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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – HCN, August 7, 2026

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Algo Picks – Algo 1ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $9,000
Win:6 – Canadian Jim (8/1)
Place:4 – Knight's Valor (2/1)
Show:5 – Azteca Mia (6/1)
Other contenders:3 – Ze'leonardbolt (5/1), 1 – Giulio Cesare (3/1)
Rest of field:2 – Expensive Game (4/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-5-3-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-1-5-2-6-3
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:5 – Haute Charlotte (6/1)
Place:1 – It Ain't Like That (2/1)
Show:2 – La Palabra (5/2)
Other contenders:4 – No More Shots (4/1), 3 – Global Risk (8/1)
Rest of field:7 – Don't Blink (15/1), 6 – Uncork It (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-7-4-2-3
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-6-7-5
 
Race 3  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:5 – Big Country Boy (5/2)
Place:4 – Skelly Road (9/2)
Show:2 – Spunoutofmymind (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Roman Eagle (7/2), 6 – Mitola (6/1)
Rest of field:3 – Wantabe (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-2-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3-6
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $6,300
Win:7 – Scallywag (4/1)
Place:5 – Just A Irish Lad (6/1)
Show:2 – Sarah's Boy Blue (5/2)
Other contenders:6 – Side Street Dave (7/2), 4 – Jumpingjaggerflash (10/1), 1 – Pure Crystal (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Tap The Brakes (12/1), 3 – Searchin Safari (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-2-3-6-4
🎯 Longshots: 2-5-4-6-7-3-1-8
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $17,500
Win:7 – Fast N Breezy (12/1)
Place:3 – Gio Factor (9/2)
Show:2 – Lady Mazatlan (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Tapiture's Lady (2/1), 5 – My Merino Mayor (5/1)
Rest of field:6 – Tellittothejudge (10/1), 1 – Sheeza Elektra (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-5-4-1-6
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-7-3-5-6-1
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $6,300
Win:9 – R D C Posse (10/1)
Place:2 – Prince Is My Boy (3/1)
Show:5 – Global Stage (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Zohere (6/1), 7 – Alterana (4/1), 1 – Stiff Drink (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – Dad Bod (8/1), 6 – Tough As An Ox (12/1), 4 – Optimal Trip (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-5-2-7-3-6
🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-7-9-8-3-6-4
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Knight's Valor (2/1)
Place:1 – Giulio Cesare (3/1)
Show:2 – Expensive Game (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – Canadian Jim (8/1), 3 – Ze'leonardbolt (5/1)
Rest of field:5 – Azteca Mia (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-3-5-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-1-5-2-6-3
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:2 – La Palabra (5/2)
Place:1 – It Ain't Like That (2/1)
Show:4 – No More Shots (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Global Risk (8/1), 7 – Don't Blink (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Haute Charlotte (6/1), 6 – Uncork It (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-2-4-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-6-7-5
 
Race 3  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:5 – Big Country Boy (5/2)
Place:2 – Spunoutofmymind (3/1)
Show:4 – Skelly Road (9/2)
Other contenders:6 – Mitola (6/1), 1 – Roman Eagle (7/2)
Rest of field:3 – Wantabe (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-4-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3-6
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $6,300
Win:2 – Sarah's Boy Blue (5/2)
Place:7 – Scallywag (4/1)
Show:1 – Pure Crystal (10/1)
Other contenders:4 – Jumpingjaggerflash (10/1), 5 – Just A Irish Lad (6/1), 3 – Searchin Safari (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Side Street Dave (7/2), 8 – Tap The Brakes (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-1-3-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-5-4-6-7-3-1-8
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $17,500
Win:2 – Lady Mazatlan (7/2)
Place:4 – Tapiture's Lady (2/1)
Show:5 – My Merino Mayor (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Gio Factor (9/2), 1 – Sheeza Elektra (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Tellittothejudge (10/1), 7 – Fast N Breezy (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-4-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-7-3-5-6-1
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $6,300
Win:2 – Prince Is My Boy (3/1)
Place:3 – Zohere (6/1)
Show:8 – Dad Bod (8/1)
Other contenders:5 – Global Stage (5/1), 9 – R D C Posse (10/1), 1 – Stiff Drink (8/1)
Rest of field:7 – Alterana (4/1), 4 – Optimal Trip (12/1), 6 – Tough As An Ox (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-5-7-9-8
🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-7-9-8-3-6-4
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Knight's Valor (2/1)
Place:1 – Giulio Cesare (3/1)
Show:2 – Expensive Game (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – Canadian Jim (8/1), 3 – Ze'leonardbolt (5/1)
Rest of field:5 – Azteca Mia (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-3-5-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-1-5-2-6-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:2 – La Palabra (5/2)
Place:1 – It Ain't Like That (2/1)
Show:4 – No More Shots (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Global Risk (8/1), 7 – Don't Blink (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Haute Charlotte (6/1), 6 – Uncork It (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-2-4-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-6-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:5 – Big Country Boy (5/2)
Place:2 – Spunoutofmymind (3/1)
Show:4 – Skelly Road (9/2)
Other contenders:6 – Mitola (6/1), 1 – Roman Eagle (7/2)
Rest of field:3 – Wantabe (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-4-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-1-4-3-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $6,300
Win:2 – Sarah's Boy Blue (5/2)
Place:7 – Scallywag (4/1)
Show:1 – Pure Crystal (10/1)
Other contenders:4 – Jumpingjaggerflash (10/1), 5 – Just A Irish Lad (6/1), 3 – Searchin Safari (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Side Street Dave (7/2), 8 – Tap The Brakes (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-1-3-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-5-4-6-7-3-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $17,500
Win:2 – Lady Mazatlan (7/2)
Place:4 – Tapiture's Lady (2/1)
Show:5 – My Merino Mayor (5/1)
Other contenders:3 – Gio Factor (9/2), 1 – Sheeza Elektra (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Tellittothejudge (10/1), 7 – Fast N Breezy (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-4-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-7-3-5-6-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $6,300
Win:2 – Prince Is My Boy (3/1)
Place:5 – Global Stage (5/1)
Show:3 – Zohere (6/1)
Other contenders:8 – Dad Bod (8/1), 9 – R D C Posse (10/1), 7 – Alterana (4/1)
Rest of field:1 – Stiff Drink (8/1), 4 – Optimal Trip (12/1), 6 – Tough As An Ox (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-3-7-9-8
🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-7-9-8-3-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
44 – Jumpingjaggerflash10/116.8%+67.7%1.69%$1.69
56 – Tellittothejudge10/116.8%+67.7%1.69%$1.69
TOTAL across 2 plays:3.4%$3.38
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ALTERANAAZTECA MIABIG COUNTRY BOYCANADIAN JIMDAD BOD
EXPENSIVE GAMEFAST N BREEZYGIO FACTORGIULIO CESAREGLOBAL RISK
HAUTE CHARLOTTEIT AIN'T LIKE THATJUMPINGJAGGERFLASHJUST A IRISH LADKNIGHT'S VALOR
LADY MAZATLANMITOLAMY MERINO MAYORNO MORE SHOTSOPTIMAL TRIP
PURE CRYSTALR D C POSSEROMAN EAGLESARAH'S BOY BLUESCALLYWAG
SHEEZA ELEKTRASIDE STREET DAVESKELLY ROADSPUNOUTOFMYMINDSTIFF DRINK
TAPITURE'S LADYTELLITTOTHEJUDGETOUGH AS AN OXUNCORK ITWANTABE
ZOHERE

 


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