar Ship (2/1), 7 – Lee Street (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Miss Target (2/1)
Place: 1 – Perceptive (7/2)
Show: 5 – Kerrigan’S Touch (3/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Beulah K (5/1), 2 – Craftroom (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Glistening Gal (9/2)
Place: 7 – Runtolive (6/1)
Show: 5 – New Destiny (7/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Basile (8/1), 1 – Lassie Bee (12/1), 3 – Swamp Queen (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 4 – Everloving (9/5)
Place: 9 – No Map Needed (8/1)
Show: 10 – Walkinaftermidnite (5/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Easy For Me (3/1), 6 – Miss Leona (12/1), 1 – Littlebitofaqueen (20/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 7 – Chad’S Flash (12/1)
Place: 8 – Pitch And Run (6/1)
Show: 1 – Dewclaw (9/2)
Other contenders: 3 – The Thimble (10/1), 6 – Big Tap Baby (3/1), 2 – Native Star (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – American Xperiment (3/1)
Place: 6 – Hap Hot (5/2)
Show: 4 – American Know How (5/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Tussling Charlie (8/1), 3 – Doctored Deal (20/1), 8 – Perfect Edge (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 4 – The Monopoly Man (7/2)
Place: 2 – Angelic Knight (8/1)
Show: 7 – Eligio (20/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Silent Breeze (9/2), 1 – Concentration (6/1), 6 – King’S Lute (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 9 – Sister Ella (8/1)
Place: 2 – Wings Of A Sparrow (5/1)
Show: 12 – Nownowdancer (15/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Hittin My Stride (2/1), 10 – Saucy Gem (10/1), 4 – Destiny’S Grace (7/2), 6 – Too Spicy (15/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 2 – Miss Dealority (5/2)
Place: 3 – Ground Control (4/1)
Show: 4 – Warrior’S Justice (8/5)
Other contenders: 1 – Rusty’S Sunrise (8/1), 6 – Island Gold (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – Minimus Maximus (10/1)
Place: 2 – He’S Exaggerating (5/1)
Show: 3 – Money Drop (20/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Alotlikechocolate (20/1), 5 – All Lake (8/1), 6 – Scar Ship (2/1), 7 – Lee Street (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Miss Target (2/1)
Place: 1 – Perceptive (7/2)
Show: 5 – Kerrigan’S Touch (3/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Beulah K (5/1), 2 – Craftroom (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Glistening Gal (9/2)
Place: 7 – Runtolive (6/1)
Show: 5 – New Destiny (7/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Basile (8/1), 3 – Swamp Queen (10/1), 1 – Lassie Bee (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 4 – Everloving (9/5)
Place: 9 – No Map Needed (8/1)
Show: 10 – Walkinaftermidnite (5/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Easy For Me (3/1), 6 – Miss Leona (12/1), 3 – Gimme It All (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 7 – Chad’S Flash (12/1)
Place: 8 – Pitch And Run (6/1)
Show: 1 – Dewclaw (9/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Big Tap Baby (3/1), 3 – The Thimble (10/1), 2 – Native Star (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – American Xperiment (3/1)
Place: 4 – American Know How (5/1)
Show: 6 – Hap Hot (5/2)
Other contenders: 9 – Tussling Charlie (8/1), 2 – Grand Academic (8/1), 3 – Doctored Deal (20/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Angelic Knight (8/1)
Place: 4 – The Monopoly Man (7/2)
Show: 1 – Concentration (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Silent Breeze (9/2), 7 – Eligio (20/1), 6 – King’S Lute (15/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 9 – Sister Ella (8/1)
Place: 2 – Wings Of A Sparrow (5/1)
Show: 12 – Nownowdancer (15/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Saucy Gem (10/1), 4 – Destiny’S Grace (7/2), 5 – Hittin My Stride (2/1), 3 – Takeittothehouse (6/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 2 – Miss Dealority (5/2)
Place: 3 – Ground Control (4/1)
Show: 4 – Warrior’S Justice (8/5)
Other contenders: 1 – Rusty’S Sunrise (8/1), 6 – Island Gold (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – Minimus Maximus (10/1)
Place: 2 – He’S Exaggerating (5/1)
Show: 3 – Money Drop (20/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Alotlikechocolate (20/1), 5 – All Lake (8/1), 6 – Scar Ship (2/1), 7 – Lee Street (8/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Miss Target (2/1)
Place: 1 – Perceptive (7/2)
Show: 5 – Kerrigan’S Touch (3/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Beulah K (5/1), 2 – Craftroom (8/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Glistening Gal (9/2)
Place: 7 – Runtolive (6/1)
Show: 5 – New Destiny (7/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Basile (8/1), 8 – Pasila (9/5), 3 – Swamp Queen (10/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 4 – Everloving (9/5)
Place: 9 – No Map Needed (8/1)
Show: 7 – Easy For Me (3/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Walkinaftermidnite (5/1), 1 – Littlebitofaqueen (20/1), 6 – Miss Leona (12/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 7 – Chad’S Flash (12/1)
Place: 8 – Pitch And Run (6/1)
Show: 1 – Dewclaw (9/2)
Other contenders: 3 – The Thimble (10/1), 6 – Big Tap Baby (3/1), 2 – Native Star (8/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – American Xperiment (3/1)
Place: 2 – Grand Academic (8/1)
Show: 3 – Doctored Deal (20/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Tussling Charlie (8/1), 5 – Fiesty Fist (10/1), 4 – American Know How (5/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 4 – The Monopoly Man (7/2)
Place: 2 – Angelic Knight (8/1)
Show: 1 – Concentration (6/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Silent Breeze (9/2), 7 – Eligio (20/1), 9 – Metallic Mischief (5/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

AGAMI ALL LAKE ALOTLIKECHOCOLATE AMERICAN KNOW HOW AMERICAN XPERIMENT
BASILE BEULAH K BIG TAP BABY CHAD’S FLASH CONCENTRATION
DESTINY’S GRACE DEWCLAW DIRTY DEAL DOCTORED DEAL DR. DEAN
ELIGIO EVERLOVING FIESTY FIST FLYING I FOREIGN TOURIST
GARY P GIMME IT ALL GLISTENING GAL GRACEFUL STAR GRAND ACADEMIC
HAP HOT HE’S EXAGGERATING HE’S THEREALDEAL HITTIN MY STRIDE ISLAND GOLD
KING’S LUTE LACIS JEWEL LASSIE BEE LEE STREET LIGHTENING MO
MARTIN’S MO TOM MAX IS G MONEY METALLIC MISCHIEF MINIMUS MAXIMUS MISS DEALORITY
MISS TARGET MISSHEARTBREAKER MONEY DROP NATIVE STAR NEW DESTINY
NOWNOWDANCER PASILA PERCEPTIVE PERFECT EDGE PITCH AND RUN
RUSTY’S SUNRISE SAINT ISABEL SAUCY GEM SCAR SHIP SIGNORA VITTORIA
SILVER SCREEN SISSUE SISTER ELLA STRONG EAGLE SWAMP QUEEN
TAKEOVER FIFTYFOUR THE MONOPOLY MAN THE THIMBLE THOUSAND ANGELS TOO SPICY
WALKINAFTERMIDNITE WARRIOR’S JUSTICE WINGS OF A SPARROW

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