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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Delta Downs — win rate vs the experts
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 42 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-28.
The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 31.0% | 42 |
| Expert consensus pick | 26.2% | 42 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 9Madoria (5/2) |
| Place: | 6The Get Out (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Liberty Simone (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2North Lake Kate (9/2), 5Little Miss Jess (8/1), 10Flora Bound (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Mediator (15/1), 4Saucy Diem (20/1), 8Just Sailing Along (10/1), 7Nayakim (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9612510 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96531102847 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Mika Ella Pika (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Tensas Lu Lu (9/2) |
| Show: | 11Lee Circle (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Miss Super Mo (8/1), 5Boohaki (8/1), 9Allons Betta Lee (5/1), 1What's Love (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Pot's Paycheck (10/1), 3Wickedly Royal (15/1), 4Basile (12/1), 6My Other Half (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 21179110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1011578243916 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #11, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Dirty Deal (4/1) |
| Place: | 4Guitar Man (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Minimus Maximus (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Truvy's T Rex (9/2), 11Making Noise (8/1), 10Catalina Classic (10/1), 8Ray Mefasolateedoe (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Money Drop (12/1), 7He's Therealdeal (15/1), 12One Grand Slam (15/1), 5Electric Man (20/1), 3Sailor Mike (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 46211110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 268411101127953 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Luv To Win (2/1) |
| Place: | 7Saint Peter's Bay (5/1) |
| Show: | 12West Island (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Izzy's Baby Boy (7/2), 1Whiskey And Easy (8/1), 10Flotation Station (8/1), 8Stroller Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Drewmazing (12/1), 5Huey Duey (15/1), 2Blue Cheese (20/1), 3Order Up (20/1), 9Fast Verdict (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 61274110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 161012811754239 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #12, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Syntagma (4/1) |
| Place: | 6Jungle Law (3/1) |
| Show: | 8Beaudreaux (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Imperial Cruiser (8/1), 12After Party (15/1), 2More Than Cute (8/1), 10Don'tstopthaspirit (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Go Easy (12/1), 11Piastri (10/1), 7Eligio (10/1), 9Saint Robert's Row (10/1), 4Billy's Got Issues (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1683122 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 123101115862749 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,000 | |
| Win: | 3Letmikefigureitout (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Good And Stout (7/2) |
| Show: | 4Sounds Like Power (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Saint Gabriel (8/1), 5Tdzshininluckystar (6/1), 10Macho Beanie (10/1), 8Cajun Mitole (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Cajun Coaster (12/1), 2Randemonium (15/1), 6Behemah Star (12/1), 12Misdeal (15/1), 9Otra Cosa (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3145710 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 311121078124569 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Runnin Munnin (2/1) |
| Place: | 9Fiesty Fist (9/2) |
| Show: | 2Coboch (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8Essay (6/1), 5Solidify (12/1), 3Max Is G Money (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Purple Heart (15/1), 6Beach Blanket (10/1), 7Yockey's Drivethru (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429835 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451693278 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000 | |
| Win: | 5Cajun Caviar (2/1) |
| Place: | 10Bar Car (7/2) |
| Show: | 9Passion Strike (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Copper Key (8/1), 7Romantic Rumor (8/1), 8Last Two Dollars (12/1), 1Wicked No Mo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12Pink Angel (20/1), 4Copy This (20/1), 11Louisiana Sis (20/1), 2Mo Cantharus (15/1), 3My Hintof Platinum (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5109678 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 510769128214113 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 10Captain Junuh (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Lieutenant Charm (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Kama Can (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Atmosphere (12/1), 9Film At Eleven (10/1), 4Struck Out (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Downtown Motown (8/1), 8Global Heat Wave (15/1), 7Lick Skillet (20/1), 6Moondoggie (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1052439 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 31098571246 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Delta Downs — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 83 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-28.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 38.6% | 83 |
| Morning-line favourite | 32.5% | 83 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6The Get Out (4/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 9Madoria (5/2) 21% · fair 7-2 underlay -32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Liberty Simone (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2North Lake Kate (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -34%, 5Little Miss Jess (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 3Mediator (15/1) 5% · fair 39-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 10Flora Bound (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -41%, 8Just Sailing Along (10/1) 3% · fair 33-1 underlay -70%, 4Saucy Diem (20/1) 2% · fair 85-2 underlay -53%, 7Nayakim (20/1) 2% · fair 103-2 underlay -61% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 961258 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 96531102847 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 11Lee Circle (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Tensas Lu Lu (9/2) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Mika Ella Pika (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 10Miss Super Mo (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 9Allons Betta Lee (5/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -54%, 5Boohaki (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%, 8Pot's Paycheck (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1What's Love (5/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -66%, 4Basile (12/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -59%, 3Wickedly Royal (15/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -50%, 6My Other Half (20/1) 1% · fair 207-2 underlay -81% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 