Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Aladante (5/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Mr. Sweets (8/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Chi Town Prince (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bridge Classic (7/2), 5 – Poncho Attack (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Rodavlas (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-3-2-5-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – I'm Hungover (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Tour De' Port (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Lilas Oak Tree (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stylish Girl (5/1), 4 – Wave Of Memories (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Izzy's Monster (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – End Of Innocence (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Crushed Ice (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Sally's Suprise (9/2), 4 – What's To Do (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ketchum (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Racarino (9/5) |
| Show: | 4 – He Gone (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Joe The Tailor (3/1), 3 – Kazoom (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Whiskeyinateacup (8/1), 2 – Gunny Sack (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-1-4-3-6-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 7 – Royal Bro (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Bote (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Last Moon (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bourbon Street Boy (10/1), 2 – J J's Solution (8/1), 3 – Howard's Grit (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – A P Blazing Green (5/1), 5 – Last Return (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-2-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-6-8-2-3-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stronger Together (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – People Force (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Global Empire (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Electric Charge (6/1), 4 – Sixwillberich (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Regimental (6/1), 7 – Blurt (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-2-7-4-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – My Lady Slew (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Visionista (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Lotta Roses (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – April's Gem (9/2), 9 – Memphis Cash Queen (8/1), 2 – Shakrevenge (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Desert Glow (10/1), 1 – Scrapbook (15/1), 7 – Ballybay Beauty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-6-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-3-4-9-2-1-5-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Aladante (5/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Mr. Sweets (8/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Chi Town Prince (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bridge Classic (7/2), 5 – Poncho Attack (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Rodavlas (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-3-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-3-2-5-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – I'm Hungover (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Lilas Oak Tree (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tour De' Port (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Wave Of Memories (6/1), 1 – Stylish Girl (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – End Of Innocence (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Izzy's Monster (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Sally's Suprise (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Crushed Ice (7/2), 4 – What's To Do (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ketchum (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Racarino (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Joe The Tailor (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – He Gone (5/2), 3 – Kazoom (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Gunny Sack (5/1), 6 – Whiskeyinateacup (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-7-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-1-4-3-6-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bote (4/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Royal Bro (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Bourbon Street Boy (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Last Moon (7/2), 8 – A P Blazing Green (5/1), 2 – J J's Solution (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Last Return (20/1), 3 – Howard's Grit (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-6-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-6-8-2-3-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Stronger Together (9/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Global Empire (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – People Force (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Regimental (6/1), 3 – Electric Charge (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Sixwillberich (5/1), 7 – Blurt (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-2-7-4-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – My Lady Slew (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Visionista (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Shakrevenge (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – April's Gem (9/2), 9 – Memphis Cash Queen (8/1), 3 – Lotta Roses (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Scrapbook (15/1), 5 – Desert Glow (10/1), 7 – Ballybay Beauty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-6-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-3-4-9-2-1-5-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Aladante (5/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Chi Town Prince (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Bridge Classic (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Poncho Attack (5/2), 1 – Mr. Sweets (8/5) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Rodavlas (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-3-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-3-2-5-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – I'm Hungover (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Lilas Oak Tree (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tour De' Port (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stylish Girl (5/1), 4 – Wave Of Memories (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – End Of Innocence (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Izzy's Monster (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Sally's Suprise (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Crushed Ice (7/2), 4 – What's To Do (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-1-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ketchum (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Kazoom (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Racarino (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – He Gone (5/2), 1 – Joe The Tailor (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Gunny Sack (5/1), 6 – Whiskeyinateacup (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-7-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-1-4-3-6-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bote (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Last Moon (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Royal Bro (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bourbon Street Boy (10/1), 8 – A P Blazing Green (5/1), 2 – J J's Solution (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Last Return (20/1), 3 – Howard's Grit (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-6-4-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-1-6-8-2-3-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Electric Charge (6/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Global Empire (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – People Force (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stronger Together (9/2), 4 – Sixwillberich (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Regimental (6/1), 7 – Blurt (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-6-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-3-2-7-4-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Visionista (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – My Lady Slew (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Shakrevenge (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – April's Gem (9/2), 3 – Lotta Roses (8/1), 9 – Memphis Cash Queen (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Desert Glow (10/1), 1 – Scrapbook (15/1), 7 – Ballybay Beauty (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-8-6-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-3-4-9-2-1-5-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 5 | 1 – Bourbon Street Boy | 10/1 | 14.9% | +64.0% | 1.60% | $3.20 |
| 7 | 1 – Scrapbook | 15/1 | 8.9% | +41.7% | 0.69% | $1.39 |
| 7 | 5 – Desert Glow | 10/1 | 12.7% | +40.1% | 1.00% | $2.01 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| A P BLAZING GREEN | ALADANTE | APRIL'S GEM | BALLYBAY BEAUTY | BLURT |
| BOURBON STREET BOY | BRIDGE CLASSIC | CHI TOWN PRINCE | CRUSHED ICE | DESERT GLOW |
| END OF INNOCENCE | GLOBAL EMPIRE | GUNNY SACK | HE GONE | HOWARD'S GRIT |
| IZZY'S MONSTER | J J'S SOLUTION | JOE THE TAILOR | KAZOOM | KETCHUM |
| LAST RETURN | LILAS OAK TREE | LOTTA ROSES | MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN | MR. SWEETS |
| PEOPLE FORCE | PONCHO ATTACK | RACARINO | REGIMENTAL | RODAVLAS |
| SALLY'S SUPRISE | SCRAPBOOK | SHAKREVENGE | SIXWILLBERICH | STRONGER TOGETHER |
| TOUR DE' PORT | VISIONISTA | WAVE OF MEMORIES | WHAT'S TO DO | WHISKEYINATEACUP |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
