AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied
Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.
| Track | Race | Model | New Top Pick | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPX | 5 | Model Algo 1 | #3 – The Secret Ana | 3 scratch(es) |
| GPX | 8 | Model Algo 1 | #11 – Thor'S Hammer | 2 scratch(es) |
| GPX | 8 | Model Algo 3 (Win Prob) | #11 – Thor'S Hammer | 2 scratch(es) |
| GPX | 8 | Model Weight set 3 | #11 – Thor'S Hammer | 2 scratch(es) |
| GPX | 9 | Model Weight set 2 | #3 – Woodster | 2 scratch(es) |
Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:
Where the experts back our strongest pick today
In 8 of today's 11 races, the published handicappers landed on the same horse as Algo 2, our best-performing model. Over the last 90 days (4,864 graded races), the races where they agreed won 37.8% of the time against 29.3% where they did not.
Today's agreement races — GP 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 11.
Which horse the two agree on is part of Algo 2, included with Insider and above. The race numbers above are free to everyone: if you are playing these races, you now know the experts and our strongest model are pointing the same way.
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Gulfstream Park — win rate vs the experts
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 305 graded races at Gulfstream Park, 2026-08-15 to 2026-11-13.
The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 35.4% | 305 |
| Expert consensus pick | 32.5% | 305 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Tailbreezin Joke (4/1) |
| Place: | 2Rich's Best Deal (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Resilient Bob (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Quality Gray (6/1), 8Ring For Peace (8/1), 6Chef Curry (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Coastal Evacuation (15/1), 5Silent Warrior (10/1), 10Irish Brigade (15/1), 9Carrao (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324168 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43216857910 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Chaplin (9/5) |
| Place: | 3Kinetic Stone (2/1) |
| Show: | 7Capture The Time (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Schnittker (6/1), 5Prince David (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Sterling Harmony (15/1), 4American Tact (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 637251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6375124 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 4Dr. D'oro (7/2) |
| Place: | 1Jackpot Jackie (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Vermont (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7No Love Lost (6/1), 8Aztec Rain (5/1), 2Bekarov (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Colonel Royale (12/1), 6Sweet Trip To Eden (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 431782 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43187256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Candy Road (2/1) |
| Place: | 3Mosai (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Chalky White (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7G Speedy (3/1), 1Majestic Noir (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Mega Don (20/1), 4Vinicio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 653712 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1567342 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $31,000 | |
| Win: | 3The Secret Ana (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Katie's Delight (5/2) |
| Show: | 4Demere Road (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Confidencefrom Mom (9/2), 7Moorings (8/1), 6Soul Silent (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Tyrian Treasure (20/1), 1Aysia Princess (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 354876 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 8Greenfield Cougar (3/1) |
| Place: | 7She's A Gamer (9/2) |
| Show: | 1Atarah (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Heir To The Roar (4/1), 2Eileen's A Warrior (5/1), 9The Dove Rules (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Foggy Note (12/1), 3Su Win (15/1), 5Softly Dreaming (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 876129 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 843679215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Sum Of Success (4/5) |
| Place: | 4Real Gone (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Mane Affair (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Ford Roadster (8/1), 5Mitts (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Spicy Taco (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 142653 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 142653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 11Thor's Hammer (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Exhibit (6/1) |
| Show: | 2Journey To Victory (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Rock Bridge (6/1), 12Love Aficionado (15/1), 1Alessman (15/1), 8Steppas Life (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sultan Jak (15/1), 9It's On My Honor (20/1), 4Music City Man (20/1), 10Giant Heart (20/1), 7No Election (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11526121 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 112651281371049 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Woodster (7/2) |
| Place: | 8Final Payment (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Pike (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Khozalite (5/1), 2Prost (6/1), 9City Nights (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Rule Seventy Six (10/1), 4Teofimo (10/1), 6Wordondastreet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 387529 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 371846529 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $54,000 | |
| ◇ Thin spot — race 9 or later: the AI Ensemble has not beaten the morning-line favourite this late on the card. Treat with less confidence. | |
| Win: | 4Quereme Pass (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banded Rocket (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Knockanara (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sosua Summer (8/1), 9Test Factor (9/2), 5Itza Lock (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Khon Han (12/1), 1War Warrior (12/1), 8Consul Dorado (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 426935 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 432571968 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Musical Power (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Meet Me In The Air (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Dame's Rocket (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sweet Sash (9/2), 6Lady Chance (8/1), 7Starship Vengeance (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4The Package (12/1), 8Toasttothestones (20/1), 9Elsie's Smile (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512367 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 564172839 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Gulfstream Park — win rate vs the experts
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 226 graded races at Gulfstream Park, 2026-09-06 to 2026-11-13.
