Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Midpack;3-4w;no rally. (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.23 per $2 over 115 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 29 days since last race. (6) 0 wins from 8 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (7) First start at FP — never raced here before (last seen at: PRM).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (42%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Wide trip; no factor. (3) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.23 per $2 over 115 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 25 days since last race. (5) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($25,000 → $10,000 → $7,500). (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Strong speed 2 back (58), modest dip last out (53) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (4) Switching turf-to-dirt with a strong turf pedigree rating (102) — pedigree suggests main-track improvement is likely. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has never raced on dirt surface. (2) Switching from turf to dirt today. (3) Trip note from last race: Hop brk;took up;3p trn. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 23 days since last race. (5) First start at FP — never raced here before (last seen at: CBY).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | F |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 82). (4) Trainer 'LYNCH HARRY E' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'F', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 14 starts). (4) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (7 of 10 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Fractious;btw;2-3w;wkn. (6) 0 wins from post 4 in 3 recent starts. (7) Last race was career-best speed (62) — bounce risk after peak effort. (8) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Trainer 'ANDERSON TRACY' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (2) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (3) Averages 50.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 33.0 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (45) well below field median (52). (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 5 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Carried in st;mild bid. (5) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+2.47 per $2 over 69 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 25 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.0 pts: [49, 55, 59, 49, 28]) — unpredictable performer. (8) 0 wins from 7 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (2) Strong speed 2 back (39), modest dip last out (34) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (3) Trainer 'ANDERSON TRACY' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (25) well below field median (52). (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 5 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Bumped; forced in st. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (5) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (6) Last race was career-best speed (34) — bounce risk after peak effort. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 25 days since last race. (8) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 13.2 pts: [34, 39, 21, 27, 5]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | D |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 63-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (59) well above field median (52). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (55%). (4) Career-best speed figure (59) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (6) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 85 vs field 82). (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 69 vs field 61). (8) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Paying Partnership.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 63 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: Inside-2p;swung 6wd. (5) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.22 per $2 over 84 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 23 starts (26%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (5) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 69). (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $6,250) after a 39-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (9) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Dueled past 1/16; game. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 298 mounts) - the market underrates this rider.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | A |
| Route FPS | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Speed improved +5 pts then +4 pts in last 2 starts (60 → 65 → 69) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 34 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (6 of 10 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: 3-4wd; no closing run. (5) Last race was career-best speed (69) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) First start at FP — never raced here before (last seen at: ATO, HCN).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 46-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $6,250) after a 46-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (6) Returning from 46-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (117 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 46 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Led;faltered; 2nd best.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $6,250) after a 39-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (6) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Career-best figure (74) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Broke slow;empty late. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($15,000 → $5,000). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider, Paying Partnership.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Finish positions worsening over last 4 starts. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: 3-deep early;chase;wkn. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 137 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.84 per $2 over 21 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | B |
| Route FPS | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Won last 2 consecutive starts. (5) Track specialist — 2 wins from 5 starts here (40%). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 74 vs field 69). (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: 3w3/16;surged 70yds. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race. (4) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($20,000 → $15,000 → $5,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Career-best figure (71) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 14 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (57) well below field median (62). (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) Trip note from last race: Far back; no bid. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 14.1 pts: [28, 57, 49, 60, 63]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($15,000 → $10,000). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'S']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (56) well below field median (63). (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (3 of 5 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Inside speed; faded. (5) 0 wins from post 1 in 3 recent starts. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 25 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.3 pts: [50, 51, 66, 67, 69]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($15,000 → $10,000). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 75 vs field 70). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Fourth race back from a 53-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Paying Partnership.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Lean out st;3wd;no bid. (4) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.22 per $2 over 84 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (5) 0 wins from post 2 in 4 recent starts. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 25 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.1 pts: [64, 68, 75, 54, 59]) — unpredictable performer. (8) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | B |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | F | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($20,000 → $10,000). (2) Speed average (72) well above field median (63). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (59%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (43%). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 76 vs field 70). (6) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Career-best figure (80) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Dueled;couldn't last. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 16 days since last race. (4) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($50,000 → $25,000 → $20,000). (5) First start at FP — never raced here before (last seen at: IND).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 81-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($20,000 → $10,000). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 3 wins from 9 starts (33%). (5) Big last-race effort (70) — 26 pts above recent average. (6) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (7) Won last 2 consecutive starts. (8) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Dropping in class ($10,000 vs last $20,000) after a 81-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (10) Returning from 81-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (11) Speed improved +34 pts then +9 pts in last 2 starts (27 → 61 → 70) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (12) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (13) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (14) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 81 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (50) well below field median (63). (4) Trip note from last race: Steady urging; held. (5) Last race was career-best speed (70) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (27 → 61 → 70) and last race speed is well above career average (50) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | A |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (67) — 16 pts above recent average. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($6,250 → $10,000). (2) Speed average (56) well below field median (63). (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (5 of 8 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: 3-4p turn;surged 1/16. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (70) well above field median (63). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Has won at today's distance (1210 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Returning from 70-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 70 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Chased;drop back btwn. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.15 per $2 over 285 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.8 pts: [53, 54, 74, 74, 77]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $4,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Career-best figure (86) buried in races 4–10 back — 20 pts above race median and 15 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'F', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Mv btw;shift 4w;wllng. (3) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+1.18 per $2 over 42 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 32-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (117 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Speed average (60) well below field median (66). (3) Trip note from last race: Showed little. (4) 0 wins from post 2 in 3 recent starts. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.6 pts: [51, 57, 60, 67, 73]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Alter out7/16;2-4w trn. (3) 0 wins from post 3 in 4 recent starts. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (73) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Big last-race effort (71) — 11 pts above recent average. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (5) Track specialist — 4 wins from 13 starts here (31%). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Trainer 'LYNCH HARRY E' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Chase wnr;2-3w;2nd bst. (2) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.3 pts: [71, 73, 64, 42, 62]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | B |
| Route FPS | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 5 wins from 19 starts (26%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (5) Track specialist — 3 wins from 5 starts here (60%). (6) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 92 vs field 88). (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Outstanding wet-track record: 3W from 6 starts (50%) — thrives when the going is off. (9) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: 3-w lacked rally. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.4 pts: [67, 44, 68, 76, 71]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 32-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Big last-race effort (78) — 12 pts above recent average. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (119 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Widened; kept to task. (5) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 298 mounts) - the market underrates this rider.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 8 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (4) Returning from 46-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 46 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 6 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Tired; stopped; eased. (5) Stepping up to $15,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $12,500).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 5 starts (40%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Track specialist — 2 wins from 7 starts here (29%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 46 days. (2) Speed average (59) well below field median (73). (3) Trip note from last race: No factor; outrun. (4) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (5) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($7,500 → $6,250 → $4,000). (6) Stepping up to $15,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $7,500). (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 23.6 pts: [59, 76, 66, 18, 36]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 82). (3) Fourth race back from a 59-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Averages 75.8 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.0 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Set pace;weakened 1/8. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.9 pts: [78, 70, 86, 64, 82]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Finish positions improving over last 4 starts. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (52%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Fourth race back from a 287-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Career-best figure (87) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 15 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'S']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Averages 72.9 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 64.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Sqzd;3p;bid3/8;faded. (2) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (3) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+1.02 per $2 over 32 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (4) 0 wins from post 4 in 3 recent starts. (5) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (6) First start at FP — never raced here before (last seen at: IND).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 32-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Strong speed 2 back (61), modest dip last out (55) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Dropping in class ($15,000 vs last $20,000) after a 32-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 32-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (117 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Speed average (56) well below field median (73). (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) 0 wins from 8 career starts on off tracks. (6) Trip note from last race: Bumped 1/2pole;evenly. (7) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 32-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Track specialist — 3 wins from 9 starts here (33%). (5) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Dropping in class ($15,000 vs last $20,000) after a 32-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 32-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (119 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (9) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Awkward start; trailed. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.8 pts: [68, 78, 90, 82, 71]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (79) well above field median (73). (3) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 90 vs fast: 84). (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 83 vs field 75). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Dropping in class ($15,000 vs last $20,000) after a 39-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (8) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (9) Career-best figure (90) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 15 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Trip note from last race: No factor; outrun. (5) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.12 per $2 over 110 starts; also profitable last year at +0.07) - the betting market underprices this barn. (7) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($100,000 → $25,000 → $20,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (78) well above field median (73). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 23 starts (26%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (5) Track specialist — 5 wins from 13 starts here (38%). (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Career-best figure (90) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Averages 81.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 66.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) 0 wins from 5 career starts on off tracks. (3) Trip note from last race: Up close;2wd;faded. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 298 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.5 pts: [69, 57, 81, 83, 88]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 32-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Speed average (79) well above field median (73). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (52%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (5) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (6) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 81 vs field 75). (8) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (9) Fourth race back from a 48-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (10) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (11) Dropping in class ($15,000 vs last $20,000) after a 32-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (12) Career-best figure (91) buried in races 4–10 back — 18 pts above race median and 15 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (13) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Thru early;steady fade. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.8 pts: [70, 76, 72, 84, 91]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 86 vs fast: 76). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 5 starts (40%) — thrives when the going is off. (5) Career-best figure (86) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 13 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Reared brk;no menace. (2) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.5 pts: [45, 73, 73, 61, 65]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (55%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 24 wins from 89 starts (27%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (5) Track specialist — 3 wins from 8 starts here (38%). (6) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) Trip note from last race: Pace;driftd str;missed. (4) Last race was career-best speed (77) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.7 pts: [77, 62, 71, 79, 48]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 23 starts (26%). (2) Career-best speed figure (85) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (5) Track specialist — 3 wins from 8 starts here (38%). (6) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Carries 9 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (62) well below field median (69). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (5 of 6 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Prompt 2p;done early. (6) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 298 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (7) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 22.3 pts: [28, 85, 78, 66, 73]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | F | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 3 wins from 9 starts (33%). (3) Career-best speed figure (81) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (6) Track specialist — 3 wins from 10 starts here (30%). (7) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 90 vs field 85). (8) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Returning from 42-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 42 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Chase outside;shift in. (4) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.4 pts: [67, 81, 79, 65, 59]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (83) — 14 pts above recent average. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Track specialist — 2 wins from 6 starts here (33%). (4) Fourth race back from a 66-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Vied ins;cleared;drvng. (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.15 per $2 over 285 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (4) Last race was career-best speed (83) — bounce risk after peak effort.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (80) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 75). