Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Gulfstream Park, November 6, 2026


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Gulfstream Park — win rate vs the experts

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 271 graded races at Gulfstream Park, 2026-08-15 to 2026-11-01.

0%11%22%33%44%Our top pick: 35.4% from 271 racesOur top pick35.4%Expert consensus pick: 32.1% from 271 racesExpert consensus pick32.1%

The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick35.4%271
Expert consensus pick32.1%271
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Pardo (3/1)
Place:5My Boy Stan (5/2)
Show:9Ruleroftheuniverse (7/2)
Other contenders:4Sunday Song (4/1), 2Sea God (8/1), 8Action Delight (12/1)
Rest of field:1To Joey (15/1), 6Bleu Martini (20/1), 7Last Shall B First (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 359428
🎯 Longshots: 395281467
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #9, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Everymomentmatters (5/2)
Place:6Copper Creole (3/1)
Show:2Cryptic Thunder (2/1)
Other contenders:5Gran Judgement (9/2), 1Camm's Girl (20/1)
Rest of field:3Celestial Hymn (8/1), 7Higher Self (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 426531
🎯 Longshots: 4265317
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Amande (7/5)
Place:2Misprint (3/1)
Show:1Free To Roam (4/1)
Other contenders:7Any Moment (5/1), 5Drum Roll (8/1)
Rest of field:4Five Eyes Onmichel (12/1), 3R Firebird (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6521743
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Pax Mundi (7/5)
Place:2Parnassus (5/2)
Show:5Coristine (3/1)
Other contenders:1Flamefire (6/1), 3Mary's Memphis (8/1)
Rest of field:6Yastrzemski (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 425136
🎯 Longshots: 425316
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Inherent Promise (3/1)
Place:2One More Duke (5/2)
Show:1Yamal (5/1)
Other contenders:4Techno Music (4/1), 8Malbec (9/2), 7Amberssohn (10/1)
Rest of field:6Classic Equation (15/1), 3Howitzer (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 524187
🎯 Longshots: 57681243
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Mo Java (5/2)
Place:2English Harbour (9/5)
Show:5Prism Pool Pat (9/2)
Other contenders:3With Kindness (5/1), 6Little Town Street (6/1)
Rest of field:4Fantasy World (12/1), 7Yell For More (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 125364
🎯 Longshots: 2134567
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:7Just A Girl (8/5)
Place:8Once And Floral (2/1)
Show:1Wild Night (9/2)
Other contenders:5Conquistadora (12/1), 4Dilly Dally (15/1), 2Chucks Auburn Girl (12/1)
Rest of field:9A Little Presley (20/1), 3Honey D'oro (10/1), 6Senta Says (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 781542
🎯 Longshots: 781435926
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6If Not For Luck (5/2)
Place:2Banneker (2/1)
Show:1Captain Eddie (5/1)
Other contenders:5Uncle Dar (9/2), 3Three Zero (3/1)
Rest of field:4Celtic Pride (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621534
🎯 Longshots: 625314
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Dream Dancer (9/5)
Place:3Hillbilly Bob (2/1)
Show:4Gus Swayze (9/2)
Other contenders:1Khopesh (8/1), 2Khetam (8/1), 8Disattached (12/1)
Rest of field:7Power From Above (15/1), 6David Pepperman (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 534128
🎯 Longshots: 53124786
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Gulfstream Park — win rate vs the experts

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 191 graded races at Gulfstream Park, 2026-09-06 to 2026-11-01.