11279110 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1011578243916 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #7, #2, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Dirty Deal (4/1) 21% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Minimus Maximus (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Guitar Man (5/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -65% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 11Making Noise (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 1Truvy's T Rex (9/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -49%, 10Catalina Classic (10/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 8Ray Mefasolateedoe (20/1) 6% · fair 15-1 overlay +34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 7He's Therealdeal (15/1) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -54%, 9Money Drop (12/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -65%, 12One Grand Slam (15/1) 3% · fair 77-2 underlay -61%, 5Electric Man (20/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -49%, 3Sailor Mike (20/1) 2% · fair 125-2 underlay -68% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 26411110 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 268411101127953 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Luv To Win (2/1) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -47% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Saint Peter's Bay (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 12West Island (4/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Whiskey And Easy (8/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 10Flotation Station (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 8Stroller Boy (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%, 4Izzy's Baby Boy (7/2) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 11Drewmazing (12/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -51%, 5Huey Duey (15/1) 3% · fair 73-2 underlay -59%, 3Order Up (20/1) 3% · fair 77-2 underlay -48%, 2Blue Cheese (20/1) 1% · fair 75-1 underlay -73%, 9Fast Verdict (20/1) 1% · fair 223-2 underlay -82% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 67124110 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 161012811754239 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #12, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Syntagma (4/1) 19% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 8Beaudreaux (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Jungle Law (3/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -65% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Imperial Cruiser (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 10Don'tstopthaspirit (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 2More Than Cute (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -37%, 12After Party (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 11Piastri (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -31%, 5Go Easy (12/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -33%, 7Eligio (10/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -62%, 9Saint Robert's Row (10/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -65%, 4Billy's Got Issues (15/1) 2% · fair 101-2 underlay -70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 1863210 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 123101115862749 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Letmikefigureitout (5/2) 30% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Good And Stout (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Sounds Like Power (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Tdzshininluckystar (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%, 7Saint Gabriel (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -36%, 10Macho Beanie (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 8Cajun Mitole (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 11Cajun Coaster (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -40%, 12Misdeal (15/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -58%, 6Behemah Star (12/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -70%, 2Randemonium (15/1) 2% · fair 95-2 underlay -68%, 9Otra Cosa (20/1) 1% · fair 149-2 underlay -73% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 3145710 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 311121078124569 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Runnin Munnin (2/1) 34% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 9Fiesty Fist (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Coboch (7/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -53% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 8Essay (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -38%, 3Max Is G Money (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28%, 5Solidify (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Purple Heart (15/1) 5% · fair 39-2, 6Beach Blanket (10/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -56%, 7Yockey's Drivethru (20/1) 3% · fair 55-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 492835 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 451693278 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Cajun Caviar (2/1) 42% · fair 3-2 overlay +46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 10Bar Car (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Copper Key (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 9Passion Strike (5/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -57%, 7Romantic Rumor (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -39%, 8Last Two Dollars (12/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -52%, 12Pink Angel (20/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Copy This (20/1) 2% · fair 42-1 underlay -52%, 1Wicked No Mo (12/1) 2% · fair 43-1 underlay -72%, 2Mo Cantharus (15/1) 2% · fair 87-2 underlay -66%, 3My Hintof Platinum (15/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -66%, 11Louisiana Sis (20/1) 2% · fair 49-1 underlay -59% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5109678 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 510769128214113 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #6, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Lieutenant Charm (4/1) 25% · fair 3-1 overlay +35% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 10Captain Junuh (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Kama Can (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -37% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 9Film At Eleven (10/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 3Atmosphere (12/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 1Downtown Motown (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 7Lick Skillet (20/1) 6% · fair 16-1 overlay +25%, 4Struck Out (6/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -64%, 8Global Heat Wave (15/1) 5% · fair 17-1, 6Moondoggie (20/1) 2% · fair 52-1 underlay -61% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 5102491 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 31098571246 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #2, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
Algo 1 (Weighted Rating) at Delta Downs — win rate vs the experts
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 42 graded races at Delta Downs, 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-28.