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Strong speed 2 back (80), modest dip last out (71) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Trainer 'LYNCH HARRY E' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 19 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Inside trp;mv 1/8;evn. (5) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (5) Career-best figure (83) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (2) 0 wins from 7 career starts on off tracks. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Stalkd;2p 1/4;weakened. (6) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (8) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (9) 0 wins from 8 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 84 vs field 75). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (2) Trip note from last race: 4-w 1/4; moved up. (3) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (4) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (49%). (2) Big last-race effort (75) — 15 pts above recent average. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (119 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Averages 68.1 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 60.3 in other configs (7 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: 5-w; mild rally. (3) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($12,500 → $10,000 → $4,000). (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 13.9 pts: [75, 66, 74, 41, 69]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (117 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (5) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 10 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Tight brk; no threat. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 16.6 pts: [30, 50, 66, 71, 64]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 60-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $6,250) after a 60-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (5) Returning from 60-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 60 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Vied inside; gave way. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (4) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($10,000 → $7,500 → $6,250).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $5,000). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 76 vs field 73). (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $10,000) after a 46-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 46 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Trailed; showed little. (5) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 137 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (6) 0 wins from post 4 in 3 recent starts. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.8 pts: [48, 62, 74, 72, 71]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (42%). (2) Big last-race effort (72) — 9 pts above recent average. (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 81 vs field 73). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Returning from 60-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 60 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (5) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Inside trip; no match. (7) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (8) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+1.31 per $2 over 21 starts; also profitable last year at +0.30) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $5,000). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (4) Trainer 'ANDERSON TRACY' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (58) well below field median (64). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (5) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (5 of 8 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Dropped back early. (7) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 25 days since last race. (9) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 3 wins from 8 starts (38%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (119 lbs vs median 124 lbs). (7) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) Trip note from last race: Brk in;bump;fanned 5wd. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 298 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (7) Post 7 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (8) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.8 pts: [59, 41, 66, 63, 60]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 46-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $5,000). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 93 vs field 84). (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Dropping in class ($5,000 vs last $10,000) after a 46-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 46-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 46 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (6 of 10 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Vied; swung out; faded. (5) Outside post (8) in a large field of 10 horses. (6) Post 8 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 77 vs field 73). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Trainer 'LYNCH HARRY E' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['O', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (2) Trip note from last race: 3-4p;swung 6w;ran on. (3) Outside post (9) in a large field of 10 horses. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (5) Post 9 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (44%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 7 wins from 14 starts (50%). (3) Big last-race effort (72) — 14 pts above recent average. (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (6) Won last 2 consecutive starts. (7) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 90 vs field 84). (8) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Speed improved +19 pts then +5 pts in last 2 starts (48 → 67 → 72) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Held gamely; driving;. (3) Outside post (10) in a large field of 10 horses. (4) Last race was career-best speed (72) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) Post 10 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.3 pts: [72, 67, 48, 59, 57]) — unpredictable performer. (7) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (48 → 67 → 72) and last race speed is well above career average (60) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 32-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 84). (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Returning from 32-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (5 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Speed average (46) well below field median (57). (5) Trip note from last race: Led early; stopped. (6) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+2.47 per $2 over 69 mounts) - the market underrates this rider.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (63) well above field median (57). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 46 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (4) Trip note from last race: Dueld to final strides. (5) Last race was career-best speed (71) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (66) well above field median (57). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 10 starts (40%). (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (54%). (6) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (7) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 75). (8) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (9) Trainer 'WATKINS JAMES M' has 3 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (10) Career-best figure (73) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Averages 70.0 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 63.8 in other configs (4 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (13) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (2) 0 wins from 8 career starts on off tracks. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: 3-w 1/4;5-w upr;game. (5) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (6) 0 wins from 8 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Fourth race back from a 236-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Led turn; weakened. (2) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 17.5 pts: [56, 24, 64, 63, 66]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (67) well above field median (57). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (44%). (3) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (121 lbs vs median 126 lbs). (7) Career-best figure (72) buried in races 4–10 back — 15 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Stdy 3/8;8w1/8;up 4th. (2) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.15 per $2 over 285 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 95-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($10,000 → $4,000). (3) Speed average (67) well above field median (57). (4) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (46%). (6) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Dropping in class ($4,000 vs last $10,000) after a 95-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (10) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 8 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (11) Returning from 95-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (12) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (121 lbs vs median 126 lbs). (13) Career-best figure (82) buried in races 4–10 back — 25 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (14) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 95 days. (2) Trip note from last race: No factor; outrun. (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 298 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.8 pts: [58, 57, 77, 52, 66]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Trainer 'LYNCH HARRY E' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (4) Career-best figure (74) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 14 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Cutting back to sprint (1320 yds) from routes — sprint speed figures (48.7) are 7.0 pts better than route figures (41.7). (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (5) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 7 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Pressurd pace ins;fade. (7) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (8) Post 7 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (9) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 79 vs field 75). (4) Strong speed 2 back (70), modest dip last out (59) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 7 starts (29%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Career-best figure (76) buried in races 4–10 back — 19 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: 2-3w turn; no threat. (3) Outside post (8) in a large field of 10 horses. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (5) Post 8 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (2) Averages 58.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 49.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup. (3) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) 0 wins from 6 career starts on off tracks. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (5) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Stalked inside; tired. (7) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.12 per $2 over 110 starts; also profitable last year at +0.07) - the betting market underprices this barn. (8) Outside post (9) in a large field of 10 horses. (9) Post 9 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (10) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.6 pts: [38, 61, 52, 61, 57]) — unpredictable performer. (11) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($6,250 → $4,000). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Dropping in class ($4,000 vs last $6,250) after a 70-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 5 starts (40%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Returning from 70-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 70 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Bump foe brk;near insd. (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.21 per $2 over 137 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (4) Outside post (10) in a large field of 10 horses. (5) Post 10 in a 10-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
TL;DR
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 113 graded races at Fairmount Park, 2026-08-18 to 2026-10-06.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 31.9% | 113 |
| Morning-line favourite | 29.2% | 113 |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Milaalah (7/5) |
| Place: | 7W W Cash (3/2) |
| Show: | 1Banished (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Dublin Drop (5/1), 3My Everything (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Hurrikane Warning (20/1), 6Mistressofmischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 647153 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4713256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1No Pay No Hay (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Look N Mighty Fine (1/1) |
| Show: | 3Lily's Home (9/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Cookin The Books (10/1), 5Golden Edge (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2La Palabra (12/1), 7Grazen Gator (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 316724 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6134257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Catatonic (4/5) |
| Place: | 6Betty Pack (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Wildwood Triple (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Just Squeezing By (9/1), 5Hanabi (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Naomi An Ruth (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 143265 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 345612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $12,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Little Sass (9/5) |
| Place: | 6Lily's Woofy (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Mamba Out (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Alternative Grace (3/1), 3Miss Saipan (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Onacounta (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 563142 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Redfield (3/1) |
| Place: | 9American Cause (7/2) |
| Show: | 8Swiss Guard (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4King Ice (6/1), 3Jack Sprat (9/2), 7Bureau (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Euclid Avenue (12/1), 2Lucky Boss (30/1), 5Span (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 938714 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 768913425 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $40,500 | |