0%9%18%27%36%Our top pick: 28.8% from 191 racesOur top pick28.8%Expert consensus pick: 26.7% from 191 racesExpert consensus pick26.7%

The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick28.8%191
Expert consensus pick26.7%191
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:3Pardo (3/1) 30% · fair 5-2 overlay +31%
Place:9Ruleroftheuniverse (7/2) 21% · fair 7-2
Show:5My Boy Stan (5/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -53%
Other contenders:4Sunday Song (4/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -39%, 2Sea God (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -34%, 8Action Delight (12/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -29%
Rest of field:1To Joey (15/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -34%, 6Bleu Martini (20/1) 1% · fair 76-1 underlay -74%, 7Last Shall B First (30/1) 1% · fair 385-2 underlay -84%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Pardo — 30.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Pardo30.5% ◀Ruleroftheuniverse — 21.4% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ruleroftheuniverse21.4%My Boy Stan — 15.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1My Boy Stan15.8%Sunday Song — 13.2% win probability, morning line 4/1Sunday Song13.2%Sea God — 7.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Sea God7.6%Action Delight — 5.6% win probability, morning line 12/1Action Delight5.6%To Joey — 4.2% win probability, morning line 15/1To Joey4.2%Bleu Martini — 1.3% win probability, morning line 20/1Bleu Martini1.3%Last Shall B First — 0.5% win probability, morning line 30/1Last Shall B First0.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Pardo30.5%3/1
Ruleroftheuniverse21.4%3.5/1
My Boy Stan15.8%2.5/1
Sunday Song13.2%4/1
Sea God7.6%8/1
Action Delight5.6%12/1
To Joey4.2%15/1
Bleu Martini1.3%20/1
Last Shall B First0.5%30/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPardo: model 30.5% vs market 19.4% (+11.1 points)Pardo+11.1Ruleroftheuniverse: model 21.4% vs market 17.2% (+4.1 points)Ruleroftheuniverse+4.1My Boy Stan: model 15.8% vs market 22.2% (-6.4 points)My Boy Stan-6.4Sunday Song: model 13.2% vs market 15.5% (-2.3 points)Sunday Song-2.3Sea God: model 7.6% vs market 8.6% (-1.0 points)Sea God-1.0Action Delight: model 5.6% vs market 6.0% (-0.4 points)Action Delight-0.4To Joey: model 4.2% vs market 4.9% (-0.6 points)To Joey-0.6Bleu Martini: model 1.3% vs market 3.7% (-2.4 points)Bleu Martini-2.4Last Shall B First: model 0.5% vs market 2.5% (-2.0 points)Last Shall B First-2.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Pardo30.5%19.4%+11.1
Ruleroftheuniverse21.4%17.2%+4.1
My Boy Stan15.8%22.2%-6.4
Sunday Song13.2%15.5%-2.3
Sea God7.6%8.6%-1.0
Action Delight5.6%6.0%-0.4
To Joey4.2%4.9%-0.6
Bleu Martini1.3%3.7%-2.4
Last Shall B First0.5%2.5%-2.0
🌧️ Off-track: 395428
🎯 Longshots: 395281467
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:6Copper Creole (3/1) 33% · fair 2-1 overlay +51%
Place:4Everymomentmatters (5/2) 26% · fair 3-1
Show:2Cryptic Thunder (2/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -49%
Other contenders:5Gran Judgement (9/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -46%, 3Celestial Hymn (8/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -67%
Rest of field:1Camm's Girl (20/1) 4% · fair 51-2, 7Higher Self (15/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -67%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Copper Creole — 33.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Copper Creole33.4% ◀Everymomentmatters — 25.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Everymomentmatters25.8%Cryptic Thunder — 20.2% win probability, morning line 2/1Cryptic Thunder20.2%Gran Judgement — 10.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Gran Judgement10.7%Celestial Hymn — 3.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Celestial Hymn3.9%Camm'S Girl — 3.8% win probability, morning line 20/1Camm'S Girl3.8%Higher Self — 2.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Higher Self2.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Copper Creole33.4%3/1
Everymomentmatters25.8%2.5/1
Cryptic Thunder20.2%2/1
Gran Judgement10.7%4.5/1
Celestial Hymn3.9%8/1
Camm'S Girl3.8%20/1
