Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Fort Erie September 29, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – Cantucci (7/5)
Place: 5 – Defogger (10/1)
Show: 2 – Magical Champagne (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 3 – Forest Flash (9/5)
Place: 1 – Blame J D (2/1)
Show: 2 – M C Jackhammer (9/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Exceed (5/1), 4 – Magic Mountain (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Hyper Angel (3/1)
Place: 4 – Let’S Be First (4/1)
Show: 1 – Maiken The Viking (2/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Holymolymeohmy (5/2), 3 – Alway’S Rosie (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Trevess (8/5)
Place: 3 – Silver Candice (4/1)
Show: 2 – Chrome’S Big Break (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Heard A Ghost (7/2)
Place: 3 – Daddy Send Money (3/1)
Show: 1 – Let’S Go Liam (2/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Mia And Me (6/1)
Place: 2 – Stylish Gent (5/2)
Show: 8 – Half To Reload (5/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Hey Cue (2/1), 5 – Heat Merchant (12/1), 4 – Kiddie Holiday (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – Cantucci (7/5)
Place: 5 – Defogger (10/1)
Show: 2 – Magical Champagne (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 3 – Forest Flash (9/5)
Place: 1 – Blame J D (2/1)
Show: 2 – M C Jackhammer (9/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Magic Mountain (8/1), 6 – Exceed (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Hyper Angel (3/1)
Place: 1 – Maiken The Viking (2/1)
Show: 4 – Let’S Be First (4/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Holymolymeohmy (5/2), 3 – Alway’S Rosie (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Trevess (8/5)
Place: 3 – Silver Candice (4/1)
Show: 2 – Chrome’S Big Break (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Heard A Ghost (7/2)
Place: 3 – Daddy Send Money (3/1)
Show: 2 – Ghost Busted (5/2)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Mia And Me (6/1)
Place: 2 – Stylish Gent (5/2)
Show: 7 – Hey Cue (2/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Half To Reload (5/1), 4 – Kiddie Holiday (10/1), 5 – Heat Merchant (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 4 – Cantucci (7/5)
Place: 5 – Defogger (10/1)
Show: 2 – Magical Champagne (3/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 3 – Forest Flash (9/5)
Place: 1 – Blame J D (2/1)
Show: 2 – M C Jackhammer (9/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Magic Mountain (8/1), 6 – Exceed (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – Maiken The Viking (2/1)
Place: 5 – Hyper Angel (3/1)
Show: 4 – Let’S Be First (4/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Holymolymeohmy (5/2), 3 – Alway’S Rosie (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Trevess (8/5)
Place: 3 – Silver Candice (4/1)
Show: 2 – Chrome’S Big Break (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 5 – Heard A Ghost (7/2)
Place: 3 – Daddy Send Money (3/1)
Show: 1 – Let’S Go Liam (2/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Mia And Me (6/1)
Place: 2 – Stylish Gent (5/2)
Show: 8 – Half To Reload (5/1)
Other contenders: 7 – Hey Cue (2/1), 4 – Kiddie Holiday (10/1), 5 – Heat Merchant (12/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ALWAY’S ROSIE BLAME J D CANTUCCI CHROME’S BIG BREAK DADDY SEND MONEY
DEFOGGER EXCEED FOREST FLASH GHOST BUSTED HALF TO RELOAD
HEAT MERCHANT HEY CUE HOLYMOLYMEOHMY HYPER ANGEL ITS JUST MONEY
KIDDIE HOLIDAY LET’S BE FIRST LET’S GO LIAM LEZIATE LONHRO’S GAMBLE
M C JACKHAMMER MAGIC MOUNTAIN MAGICAL CHAMPAGNE MAIKEN THE VIKING MIA AND ME
PLAY THE DOTS QUIET MADDELENA SILVER CANDICE STYLISH GENT TREVESS

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