Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Horseshoe Indianapolis, October 7, 2026


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,500
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Gimmeethreesteps (2/1)
Place:1Do Ya Wanna Dance (5/2)
Show:6Ice Express (6/1)
Other contenders:5Catch A Nite Train (8/1), 4Mowins (10/1), 3Spotonjustice (8/1)
Rest of field:8Bozaano (15/1), 2Me And Chili (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 574138
🎯 Longshots: 78132546
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,500
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Jims Promise (5/2)
Place:4Mo Rambo (3/1)
Show:3Gabe Doesit Again (7/2)
Other contenders:6Crazy Luck (9/2), 1Unbridled Moon (6/1), 8Just The Tap (15/1)
Rest of field:5Sky High Chris (12/1), 2Gensistheking (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 756431
🎯 Longshots: 74365218
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,240
Win:6I'm Game (6/5)
Place:7Kenz (7/2)
Show:3Tearin'up My Heart (7/2)
Other contenders:2Lady Pippa (6/1), 1Let's Go Barbie (8/1)
Rest of field:4Stephens Dream (10/1), 5Signdsealddeliverd (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 346257
🎯 Longshots: 6174352
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,640
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Personal Creed (7/2)
Place:4Shankar (3/1)
Show:10Purdy Darn Good (2/1)
Other contenders:1Happy Happy Day (4/1), 2Canyon Streak (6/1), 3Jailhouse Justice (5/1)
Rest of field:5Baytown Parfait (6/1), 8Another Mystery (20/1), 9Nine Questions (10/1), 6Quokka (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 374956
🎯 Longshots: 37491610258
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #10, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,800
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8Momentario (3/1)
Place:4Little Sam's (3/1)
Show:6Pickle Shoes (7/2)
Other contenders:3Artella (5/1), 1Pulstar (6/1), 5Silvertown (8/1)
Rest of field:7Inflammabelle (10/1), 2Don't Look Back (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 176845
🎯 Longshots: 58714632
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:11Lucerra (9/5)
Place:13Practical Patsy (5/2)
Show:6Paciano (3/1)
Other contenders:2Ai Magic (5/2), 10Jerri Jo (5/1), 4Dixieland (6/1), 3V Formation (5/1), 12Girl On A Tear (15/1)
Rest of field:5Tookenette (15/1), 15Tippy Tap (15/1), 14Furious Angel (12/1), 8Doozie Do (10/1), 9Dreamlicious (25/1), 1Underestimated (25/1), 7Ninetales (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 111362104
🎯 Longshots: 111213546214915110837
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #13, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,200
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8Conference Calling (4/1)
Place:3Leo Springs (3/1)
Show:1Skyler (5/1)
Other contenders:2Cut Glass (7/2), 4Rocket Hoss (8/1), 9Rigoberto (8/1)
Rest of field:5El Dandi (12/1), 6Sound Doctrine (12/1), 7One Cool Dude (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 632748
🎯 Longshots: 596873412
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Sir Caden (5/2)
Place:11Gold On Black (3/1)
Show:14Modern Legacy (7/2)
Other contenders:10Clever Heist (5/1), 4Silver Star (9/2), 6Whitburn (5/1), 3Banyan (15/1)
Rest of field:5I Like Beer (8/1), 8Zona Rosso (20/1), 9Lindenborg (20/1), 2Ruettiger (10/1), 7Bourbon D'oro (25/1), 12Vanguardian (12/1), 13Prize Performance (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 111141046
🎯 Longshots: 3104916871311142512
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #11, #14, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,500
Win:1Do Ya Wanna Dance (5/2) 29% · fair 5-2
Place:7Gimmeethreesteps (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -29%
Show:6Ice Express (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -30%
Other contenders:3Spotonjustice (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 5Catch A Nite Train (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 8Bozaano (15/1) 6% · fair 16-1
Rest of field:4Mowins (10/1) 5% · fair 17-1 underlay -42%, 2Me And Chili (12/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -32%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Do Ya Wanna Dance — 28.6% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Do Ya Wanna Dance28.6% ◀Gimmeethreesteps — 26.2% win probability, morning line 2/1Gimmeethreesteps26.2%Ice Express — 10.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Ice Express10.5%Spotonjustice — 9.1% win probability, morning line 8/1Spotonjustice9.1%Catch A Nite Train — 8.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Catch A Nite Train8.8%Bozaano — 5.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Bozaano5.8%Mowins — 5.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Mowins5.5%Me And Chili — 5.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Me And Chili5.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Do Ya Wanna Dance28.6%2.5/1
Gimmeethreesteps26.2%2/1
Ice Express10.5%6/1
Spotonjustice9.1%8/1
