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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Verb (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Skip The Line (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Seven Flat (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Texas Holdem (7/2), 2 – Cloudy Past (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Uxmal (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Norma Jean Bling (4/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Destiny's Grace (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Maybe So (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Taking It All (5/1), 4 – In The Vault (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Don't Blink (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-5-3-4-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sidetown (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Jumpingjaggerflash (8/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Feathers Road (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sophie's Painter (4/1), 4 – Scallywag (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Bluegrass Breeze (10/1), 7 – Youngdumbandbroke (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-4-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Mitola (10/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Big Country Boy (8/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Roman Eagle (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Oo It's Magic (9/2), 3 – Spunoutofmymind (4/1), 8 – Lyman (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mrs. D's Fool (5/1), 7 – Stunnem (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-4-3-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-6-7-5-2-8 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mitole's Limit (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Border Vigil (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Come On Mulitch (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – B L's Concerto (4/1), 2 – Louisiana Luca (8/1), 6 – Sippin Scotch (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Chou Chou D'aven (10/1), 5 – Maximum Grace (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-1-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-7-3-6-5-2-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – General Shipman (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Ships Log (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – P R Mo Vision (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Firespitten Kitten (9/2), 1 – City Slicken (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – They Call Me Moose (10/1), 4 – No Sando Czar Star (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-2-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-6-5-4-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Searchin Safari (8/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Risky With Whiskey (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Briggsey (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Further Evidence (7/2), 5 – Sarah's Boy Blue (6/1), 4 – Kajun Karma (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pinedale (15/1), 1 – Summer All Year (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-7-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-2-3-4-5-8-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Verb (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Skip The Line (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Seven Flat (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Texas Holdem (7/2), 2 – Cloudy Past (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Uxmal (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Maybe So (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Destiny's Grace (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – In The Vault (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Taking It All (5/1), 5 – Norma Jean Bling (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Don't Blink (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-5-3-4-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sidetown (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Feathers Road (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Sophie's Painter (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Scallywag (6/1), 1 – Jumpingjaggerflash (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Youngdumbandbroke (5/1), 3 – Bluegrass Breeze (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-4-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Lyman (6/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Roman Eagle (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Spunoutofmymind (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Big Country Boy (8/1), 2 – Mitola (10/1), 1 – Mrs. D's Fool (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Oo It's Magic (9/2), 7 – Stunnem (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-3-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-6-7-5-2-8 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mitole's Limit (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Come On Mulitch (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – B L's Concerto (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Border Vigil (7/2), 2 – Louisiana Luca (8/1), 5 – Maximum Grace (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sippin Scotch (10/1), 3 – Chou Chou D'aven (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-7-3-6-5-2-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – General Shipman (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Ships Log (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Firespitten Kitten (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – City Slicken (5/1), 2 – P R Mo Vision (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – They Call Me Moose (10/1), 4 – No Sando Czar Star (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-1-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-6-5-4-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Risky With Whiskey (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Further Evidence (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Briggsey (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kajun Karma (9/2), 8 – Searchin Safari (8/1), 5 – Sarah's Boy Blue (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pinedale (15/1), 1 – Summer All Year (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-7-4-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-2-3-4-5-8-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Verb (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Seven Flat (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Skip The Line (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Texas Holdem (7/2), 2 – Cloudy Past (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Uxmal (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-3-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Maybe So (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Destiny's Grace (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – In The Vault (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Taking It All (5/1), 5 – Norma Jean Bling (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Don't Blink (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-5-3-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sidetown (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Feathers Road (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Sophie's Painter (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Scallywag (6/1), 1 – Jumpingjaggerflash (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Youngdumbandbroke (5/1), 3 – Bluegrass Breeze (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-4-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-4-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Lyman (6/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Roman Eagle (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Spunoutofmymind (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Big Country Boy (8/1), 2 – Mitola (10/1), 1 – Mrs. D's Fool (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Oo It's Magic (9/2), 7 – Stunnem (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-3-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-1-6-7-5-2-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mitole's Limit (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Come On Mulitch (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – B L's Concerto (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Border Vigil (7/2), 2 – Louisiana Luca (8/1), 5 – Maximum Grace (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sippin Scotch (10/1), 3 – Chou Chou D'aven (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-7-3-6-5-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – General Shipman (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Ships Log (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Firespitten Kitten (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – City Slicken (5/1), 2 – P R Mo Vision (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – They Call Me Moose (10/1), 4 – No Sando Czar Star (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-1-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-3-6-5-4-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Risky With Whiskey (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Further Evidence (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Briggsey (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Kajun Karma (9/2), 8 – Searchin Safari (8/1), 5 – Sarah's Boy Blue (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pinedale (15/1), 1 – Summer All Year (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-7-4-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-2-3-4-5-8-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 1 | 4 – Uxmal | 10/1 | 17.4% | +73.3% | 1.83% | $1.83 |
| 3 | 3 – Bluegrass Breeze | 10/1 | 17.4% | +73.3% | 1.83% | $1.83 |
| 7 | 1 – Summer All Year | 15/1 | 7.3% | +12.9% | 0.22% | $0.22 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 3.9% | $3.88 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| B L'S CONCERTO | BIG COUNTRY BOY | BLUEGRASS BREEZE | BORDER VIGIL | BRIGGSEY |
| CITY SLICKEN | CLOUDY PAST | COME ON MULITCH | DESTINY'S GRACE | DON'T BLINK |
| FIRESPITTEN KITTEN | FURTHER EVIDENCE | GENERAL SHIPMAN | IN THE VAULT | JUMPINGJAGGERFLASH |
| LOUISIANA LUCA | LYMAN | MAXIMUM GRACE | MAYBE SO | MITOLA |
| MRS. D'S FOOL | NO SANDO CZAR STAR | NORMA JEAN BLING | OO IT'S MAGIC | P R MO VISION |
| RISKY WITH WHISKEY | ROMAN EAGLE | SARAH'S BOY BLUE | SCALLYWAG | SEARCHIN SAFARI |
| SHIPS LOG | SIDETOWN | SIPPIN SCOTCH | SKIP THE LINE | SOPHIE'S PAINTER |
| STUNNEM | SUMMER ALL YEAR | TAKING IT ALL | TEXAS HOLDEM | THEY CALL ME MOOSE |
| VERB | YOUNGDUMBANDBROKE |
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