Higher Self2.1%15/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCopper Creole: model 33.4% vs market 19.7% (+13.8 points)Copper Creole+13.8Everymomentmatters: model 25.8% vs market 22.5% (+3.3 points)Everymomentmatters+3.3Cryptic Thunder: model 20.2% vs market 26.2% (-6.0 points)Cryptic Thunder-6.0Gran Judgement: model 10.7% vs market 14.3% (-3.5 points)Gran Judgement-3.5Celestial Hymn: model 3.9% vs market 8.7% (-4.8 points)Celestial Hymn-4.8Camm'S Girl: model 3.8% vs market 3.7% (+0.0 points)Camm'S Girl+0.0Higher Self: model 2.1% vs market 4.9% (-2.8 points)Higher Self-2.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Copper Creole33.4%19.7%+13.8
Everymomentmatters25.8%22.5%+3.3
Cryptic Thunder20.2%26.2%-6.0
Gran Judgement10.7%14.3%-3.5
Celestial Hymn3.9%8.7%-4.8
Camm'S Girl3.8%3.7%+0.0
Higher Self2.1%4.9%-2.8
🌧️ Off-track: 642537
🎯 Longshots: 4265317
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:6Amande (7/5) 28% · fair 5-2 underlay -45%
Place:2Misprint (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:1Free To Roam (4/1) 19% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:7Any Moment (5/1) 16% · fair 5-1, 5Drum Roll (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2
Rest of field:4Five Eyes Onmichel (12/1) 3% · fair 57-2 underlay -58%, 3R Firebird (20/1) 2% · fair 58-1 underlay -65%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Amande — 28.1% win probability, morning line 1.4/1Amande28.1% ◀Misprint — 22.0% win probability, morning line 3/1Misprint22.0%Free To Roam — 19.3% win probability, morning line 4/1Free To Roam19.3%Any Moment — 16.1% win probability, morning line 5/1Any Moment16.1%Drum Roll — 9.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Drum Roll9.4%Five Eyes Onmichel — 3.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Five Eyes Onmichel3.4%R Firebird — 1.7% win probability, morning line 20/1R Firebird1.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Amande28.1%1.4/1
Misprint22.0%3/1
Free To Roam19.3%4/1
Any Moment16.1%5/1
Drum Roll9.4%8/1
Five Eyes Onmichel3.4%12/1
R Firebird1.7%20/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAmande: model 28.1% vs market 32.8% (-4.7 points)Amande-4.7Misprint: model 22.0% vs market 19.7% (+2.3 points)Misprint+2.3Free To Roam: model 19.3% vs market 15.8% (+3.5 points)Free To Roam+3.5Any Moment: model 16.1% vs market 13.1% (+3.0 points)Any Moment+3.0Drum Roll: model 9.4% vs market 8.8% (+0.6 points)Drum Roll+0.6Five Eyes Onmichel: model 3.4% vs market 6.1% (-2.6 points)Five Eyes Onmichel-2.6R Firebird: model 1.7% vs market 3.8% (-2.1 points)R Firebird-2.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Amande28.1%32.8%-4.7
Misprint22.0%19.7%+2.3
Free To Roam19.3%15.8%+3.5
Any Moment16.1%13.1%+3.0
Drum Roll9.4%8.8%+0.6
Five Eyes Onmichel3.4%6.1%-2.6
R Firebird1.7%3.8%-2.1
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6521743
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:4Pax Mundi (7/5) 29% · fair 5-2 underlay -44%
Place:2Parnassus (5/2) 26% · fair 3-1
Show:5Coristine (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Other contenders:1Flamefire (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 3Mary's Memphis (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -40%
Rest of field:6Yastrzemski (12/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -75%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Pax Mundi — 28.7% win probability, morning line 1.4/1Pax Mundi28.7% ◀Parnassus — 25.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Parnassus25.9%Coristine — 22.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Coristine22.3%Flamefire — 14.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Flamefire14.0%Mary'S Memphis — 7.0% win probability, morning line 8/1Mary'S Memphis7.0%Yastrzemski — 2.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Yastrzemski2.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Pax Mundi28.7%1.4/1
Parnassus25.9%2.5/1
Coristine22.3%3/1
Flamefire14.0%6/1
Mary'S Memphis7.0%8/1
Yastrzemski2.0%12/1
🌧️ Off-track: 425136
🎯 Longshots: 425316
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:5Inherent Promise (3/1) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:1Yamal (5/1) 19% · fair 4-1
Show:4Techno Music (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:8Malbec (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -32%, 2One More Duke (5/2) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -71%, 7Amberssohn (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -27%