The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 30.1% | 226 |
| Expert consensus pick | 27.9% | 226 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Tailbreezin Joke (4/1) 45% · fair 1-1 overlay +223% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Rich's Best Deal (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Ring For Peace (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Quality Gray (6/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -64%, 7Coastal Evacuation (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2, 4Resilient Bob (7/2) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -82% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Chef Curry (6/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -74%, 5Silent Warrior (10/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -72%, 10Irish Brigade (15/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -67%, 9Carrao (12/1) 2% · fair 47-1 underlay -74% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324186 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 43216857910 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Kinetic Stone (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Chaplin (9/5) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -41% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Capture The Time (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Schnittker (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 5Prince David (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Sterling Harmony (15/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -38%, 4American Tact (15/1) 2% · fair 51-1 underlay -71% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 367251 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6375124 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Dr. D'oro (7/2) 30% · fair 5-2 overlay +53% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Jackpot Jackie (4/1) 21% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Vermont (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -60% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7No Love Lost (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 8Aztec Rain (5/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -48%, 2Bekarov (8/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Colonel Royale (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -48%, 6Sweet Trip To Eden (12/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -61% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 413782 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 43187256 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Candy Road (2/1) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -37% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Chalky White (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Mosai (4/1) 21% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7G Speedy (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -32%, 1Majestic Noir (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Mega Don (20/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -38%, 4Vinicio (20/1) 2% · fair 47-1 underlay -57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 657312 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1567342 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $31,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3The Secret Ana (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Katie's Delight (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Confidencefrom Mom (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Soul Silent (10/1) 13% · fair 13-2 overlay +49%, 4Demere Road (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -31%, 7Moorings (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Aysia Princess (6/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -77%, 2Tyrian Treasure (20/1) 3% · fair 55-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 358467 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847612 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Eileen's A Warrior (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 8Greenfield Cougar (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7She's A Gamer (9/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Atarah (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 6Heir To The Roar (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -35%, 9The Dove Rules (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Foggy Note (12/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -28%, 3Su Win (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2, 5Softly Dreaming (15/1) 3% · fair 73-2 underlay -59% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 826719 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 843679215 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #8, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Sum Of Success (4/5) 58% · fair 4-5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Mane Affair (9/2) 19% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Real Gone (2/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -63% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Ford Roadster (8/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -63%, 3Spicy Taco (20/1) 2% · fair 60-1 underlay -67% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Mitts (20/1) 1% · fair 139-2 underlay -71% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 142635 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 142653 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Exhibit (6/1) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +121% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 11Thor's Hammer (2/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Journey To Victory (4/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -55% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Rock Bridge (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -38%, 1Alessman (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 9It's On My Honor (20/1) 6% · fair 31-2 overlay +28%, 12Love Aficionado (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 8Steppas Life (12/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -50%, 3Sultan Jak (15/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -45%, 10Giant Heart (20/1) 3% · fair 69-2 underlay -42%, 7No Election (15/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -57%, 4Music City Man (20/1) 2% · fair 46-1 underlay -57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1152618 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 112651281371049 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #11, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Woodster (7/2) 25% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Pike (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Final Payment (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Khozalite (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 2Prost (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -45%, 9City Nights (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Rule Seventy Six (10/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -44%, 