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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Hawthorne September 28, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 3 – Mark My Memory (8/5)
Place: 6 – Rumbling (5/2)
Show: 7 – Tuff Heart (5/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Gray Mike (10/1), 4 – Blakely’S Boy (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Racing The Light (8/1)
Place: 3 – Spinning Glory (8/5)
Show: 5 – Night Blue (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Wildwood Adios (2/1), 6 – Tizmeonemoretime (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 2 – Beehive (4/1)
Place: 1 – Oeuvre (1/1)
Show: 6 – Prancipants (12/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Too Much Tuesday (8/1), 4 – Cloey Attack (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 6 – Skip The Line (7/2)
Place: 1 – Little Steven (5/2)
Show: 8 – Verrazanointhesky (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – New Year Surprise (6/1), 3 – Arromax (12/1), 5 – Handsoffthegoods (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Paros (10/1)
Place: 10 – Emmanuel (4/1)
Show: 4 – Frosty View (12/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Out Of Deductions (6/1), 1 – Golden Bandit (15/1), 3 – Spellcast (15/1), 9 – Bal A Kazoo (12/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Cat Attack (6/1)
Place: 3 – Test Pilot (10/1)
Show: 2 – Cliff Diver (9/2)
Other contenders: 5 – Wellswort (8/1), 9 – Wodeton (4/1), 10 – Wicked Suprise (12/1), 7 – Freedom Lass (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 1 – Espada (6/1)
Place: 2 – She’S Tops (8/1)
Show: 3 – Special Sauce (3/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Cloudy Lass (4/1), 5 – Lilas Oak Tree (12/1), 6 – Petronia Street (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Polska Sue (2/1)
Place: 7 – Rose’S Wish (8/1)
Show: 4 – Drama Speaker (7/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Cheval B (4/1), 3 – Trinitythreeinone (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Mary’S Boon (8/1)
Place: 9 – More Than A Diva (10/1)
Show: 10 – Raceday Attire (8/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Frosted Eclair (5/1), 8 – Miss River Rat (3/1), 4 – Empirical View (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 3 – Mark My Memory (8/5)
Place: 6 – Rumbling (5/2)
Show: 7 – Tuff Heart (5/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Gray Mike (10/1), 4 – Blakely’S Boy (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Racing The Light (8/1)
Place: 3 – Spinning Glory (8/5)
Show: 5 – Night Blue (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Wildwood Adios (2/1), 6 – Tizmeonemoretime (5/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – Oeuvre (1/1)
Place: 2 – Beehive (4/1)
Show: 3 – Too Much Tuesday (8/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Prancipants (12/1), 4 – Cloey Attack (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 6 – Skip The Line (7/2)
Place: 1 – Little Steven (5/2)
Show: 8 – Verrazanointhesky (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – New Year Surprise (6/1), 3 – Arromax (12/1), 5 – Handsoffthegoods (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Paros (10/1)
Place: 10 – Emmanuel (4/1)
Show: 8 – Out Of Deductions (6/1)
Other contenders: 9 – Bal A Kazoo (12/1), 4 – Frosty View (12/1), 3 – Spellcast (15/1), 1 – Golden Bandit (15/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Cat Attack (6/1)
Place: 3 – Test Pilot (10/1)
Show: 5 – Wellswort (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Cliff Diver (9/2), 9 – Wodeton (4/1), 10 – Wicked Suprise (12/1), 7 – Freedom Lass (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 1 – Espada (6/1)