Rest of field:6Classic Equation (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -30%, 3Howitzer (20/1) 2% · fair 89-2 underlay -55%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Inherent Promise — 24.9% win probability, morning line 3/1Inherent Promise24.9% ◀Yamal — 19.3% win probability, morning line 5/1Yamal19.3%Techno Music — 18.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Techno Music18.8%Malbec — 13.1% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Malbec13.1%One More Duke — 10.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1One More Duke10.5%Amberssohn — 6.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Amberssohn6.8%Classic Equation — 4.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Classic Equation4.5%Howitzer — 2.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Howitzer2.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Inherent Promise24.9%3/1
Yamal19.3%5/1
Techno Music18.8%4/1
Malbec13.1%4.5/1
One More Duke10.5%2.5/1
Amberssohn6.8%10/1
Classic Equation4.5%15/1
Howitzer2.2%20/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherInherent Promise: model 24.9% vs market 19.5% (+5.4 points)Inherent Promise+5.4Yamal: model 19.3% vs market 13.0% (+6.3 points)Yamal+6.3Techno Music: model 18.8% vs market 15.6% (+3.3 points)Techno Music+3.3Malbec: model 13.1% vs market 14.1% (-1.1 points)Malbec-1.1One More Duke: model 10.5% vs market 22.2% (-11.7 points)One More Duke-11.7Amberssohn: model 6.8% vs market 7.1% (-0.3 points)Amberssohn-0.3Classic Equation: model 4.5% vs market 4.9% (-0.4 points)Classic Equation-0.4Howitzer: model 2.2% vs market 3.7% (-1.5 points)Howitzer-1.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Inherent Promise24.9%19.5%+5.4
Yamal19.3%13.0%+6.3
Techno Music18.8%15.6%+3.3
Malbec13.1%14.1%-1.1
One More Duke10.5%22.2%-11.7
Amberssohn6.8%7.1%-0.3
Classic Equation4.5%4.9%-0.4
Howitzer2.2%3.7%-1.5
🌧️ Off-track: 541287
🎯 Longshots: 57681243
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Mo Java (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Place:3With Kindness (5/1) 21% · fair 7-2 overlay +36%
Show:2English Harbour (9/5) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -60%
Other contenders:5Prism Pool Pat (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2, 6Little Town Street (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%
Rest of field:7Yell For More (12/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -43%, 4Fantasy World (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -47%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mo Java — 23.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Mo Java23.7% ◀With Kindness — 21.4% win probability, morning line 5/1With Kindness21.4%English Harbour — 18.3% win probability, morning line 1.8/1English Harbour18.3%Prism Pool Pat — 17.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Prism Pool Pat17.5%Little Town Street — 10.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Little Town Street10.3%Yell For More — 4.6% win probability, morning line 12/1Yell For More4.6%Fantasy World — 4.2% win probability, morning line 12/1Fantasy World4.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mo Java23.7%2.5/1
With Kindness21.4%5/1
English Harbour18.3%1.8/1
Prism Pool Pat17.5%4.5/1
Little Town Street10.3%6/1
Yell For More4.6%12/1
Fantasy World4.2%12/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMo Java: model 23.7% vs market 22.2% (+1.5 points)Mo Java+1.5With Kindness: model 21.4% vs market 12.9% (+8.5 points)With Kindness+8.5English Harbour: model 18.3% vs market 27.7% (-9.5 points)English Harbour-9.5Prism Pool Pat: model 17.5% vs market 14.1% (+3.4 points)Prism Pool Pat+3.4Little Town Street: model 10.3% vs market 11.1% (-0.8 points)Little Town Street-0.8Yell For More: model 4.6% vs market 6.0% (-1.4 points)Yell For More-1.4Fantasy World: model 4.2% vs market 6.0% (-1.7 points)Fantasy World-1.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Mo Java23.7%22.2%+1.5
With Kindness21.4%12.9%+8.5
English Harbour18.3%27.7%-9.5
Prism Pool Pat17.5%14.1%+3.4
Little Town Street10.3%11.1%-0.8
Yell For More4.6%6.0%-1.4
Fantasy World4.2%6.0%-1.7
🌧️ Off-track: 123567
🎯 Longshots: 2134567
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:7Just A Girl (8/5) 42% · fair 3-2
Place:8Once And Floral (2/1) 30% · fair 5-2
Show:5Conquistadora (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1
Other contenders:2Chucks Auburn Girl (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%, 4Dilly Dally (15/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -36%, 9A Little Presley (20/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -32%