4Teofimo (10/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -62%, 6Wordondastreet (15/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -66% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 387529 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 371846529 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 10 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $54,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Quereme Pass (2/1) 34% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Knockanara (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Banded Rocket (7/2) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -41% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 9Test Factor (9/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -46%, 3Sosua Summer (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 5Itza Lock (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1War Warrior (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -41%, 7Khon Han (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -42%, 8Consul Dorado (20/1) 0% · fair 679-2 underlay -94% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 10 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 10 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 426931 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 432571968 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 11 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Musical Power (5/2) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Meet Me In The Air (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Dame's Rocket (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Lady Chance (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 3Sweet Sash (9/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -44%, 7Starship Vengeance (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4The Package (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1, 9Elsie's Smile (20/1) 2% · fair 83-2 underlay -52%, 8Toasttothestones (20/1) 2% · fair 65-1 underlay -69% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 11 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 11 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512367 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 564172839 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 3Tailbreezin Joke (4/1) |
| Place: | 2Rich's Best Deal (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Resilient Bob (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8Ring For Peace (8/1), 1Quality Gray (6/1), 6Chef Curry (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Coastal Evacuation (15/1), 5Silent Warrior (10/1), 9Carrao (12/1), 10Irish Brigade (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324168 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43216857910 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 7Capture The Time (3/1) |
| Place: | 3Kinetic Stone (2/1) |
| Show: | 6Chaplin (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2Schnittker (6/1), 5Prince David (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Sterling Harmony (15/1), 4American Tact (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 367251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6375124 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 4Dr. D'oro (7/2) |
| Place: | 1Jackpot Jackie (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Vermont (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8Aztec Rain (5/1), 7No Love Lost (6/1), 2Bekarov (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Colonel Royale (12/1), 6Sweet Trip To Eden (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 341872 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43187256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 5Chalky White (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Candy Road (2/1) |
| Show: | 7G Speedy (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Mosai (4/1), 1Majestic Noir (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Mega Don (20/1), 4Vinicio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 657312 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1567342 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $31,000 | |
| Win: | 5Katie's Delight (5/2) |
| Place: | 3The Secret Ana (3/1) |
| Show: | 8Confidencefrom Mom (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Demere Road (5/1), 1Aysia Princess (6/1), 7Moorings (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Soul Silent (10/1), 2Tyrian Treasure (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 538417 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 7She's A Gamer (9/2) |
| Place: | 8Greenfield Cougar (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Eileen's A Warrior (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Atarah (6/1), 9The Dove Rules (6/1), 6Heir To The Roar (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Foggy Note (12/1), 3Su Win (15/1), 5Softly Dreaming (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 872619 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 843679215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| Win: | 1Sum Of Success (4/5) |
| Place: | 4Real Gone (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Mane Affair (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Ford Roadster (8/1), 3Spicy Taco (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Mitts (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 142635 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 142653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 5Exhibit (6/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 11Thor's Hammer (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Journey To Victory (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Alessman (15/1), 3Sultan Jak (15/1), 6Rock Bridge (6/1), 12Love Aficionado (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Music City Man (20/1), 9It's On My Honor (20/1), 8Steppas Life (12/1), 7No Election (15/1), 10Giant Heart (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1152613 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 112651281371049 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #11, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 3Woodster (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Khozalite (5/1) |
| Show: | 8Final Payment (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Pike (5/1), 2Prost (6/1), 9City Nights (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Rule Seventy Six (10/1), 4Teofimo (10/1), 6Wordondastreet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 385729 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 371846529 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $54,000 | |
| Win: | 4Quereme Pass (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banded Rocket (7/2) |