| Win: | 2Onthewayjimmy (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Illini Red (5/2) |
| Show: | 4Fiveo'clockcharlie (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Diamnd Con Suerte (10/1), 6Coolthing (9/1), 8Grayhop (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Tahoe Run (8/1), 1Adios Kid (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 261347 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 25713648 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Mr. Sweets (5/2) |
| Place: | 8Chi Town Prince (9/5) |
| Show: | 10Last Moon (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Heartbreak Game (9/1), 4Larry The Poet (12/1), 5Severance (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Solomon Vandy (20/1), 2Aspiring Comedian (20/1), 3Tricky Moment (30/1), 6Awesome Outlaw (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 652947 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83149105762 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #10, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Retail Therapy (8/5) |
| Place: | 6Lil Bit Tipsey (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Into Golden Road (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Freedom Attack (6/1), 8Ornery Angel (6/1), 7Hot Dame (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Goodbye Indy (15/1), 4Scapiture (30/1), 1Betty's Secret (30/1), 9Scrapbook (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8392106 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 37164521098 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Milaalah (7/5) 41% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7W W Cash (3/2) 31% · fair 2-1 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Dublin Drop (5/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Banished (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 3My Everything (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -47% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Hurrikane Warning (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -26%, 6Mistressofmischief (30/1) 1% · fair 101-1 underlay -70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 647513 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 4713256 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1No Pay No Hay (2/1) 36% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Look N Mighty Fine (1/1) 33% · fair 2-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Golden Edge (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Lily's Home (9/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 4Cookin The Books (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2La Palabra (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -41%, 7Grazen Gator (30/1) 1% · fair 167-1 underlay -82% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 316725 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6134257 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Catatonic (4/5) 50% · fair 5-5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Betty Pack (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -31% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Wildwood Triple (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Just Squeezing By (9/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -29%, 1Naomi An Ruth (20/1) 4% · fair 24-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Hanabi (10/1) 3% · fair 63-2 underlay -68% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 143265 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 345612 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $12,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Little Sass (9/5) 27% · fair 5-2 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Lily's Woofy (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -30% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Mamba Out (7/2) 21% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Alternative Grace (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -32%, 3Miss Saipan (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Onacounta (30/1) 2% · fair 125-2 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 516432 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 563142 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Redfield (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 9American Cause (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Swiss Guard (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4King Ice (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 3Jack Sprat (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -33%, 7Bureau (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Euclid Avenue (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -41%, 2Lucky Boss (30/1) 2% · fair 51-1 underlay -41%, 5Span (30/1) 2% · fair 56-1 underlay -47% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 938715 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 768913425 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $40,500 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Onthewayjimmy (2/1) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -36% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Illini Red (5/2) 17% · fair 9-2 underlay -47% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Fiveo'clockcharlie (5/1) 16% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Diamnd Con Suerte (10/1) 12% · fair 15-2 overlay +32%, 7Tahoe Run (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 8Grayhop (7/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Coolthing (9/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -26%, 1Adios Kid (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 162743 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 25713648 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Chi Town Prince (9/5) 30% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 10Last Moon (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Mr. Sweets (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 9Heartbreak Game (9/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -33%, 4Larry The Poet (12/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -27%, 7Solomon Vandy (20/1) 3% · fair 55-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Severance (20/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -28%, 6Awesome Outlaw (30/1) 2% · fair 81-2 underlay -26%, 3Tricky Moment (30/1) 2% · fair 41-1 underlay -27%, 2Aspiring Comedian (20/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -54% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 625947 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 83149105762 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #10, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Retail Therapy (8/5) 35% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Lil Bit Tipsey (9/2) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Into Golden Road (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Freedom Attack (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%, 8Ornery Angel (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -38%, 7Hot Dame (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -42% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 10Goodbye Indy (15/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -58%, 4Scapiture (30/1) 1% · fair 67-1 underlay -55%, 1Betty's Secret (30/1) 1% · fair 98-1 underlay -69%, 9Scrapbook (30/1) 1% · fair 102-1 underlay -71% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 8931026 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 37164521098 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 360 graded races at Fairmount Park, 2026-04-14 to 2026-10-06.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 35.6% | 360 |