Rest of field:1Wild Night (9/2) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -86%, 6Senta Says (30/1) 3% · fair 33-1, 3Honey D'oro (10/1) 2% · fair 60-1 underlay -83%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Just A Girl — 42.4% win probability, morning line 1.6/1Just A Girl42.4% ◀Once And Floral — 29.6% win probability, morning line 2/1Once And Floral29.6%Conquistadora — 8.2% win probability, morning line 12/1Conquistadora8.2%Chucks Auburn Girl — 5.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Chucks Auburn Girl5.0%Dilly Dally — 4.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Dilly Dally4.1%A Little Presley — 3.3% win probability, morning line 20/1A Little Presley3.3%Wild Night — 3.0% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Wild Night3.0%Senta Says — 2.9% win probability, morning line 30/1Senta Says2.9%Honey D'Oro — 1.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Honey D'Oro1.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Just A Girl42.4%1.6/1
Once And Floral29.6%2/1
Conquistadora8.2%12/1
Chucks Auburn Girl5.0%12/1
Dilly Dally4.1%15/1
A Little Presley3.3%20/1
Wild Night3.0%4.5/1
Senta Says2.9%30/1
Honey D'Oro1.6%10/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherJust A Girl: model 42.4% vs market 29.9% (+12.5 points)Just A Girl+12.5Once And Floral: model 29.6% vs market 25.9% (+3.7 points)Once And Floral+3.7Conquistadora: model 8.2% vs market 6.0% (+2.2 points)Conquistadora+2.2Chucks Auburn Girl: model 5.0% vs market 6.0% (-1.0 points)Chucks Auburn Girl-1.0Dilly Dally: model 4.1% vs market 4.9% (-0.8 points)Dilly Dally-0.8A Little Presley: model 3.3% vs market 3.7% (-0.4 points)A Little Presley-0.4Wild Night: model 3.0% vs market 14.1% (-11.2 points)Wild Night-11.2Senta Says: model 2.9% vs market 2.5% (+0.4 points)Senta Says+0.4Honey D'Oro: model 1.6% vs market 7.1% (-5.4 points)Honey D'Oro-5.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Just A Girl42.4%29.9%+12.5
Once And Floral29.6%25.9%+3.7
Conquistadora8.2%6.0%+2.2
Chucks Auburn Girl5.0%6.0%-1.0
Dilly Dally4.1%4.9%-0.8
A Little Presley3.3%3.7%-0.4
Wild Night3.0%14.1%-11.2
Senta Says2.9%2.5%+0.4
Honey D'Oro1.6%7.1%-5.4
🌧️ Off-track: 781532
🎯 Longshots: 781435926
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:2Banneker (2/1) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -35%
Place:6If Not For Luck (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:1Captain Eddie (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:5Uncle Dar (9/2) 17% · fair 5-1, 3Three Zero (3/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -54%
Rest of field:4Celtic Pride (15/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -34%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Banneker — 24.4% win probability, morning line 2/1Banneker24.4% ◀If Not For Luck — 23.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1If Not For Luck23.7%Captain Eddie — 17.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Captain Eddie17.7%Uncle Dar — 16.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Uncle Dar16.7%Three Zero — 13.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Three Zero13.3%Celtic Pride — 4.2% win probability, morning line 15/1Celtic Pride4.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Banneker24.4%2/1
If Not For Luck23.7%2.5/1
Captain Eddie17.7%5/1
Uncle Dar16.7%4.5/1
Three Zero13.3%3/1
Celtic Pride4.2%15/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherBanneker: model 24.4% vs market 26.0% (-1.7 points)Banneker-1.7If Not For Luck: model 23.7% vs market 22.3% (+1.4 points)If Not For Luck+1.4Captain Eddie: model 17.7% vs market 13.0% (+4.7 points)Captain Eddie+4.7Uncle Dar: model 16.7% vs market 14.2% (+2.5 points)Uncle Dar+2.5Three Zero: model 13.3% vs market 19.5% (-6.3 points)Three Zero-6.3Celtic Pride: model 4.2% vs market 4.9% (-0.7 points)Celtic Pride-0.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Banneker24.4%26.0%-1.7
If Not For Luck23.7%22.3%+1.4
Captain Eddie17.7%13.0%+4.7
Uncle Dar16.7%14.2%+2.5
Three Zero13.3%19.5%-6.3
Celtic Pride4.2%4.9%-0.7
🌧️ Off-track: 263514
🎯 Longshots: 625314
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:5Dream Dancer (9/5) 32% · fair 2-1
Place:3Hillbilly Bob (2/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -51%
