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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mo Cantharus (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Deuce 'n A Quarter (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Uthinkshecanrun (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seize The Queen (20/1), 5 – Bayou Baddie (5/2), 6 – Alakazam (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Stephs Factor (7/2), 8 – Romantic Rumor (4/1), 9 – Riding Coattails (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-1-7-8-9-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bigfoot Sighting (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – El Perfecto (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Order Up (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Hey Boss (4/1), 2 – Ranch Water (5/1), 3 – The Boss Soss (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Golden Glider (12/1), 5 – Silver Redesdale (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-4-6-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-4-3-8-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Seraphina Sea (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Onedayatatime (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Jailhouse Religion (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Call Me Dolly (5/1), 7 – Prone To Greatness (8/1), 6 – Security Queen (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Zanteria (20/1), 3 – Mizzen Point (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-7-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-7-6-3-4-1-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Captivating Star (5/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Victory Prince (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Mardi Gras Empire (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Classical Knight (4/1), 5 – He's Exaggerating (15/1), 8 – Emily's Boy (20/1), 9 – Vineaux (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Wholelottadeal (10/1), 2 – Mogumbeaux (15/1), 11 – Zong's Favor (12/1), 10 – Kiln Moonshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-11-2-7-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-9-2-5-3-6-11-8-7-10 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mr. Faversham (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Pico D'oro (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Saint Peter's Bay (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Throwin' Shade (4/1), 3 – Tappin Fora Dance (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Crimson Storm (8/1), 7 – Birthday Party (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-1-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-7-4-1-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Polar Wolf (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Mcbridge (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Crimson Red Road (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Donegal Now (4/1), 1 – Dawson James (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – First Samaritan (12/1), 4 – Lost Hero (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-7-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-7-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Astrologysprotege (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Sounds Like Power (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Ninth Ward Bobby O (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cosmic Train (6/1), 7 – Majority Opinion (8/1), 2 – Tussling Charlie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Chad's Flashy Ways (20/1), 5 – Randemonium (15/1), 3 – The Wicked Cat (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-7-9-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-2-3-9-5-4-6 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Whiskey Chasin (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Liberty Simone (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Sugah Gem (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – One Fancy Lady (7/2), 3 – Dreamchaser Jewels (12/1), 4 – Kisses For Cooper (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kathleen's Ace (10/1), 6 – Saucy Diem (10/1), 2 – Izar (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-9-5-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-3-4-1-6-9-8-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mo Cantharus (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Deuce 'n A Quarter (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Uthinkshecanrun (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seize The Queen (20/1), 5 – Bayou Baddie (5/2), 6 – Alakazam (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Stephs Factor (7/2), 8 – Romantic Rumor (4/1), 9 – Riding Coattails (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-1-7-8-9-2-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bigfoot Sighting (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – El Perfecto (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Ranch Water (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Order Up (8/1), 8 – Hey Boss (4/1), 6 – Golden Glider (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – The Boss Soss (15/1), 5 – Silver Redesdale (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-2-4-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-4-3-8-2-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Seraphina Sea (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Jailhouse Religion (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Onedayatatime (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Call Me Dolly (5/1), 7 – Prone To Greatness (8/1), 6 – Security Queen (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mizzen Point (12/1), 8 – Zanteria (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-7-6-3-4-1-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Classical Knight (4/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Captivating Star (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Mardi Gras Empire (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Wholelottadeal (10/1), 3 – Victory Prince (7/2), 9 – Vineaux (8/1), 5 – He's Exaggerating (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Emily's Boy (20/1), 2 – Mogumbeaux (15/1), 11 – Zong's Favor (12/1), 10 – Kiln Moonshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-11-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-9-2-5-3-6-11-8-7-10 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mr. Faversham (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Pico D'oro (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Saint Peter's Bay (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Throwin' Shade (4/1), 6 – Crimson Storm (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Birthday Party (12/1), 3 – Tappin Fora Dance (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-7-4-1-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Polar Wolf (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Crimson Red Road (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Donegal Now (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Mcbridge (9/2), 