How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 7:33 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 50% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 38% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 38% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 38% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 38% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 1 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 0 finished in the money.
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 1 – Ekwanok (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Lifeisbutadream (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rumint (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Lipan Law (7/2), 5 – Ma Mi Jo Dreams (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Dream On Cara (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,800 | |
| Win: | 6 – Percy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Song So Sweet (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – King Khali (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Maturation (8/1), 4 – So Spirited (4/1), 1 – Renaissance Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Real Eleve (10/1), 8 – Redoubtableripken (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-5-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-8-5-7-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 5 – Skyler's Starship (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – In The Chase (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Toscano (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sir Kartrite (3/1), 2 – Nyikos (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,900 | |
| Win: | 6 – Guilty (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Share The Ludt (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rockinmoney (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kismeholdmethrlme (5/1), 5 – Cast A Coin (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – God's Angel (10/1), 2 – Vino's Valentine (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-7-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 9 – Follow Your Arrow (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Book Of Wisdom (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Tekila (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Rubys Mission (6/1), 7 – Kaymus (8/1), 5 – Grand Lady Indy (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mind Of Gold (10/1), 10 – Tumbles (12/1), 4 – Creme Caramel (20/1), 8 – In Traffic (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-9-6-3-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-2-1-3-10-6-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,100 | |
| Win: | 2 – The Institute (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Prince Of Dance (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Stormin Sammy (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mayheminthepalace (5/1), 5 – Fire Down Below (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Courageoous Oh La (8/1), 3 – Paint The Line (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-7-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-7-4-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Paradise Valley (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Pompous Prince (5/1) |
| Show: | 9 – East Coast Girl (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Scoot Daddy (7/2), 5 – Squire Creek (6/1), 8 – Sorority Prank (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Canyouhearmerunnin (12/1), 7 – Tacony Road (20/1), 6 – Crypto Causeway (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-8-9-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-1-8-2-9-5-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200 | |
| Win: | 7 – Only In My Dreams (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Hypnocurrency (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Diva Banker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Sweet Tooth Sue (8/1), 3 – Pure Elegance (6/1), 4 – Bounty Killah (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Miss Pab (12/1), 8 – Roshiell My Belle (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-1-6-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-2-5-3-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 4 – Lifeisbutadream (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Ekwanok (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Lipan Law (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Rumint (5/1), 5 – Ma Mi Jo Dreams (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Dream On Cara (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,800 | |
| Win: | 6 – Percy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Song So Sweet (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – King Khali (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – So Spirited (4/1), 3 – Maturation (8/1), 1 – Renaissance Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Real Eleve (10/1), 8 – Redoubtableripken (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-8-5-7-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 5 – Skyler's Starship (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – In The Chase (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Sir Kartrite (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Toscano (4/1), 2 – Nyikos (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,900 | |
| Win: | 6 – Guilty (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Share The Ludt (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Rockinmoney (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Vino's Valentine (8/1), 5 – Cast A Coin (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kismeholdmethrlme (5/1), 7 – God's Angel (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-7-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 9 – Follow Your Arrow (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Book Of Wisdom (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Tekila (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Kaymus (8/1), 3 – Rubys Mission (6/1), 5 – Grand Lady Indy (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mind Of Gold (10/1), 10 – Tumbles (12/1), 4 – Creme Caramel (20/1), 8 – In Traffic (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-10-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-2-1-3-10-6-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,100 | |
| Win: | 2 – The Institute (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Stormin Sammy (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Prince Of Dance (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mayheminthepalace (5/1), 5 – Fire Down Below (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Paint The Line (8/1), 4 – Courageoous Oh La (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-7-4-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Paradise Valley (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Scoot Daddy (7/2) |
| Show: | 9 – East Coast Girl (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Pompous Prince (5/1), 8 – Sorority Prank (6/1), 5 – Squire Creek (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Canyouhearmerunnin (12/1), 6 – Crypto Causeway (20/1), 7 – Tacony Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-8-7-9-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-1-8-2-9-5-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #9, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hypnocurrency (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Only In My Dreams (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Diva Banker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Pure Elegance (6/1), 1 – Sweet Tooth Sue (8/1), 8 – Roshiell My Belle (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Miss Pab (12/1), 4 – Bounty Killah (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-6-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-2-5-3-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 4 – Lifeisbutadream (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -42% |