Show:4Gus Swayze (9/2) 19% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:1Khopesh (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 2Khetam (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 8Disattached (12/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -51%
Rest of field:7Power From Above (15/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -53%, 6David Pepperman (15/1) 3% · fair 73-2 underlay -59%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Dream Dancer — 31.6% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Dream Dancer31.6% ◀Hillbilly Bob — 19.7% win probability, morning line 2/1Hillbilly Bob19.7%Gus Swayze — 18.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Gus Swayze18.7%Khopesh — 11.1% win probability, morning line 8/1Khopesh11.1%Khetam — 9.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Khetam9.2%Disattached — 3.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Disattached3.9%Power From Above — 3.0% win probability, morning line 15/1Power From Above3.0%David Pepperman — 2.7% win probability, morning line 15/1David Pepperman2.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Dream Dancer31.6%1.8/1
Hillbilly Bob19.7%2/1
Gus Swayze18.7%4.5/1
Khopesh11.1%8/1
Khetam9.2%8/1
Disattached3.9%12/1
Power From Above3.0%15/1
David Pepperman2.7%15/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherDream Dancer: model 31.6% vs market 27.5% (+4.1 points)Dream Dancer+4.1Hillbilly Bob: model 19.7% vs market 25.7% (-6.0 points)Hillbilly Bob-6.0Gus Swayze: model 18.7% vs market 14.0% (+4.7 points)Gus Swayze+4.7Khopesh: model 11.1% vs market 8.6% (+2.5 points)Khopesh+2.5Khetam: model 9.2% vs market 8.6% (+0.7 points)Khetam+0.7Disattached: model 3.9% vs market 5.9% (-2.0 points)Disattached-2.0Power From Above: model 3.0% vs market 4.8% (-1.8 points)Power From Above-1.8David Pepperman: model 2.7% vs market 4.8% (-2.1 points)David Pepperman-2.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Dream Dancer31.6%27.5%+4.1
Hillbilly Bob19.7%25.7%-6.0
Gus Swayze18.7%14.0%+4.7
Khopesh11.1%8.6%+2.5
Khetam9.2%8.6%+0.7
Disattached3.9%5.9%-2.0
Power From Above3.0%4.8%-1.8
David Pepperman2.7%4.8%-2.1
🌧️ Off-track: 534128
🎯 Longshots: 53124786
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:3Pardo (3/1)
Place:9Ruleroftheuniverse (7/2)
Show:5My Boy Stan (5/2)
Other contenders:4Sunday Song (4/1), 8Action Delight (12/1), 2Sea God (8/1)
Rest of field:1To Joey (15/1), 6Bleu Martini (20/1), 7Last Shall B First (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 359428
🎯 Longshots: 395281467
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Everymomentmatters (5/2)
Place:2Cryptic Thunder (2/1)
Show:6Copper Creole (3/1)
Other contenders:5Gran Judgement (9/2), 3Celestial Hymn (8/1)
Rest of field:1Camm's Girl (20/1), 7Higher Self (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 426537
🎯 Longshots: 4265317
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:6Amande (7/5)
Place:2Misprint (3/1)
Show:7Any Moment (5/1)
Other contenders:1Free To Roam (4/1), 5Drum Roll (8/1)
Rest of field:4Five Eyes Onmichel (12/1), 3R Firebird (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6521743
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #7, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:4Pax Mundi (7/5)
Place:2Parnassus (5/2)
Show:5Coristine (3/1)
Other contenders:1Flamefire (6/1), 3Mary's Memphis (8/1)
Rest of field:6Yastrzemski (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 425136
🎯 Longshots: 425316
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:5Inherent Promise (3/1)
Place:2One More Duke (5/2)
Show:1Yamal (5/1)
Other contenders:4Techno Music (4/1), 8Malbec (9/2), 7Amberssohn (10/1)
Rest of field:6Classic Equation (15/1), 3Howitzer (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 254187
🎯 Longshots: 57681243
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Mo Java (5/2)
Place:2English Harbour (9/5)
Show:3With Kindness (5/1)
Other contenders:5Prism Pool Pat (9/2), 6Little Town Street (6/1)
Rest of field:4Fantasy World (12/1), 7Yell For More (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 125364
🎯 Longshots: 2134567
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:7Just A Girl (8/5)
Place:8Once And Floral (2/1)
Show:5Conquistadora (12/1)
Other contenders:1Wild Night (9/2), 4Dilly Dally (15/1), 2Chucks Auburn Girl (12/1)
Rest of field:6Senta Says (30/1), 3Honey D'oro (10/1), 9A Little Presley (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 781532
🎯 Longshots: 781435926
