Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Horseshoe Indianapolis, July 11, 2026


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Algo Picks – Algo 1
 
Race 1
Win:7 – Tiz In Sight (5/1)
Place:1 – Don't Miss Out (3/1)
Show:8 – Fun On The Bayou (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Lil Gin N Class (4/1), 2 – Jr Miss Buttercup (6/1), 4 – Cloudy Star (10/1)
Rest of field:9 – What's Up Dog (20/1), 5 – Turkish Pistachio (20/1), 3 – Ibuki (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-7-8-4-9
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-4-6-7-2-3-5-9
 
Race 2
Win:1 – Zappinit (5/2)
Place:7 – Rocket Hoss (5/1)
Show:3 – Do Ya Wanna Dance (8/1)
Other contenders:9 – Optimal Courage (10/1), 5 – Bella's Prayer (6/1), 2 – Keepin It Classy (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Hedge (6/1), 10 – Might As Well (12/1), 4 – Vsop (12/1), 6 – Tay (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-7-1-5-2-8
🎯 Longshots: 1-9-2-10-3-4-6-7-8-5
 
Race 3
Win:5 – Misty Moon Song (2/1)
Place:7 – Innisfree Prayer (7/2)
Show:2 – One More Question (5/2)
Other contenders:1 – Tiva (10/1), 3 – It'stheonlywaytogo (5/1)
Rest of field:6 – This Little Light (15/1), 4 – Low Bid (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-2-1-3-6
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-7-1-4-6-3
 
Race 4
Win:8 – Beau Cup (7/2)
Place:4 – Max (5/2)
Show:3 – Lucky To Dance (3/1)
Other contenders:7 – Nancy Mak (6/1), 5 – Moremi (8/1), 1 – Private Text (20/1)
Rest of field:2 – Love To (12/1), 6 – O G Lemon Drop (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-8-3-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-6-2-7-1
 
Race 5
Win:7 – Jr Shadow Boy (2/5)
Place:4 – Q's Topnotch (30/1)
Show:6 – Rank Randy (15/1)
Other contenders:3 – Hard Luck Prayer (6/1), 5 – Speedy Spirit (30/1)
Rest of field:8 – Tail Gunner (20/1), 2 – Fools Jester (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-8-2-4-6
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-3-8-2-5-4
 
Race 6
Win:8 – Bendoog (3/1)
Place:6 – Instant Replay (6/1)
Show:3 – First Division (4/1)
Other contenders:7 – Woodcourt (9/2), 9 – Gould's Gold (6/1), 1 – Fountain Run (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Touch Of Destiny (30/1), 2 – C. J's Storm (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-7-8-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-1-3-7-6-9-2-5
 
Race 7
Win:4 – Spirited Justice (3/1)
Place:10 – Lady Chaos (9/2)
Show:9 – Liam's Charge (5/1)
Other contenders:2 – Stanka (8/1), 5 – Prayer Unbridled (4/1), 1 – Grand Harbor (12/1)
Rest of field:3 – Eltinge (20/1), 8 – Kaboom (8/1), 7 – Negra Noche (30/1), 6 – Sweet Summertime (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-2-9-1-3
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-8-10-5-9-1-3-6-7
 
Race 8
Win:6 – Charlene's Dream (5/2)
Place:11 – In The Stars (3/1)
Show:1 – Modarosa (10/1)
Other contenders:9 – Princess Attitude (8/1), 7 – Miwa (7/2), 10 – Totally Justified (20/1)
Rest of field:8 – Calamity (20/1), 2 – Always Wanting (30/1), 5 – Go Town (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-11-2-5-8
🎯 Longshots: 6-11-7-9-1-8-10-5-2
 
Race 9
Win:2 – Too Much Kiki (7/2)
Place:6 – Yes It Tiz (9/2)
Show:7 – Queen Azteca (5/1)
Other contenders:11 – Kapoor (6/1), 5 – Clairita (8/1), 12 – Anna's Promise (12/1), 4 – Amarth (20/1)
Rest of field:3 – Just Be Quiet (15/1), 8 – Chilled (15/1), 10 – Five A Side (8/1), 8 – Chilled (15/1), 1 – Top (30/1), 1 – Top (30/1), 9 – Night Kiss (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-8-2-7-11
🎯 Longshots: 2-10-5-8-12-6-3-8-7-11-4-9-1-1
 