The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 28.6% | 42 |
| Expert consensus pick | 26.2% | 42 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| Win: | 7Nayakim (20/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 9Madoria (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Liberty Simone (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6The Get Out (4/1), 2North Lake Kate (9/2), 5Little Miss Jess (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Flora Bound (12/1), 3Mediator (15/1), 8Just Sailing Along (10/1), 4Saucy Diem (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 962157 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96531102847 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #9, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| Win: | 7Tensas Lu Lu (9/2) |
| Place: | 11Lee Circle (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Mika Ella Pika (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Boohaki (8/1), 9Allons Betta Lee (5/1), 10Miss Super Mo (8/1), 8Pot's Paycheck (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1What's Love (5/1), 4Basile (12/1), 3Wickedly Royal (15/1), 6My Other Half (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2117915 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1011578243916 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #11, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Minimus Maximus (7/2) |
| Place: | 2Dirty Deal (4/1) |
| Show: | 4Guitar Man (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 11Making Noise (8/1), 1Truvy's T Rex (9/2), 10Catalina Classic (10/1), 8Ray Mefasolateedoe (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Money Drop (12/1), 12One Grand Slam (15/1), 7He's Therealdeal (15/1), 5Electric Man (20/1), 3Sailor Mike (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 46211110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 268411101127953 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 6Luv To Win (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Whiskey And Easy (8/1) |
| Show: | 10Flotation Station (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12West Island (4/1), 7Saint Peter's Bay (5/1), 4Izzy's Baby Boy (7/2), 8Stroller Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Drewmazing (12/1), 5Huey Duey (15/1), 3Order Up (20/1), 2Blue Cheese (20/1), 9Fast Verdict (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 64127110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 161012811754239 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #10, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 1Syntagma (4/1) |
| Place: | 6Jungle Law (3/1) |
| Show: | 12After Party (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Imperial Cruiser (8/1), 8Beaudreaux (5/1), 5Go Easy (12/1), 11Piastri (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Don'tstopthaspirit (10/1), 2More Than Cute (8/1), 7Eligio (10/1), 4Billy's Got Issues (15/1), 9Saint Robert's Row (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6183122 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 123101115862749 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #12, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,000 | |
| Win: | 3Letmikefigureitout (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Good And Stout (7/2) |
| Show: | 4Sounds Like Power (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Macho Beanie (10/1), 7Saint Gabriel (8/1), 5Tdzshininluckystar (6/1), 11Cajun Coaster (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Cajun Mitole (12/1), 2Randemonium (15/1), 6Behemah Star (12/1), 12Misdeal (15/1), 9Otra Cosa (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3145710 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 311121078124569 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 4Runnin Munnin (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Max Is G Money (8/1) |
| Show: | 2Coboch (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9Fiesty Fist (9/2), 8Essay (6/1), 5Solidify (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Purple Heart (15/1), 6Beach Blanket (10/1), 7Yockey's Drivethru (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429385 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451693278 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000 | |
| Win: | 5Cajun Caviar (2/1) |