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:2Banneker (2/1)
Place:6If Not For Luck (5/2)
Show:1Captain Eddie (5/1)
Other contenders:5Uncle Dar (9/2), 3Three Zero (3/1)
Rest of field:4Celtic Pride (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 263514
🎯 Longshots: 625314
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Hillbilly Bob (2/1)
Place:5Dream Dancer (9/5)
Show:4Gus Swayze (9/2)
Other contenders:1Khopesh (8/1), 2Khetam (8/1), 8Disattached (12/1)
Rest of field:6David Pepperman (15/1), 7Power From Above (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 534128
🎯 Longshots: 53124786
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #3 over #5 ($1 straight; box #3-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #5, #4, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
Race 2AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #6 over #2 ($1 straight; box #6-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #1, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #2, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #5 over #2 ($1 straight; box #5-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #7 over #8 ($1 straight; box #7-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #5, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #2 over #6 ($1 straight; box #2-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #2, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #5 over #3 ($1 straight; box #5-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:3Pardo (3/1)
Place:9Ruleroftheuniverse (7/2)
Show:5My Boy Stan (5/2)
Other contenders:4Sunday Song (4/1), 2Sea God (8/1), 8Action Delight (12/1)
Rest of field:1To Joey (15/1), 6Bleu Martini (20/1), 7Last Shall B First (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 359428
🎯 Longshots: 395281467
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Everymomentmatters (5/2)
Place:2Cryptic Thunder (2/1)
Show:6Copper Creole (3/1)
Other contenders:5Gran Judgement (9/2), 3Celestial Hymn (8/1)
Rest of field:1Camm's Girl (20/1), 7Higher Self (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 246537
🎯 Longshots: 4265317
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:6Amande (7/5)
Place:2Misprint (3/1)
Show:7Any Moment (5/1)
Other contenders:1Free To Roam (4/1), 5Drum Roll (8/1)
Rest of field:4Five Eyes Onmichel (12/1), 3R Firebird (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6521743
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #7, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:4Pax Mundi (7/5)
Place:5Coristine (3/1)
Show:2Parnassus (5/2)
Other contenders:3Mary's Memphis (8/1), 1Flamefire (6/1)
Rest of field:6Yastrzemski (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 425136
🎯 Longshots: 425316
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:2One More Duke (5/2)
Place:5Inherent Promise (3/1)
Show:1Yamal (5/1)
Other contenders:4Techno Music (4/1), 8Malbec (9/2), 6Classic Equation (15/1)
Rest of field:7Amberssohn (10/1), 3Howitzer (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 254187
🎯 Longshots: 57681243
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Mo Java (5/2)
Place:3With Kindness (5/1)
Show:2English Harbour (9/5)
Other contenders:5Prism Pool Pat (9/2), 6Little Town Street (6/1)
Rest of field:4Fantasy World (12/1), 7Yell For More (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 123564
🎯 Longshots: 2134567
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:7Just A Girl (8/5)
Place:8Once And Floral (2/1)
Show:1Wild Night (9/2)
Other contenders:4Dilly Dally (15/1), 5Conquistadora (12/1), 2Chucks Auburn Girl (12/1)
Rest of field:3Honey D'oro (10/1), 9A Little Presley (20/1), 6Senta Says (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 781352
🎯 Longshots: 781435926
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:6If Not For Luck (5/2)
Place:2Banneker (2/1)
Show:1Captain Eddie (5/1)
Other contenders:5Uncle Dar (9/2), 3Three Zero (3/1)
Rest of field:4Celtic Pride (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 263154
🎯 Longshots: 625314
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Hillbilly Bob (2/1)
Place:5Dream Dancer (9/5)
Show:4Gus Swayze (9/2)
Other contenders:1Khopesh (8/1), 2Khetam (8/1), 8Disattached (12/1)
Rest of field:6David Pepperman (15/1), 7Power From Above (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 354128
🎯 Longshots: 53124786
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:3Pardo (3/1)
