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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Go Prancealot (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Tricky Highway (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Con Leche (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Roxie's Secret (7/2), 5 – Smoothie Ryder (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Too Much Tatum (12/1), 6 – Polaris Dawn (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-4-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-4-1-5-7-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Oregonian (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Silicon Native (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Count Dalia (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Another Lifer (12/1), 7 – Sir Bark Knight (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Livin Right (10/1), 4 – Somekindaoutlaw (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-7-2-4-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Aloha Breeze (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Saleen G T (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Precise Timing (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Stay Sassy (5/1), 3 – Someday Lady (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-3-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bakburner (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – C Her Beauty (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Bronze Girl (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – La Popis (6/1), 2 – Union Coach (12/1), 8 – Prancing Matilda (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Shanghai Barbie (15/1), 3 – Dress Rehearsal (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-7-5-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-1-7-5-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Olympic Legend (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Great Runner (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Bad Sneakers (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Blackjack And Beer (5/1), 1 – Keep It Coming (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Gypsy Gun (10/1), 2 – Ice Tower (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-3-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-5-7-1-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 9 – Real Good Magic (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Mojave (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Roll Dem Bones (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Om Fire (10/1), 4 – Upright (6/1), 6 – Stephen James (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Bedrock (8/1), 5 – Stan From Malibu (12/1), 2 – Won Bid (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-3-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-3-7-8-4-5-1-2-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Baladi (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Adios Jojo (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Counteract (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Dirt Road Red (5/1), 4 – Dynamic Secret (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Golden River (12/1), 5 – Fantastic Day (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-1-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-5-3-2-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Can'tdealwithit (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Chokechery Shari (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Hakuhia (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Rabble (8/1), 4 – Bumping River (6/1), 1 – Savita (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pocket Knife (15/1), 8 – Dandy Day (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-3-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-7-1-3-8-4-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Go Prancealot (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Tricky Highway (9/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Roxie's Secret (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Con Leche (9/2), 5 – Smoothie Ryder (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Too Much Tatum (12/1), 6 – Polaris Dawn (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-4-1-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-4-1-5-7-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Silicon Native (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Oregonian (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Count Dalia (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Somekindaoutlaw (6/1), 5 – Another Lifer (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Sir Bark Knight (8/1), 2 – Livin Right (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-4-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-7-2-4-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Aloha Breeze (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Saleen G T (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Precise Timing (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Stay Sassy (5/1), 3 – Someday Lady (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-3-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bakburner (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – C Her Beauty (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Prancing Matilda (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – La Popis (6/1), 7 – Bronze Girl (6/1), 2 – Union Coach (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Shanghai Barbie (15/1), 3 – Dress Rehearsal (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-8-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-1-7-5-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Great Runner (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Olympic Legend (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Bad Sneakers (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Blackjack And Beer (5/1), 1 – Keep It Coming (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Gypsy Gun (10/1), 2 – Ice Tower (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-3-7-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-5-7-1-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mojave (7/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Real Good Magic (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Roll Dem Bones (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Upright (6/1), 1 – Bedrock (8/1), 8 – Om Fire (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Won Bid (10/1), 6 – Stephen James (8/1), 5 – Stan From Malibu (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-7-4-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-3-7-8-4-5-1-2-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Baladi (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Adios Jojo (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Counteract (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Dirt Road Red (5/1), 4 – Dynamic Secret (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Fantastic Day (10/1), 3 – Golden River (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-1-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-5-3-2-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Can'tdealwithit (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Chokechery Shari (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Hakuhia (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bumping River (6/1), 6 – Rabble (8/1), 1 – Savita (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Dandy Day (10/1), 2 – Pocket Knife (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-7-1-3-8-4-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Tricky Highway (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Roxie's Secret (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Con Leche (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Go Prancealot (5/1), 5 – Smoothie Ryder (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Too Much Tatum (12/1), 6 – Polaris Dawn (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-1-3-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-4-1-5-7-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Oregonian (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Silicon Native (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Count Dalia (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Somekindaoutlaw (6/1), 7 – Sir Bark Knight (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Another Lifer (12/1), 2 – Livin Right (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-4-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-7-2-4-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Saleen G T (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Aloha Breeze (6/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Stay Sassy (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Precise Timing (7/2), 3 – Someday Lady (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-5-3-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Bakburner (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – C Her Beauty (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – La Popis (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Bronze Girl (6/1), 8 – Prancing Matilda (4/1), 2 – Union Coach (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Shanghai Barbie (15/1), 3 – Dress Rehearsal (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-7-8-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-1-7-5-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Great Runner (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Olympic Legend (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Bad Sneakers (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Blackjack And Beer (5/1), 1 – Keep It Coming (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Gypsy Gun (10/1), 2 – Ice Tower (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-3-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-5-7-1-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mojave (7/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Real Good Magic (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Roll Dem Bones (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Upright (6/1), 1 – Bedrock (8/1), 5 – Stan From Malibu (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Om Fire (10/1), 6 – Stephen James (8/1), 2 – Won Bid (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-7-4-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-3-7-8-4-5-1-2-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Baladi (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Adios Jojo (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Counteract (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Dirt Road Red (5/1), 3 – Golden River (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Fantastic Day (10/1), 4 – Dynamic Secret (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-5-3-2-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Chokechery Shari (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Can'tdealwithit (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Hakuhia (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Rabble (8/1), 4 – Bumping River (6/1), 1 – Savita (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Dandy Day (10/1), 2 – Pocket Knife (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-6-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-7-1-3-8-4-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 8, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 38, Mid Pace: 14, Late Pace: 67, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 76, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 26, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 26, Weight: 91, Medications: 4, Weather: 13, Race Trouble: 66, Last Race: 51, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 26, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 7 | 3 – Golden River | 12/1 | 17.5% | +127.2% | 2.65% | $5.30 |
| 5 | 2 – Ice Tower | 15/1 | 10.1% | +61.4% | 1.02% | $2.05 |
| 4 | 2 – Union Coach | 12/1 | 12.3% | +59.9% | 1.25% | $2.50 |
| 4 | 6 – Shanghai Barbie | 15/1 | 9.5% | +52.5% | 0.87% | $1.75 |
| 6 | 5 – Stan From Malibu | 12/1 | 11.0% | +43.0% | 0.90% | $1.79 |
| 5 | 5 – Gypsy Gun | 10/1 | 11.7% | +29.0% | 0.72% | $1.45 |
| 6 | 8 – Om Fire | 10/1 | 10.8% | +19.2% | 0.48% | $0.96 |
| 2 | 2 – Livin Right | 10/1 | 10.7% | +17.8% | 0.44% | $0.89 |
| 7 | 5 – Fantastic Day | 10/1 | 10.3% | +13.4% | 0.34% | $0.67 |
| 8 | 8 – Dandy Day | 10/1 | 9.2% | +1.4% | 0.03% | $0.07 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ADIOS JOJO | ALOHA BREEZE | ANOTHER LIFER | BAD SNEAKERS | BAKBURNER |
| BEDROCK | BLACKJACK AND BEER | BRONZE GIRL | BUMPING RIVER | C HER BEAUTY |
| CHOKECHERY SHARI | CON LECHE | COUNT DALIA | COUNTERACT | DANDY DAY |
| DRESS REHEARSAL | DYNAMIC SECRET | FANTASTIC DAY | GO PRANCEALOT | GOLDEN RIVER |
| GYPSY GUN | HAKUHIA | ICE TOWER | KEEP IT COMING | LA POPIS |
| MOJAVE | OLYMPIC LEGEND | OM FIRE | OREGONIAN | POCKET KNIFE |
| PRANCING MATILDA | PRECISE TIMING | RABBLE | REAL GOOD MAGIC | ROLL DEM BONES |
| SALEEN G T | SAVITA | SHANGHAI BARBIE | SILICON NATIVE | SIR BARK KNIGHT |
| SOMEDAY LADY | SOMEKINDAOUTLAW | STAN FROM MALIBU | STAY SASSY | STEPHEN JAMES |
| TRICKY HIGHWAY | UNION COACH | UPRIGHT | WON BID |
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