Catch A Nite Train8.8%8/1
Bozaano5.8%15/1
Mowins5.5%10/1
Me And Chili5.4%12/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherDo Ya Wanna Dance: model 28.6% vs market 23.5% (+5.0 points)Do Ya Wanna Dance+5.0Gimmeethreesteps: model 26.2% vs market 27.4% (-1.2 points)Gimmeethreesteps-1.2Ice Express: model 10.5% vs market 11.8% (-1.3 points)Ice Express-1.3Spotonjustice: model 9.1% vs market 9.1% (-0.0 points)Spotonjustice-0.0Catch A Nite Train: model 8.8% vs market 9.1% (-0.3 points)Catch A Nite Train-0.3Bozaano: model 5.8% vs market 5.1% (+0.7 points)Bozaano+0.7Mowins: model 5.5% vs market 7.5% (-2.0 points)Mowins-2.0Me And Chili: model 5.4% vs market 6.3% (-0.9 points)Me And Chili-0.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Do Ya Wanna Dance28.6%23.5%+5.0
Gimmeethreesteps26.2%27.4%-1.2
Ice Express10.5%11.8%-1.3
Spotonjustice9.1%9.1%-0.0
Catch A Nite Train8.8%9.1%-0.3
Bozaano5.8%5.1%+0.7
Mowins5.5%7.5%-2.0
Me And Chili5.4%6.3%-0.9
🌧️ Off-track: 547138
🎯 Longshots: 78132546
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,500
Win:7Jims Promise (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:4Mo Rambo (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:1Unbridled Moon (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:3Gabe Doesit Again (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -48%, 6Crazy Luck (9/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -37%, 8Just The Tap (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -30%
Rest of field:5Sky High Chris (12/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -50%, 2Gensistheking (20/1) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -38%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Jims Promise — 24.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Jims Promise24.9% ◀Mo Rambo — 22.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Mo Rambo22.4%Unbridled Moon — 16.1% win probability, morning line 6/1Unbridled Moon16.1%Gabe Doesit Again — 12.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Gabe Doesit Again12.9%Crazy Luck — 12.3% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Crazy Luck12.3%Just The Tap — 4.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Just The Tap4.5%Sky High Chris — 4.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Sky High Chris4.0%Gensistheking — 3.0% win probability, morning line 20/1Gensistheking3.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Jims Promise24.9%2.5/1
Mo Rambo22.4%3/1
Unbridled Moon16.1%6/1
Gabe Doesit Again12.9%3.5/1
Crazy Luck12.3%4.5/1
Just The Tap4.5%15/1
Sky High Chris4.0%12/1
Gensistheking3.0%20/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherJims Promise: model 24.9% vs market 22.5% (+2.4 points)Jims Promise+2.4Mo Rambo: model 22.4% vs market 19.7% (+2.7 points)Mo Rambo+2.7Unbridled Moon: model 16.1% vs market 11.3% (+4.9 points)Unbridled Moon+4.9Gabe Doesit Again: model 12.9% vs market 17.5% (-4.6 points)Gabe Doesit Again-4.6Crazy Luck: model 12.3% vs market 14.3% (-2.0 points)Crazy Luck-2.0Just The Tap: model 4.5% vs market 4.9% (-0.5 points)Just The Tap-0.5Sky High Chris: model 4.0% vs market 6.1% (-2.1 points)Sky High Chris-2.1Gensistheking: model 3.0% vs market 3.8% (-0.8 points)Gensistheking-0.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Jims Promise24.9%22.5%+2.4
Mo Rambo22.4%19.7%+2.7
Unbridled Moon16.1%11.3%+4.9
Gabe Doesit Again12.9%17.5%-4.6
Crazy Luck12.3%14.3%-2.0
Just The Tap4.5%4.9%-0.5
Sky High Chris4.0%6.1%-2.1
Gensistheking3.0%3.8%-0.8
🌧️ Off-track: 576413
🎯 Longshots: 74365218
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,240
Win:6I'm Game (6/5) 36% · fair 2-1 underlay -33%
Place:7Kenz (7/2) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +76%
Show:3Tearin'up My Heart (7/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -60%
Other contenders:1Let's Go Barbie (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -37%, 2Lady Pippa (6/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -67%
Rest of field:5Signdsealddeliverd (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 4Stephens Dream (10/1) 3% · fair 67-2 underlay -70%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

I'M Game — 35.9% win probability, morning line 1.2/1I'M Game35.9% ◀Kenz — 33.5% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Kenz33.5%Tearin'Up My Heart — 10.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Tearin'Up My Heart10.2%Let'S Go Barbie — 7.3% win probability, morning line 8/1Let'S Go Barbie7.3%Lady Pippa — 5.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Lady Pippa5.2%Signdsealddeliverd — 5.0% win probability, morning line 15/1Signdsealddeliverd5.0%Stephens Dream — 2.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Stephens Dream2.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
I'M Game35.9%1.2/1
Kenz33.5%3.5/1
Tearin'Up My Heart10.2%3.5/1
Let'S Go Barbie7.3%8/1
Lady Pippa5.2%6/1
Signdsealddeliverd5.0%15/1