Place:5My Boy Stan (5/2)
Show:4Sunday Song (4/1)
Other contenders:9Ruleroftheuniverse (7/2), 2Sea God (8/1), 8Action Delight (12/1)
Rest of field:1To Joey (15/1), 6Bleu Martini (20/1), 7Last Shall B First (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 359428
🎯 Longshots: 395281467
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Everymomentmatters (5/2)
Place:6Copper Creole (3/1)
Show:2Cryptic Thunder (2/1)
Other contenders:5Gran Judgement (9/2), 3Celestial Hymn (8/1)
Rest of field:1Camm's Girl (20/1), 7Higher Self (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 426537
🎯 Longshots: 4265317
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:2Misprint (3/1)
Place:1Free To Roam (4/1)
Show:7Any Moment (5/1)
Other contenders:6Amande (7/5), 5Drum Roll (8/1)
Rest of field:4Five Eyes Onmichel (12/1), 3R Firebird (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 621754
🎯 Longshots: 6521743
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:4Pax Mundi (7/5)
Place:2Parnassus (5/2)
Show:5Coristine (3/1)
Other contenders:1Flamefire (6/1), 3Mary's Memphis (8/1)
Rest of field:6Yastrzemski (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 425136
🎯 Longshots: 425316
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Techno Music (4/1)
Place:5Inherent Promise (3/1)
Show:1Yamal (5/1)
Other contenders:2One More Duke (5/2), 8Malbec (9/2), 7Amberssohn (10/1)
Rest of field:6Classic Equation (15/1), 3Howitzer (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 542187
🎯 Longshots: 57681243
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:1Mo Java (5/2)
Place:2English Harbour (9/5)
Show:3With Kindness (5/1)
Other contenders:5Prism Pool Pat (9/2), 6Little Town Street (6/1)
Rest of field:4Fantasy World (12/1), 7Yell For More (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 215364
🎯 Longshots: 2134567
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:7Just A Girl (8/5)
Place:5Conquistadora (12/1)
Show:8Once And Floral (2/1)
Other contenders:1Wild Night (9/2), 4Dilly Dally (15/1), 2Chucks Auburn Girl (12/1)
Rest of field:9A Little Presley (20/1), 6Senta Says (30/1), 3Honey D'oro (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 781523
🎯 Longshots: 781435926
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #8, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:6If Not For Luck (5/2)
Place:2Banneker (2/1)
Show:1Captain Eddie (5/1)
Other contenders:5Uncle Dar (9/2), 3Three Zero (3/1)
Rest of field:4Celtic Pride (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 623154
🎯 Longshots: 625314
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Hillbilly Bob (2/1)
Place:5Dream Dancer (9/5)
Show:1Khopesh (8/1)
Other contenders:4Gus Swayze (9/2), 2Khetam (8/1), 8Disattached (12/1)
Rest of field:6David Pepperman (15/1), 7Power From Above (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 354128
🎯 Longshots: 53124786
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R2-4R2: #6,#4,#2 (79%) / R3: #6,#2,#1 (69%) / R4: #4,#2,#5 (77%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 42%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #5,#1,#4 (63%) / R6: #1,#3,#2 (63%) / R7: #7,#8 (72%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R6-8R6: #1,#3,#2 (63%) / R7: #7,#8 (72%) / R8: #2,#6,#1 (66%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30%
Pick 3 R7-9R7: #7,#8 (72%) / R8: #2,#6,#1 (66%) / R9: #5,#3,#4 (70%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33%
Pick 4 R4-7R4: #4,#2,#5 (77%) / R5: #5,#1,#4 (63%) / R6: #1,#3,#2 (63%) / R7: #7,#8 (72%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22%
Pick 4 R6-9R6: #1,#3,#2 (63%) / R7: #7,#8 (72%) / R8: #2,#6,#1 (66%) / R9: #5,#3,#4 (70%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
A LITTLE PRESLEYACTION DELIGHTAMANDEAMBERSSOHNANY MOMENT
BLEU MARTINICAMM'S GIRLCAPTAIN EDDIECELESTIAL HYMNCELTIC PRIDE
CLASSIC EQUATIONCONQUISTADORACOPPER CREOLECORISTINECRYPTIC THUNDER
DILLY DALLYDISATTACHEDDREAM DANCERDRUM ROLLENGLISH HARBOUR
FANTASY WORLDFIVE EYES ONMICHELFLAMEFIREFREE TO ROAMGRAN JUDGEMENT
HIGHER SELFHILLBILLY BOBHONEY D'OROHOWITZERIF NOT FOR LUCK
JUST A GIRLKHETAMKHOPESHLAST SHALL B FIRSTLITTLE TOWN STREET
MARY'S MEMPHISMISPRINTMO JAVAMY BOY STANONCE AND FLORAL
PARDOPARNASSUSPAX MUNDIPOWER FROM ABOVEPRISM POOL PAT
RULEROFTHEUNIVERSESEA GODSENTA SAYSSUNDAY SONGTECHNO MUSIC
TO JOEYUNCLE DARWILD NIGHTWITH KINDNESSYAMAL
YELL FOR MORE

 


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