Race 10
Win:5 – Encino (9/2)
Place:3 – Wadsworth (4/1)
Show:5 – Encino (9/2)
Other contenders:6 – Higgins Boat (6/1), 2 – Judge Davis (5/1), 1 – Vote No (6/1), 4 – Noises Off (10/1)
Rest of field:10 – Baby Max (8/1), 8 – Seminole Chief (20/1), 7 – Clever Mischief (15/1), 9 – Balnikhov (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-5-1-5-3
🎯 Longshots: 8-5-9-4-10-3-7-5-2-1-6
 
Race 11
Win:5 – Prom Queen (9/5)
Place:6 – Mizumi (3/1)
Show:4 – Betty's Pearl (9/2)
Other contenders:3 – Maximum Offer (7/2), 1 – Star Actress (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Nahla (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-1-3-2
🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-1-4-2
 
Race 12
Win:9 – Desert Gate (5/2)
Place:8 – Leading Change (5/1)
Show:4 – Our Moneyman (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – Creole Chrome (6/1), 7 – Out Of The Woods (9/2), 5 – Bricklin (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Lighter (20/1), 3 – Zihnal (12/1), 2 – Mister T (30/1), 2 – Mister T (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-7-6-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-9-4-5-7-3-8-6-1-2
 
Race 13
Win:9 – Hotline Iris (5/2)
Place:5 – Haziel (7/2)
Show:10 – Dreaming Bonita (6/1)
Other contenders:8 – Lovers Carril (5/1), 7 – Moon Lite Girl (15/1), 3 – Koger Lane (8/1)
Rest of field:4 – Beautiful Ester (15/1), 1 – Uncles Lil Trophy (10/1), 2 – Amy El (20/1), 6 – Country Embrace (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-9-6-7-3-4
🎯 Longshots: 9-5-1-3-4-8-7-10-6-2
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2
 
Race 1
Win:3 – Ibuki (20/1)
Place:5 – Turkish Pistachio (20/1)
Show:9 – What's Up Dog (20/1)
Other contenders:7 – Tiz In Sight (5/1), 4 – Cloudy Star (10/1), 8 – Fun On The Bayou (7/2)
Rest of field:1 – Don't Miss Out (3/1), 6 – Lil Gin N Class (4/1), 2 – Jr Miss Buttercup (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-9-1-6-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-4-6-7-2-3-5-9
 
Race 2
Win:2 – Keepin It Classy (10/1)
Place:5 – Bella's Prayer (6/1)
Show:8 – Hedge (6/1)
Other contenders:10 – Might As Well (12/1), 1 – Zappinit (5/2), 9 – Optimal Courage (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Do Ya Wanna Dance (8/1), 4 – Vsop (12/1), 7 – Rocket Hoss (5/1), 6 – Tay (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-5-8-10-1
🎯 Longshots: 1-9-2-10-3-4-6-7-8-5
 
Race 3
Win:2 – One More Question (5/2)
Place:5 – Misty Moon Song (2/1)
Show:1 – Tiva (10/1)
Other contenders:4 – Low Bid (12/1), 7 – Innisfree Prayer (7/2)
Rest of field:3 – It'stheonlywaytogo (5/1), 6 – This Little Light (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-4-7-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-7-1-4-6-3
 
Race 4
Win:3 – Lucky To Dance (3/1)
Place:1 – Private Text (20/1)
Show:4 – Max (5/2)
Other contenders:7 – Nancy Mak (6/1), 6 – O G Lemon Drop (10/1), 8 – Beau Cup (7/2)
Rest of field:2 – Love To (12/1), 5 – Moremi (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-1-4-8
🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-6-2-7-1
 
Race 5
Win:7 – Jr Shadow Boy (2/5)
Place:8 – Tail Gunner (20/1)
Show:6 – Rank Randy (15/1)
Other contenders:2 – Fools Jester (20/1), 3 – Hard Luck Prayer (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Speedy Spirit (30/1), 4 – Q's Topnotch (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-7-6-5-3
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-3-8-2-5-4
 
Race 6
Win:9 – Gould's Gold (6/1)
Place:2 – C. J's Storm (20/1)
Show:7 – Woodcourt (9/2)
Other contenders:8 – Bendoog (3/1), 3 – First Division (4/1), 6 – Instant Replay (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Touch Of Destiny (30/1), 1 – Fountain Run (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-7-3-8-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-1-3-7-6-9-2-5
 