| Place: | 10Bar Car (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Copper Key (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Passion Strike (5/1), 7Romantic Rumor (8/1), 4Copy This (20/1), 3My Hintof Platinum (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Louisiana Sis (20/1), 8Last Two Dollars (12/1), 12Pink Angel (20/1), 2Mo Cantharus (15/1), 1Wicked No Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5109678 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 510769128214113 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #6, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 10Captain Junuh (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Lieutenant Charm (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Atmosphere (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Kama Can (5/1), 9Film At Eleven (10/1), 4Struck Out (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Downtown Motown (8/1), 8Global Heat Wave (15/1), 7Lick Skillet (20/1), 6Moondoggie (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1052431 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 31098571246 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #9 over #6 ($1 straight; box #9-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #9, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #2 over #11 ($1 straight; box #2-#11 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #7, #11, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #12 ($1 straight; box #6-#12 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #6 ($1 straight; box #1-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #6, #8, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #1, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #3, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #5 over #10 ($1 straight; box #5-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #10, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #10 over #5 ($1 straight; box #10-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #10 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.39 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 5 | 12After Party | 15/1 | — | 8.9% | +35.4% | 0.59% | $0.59 |
| 3 | 8Ray Mefasolateedoe ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 20/1 | — | 4.6% | +-2.8% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| 1 | 4Saucy Diem ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 20/1 | — | 3.2% | +-28.3% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 0.6% | $0.59 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. ⚠ High risk: 20-1 or longer. Since late June our longshot picks at these odds have won about 3 times in 100 and lost about half of every dollar bet; in maiden races they do worse still. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| Win: | 9Madoria (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Little Miss Jess (8/1) |
| Show: | 1Liberty Simone (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Mediator (15/1), 6The Get Out (4/1), 2North Lake Kate (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4Saucy Diem (20/1), 10Flora Bound (12/1), 7Nayakim (20/1), 8Just Sailing Along (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 961253 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96531102847 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| Win: | 11Lee Circle (4/1) |
| Place: | 7Tensas Lu Lu (9/2) |
| Show: | 2Mika Ella Pika (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Miss Super Mo (8/1), 9Allons Betta Lee (5/1), 5Boohaki (8/1), 1What's Love (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Pot's Paycheck (10/1), 4Basile (12/1), 3Wickedly Royal (15/1), 6My Other Half (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11279110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1011578243916 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #7, #2, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Minimus Maximus (7/2) |
| Place: | 2Dirty Deal (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Truvy's T Rex (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8Ray Mefasolateedoe (20/1), 11Making Noise (8/1), 4Guitar Man (5/2), 10Catalina Classic (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7He's Therealdeal (15/1), 5Electric Man (20/1), 12One Grand Slam (15/1), 9Money Drop (12/1), 3Sailor Mike (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 64211110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 268411101127953 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 6Luv To Win (2/1) |
| Place: | 10Flotation Station (8/1) |
| Show: | 12West Island (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Izzy's Baby Boy (7/2), 7Saint Peter's Bay (5/1), 1Whiskey And Easy (8/1), 9Fast Verdict (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Stroller Boy (8/1), 5Huey Duey (15/1), 11Drewmazing (12/1), 3Order Up (20/1), 2Blue Cheese (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 64127101 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 161012811754239 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #10, #12, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 12After Party (15/1) |
| Place: | 1Syntagma (4/1) |
| Show: | 6Jungle Law (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Don'tstopthaspirit (10/1), 5Go Easy (12/1), 8Beaudreaux (5/1), 3Imperial Cruiser (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Billy's Got Issues (15/1), 7Eligio (10/1), 11Piastri (10/1), 2More Than Cute (8/1), 9Saint Robert's Row (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 61810123 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 123101115862749 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #1, #6, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,000 | |