| Show: | 9Test Factor (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Knockanara (5/1), 3Sosua Summer (8/1), 5Itza Lock (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1War Warrior (12/1), 7Khon Han (12/1), 8Consul Dorado (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429631 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 432571968 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 5Musical Power (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Meet Me In The Air (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Dame's Rocket (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Lady Chance (8/1), 3Sweet Sash (9/2), 7Starship Vengeance (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4The Package (12/1), 9Elsie's Smile (20/1), 8Toasttothestones (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512367 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 564172839 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #2, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #6, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #3 over #5 ($1 straight; box #3-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #8 over #7 ($1 straight; box #8-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #7, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #11 over #2 ($1 straight; box #11-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #11, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #3 over #7 ($1 straight; box #3-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #8, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 10 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #3, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 11 | AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 3Tailbreezin Joke (4/1) |
| Place: | 2Rich's Best Deal (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Resilient Bob (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Quality Gray (6/1), 8Ring For Peace (8/1), 6Chef Curry (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Silent Warrior (10/1), 7Coastal Evacuation (15/1), 9Carrao (12/1), 10Irish Brigade (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324168 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43216857910 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 3Kinetic Stone (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Chaplin (9/5) |
| Show: | 7Capture The Time (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Schnittker (6/1), 5Prince David (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Sterling Harmony (15/1), 4American Tact (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 367251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6375124 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 4Dr. D'oro (7/2) |
| Place: | 3Vermont (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Jackpot Jackie (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Aztec Rain (5/1), 7No Love Lost (6/1), 2Bekarov (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Colonel Royale (12/1), 6Sweet Trip To Eden (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 341872 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43187256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 5Chalky White (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Majestic Noir (8/1) |
| Show: | 6Candy Road (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Mosai (4/1), 7G Speedy (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Mega Don (20/1), 4Vinicio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 567312 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1567342 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $31,000 | |
| Win: | 3The Secret Ana (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Katie's Delight (5/2) |
| Show: | 8Confidencefrom Mom (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Demere Road (5/1), 7Moorings (8/1), 6Soul Silent (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Aysia Princess (6/1), 2Tyrian Treasure (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 538417 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 7She's A Gamer (9/2) |
| Place: | 4Foggy Note (12/1) |
| Show: | 8Greenfield Cougar (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Eileen's A Warrior (5/1), 1Atarah (6/1), 9The Dove Rules (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Heir To The Roar (4/1), 3Su Win (15/1), 5Softly Dreaming (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 876219 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 843679215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| Win: | 1Sum Of Success (4/5) |
| Place: | 4Real Gone (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Mane Affair (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Ford Roadster (8/1), 5Mitts (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Spicy Taco (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 142653 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 142653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 11Thor's Hammer (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Alessman (15/1) |
| Show: | 5Exhibit (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Journey To Victory (4/1), 6Rock Bridge (6/1), 8Steppas Life (12/1), 12Love Aficionado (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sultan Jak (15/1), 7No Election (15/1), 4Music City Man (20/1), 10Giant Heart (20/1), 9It's On My Honor (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1125618 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 112651281371049 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 5Khozalite (5/1) |
| Place: | 3Woodster (7/2) |
| Show: | 8Final Payment (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Prost (6/1), 1Rule Seventy Six (10/1), 7Pike (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9City Nights (6/1), 4Teofimo (10/1), 6Wordondastreet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 358279 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 371846529 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $54,000 | |
| Win: | 4Quereme Pass (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banded Rocket (7/2) |
| Show: | 9Test Factor (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Knockanara (5/1), 3Sosua Summer (8/1), 7Khon Han (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Itza Lock (15/1), 1War Warrior (12/1), 8Consul Dorado (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429637 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 432571968 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 5Musical Power (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Meet Me In The Air (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Dame's Rocket (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4The Package (12/1), 3Sweet Sash (9/2), 6Lady Chance (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Starship Vengeance (8/1), 8Toasttothestones (20/1), 9Elsie's Smile (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 521346 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 564172839 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 3Tailbreezin Joke (4/1) |
| Place: | 2Rich's Best Deal (9/2) |
| Show: | 8Ring For Peace (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Resilient Bob (7/2), 7Coastal Evacuation (15/1), 1Quality Gray (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Chef Curry (6/1), 5Silent Warrior (10/1), 9Carrao (12/1), 10Irish Brigade (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324816 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43216857910 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 3Kinetic Stone (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Chaplin (9/5) |