| Place: | 1 – Ekwanok (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35% |
| Show: | 6 – Lipan Law (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Rumint (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2, 5 – Ma Mi Jo Dreams (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Dream On Cara (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,800 | |
| Win: | 5 – King Khali (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Percy (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35% |
| Show: | 7 – Song So Sweet (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -36% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Maturation (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 4 – So Spirited (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -47%, 1 – Renaissance Man (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -38% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Real Eleve (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 8 – Redoubtableripken (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -34% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-8-5-7-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 5 – Skyler's Starship (8/5) 29% · fair 5-2 underlay -36% |
| Place: | 1 – In The Chase (2/1) 24% · fair 7-2 underlay -38% |
| Show: | 3 – Toscano (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sir Kartrite (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -39%, 2 – Nyikos (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,900 | |
| Win: | 6 – Guilty (5/2) 21% · fair 7-2 underlay -32% |
| Place: | 3 – Rockinmoney (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 4 – Kismeholdmethrlme (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Vino's Valentine (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 1 – Share The Ludt (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -61% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Cast A Coin (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -29%, 7 – God's Angel (10/1) 9% · fair 19-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-6-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-7-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 9 – Follow Your Arrow (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -25% |
| Place: | 2 – Book Of Wisdom (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -29% |
| Show: | 6 – Tekila (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Rubys Mission (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 7 – Kaymus (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 1 – Mind Of Gold (10/1) 8% · fair 11-1 |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Grand Lady Indy (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -27%, 10 – Tumbles (12/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -45%, 8 – In Traffic (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2, 4 – Creme Caramel (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-3-2-6-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-2-1-3-10-6-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,100 | |
| Win: | 2 – The Institute (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Prince Of Dance (4/1) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 7 – Stormin Sammy (7/2) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -39% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mayheminthepalace (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 5 – Fire Down Below (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1 |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Paint The Line (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 4 – Courageoous Oh La (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -33% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-6-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-7-4-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Scoot Daddy (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -33% |
| Place: | 4 – Paradise Valley (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -45% |
| Show: | 8 – Sorority Prank (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Pompous Prince (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 5 – Squire Creek (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 9 – East Coast Girl (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Canyouhearmerunnin (12/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 7 – Tacony Road (20/1) 5% · fair 39-2, 6 – Crypto Causeway (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-8-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-1-8-2-9-5-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hypnocurrency (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 7 – Only In My Dreams (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -27% |
| Show: | 2 – Diva Banker (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -38% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Pure Elegance (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 8 – Roshiell My Belle (20/1) 8% · fair 23-2 overlay +72%, 1 – Sweet Tooth Sue (8/1) 8% · fair 25-2 underlay -35% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Miss Pab (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 4 – Bounty Killah (20/1) 5% · fair 37-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-8-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-2-5-3-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #7 ($1 straight; box #6-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #9 over #2 ($1 straight; box #9-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #9 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #2 over #7 ($1 straight; box #2-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #3, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #7 over #6 ($1 straight; box #7-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.40 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 8 – Roshiell My Belle | 20/1 | — | 5.4% | +15.0% | 0.19% | $0.19 |
| TOTAL across 1 play: | 0.2% | $0.19 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 1 - Ekwanok (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Lifeisbutadream (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Lipan Law (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Rumint (5/1), 5 - Ma Mi Jo Dreams (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Dream On Cara (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,800 | |
| Win: | 6 - Percy (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - King Khali (5/1) |
| Show: | 4 - So Spirited (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Song So Sweet (7/2), 1 - Renaissance Man (6/1), 2 - Real Eleve (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Maturation (8/1), 8 - Redoubtableripken (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-4-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-8-5-7-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 3 - Toscano (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Skyler's Starship (8/5) |
| Show: | 1 - In The Chase (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Nyikos (8/1), 4 - Sir Kartrite (3/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,900 | |
| Win: | 6 - Guilty (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Rockinmoney (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Share The Ludt (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Cast A Coin (6/1), 4 - Kismeholdmethrlme (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Vino's Valentine (8/1), 7 - God's Angel (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-7-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Book Of Wisdom (4/1) |