Race 7
Win:6 – Sweet Summertime (20/1)
Place:4 – Spirited Justice (3/1)
Show:3 – Eltinge (20/1)
Other contenders:5 – Prayer Unbridled (4/1), 10 – Lady Chaos (9/2), 1 – Grand Harbor (12/1)
Rest of field:8 – Kaboom (8/1), 9 – Liam's Charge (5/1), 2 – Stanka (8/1), 7 – Negra Noche (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-10-2-1-8
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-8-10-5-9-1-3-6-7
 
Race 8
Win:11 – In The Stars (3/1)
Place:6 – Charlene's Dream (5/2)
Show:7 – Miwa (7/2)
Other contenders:8 – Calamity (20/1), 10 – Totally Justified (20/1), 5 – Go Town (20/1)
Rest of field:9 – Princess Attitude (8/1), 1 – Modarosa (10/1), 2 – Always Wanting (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-11-8-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-11-7-9-1-8-10-5-2
 
Race 9
Win:6 – Yes It Tiz (9/2)
Place:2 – Too Much Kiki (7/2)
Show:11 – Kapoor (6/1)
Other contenders:7 – Queen Azteca (5/1), 5 – Clairita (8/1), 8 – Chilled (15/1), 12 – Anna's Promise (12/1)
Rest of field:3 – Just Be Quiet (15/1), 8 – Chilled (15/1), 4 – Amarth (20/1), 10 – Five A Side (8/1), 9 – Night Kiss (20/1), 1 – Top (30/1), 1 – Top (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-8-11-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-10-5-8-12-6-3-8-7-11-4-9-1-1
 
Race 10
Win:8 – Seminole Chief (20/1)
Place:9 – Balnikhov (8/1)
Show:5 – Encino (9/2)
Other contenders:7 – Clever Mischief (15/1), 4 – Noises Off (10/1), 10 – Baby Max (8/1), 6 – Higgins Boat (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Encino (9/2), 3 – Wadsworth (4/1), 1 – Vote No (6/1), 2 – Judge Davis (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-5-10-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-5-9-4-10-3-7-5-2-1-6
 
Race 11
Win:3 – Maximum Offer (7/2)
Place:6 – Mizumi (3/1)
Show:5 – Prom Queen (9/5)
Other contenders:4 – Betty's Pearl (9/2), 1 – Star Actress (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Nahla (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-1-4-2
 
Race 12
Win:2 – Mister T (30/1)
Place:8 – Leading Change (5/1)
Show:9 – Desert Gate (5/2)
Other contenders:7 – Out Of The Woods (9/2), 4 – Our Moneyman (4/1), 6 – Creole Chrome (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Bricklin (8/1), 3 – Zihnal (12/1), 2 – Mister T (30/1), 1 – Lighter (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-8-9-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-9-4-5-7-3-8-6-1-2
 
Race 13
Win:6 – Country Embrace (20/1)
Place:10 – Dreaming Bonita (6/1)
Show:4 – Beautiful Ester (15/1)
Other contenders:1 – Uncles Lil Trophy (10/1), 9 – Hotline Iris (5/2), 3 – Koger Lane (8/1)
Rest of field:5 – Haziel (7/2), 2 – Amy El (20/1), 8 – Lovers Carril (5/1), 7 – Moon Lite Girl (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-3-2-9
🎯 Longshots: 9-5-1-3-4-8-7-10-6-2
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3
 