| Win: | 11Cajun Coaster (12/1) |
| Place: | 3Letmikefigureitout (5/2) |
| Show: | 4Sounds Like Power (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Good And Stout (7/2), 5Tdzshininluckystar (6/1), 2Randemonium (15/1), 7Saint Gabriel (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Macho Beanie (10/1), 12Misdeal (15/1), 8Cajun Mitole (12/1), 6Behemah Star (12/1), 9Otra Cosa (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3145117 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 311121078124569 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #3, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 4Runnin Munnin (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Coboch (7/2) |
| Show: | 3Max Is G Money (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Fiesty Fist (9/2), 8Essay (6/1), 5Solidify (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Beach Blanket (10/1), 1Purple Heart (15/1), 7Yockey's Drivethru (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429836 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451693278 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000 | |
| Win: | 5Cajun Caviar (2/1) |
| Place: | 10Bar Car (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Romantic Rumor (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Passion Strike (5/1), 6Copper Key (8/1), 12Pink Angel (20/1), 11Louisiana Sis (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Copy This (20/1), 8Last Two Dollars (12/1), 3My Hintof Platinum (15/1), 1Wicked No Mo (12/1), 2Mo Cantharus (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5109768 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 510769128214113 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #7, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 10Captain Junuh (2/1) |
| Place: | 8Global Heat Wave (15/1) |
| Show: | 5Lieutenant Charm (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Kama Can (5/1), 3Atmosphere (12/1), 4Struck Out (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Film At Eleven (10/1), 1Downtown Motown (8/1), 7Lick Skillet (20/1), 6Moondoggie (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1052481 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 31098571246 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #8, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| Win: | 1Liberty Simone (5/1) |
| Place: | 9Madoria (5/2) |
| Show: | 6The Get Out (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2North Lake Kate (9/2), 5Little Miss Jess (8/1), 10Flora Bound (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Mediator (15/1), 4Saucy Diem (20/1), 7Nayakim (20/1), 8Just Sailing Along (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9612510 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 96531102847 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #9, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $44,000 | |
| Win: | 2Mika Ella Pika (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Tensas Lu Lu (9/2) |
| Show: | 11Lee Circle (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Boohaki (8/1), 10Miss Super Mo (8/1), 9Allons Betta Lee (5/1), 1What's Love (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Pot's Paycheck (10/1), 3Wickedly Royal (15/1), 4Basile (12/1), 6My Other Half (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2117915 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1011578243916 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #11, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 2Dirty Deal (4/1) |
| Place: | 6Minimus Maximus (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Truvy's T Rex (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Guitar Man (5/2), 11Making Noise (8/1), 10Catalina Classic (10/1), 8Ray Mefasolateedoe (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7He's Therealdeal (15/1), 12One Grand Slam (15/1), 9Money Drop (12/1), 5Electric Man (20/1), 3Sailor Mike (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 46211110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 268411101127953 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,000 | |
| Win: | 6Luv To Win (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Whiskey And Easy (8/1) |
| Show: | 7Saint Peter's Bay (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Izzy's Baby Boy (7/2), 12West Island (4/1), 10Flotation Station (8/1), 8Stroller Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Drewmazing (12/1), 5Huey Duey (15/1), 3Order Up (20/1), 2Blue Cheese (20/1), 9Fast Verdict (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 64127110 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 161012811754239 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 1Syntagma (4/1) |