| Morning-line favourite | 33.3% | 360 |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4Milaalah (7/5) |
| Place: | 7W W Cash (3/2) |
| Show: | 1Banished (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Dublin Drop (5/1), 2Hurrikane Warning (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3My Everything (8/1), 6Mistressofmischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 471652 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4713256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| Win: | 2La Palabra (12/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 1No Pay No Hay (2/1) |
| Show: | 6Look N Mighty Fine (1/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Cookin The Books (10/1), 3Lily's Home (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Golden Edge (6/1), 7Grazen Gator (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 216345 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6134257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000 | |
| Win: | 3Catatonic (4/5) |
| Place: | 6Betty Pack (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Wildwood Triple (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Hanabi (10/1), 4Just Squeezing By (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Naomi An Ruth (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 143625 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 345612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $12,000 | |
| Win: | 5Little Sass (9/5) |
| Place: | 6Lily's Woofy (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Mamba Out (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Alternative Grace (3/1), 3Miss Saipan (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Onacounta (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 561432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 563142 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 6Redfield (3/1) |
| Place: | 9American Cause (7/2) |
| Show: | 8Swiss Guard (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Jack Sprat (9/2), 4King Ice (6/1), 7Bureau (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Euclid Avenue (12/1), 5Span (30/1), 2Lucky Boss (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 938716 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 768913425 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $40,500 | |
| Win: | 2Onthewayjimmy (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Illini Red (5/2) |
| Show: | 4Fiveo'clockcharlie (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Diamnd Con Suerte (10/1), 6Coolthing (9/1), 7Tahoe Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Grayhop (7/1), 1Adios Kid (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 263475 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 25713648 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| Win: | 8Chi Town Prince (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Mr. Sweets (5/2) |
| Show: | 10Last Moon (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Larry The Poet (12/1), 9Heartbreak Game (9/1), 3Tricky Moment (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Solomon Vandy (20/1), 2Aspiring Comedian (20/1), 5Severance (20/1), 6Awesome Outlaw (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1018649 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83149105762 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #10, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 3Retail Therapy (8/5) |
| Place: | 6Lil Bit Tipsey (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Into Golden Road (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Ornery Angel (6/1), 2Freedom Attack (6/1), 7Hot Dame (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Goodbye Indy (15/1), 1Betty's Secret (30/1), 4Scapiture (30/1), 9Scrapbook (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8365210 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 37164521098 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #4 over #7 ($1 straight; box #4-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #7, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #6, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #6 over #8 ($1 straight; box #6-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #8, #9, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #8 over #1 ($1 straight; box #8-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #10, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 3Tricky Moment | 30/1 | — | 4.6% | +37.9% | 0.32% | $0.32 |
| 8 | 4Scapiture | 30/1 | — | 4.3% | +30.4% | 0.25% | $0.25 |
| 7 | 5Severance | 20/1 | — | 5.8% | +19.7% | 0.25% | $0.25 |
| 8 | 1Betty'S Secret | 30/1 | — | 3.9% | +19.0% | 0.16% | $0.16 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 1.0% | $0.97 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4Milaalah (7/5) |
| Place: | 7W W Cash (3/2) |
| Show: | 1Banished (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3My Everything (8/1), 5Dublin Drop (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Hurrikane Warning (20/1), 6Mistressofmischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 471352 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4713256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| Win: | 6Look N Mighty Fine (1/1) |
| Place: | 1No Pay No Hay (2/1) |
| Show: | 4Cookin The Books (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Lily's Home (9/1), 5Golden Edge (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2La Palabra (12/1), 7Grazen Gator (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 613452 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6134257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000 | |
| Win: | 3Catatonic (4/5) |
| Place: | 6Betty Pack (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Wildwood Triple (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Hanabi (10/1), 4Just Squeezing By (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Naomi An Ruth (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 362145 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 345612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $12,000 | |
| Win: | 5Little Sass (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Mamba Out (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Lily's Woofy (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Alternative Grace (3/1), 3Miss Saipan (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Onacounta (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 563142 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 8Swiss Guard (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Redfield (3/1) |
| Show: | 9American Cause (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Jack Sprat (9/2), 4King Ice (6/1), 7Bureau (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Euclid Avenue (12/1), 5Span (30/1), 2Lucky Boss (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 938716 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 768913425 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $40,500 | |