Race 1
Win:5 – Turkish Pistachio (20/1)
Place:3 – Ibuki (20/1)
Show:9 – What's Up Dog (20/1)
Other contenders:7 – Tiz In Sight (5/1), 4 – Cloudy Star (10/1), 8 – Fun On The Bayou (7/2)
Rest of field:1 – Don't Miss Out (3/1), 6 – Lil Gin N Class (4/1), 2 – Jr Miss Buttercup (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-7-4-1-3-6
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-4-6-7-2-3-5-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #9, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2
Win:2 – Keepin It Classy (10/1)
Place:5 – Bella's Prayer (6/1)
Show:10 – Might As Well (12/1)
Other contenders:8 – Hedge (6/1), 9 – Optimal Courage (10/1), 1 – Zappinit (5/2)
Rest of field:3 – Do Ya Wanna Dance (8/1), 4 – Vsop (12/1), 7 – Rocket Hoss (5/1), 6 – Tay (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-5-8-10-1
🎯 Longshots: 1-9-2-10-3-4-6-7-8-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #10, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3
Win:2 – One More Question (5/2)
Place:5 – Misty Moon Song (2/1)
Show:1 – Tiva (10/1)
Other contenders:4 – Low Bid (12/1), 7 – Innisfree Prayer (7/2)
Rest of field:3 – It'stheonlywaytogo (5/1), 6 – This Little Light (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-4-7-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-2-7-1-4-6-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4
Win:3 – Lucky To Dance (3/1)
Place:1 – Private Text (20/1)
Show:7 – Nancy Mak (6/1)
Other contenders:4 – Max (5/2), 6 – O G Lemon Drop (10/1), 2 – Love To (12/1)
Rest of field:8 – Beau Cup (7/2), 5 – Moremi (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-6-1-4-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-3-8-5-6-2-7-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5
Win:7 – Jr Shadow Boy (2/5)
Place:8 – Tail Gunner (20/1)
Show:6 – Rank Randy (15/1)
Other contenders:2 – Fools Jester (20/1), 3 – Hard Luck Prayer (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Speedy Spirit (30/1), 4 – Q's Topnotch (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-2-6-5-3
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-3-8-2-5-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6
Win:9 – Gould's Gold (6/1)
Place:2 – C. J's Storm (20/1)
Show:7 – Woodcourt (9/2)
Other contenders:3 – First Division (4/1), 8 – Bendoog (3/1), 6 – Instant Replay (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Touch Of Destiny (30/1), 1 – Fountain Run (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-7-3-8-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-1-3-7-6-9-2-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #7, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7
Win:6 – Sweet Summertime (20/1)
Place:4 – Spirited Justice (3/1)
Show:3 – Eltinge (20/1)
Other contenders:5 – Prayer Unbridled (4/1), 10 – Lady Chaos (9/2), 9 – Liam's Charge (5/1)
Rest of field:8 – Kaboom (8/1), 1 – Grand Harbor (12/1), 2 – Stanka (8/1), 7 – Negra Noche (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-10-2-9-8
🎯 Longshots: 4-2-8-10-5-9-1-3-6-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8
Win:11 – In The Stars (3/1)
Place:6 – Charlene's Dream (5/2)
Show:7 – Miwa (7/2)
Other contenders:8 – Calamity (20/1), 10 – Totally Justified (20/1), 5 – Go Town (20/1)
Rest of field:1 – Modarosa (10/1), 9 – Princess Attitude (8/1), 2 – Always Wanting (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-11-1-8-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-11-7-9-1-8-10-5-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9
Win:6 – Yes It Tiz (9/2)
Place:11 – Kapoor (6/1)
Show:2 – Too Much Kiki (7/2)
Other contenders:7 – Queen Azteca (5/1), 5 – Clairita (8/1), 8 – Chilled (15/1), 12 – Anna's Promise (12/1)
Rest of field:8 – Chilled (15/1), 3 – Just Be Quiet (15/1), 10 – Five A Side (8/1), 4 – Amarth (20/1), 9 – Night Kiss (20/1), 1 – Top (30/1), 1 – Top (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-8-11-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-10-5-8-12-6-3-8-7-11-4-9-1-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #11, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10
Win:8 – Seminole Chief (20/1)
Place:9 – Balnikhov (8/1)
Show:5 – Encino (9/2)