| Place: | 6Jungle Law (3/1) |
| Show: | 8Beaudreaux (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12After Party (15/1), 10Don'tstopthaspirit (10/1), 3Imperial Cruiser (8/1), 2More Than Cute (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Eligio (10/1), 5Go Easy (12/1), 11Piastri (10/1), 4Billy's Got Issues (15/1), 9Saint Robert's Row (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6183210 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 123101115862749 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #8, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,000 | |
| Win: | 3Letmikefigureitout (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Good And Stout (7/2) |
| Show: | 4Sounds Like Power (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Saint Gabriel (8/1), 11Cajun Coaster (12/1), 10Macho Beanie (10/1), 8Cajun Mitole (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tdzshininluckystar (6/1), 2Randemonium (15/1), 6Behemah Star (12/1), 12Misdeal (15/1), 9Otra Cosa (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3145710 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 311121078124569 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 4Runnin Munnin (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Max Is G Money (8/1) |
| Show: | 2Coboch (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Solidify (12/1), 9Fiesty Fist (9/2), 6Beach Blanket (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Essay (6/1), 1Purple Heart (15/1), 7Yockey's Drivethru (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429386 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 451693278 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000 | |
| Win: | 5Cajun Caviar (2/1) |
| Place: | 10Bar Car (7/2) |
| Show: | 9Passion Strike (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Copper Key (8/1), 7Romantic Rumor (8/1), 11Louisiana Sis (20/1), 3My Hintof Platinum (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Copy This (20/1), 8Last Two Dollars (12/1), 12Pink Angel (20/1), 2Mo Cantharus (15/1), 1Wicked No Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5109678 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 510769128214113 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 10Captain Junuh (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Lieutenant Charm (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Kama Can (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Atmosphere (12/1), 1Downtown Motown (8/1), 9Film At Eleven (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Struck Out (6/1), 7Lick Skillet (20/1), 8Global Heat Wave (15/1), 6Moondoggie (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1052413 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 31098571246 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #6,#9,#1 (61%) / R2: #11,#7,#2 (53%) / R3: #2,#6,#4 (50%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16% |
| Pick 3 R5-7 | R5: #1,#8,#6 (47%) / R6: #3,#1,#4 (59%) / R7: #4,#9,#2 (61%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #3,#1,#4 (59%) / R7: #4,#9,#2 (61%) / R8: #5,#10,#6 (67%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #4,#9,#2 (61%) / R8: #5,#10,#6 (67%) / R9: #5,#10,#2 (54%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
| Pick 4 R5-8 | R5: #1,#8,#6 (47%) / R6: #3,#1,#4 (59%) / R7: #4,#9,#2 (61%) / R8: #5,#10,#6 (67%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 12% |
| Pick 4 R6-9 | R6: #3,#1,#4 (59%) / R7: #4,#9,#2 (61%) / R8: #5,#10,#6 (67%) / R9: #5,#10,#2 (54%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| AFTER PARTY | ALLONS BETTA LEE | ATMOSPHERE | BAR CAR | BASILE |
| BEAUDREAUX | BEHEMAH STAR | BILLY'S GOT ISSUES | BLUE CHEESE | BOOHAKI |
| CAJUN COASTER | CAJUN MITOLE | CAPTAIN JUNUH | CATALINA CLASSIC | COBOCH |
| COPY THIS | DIRTY DEAL | DON'TSTOPTHASPIRIT | DOWNTOWN MOTOWN | DREWMAZING |
| ELIGIO | ESSAY | FAST VERDICT | FIESTY FIST | FILM AT ELEVEN |
| FLOTATION STATION | GLOBAL HEAT WAVE | GO EASY | GOOD AND STOUT | GUITAR MAN |
| HUEY DUEY | IMPERIAL CRUISER | IZZY'S BABY BOY | JUNGLE LAW | JUST SAILING ALONG |
| LAST TWO DOLLARS | LEE CIRCLE | LETMIKEFIGUREITOUT | LIBERTY SIMONE | LICK SKILLET |
| LITTLE MISS JESS | LOUISIANA SIS | LUV TO WIN | MACHO BEANIE | MADORIA |
| MAX IS G MONEY | MEDIATOR | MIKA ELLA PIKA | MINIMUS MAXIMUS | MISDEAL |
| MO CANTHARUS | MONEY DROP | MOONDOGGIE | MORE THAN CUTE | MY HINTOF PLATINUM |
| NAYAKIM | NORTH LAKE KATE | ONE GRAND SLAM | ORDER UP | OTRA COSA |
| PIASTRI | PINK ANGEL | POT'S PAYCHECK | PURPLE HEART | RANDEMONIUM |
| ROMANTIC RUMOR | RUNNIN MUNNIN | SAILOR MIKE | SAINT GABRIEL | SAINT PETER'S BAY |
| SAUCY DIEM | SOLIDIFY | SOUNDS LIKE POWER | STROLLER BOY | STRUCK OUT |
| TDZSHININLUCKYSTAR | TENSAS LU LU | THE GET OUT | TRUVY'S T REX | WEST ISLAND |
| WHISKEY AND EASY | WICKED NO MO | WICKEDLY ROYAL | YOCKEY'S DRIVETHRU |
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