7 – First Samaritan (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Dawson James (10/1), 4 – Lost Hero (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-7-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-7-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Sounds Like Power (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Ninth Ward Bobby O (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Astrologysprotege (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Majority Opinion (8/1), 4 – Cosmic Train (6/1), 2 – Tussling Charlie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Randemonium (15/1), 3 – The Wicked Cat (15/1), 6 – Chad's Flashy Ways (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-7-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-2-3-9-5-4-6 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Whiskey Chasin (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – One Fancy Lady (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Sugah Gem (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Liberty Simone (4/1), 5 – Kathleen's Ace (10/1), 4 – Kisses For Cooper (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Saucy Diem (10/1), 3 – Dreamchaser Jewels (12/1), 2 – Izar (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-9-5-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-3-4-1-6-9-8-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mo Cantharus (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Deuce 'n A Quarter (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Uthinkshecanrun (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seize The Queen (20/1), 5 – Bayou Baddie (5/2), 6 – Alakazam (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Stephs Factor (7/2), 8 – Romantic Rumor (4/1), 9 – Riding Coattails (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-1-7-8-9-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bigfoot Sighting (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – El Perfecto (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Ranch Water (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Order Up (8/1), 8 – Hey Boss (4/1), 6 – Golden Glider (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – The Boss Soss (15/1), 5 – Silver Redesdale (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-2-4-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-4-3-8-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Seraphina Sea (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Jailhouse Religion (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Onedayatatime (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Call Me Dolly (5/1), 7 – Prone To Greatness (8/1), 3 – Mizzen Point (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Security Queen (15/1), 8 – Zanteria (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-7-6-3-4-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Classical Knight (4/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Captivating Star (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Mardi Gras Empire (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Wholelottadeal (10/1), 9 – Vineaux (8/1), 3 – Victory Prince (7/2), 5 – He's Exaggerating (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Zong's Favor (12/1), 2 – Mogumbeaux (15/1), 8 – Emily's Boy (20/1), 10 – Kiln Moonshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-11-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-9-2-5-3-6-11-8-7-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mr. Faversham (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Pico D'oro (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Saint Peter's Bay (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Throwin' Shade (4/1), 6 – Crimson Storm (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Birthday Party (12/1), 3 – Tappin Fora Dance (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-7-4-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Crimson Red Road (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Polar Wolf (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Donegal Now (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Mcbridge (9/2), 7 – First Samaritan (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Dawson James (10/1), 4 – Lost Hero (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-7-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-7-3-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Sounds Like Power (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Ninth Ward Bobby O (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Astrologysprotege (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Majority Opinion (8/1), 4 – Cosmic Train (6/1), 3 – The Wicked Cat (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Randemonium (15/1), 2 – Tussling Charlie (10/1), 6 – Chad's Flashy Ways (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-1-7-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-2-3-9-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #9, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Whiskey Chasin (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – One Fancy Lady (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Sugah Gem (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Liberty Simone (4/1), 5 – Kathleen's Ace (10/1), 4 – Kisses For Cooper (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Saucy Diem (10/1), 3 – Dreamchaser Jewels (12/1), 2 – Izar (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-9-7-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-3-4-1-6-9-8-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #8, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 6 – Chad'S Flashy Ways | 20/1 | 21.4% | +335.2% | 4.19% | $4.19 |
| 3 | 6 – Security Queen | 15/1 | 11.0% | +73.4% | 1.22% | $1.22 |
| 7 | 5 – Randemonium | 15/1 | 9.1% | +44.4% | 0.74% | $0.74 |
| 4 | 11 – Zong'S Favor | 12/1 | 11.1% | +42.2% | 0.88% | $0.88 |
| 6 | 7 – First Samaritan | 12/1 | 11.1% | +42.2% | 0.88% | $0.88 |
| 8 | 3 – Dreamchaser Jewels | 12/1 | 11.1% | +42.2% | 0.88% | $0.88 |
| TOTAL across 6 plays: | 8.8% | $8.79 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALAKAZAM | ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE | BAYOU BADDIE | BIGFOOT SIGHTING | BIRTHDAY PARTY |
| CAPTIVATING STAR | CHAD'S FLASHY WAYS | CLASSICAL KNIGHT | COSMIC TRAIN | CRIMSON RED ROAD |
| DAWSON JAMES | DEUCE 'N A QUARTER | DONEGAL NOW | DREAMCHASER JEWELS | EL PERFECTO |
| FIRST SAMARITAN | GOLDEN GLIDER | HE'S EXAGGERATING | HEY BOSS | IZAR |
| KATHLEEN'S ACE | KILN MOONSHINE | KISSES FOR COOPER | LIBERTY SIMONE | LOST HERO |
| MARDI GRAS EMPIRE | MCBRIDGE | MIZZEN POINT | MO CANTHARUS | MOGUMBEAUX |
| NINTH WARD BOBBY O | ONE FANCY LADY | ONEDAYATATIME | ORDER UP | PICO D'ORO |
| PRONE TO GREATNESS | RANCH WATER | RANDEMONIUM | RIDING COATTAILS | ROMANTIC RUMOR |
| SAUCY DIEM | SECURITY QUEEN | SEIZE THE QUEEN | SERAPHINA SEA | SILVER REDESDALE |
| STEPHS FACTOR | SUGAH GEM | TAPPIN FORA DANCE | THE BOSS SOSS | THE WICKED CAT |
| TUSSLING CHARLIE | UTHINKSHECANRUN | VICTORY PRINCE | VINEAUX | WHISKEY CHASIN |
| ZANTERIA | ZONG'S FAVOR |
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