Other contenders:7 – Clever Mischief (15/1), 4 – Noises Off (10/1), 10 – Baby Max (8/1), 5 – Encino (9/2)
Rest of field:6 – Higgins Boat (6/1), 1 – Vote No (6/1), 3 – Wadsworth (4/1), 2 – Judge Davis (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-5-1-10-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-5-9-4-10-3-7-5-2-1-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #9, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 11
Win:3 – Maximum Offer (7/2)
Place:6 – Mizumi (3/1)
Show:5 – Prom Queen (9/5)
Other contenders:4 – Betty's Pearl (9/2), 1 – Star Actress (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Nahla (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-1-4-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 12
Win:2 – Mister T (30/1)
Place:7 – Out Of The Woods (9/2)
Show:8 – Leading Change (5/1)
Other contenders:9 – Desert Gate (5/2), 4 – Our Moneyman (4/1), 6 – Creole Chrome (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Bricklin (8/1), 2 – Mister T (30/1), 3 – Zihnal (12/1), 1 – Lighter (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-8-9-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-9-4-5-7-3-8-6-1-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #8, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 13
Win:6 – Country Embrace (20/1)
Place:10 – Dreaming Bonita (6/1)
Show:4 – Beautiful Ester (15/1)
Other contenders:9 – Hotline Iris (5/2), 3 – Koger Lane (8/1), 1 – Uncles Lil Trophy (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Haziel (7/2), 2 – Amy El (20/1), 7 – Moon Lite Girl (15/1), 8 – Lovers Carril (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-3-2-9
🎯 Longshots: 9-5-1-3-4-8-7-10-6-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #10, #4, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
122 – Mister T30/146.2%+1169.5%5.00%$5.00
19 – What'S Up Dog20/146.2%+763.9%5.00%$5.00
41 – Private Text20/146.2%+763.9%5.00%$5.00
58 – Tail Gunner20/146.2%+763.9%5.00%$5.00
76 – Sweet Summertime20/146.2%+763.9%5.00%$5.00
88 – Calamity20/146.2%+763.9%5.00%$5.00
136 – Country Embrace20/146.2%+763.9%5.00%$5.00
61 – Fountain Run15/126.5%+285.1%4.75%$4.75
93 – Just Be Quiet15/126.5%+285.1%4.75%$4.75
107 – Clever Mischief15/126.5%+285.1%4.75%$4.75
56 – Rank Randy15/117.9%+164.3%2.74%$2.74
210 – Might As Well12/121.0%+151.9%3.16%$3.16
137 – Moon Lite Girl15/113.7%+104.4%1.74%$1.74
24 – Vsop12/116.7%+103.1%2.15%$2.15
912 – Anna'S Promise12/116.2%+97.1%2.02%$2.02
22 – Keepin It Classy10/119.0%+95.3%2.38%$2.38
134 – Beautiful Ester15/110.6%+60.7%1.01%$1.01
122 – Mister T30/15.5%+60.7%0.51%$0.51
29 – Optimal Courage10/114.8%+55.0%1.37%$1.37
131 – Uncles Lil Trophy10/112.4%+32.3%0.81%$0.81
46 – O G Lemon Drop10/111.0%+18.9%0.47%$0.47
13 – Ibuki20/15.5%+12.8%0.16%$0.16
15 – Turkish Pistachio20/15.5%+12.8%0.16%$0.16
62 – C. J'S Storm20/15.5%+12.8%0.16%$0.16
73 – Eltinge20/15.5%+12.8%0.16%$0.16
810 – Totally Justified20/15.5%+12.8%0.16%$0.16
98 – Chilled15/17.0%+10.4%0.17%$0.17
TOTAL across 27 plays:68.6%$68.59
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Card
ALWAYS WANTINGAMARTHAMY ELANNA'S PROMISEBABY MAX
BEAU CUPBEAUTIFUL ESTERBELLA'S PRAYERBENDOOGBETTY'S PEARL
C. J'S STORMCALAMITYCHARLENE'S DREAMCHILLEDCHILLED
CLEVER MISCHIEFCLOUDY STARCOUNTRY EMBRACECREOLE CHROMEDESERT GATE
DON'T MISS OUTDREAMING BONITAELTINGEENCINOENCINO
FIVE A SIDEFOOLS JESTERFOUNTAIN RUNFUN ON THE BAYOUGO TOWN
GRAND HARBORHARD LUCK PRAYERHAZIELHEDGEHIGGINS BOAT
IBUKIIN THE STARSINNISFREE PRAYERINSTANT REPLAYIT'STHEONLYWAYTOGO
JR SHADOW BOYJUDGE DAVISJUST BE QUIETKABOOMKAPOOR
KOGER LANELADY CHAOSLEADING CHANGELIAM'S CHARGELIGHTER
LOVE TOLOVERS CARRILLOW BIDLUCKY TO DANCEMAX
MIGHT AS WELLMISTER TMISTER TMISTY MOON SONGMIWA
MODAROSAMOON LITE GIRLMOREMINAHLANANCY MAK
NIGHT KISSNOISES OFFO G LEMON DROPONE MORE QUESTIONOPTIMAL COURAGE
OUT OF THE WOODSPRAYER UNBRIDLEDPRINCESS ATTITUDEPRIVATE TEXTPROM QUEEN
QUEEN AZTECARANK RANDYROCKET HOSSSEMINOLE CHIEFSPEEDY SPIRIT
STANKASTAR ACTRESSSWEET SUMMERTIMETAIL GUNNERTAY
TIVATIZ IN SIGHTTOO MUCH KIKITOPTOP
TOUCH OF DESTINYTURKISH PISTACHIOUNCLES LIL TROPHYVOTE NOVSOP
WHAT'S UP DOGWOODCOURTYES IT TIZZAPPINITZIHNAL

 


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