| Win: | 2Onthewayjimmy (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Fiveo'clockcharlie (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Illini Red (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Diamnd Con Suerte (10/1), 6Coolthing (9/1), 7Tahoe Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Adios Kid (15/1), 8Grayhop (7/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 243657 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 25713648 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| Win: | 8Chi Town Prince (9/5) |
| Place: | 10Last Moon (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Mr. Sweets (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9Heartbreak Game (9/1), 4Larry The Poet (12/1), 5Severance (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Tricky Moment (30/1), 2Aspiring Comedian (20/1), 7Solomon Vandy (20/1), 6Awesome Outlaw (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1081594 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83149105762 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #10, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 3Retail Therapy (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Into Golden Road (4/1) |
| Show: | 6Lil Bit Tipsey (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Freedom Attack (6/1), 8Ornery Angel (6/1), 7Hot Dame (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Goodbye Indy (15/1), 1Betty's Secret (30/1), 4Scapiture (30/1), 9Scrapbook (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3582610 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 37164521098 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4Milaalah (7/5) |
| Place: | 7W W Cash (3/2) |
| Show: | 1Banished (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Dublin Drop (5/1), 2Hurrikane Warning (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3My Everything (8/1), 6Mistressofmischief (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 471523 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4713256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| Win: | 1No Pay No Hay (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Look N Mighty Fine (1/1) |
| Show: | 3Lily's Home (9/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Cookin The Books (10/1), 2La Palabra (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Golden Edge (6/1), 7Grazen Gator (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 163425 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6134257 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000 | |
| Win: | 3Catatonic (4/5) |
| Place: | 6Betty Pack (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Wildwood Triple (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Hanabi (10/1), 4Just Squeezing By (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Naomi An Ruth (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 314625 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 345612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $12,000 | |
| Win: | 5Little Sass (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Mamba Out (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Lily's Woofy (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Alternative Grace (3/1), 3Miss Saipan (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Onacounta (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 563142 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 6Redfield (3/1) |
| Place: | 8Swiss Guard (3/1) |
| Show: | 9American Cause (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4King Ice (6/1), 3Jack Sprat (9/2), 7Bureau (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Euclid Avenue (12/1), 2Lucky Boss (30/1), 5Span (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 938716 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 768913425 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #9, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $40,500 | |
| Win: | 2Onthewayjimmy (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Fiveo'clockcharlie (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Illini Red (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Diamnd Con Suerte (10/1), 7Tahoe Run (8/1), 6Coolthing (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Grayhop (7/1), 1Adios Kid (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 246357 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 25713648 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,600 | |
| Win: | 8Chi Town Prince (9/5) |
| Place: | 10Last Moon (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Mr. Sweets (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9Heartbreak Game (9/1), 5Severance (20/1), 4Larry The Poet (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Tricky Moment (30/1), 7Solomon Vandy (20/1), 2Aspiring Comedian (20/1), 6Awesome Outlaw (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1081594 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 83149105762 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #10, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $10,000 | |
| Win: | 3Retail Therapy (8/5) |
| Place: | 6Lil Bit Tipsey (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Into Golden Road (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Freedom Attack (6/1), 8Ornery Angel (6/1), 7Hot Dame (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10Goodbye Indy (15/1), 4Scapiture (30/1), 1Betty's Secret (30/1), 9Scrapbook (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3862510 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 37164521098 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #4,#7 (72%) / R2: #1,#6 (70%) / R3: #3,#6 (69%) $8 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 34% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #1,#6 (70%) / R3: #3,#6 (69%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (74%) $12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 36% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #3,#6 (69%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (74%) / R5: #6,#9,#8 (57%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #2,#3,#4 (58%) / R7: #8,#10,#1 (73%) / R8: #3,#6,#5 (70%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #4,#7 (72%) / R2: #1,#6 (70%) / R3: #3,#6 (69%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (74%) $24 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #1,#6 (70%) / R3: #3,#6 (69%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (74%) / R5: #6,#9,#8 (57%) $36 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20% |
| ADIOS KID | ALTERNATIVE GRACE | AMERICAN CAUSE | ASPIRING COMEDIAN | AWESOME OUTLAW |
| BETTY PACK | BETTY'S SECRET | BUREAU | CATATONIC | CHI TOWN PRINCE |
| COOLTHING | DIAMND CON SUERTE | DUBLIN DROP | EUCLID AVENUE | FIVEO'CLOCKCHARLIE |
| GOLDEN EDGE | GOODBYE INDY | GRAYHOP | GRAZEN GATOR | HANABI |
| HOT DAME | HURRIKANE WARNING | ILLINI RED | INTO GOLDEN ROAD | JACK SPRAT |
| KING ICE | LA PALABRA | LARRY THE POET | LAST MOON | LIL BIT TIPSEY |
| LILY'S WOOFY | LITTLE SASS | LOOK N MIGHTY FINE | LUCKY BOSS | MAMBA OUT |
| MISS SAIPAN | MISTRESSOFMISCHIEF | MR. SWEETS | MY EVERYTHING | NAOMI AN RUTH |
| ONACOUNTA | ONTHEWAYJIMMY | ORNERY ANGEL | REDFIELD | RETAIL THERAPY |
| SCRAPBOOK | SEVERANCE | SOLOMON VANDY | SPAN | SWISS GUARD |
| TRICKY MOMENT | W W CASH | WILDWOOD TRIPLE |
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✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (42%). (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (39%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 82). (5) Career-best figure (64) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 14 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 5/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix, Profitable Barn.