Place: 2 – She’S Tops (8/1)
Show: 3 – Special Sauce (3/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Cloudy Lass (4/1), 5 – Lilas Oak Tree (12/1), 6 – Petronia Street (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Polska Sue (2/1)
Place: 7 – Rose’S Wish (8/1)
Show: 4 – Drama Speaker (7/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Cheval B (4/1), 3 – Trinitythreeinone (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Mary’S Boon (8/1)
Place: 9 – More Than A Diva (10/1)
Show: 5 – Frosted Eclair (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Miss River Rat (3/1), 10 – Raceday Attire (8/1), 4 – Empirical View (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 6 – Rumbling (5/2)
Place: 3 – Mark My Memory (8/5)
Show: 7 – Tuff Heart (5/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Gray Mike (10/1), 4 – Blakely’S Boy (9/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Racing The Light (8/1)
Place: 3 – Spinning Glory (8/5)
Show: 6 – Tizmeonemoretime (5/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Night Blue (8/1), 2 – Wildwood Adios (2/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 1 – Oeuvre (1/1)
Place: 2 – Beehive (4/1)
Show: 3 – Too Much Tuesday (8/1)
Other contenders: 6 – Prancipants (12/1), 4 – Cloey Attack (5/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 6 – Skip The Line (7/2)
Place: 1 – Little Steven (5/2)
Show: 8 – Verrazanointhesky (10/1)
Other contenders: 4 – New Year Surprise (6/1), 3 – Arromax (12/1), 5 – Handsoffthegoods (5/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Paros (10/1)
Place: 10 – Emmanuel (4/1)
Show: 8 – Out Of Deductions (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Spellcast (15/1), 4 – Frosty View (12/1), 1 – Golden Bandit (15/1), 7 – Katie M’Lady (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Test Pilot (10/1)
Place: 6 – Cat Attack (6/1)
Show: 2 – Cliff Diver (9/2)
Other contenders: 5 – Wellswort (8/1), 10 – Wicked Suprise (12/1), 9 – Wodeton (4/1), 7 – Freedom Lass (10/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 1 – Espada (6/1)
Place: 2 – She’S Tops (8/1)
Show: 3 – Special Sauce (3/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Cloudy Lass (4/1), 5 – Lilas Oak Tree (12/1), 6 – Petronia Street (20/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 1 – Polska Sue (2/1)
Place: 7 – Rose’S Wish (8/1)
Show: 4 – Drama Speaker (7/2)
Other contenders: 6 – Cheval B (4/1), 3 – Trinitythreeinone (6/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 2 – Mary’S Boon (8/1)
Place: 9 – More Than A Diva (10/1)
Show: 5 – Frosted Eclair (5/1)
Other contenders: 10 – Raceday Attire (8/1), 8 – Miss River Rat (3/1), 4 – Empirical View (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ANOTHER MYSTERY ARROMAX BAL A KAZOO BEEHIVE BLAKELY’S BOY
CAT ATTACK CHEVAL B CHROME ATTACK CLIFF DIVER CLOEY ATTACK
COMMISSIONER GULCH COMMISSIONER OSCAR CULTURE SHOCK DRAMA SPEAKER DREAM EAGLE
EMPIRICAL VIEW ESPADA FEARLESS SOLDIER FREEDOM LASS FROSTED ECLAIR
GOLDEN BANDIT GRAY MIKE HANDSOFFTHEGOODS HARPER BRIANA HEARTBREAK GAME
KENNEBEC KUZ I CAN MAN LAST CANDY LIL CARRIE D LILAS OAK TREE
MARK MY MEMORY MARY’S BOON MISS RIVER RAT MISTY SUNDAY MORE THAN A DIVA
MULSANNE NEW YEAR SURPRISE NIGHT BLUE OEUVRE OUT OF DEDUCTIONS
PETRONIA STREET POLSKA SUE PRANCIPANTS RACEDAY ATTIRE RACING THE LIGHT
ROSE’S WISH RUMBLING SHE’S TOPS SILVER QUARTERS SKIP THE LINE
SPELLCAST SPINNING GLORY STORM BACK TEMPER TANTRUM TEST PILOT
TOO MUCH TUESDAY TRINITYTHREEINONE TUFF HEART VERRAZANOINTHESKY VINO COURAGIO
WANDA STRONG WELLSWORT WICKED SUPRISE WILDWOOD ADIOS WODETON
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