| Show: | 7Capture The Time (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Schnittker (6/1), 5Prince David (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Sterling Harmony (15/1), 4American Tact (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 637251 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6375124 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 1Jackpot Jackie (4/1) |
| Place: | 4Dr. D'oro (7/2) |
| Show: | 3Vermont (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7No Love Lost (6/1), 8Aztec Rain (5/1), 2Bekarov (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Sweet Trip To Eden (12/1), 5Colonel Royale (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 314872 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 43187256 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 5Chalky White (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Candy Road (2/1) |
| Show: | 7G Speedy (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Mosai (4/1), 1Majestic Noir (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Mega Don (20/1), 4Vinicio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 657312 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1567342 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $31,000 | |
| Win: | 3The Secret Ana (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Katie's Delight (5/2) |
| Show: | 4Demere Road (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Confidencefrom Mom (9/2), 1Aysia Princess (6/1), 7Moorings (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Soul Silent (10/1), 2Tyrian Treasure (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 358417 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847612 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 2Eileen's A Warrior (5/1) |
| Place: | 7She's A Gamer (9/2) |
| Show: | 1Atarah (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Greenfield Cougar (3/1), 9The Dove Rules (6/1), 6Heir To The Roar (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Foggy Note (12/1), 3Su Win (15/1), 5Softly Dreaming (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 827619 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 843679215 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| Win: | 1Sum Of Success (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Mane Affair (9/2) |
| Show: | 4Real Gone (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Ford Roadster (8/1), 3Spicy Taco (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Mitts (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 142635 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 142653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 5Exhibit (6/1) |
| Place: | 11Thor's Hammer (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Alessman (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Journey To Victory (4/1), 12Love Aficionado (15/1), 3Sultan Jak (15/1), 6Rock Bridge (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Music City Man (20/1), 9It's On My Honor (20/1), 8Steppas Life (12/1), 7No Election (15/1), 10Giant Heart (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11526112 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 112651281371049 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #11, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 3Woodster (7/2) |
| Place: | 8Final Payment (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Prost (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Khozalite (5/1), 7Pike (5/1), 1Rule Seventy Six (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9City Nights (6/1), 4Teofimo (10/1), 6Wordondastreet (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 385729 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 371846529 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $54,000 | |
| Win: | 4Quereme Pass (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banded Rocket (7/2) |
| Show: | 3Sosua Summer (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Test Factor (9/2), 6Knockanara (5/1), 1War Warrior (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Itza Lock (15/1), 7Khon Han (12/1), 8Consul Dorado (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 429631 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 432571968 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 5Musical Power (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Meet Me In The Air (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Dame's Rocket (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Sweet Sash (9/2), 6Lady Chance (8/1), 4The Package (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Starship Vengeance (8/1), 9Elsie's Smile (20/1), 8Toasttothestones (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 521367 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 564172839 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #3,#2 (63%) / R2: #3,#6,#7 (76%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (65%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 31% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #3,#6,#7 (76%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (65%) / R4: #6,#5,#3 (67%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33% |
| Pick 3 R5-7 | R5: #3,#5,#8 (60%) / R6: #2,#8,#7 (47%) / R7: #1,#2 (77%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #1,#2 (77%) / R8: #5,#11,#2 (57%) / R9: #3,#7,#8 (58%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #3,#2 (63%) / R2: #3,#6,#7 (76%) / R3: #4,#1,#3 (65%) / R4: #6,#5,#3 (67%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 4 R7-10 | R7: #1,#2 (77%) / R8: #5,#11,#2 (57%) / R9: #3,#7,#8 (58%) / R10: #4,#6,#2 (64%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALESSMAN | AMERICAN TACT | ATARAH | AYSIA PRINCESS | AZTEC RAIN |
| BEKAROV | CANDY ROAD | CAPTURE THE TIME | CARRAO | CHALKY WHITE |
| CHEF CURRY | CITY NIGHTS | COASTAL EVACUATION | COLONEL ROYALE | CONFIDENCEFROM MOM |
| DAME'S ROCKET | DEMERE ROAD | DR. D'ORO | EILEEN'S A WARRIOR | ELSIE'S SMILE |
| FINAL PAYMENT | FOGGY NOTE | FORD ROADSTER | G SPEEDY | GIANT HEART |
| HEIR TO THE ROAR | IRISH BRIGADE | IT'S ON MY HONOR | ITZA LOCK | JACKPOT JACKIE |
| KATIE'S DELIGHT | KHON HAN | KHOZALITE | KINETIC STONE | KNOCKANARA |
| LOVE AFICIONADO | MAJESTIC NOIR | MANE AFFAIR | MEET ME IN THE AIR | MEGA DON |
| MOORINGS | MOSAI | MUSIC CITY MAN | MUSICAL POWER | NO ELECTION |
| PIKE | PRINCE DAVID | PROST | QUALITY GRAY | QUEREME PASS |
| RESILIENT BOB | RICH'S BEST DEAL | RING FOR PEACE | ROCK BRIDGE | RULE SEVENTY SIX |
| SHE'S A GAMER | SILENT WARRIOR | SOFTLY DREAMING | SOSUA SUMMER | SOUL SILENT |
| STARSHIP VENGEANCE | STEPPAS LIFE | STERLING HARMONY | SU WIN | SULTAN JAK |
| SWEET SASH | SWEET TRIP TO EDEN | TAILBREEZIN JOKE | TEOFIMO | TEST FACTOR |
| THE PACKAGE | THE SECRET ANA | THOR'S HAMMER | TOASTTOTHESTONES | TYRIAN TREASURE |
| VINICIO | WAR WARRIOR | WOODSTER | WORDONDASTREET |
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