| Place: | 9 - Follow Your Arrow (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Tekila (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Kaymus (8/1), 3 - Rubys Mission (6/1), 1 - Mind Of Gold (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Grand Lady Indy (10/1), 10 - Tumbles (12/1), 8 - In Traffic (20/1), 4 - Creme Caramel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-9-7-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-2-1-3-10-6-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,100 | |
| Win: | 2 - The Institute (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 - Stormin Sammy (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Prince Of Dance (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Paint The Line (8/1), 5 - Fire Down Below (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Courageoous Oh La (8/1), 1 - Mayheminthepalace (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-6-5-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-7-4-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Paradise Valley (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Scoot Daddy (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Sorority Prank (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Pompous Prince (5/1), 9 - East Coast Girl (4/1), 5 - Squire Creek (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Tacony Road (20/1), 2 - Canyouhearmerunnin (12/1), 6 - Crypto Causeway (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-3-5-1-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-1-8-2-9-5-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200 | |
| Win: | 7 - Only In My Dreams (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 - Hypnocurrency (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Diva Banker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Pure Elegance (6/1), 1 - Sweet Tooth Sue (8/1), 4 - Bounty Killah (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Miss Pab (12/1), 8 - Roshiell My Belle (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-2-1-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-2-5-3-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 4 - Lifeisbutadream (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Ekwanok (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Lipan Law (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Rumint (5/1), 5 - Ma Mi Jo Dreams (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Dream On Cara (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $13,800 | |
| Win: | 6 - Percy (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - King Khali (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Song So Sweet (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - So Spirited (4/1), 3 - Maturation (8/1), 2 - Real Eleve (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Renaissance Man (6/1), 8 - Redoubtableripken (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-4-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-8-5-7-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500 | |
| Win: | 5 - Skyler's Starship (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 - In The Chase (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Toscano (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Sir Kartrite (3/1), 2 - Nyikos (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,900 | |
| Win: | 6 - Guilty (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Share The Ludt (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Rockinmoney (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Cast A Coin (6/1), 4 - Kismeholdmethrlme (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Vino's Valentine (8/1), 7 - God's Angel (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-3-5-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-7-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 9 - Follow Your Arrow (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Book Of Wisdom (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Tekila (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Rubys Mission (6/1), 7 - Kaymus (8/1), 5 - Grand Lady Indy (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Mind Of Gold (10/1), 10 - Tumbles (12/1), 4 - Creme Caramel (20/1), 8 - In Traffic (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-6-3-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-5-2-1-3-10-6-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,100 | |
| Win: | 2 - The Institute (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 - Stormin Sammy (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Prince Of Dance (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Mayheminthepalace (5/1), 4 - Courageoous Oh La (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Fire Down Below (6/1), 3 - Paint The Line (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-7-4-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Paradise Valley (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Scoot Daddy (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Sorority Prank (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Pompous Prince (5/1), 9 - East Coast Girl (4/1), 5 - Squire Creek (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Canyouhearmerunnin (12/1), 7 - Tacony Road (20/1), 6 - Crypto Causeway (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-3-5-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-1-8-2-9-5-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200 | |
| Win: | 7 - Only In My Dreams (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 - Hypnocurrency (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 - Diva Banker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Pure Elegance (6/1), 1 - Sweet Tooth Sue (8/1), 5 - Miss Pab (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Bounty Killah (20/1), 8 - Roshiell My Belle (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-6-1-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-1-2-5-3-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #4,#1,#6 (61%) / R2: #5,#6,#7 (51%) / R3: #5,#1,#3 (71%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #5,#6,#7 (51%) / R3: #5,#1,#3 (71%) / R4: #6,#3,#4 (56%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#1,#3 (71%) / R4: #6,#3,#4 (56%) / R5: #9,#2,#6 (50%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #6,#3,#4 (56%) / R5: #9,#2,#6 (50%) / R6: #2,#6,#7 (57%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #4,#1,#6 (61%) / R2: #5,#6,#7 (51%) / R3: #5,#1,#3 (71%) / R4: #6,#3,#4 (56%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #5,#1,#3 (71%) / R4: #6,#3,#4 (56%) / R5: #9,#2,#6 (50%) / R6: #2,#6,#7 (57%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 12% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| BOOK OF WISDOM | BOUNTY KILLAH | CANYOUHEARMERUNNIN | CAST A COIN | COURAGEOOUS OH LA |
| CRYPTO CAUSEWAY | DIVA BANKER | DREAM ON CARA | EAST COAST GIRL | EKWANOK |
| FOLLOW YOUR ARROW | GOD'S ANGEL | GRAND LADY INDY | GUILTY | HYPNOCURRENCY |
| IN TRAFFIC | KAYMUS | KING KHALI | KISMEHOLDMETHRLME | LIFEISBUTADREAM |
| MA MI JO DREAMS | MATURATION | MAYHEMINTHEPALACE | MIND OF GOLD | MISS PAB |
| ONLY IN MY DREAMS | PAINT THE LINE | PARADISE VALLEY | PERCY | POMPOUS PRINCE |
| PURE ELEGANCE | REAL ELEVE | REDOUBTABLERIPKEN | RENAISSANCE MAN | ROCKINMONEY |
| RUBYS MISSION | RUMINT | SCOOT DADDY | SHARE THE LUDT | SIR KARTRITE |
| SO SPIRITED | SONG SO SWEET | SORORITY PRANK | SQUIRE CREEK | STORMIN SAMMY |
| TACONY ROAD | TEKILA | THE INSTITUTE | TOSCANO | TUMBLES |
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