Stephens Dream2.9%10/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherI'M Game: model 35.9% vs market 34.8% (+1.1 points)I'M Game+1.1Kenz: model 33.5% vs market 17.0% (+16.5 points)Kenz+16.5Tearin'Up My Heart: model 10.2% vs market 17.0% (-6.8 points)Tearin'Up My Heart-6.8Let'S Go Barbie: model 7.3% vs market 8.5% (-1.2 points)Let'S Go Barbie-1.2Lady Pippa: model 5.2% vs market 10.9% (-5.8 points)Lady Pippa-5.8Signdsealddeliverd: model 5.0% vs market 4.8% (+0.2 points)Signdsealddeliverd+0.2Stephens Dream: model 2.9% vs market 7.0% (-4.1 points)Stephens Dream-4.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
I'M Game35.9%34.8%+1.1
Kenz33.5%17.0%+16.5
Tearin'Up My Heart10.2%17.0%-6.8
Let'S Go Barbie7.3%8.5%-1.2
Lady Pippa5.2%10.9%-5.8
Signdsealddeliverd5.0%4.8%+0.2
Stephens Dream2.9%7.0%-4.1
🌧️ Off-track: 345267
🎯 Longshots: 6174352
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,640
Win:10Purdy Darn Good (2/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -61%
Place:1Happy Happy Day (4/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -31%
Show:7Personal Creed (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -49%
Other contenders:4Shankar (3/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -61%, 2Canyon Streak (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%, 5Baytown Parfait (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33%
Rest of field:3Jailhouse Justice (5/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -57%, 9Nine Questions (10/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -35%, 8Another Mystery (20/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 6Quokka (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Purdy Darn Good — 16.3% win probability, morning line 2/1Purdy Darn Good16.3% ◀Happy Happy Day — 14.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Happy Happy Day14.8%Personal Creed — 12.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Personal Creed12.7%Shankar — 11.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Shankar11.4%Canyon Streak — 10.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Canyon Streak10.9%Baytown Parfait — 10.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Baytown Parfait10.0%Jailhouse Justice — 7.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Jailhouse Justice7.9%Nine Questions — 6.1% win probability, morning line 10/1Nine Questions6.1%Another Mystery — 5.0% win probability, morning line 20/1Another Mystery5.0%Quokka — 5.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Quokka5.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Purdy Darn Good16.3%2/1
Happy Happy Day14.8%4/1
Personal Creed12.7%3.5/1
Shankar11.4%3/1
Canyon Streak10.9%6/1
Baytown Parfait10.0%6/1
Jailhouse Justice7.9%5/1
Nine Questions6.1%10/1
Another Mystery5.0%20/1
Quokka5.0%12/1
🌧️ Off-track: 374956
🎯 Longshots: 37491610258
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #1, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,800
Win:6Pickle Shoes (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2
Place:8Momentario (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -41%
Show:5Silvertown (8/1) 15% · fair 11-2 overlay +40%
Other contenders:3Artella (5/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -26%, 4Little Sam's (3/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -56%, 7Inflammabelle (10/1) 10% · fair 17-2
Rest of field:1Pulstar (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -38%, 2Don't Look Back (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -29%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Pickle Shoes — 18.5% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Pickle Shoes18.5% ◀Momentario — 16.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Momentario16.5%Silvertown — 14.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Silvertown14.9%Artella — 12.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Artella12.9%Little Sam'S — 12.9% win probability, morning line 3/1Little Sam'S12.9%Inflammabelle — 10.4% win probability, morning line 10/1Inflammabelle10.4%Pulstar — 9.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Pulstar9.4%Don'T Look Back — 4.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Don'T Look Back4.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Pickle Shoes18.5%3.5/1
Momentario16.5%3/1
Silvertown14.9%8/1
Artella12.9%5/1
Little Sam'S12.9%3/1
Inflammabelle10.4%10/1
Pulstar9.4%6/1
Don'T Look Back4.5%15/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPickle Shoes: model 18.5% vs market 17.1% (+1.4 points)Pickle Shoes+1.4Momentario: model 16.5% vs market 19.3% (-2.8 points)Momentario-2.8Silvertown: model 14.9% vs market 8.6% (+6.3 points)Silvertown+6.3Artella: model 12.9% vs market 12.9% (+0.0 points)Artella+0.0Little Sam'S: model 12.9% vs market 19.3% (-6.4 points)Little Sam'S-6.4Inflammabelle: model 10.4% vs market 7.0% (+3.4 points)Inflammabelle+3.4Pulstar: model 9.4% vs market 11.0% (-1.6 points)Pulstar-1.6Don'T Look Back: model 4.5% vs market 4.8% (-0.3 points)Don'T Look Back-0.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Pickle Shoes18.5%17.1%+1.4
Momentario16.5%19.3%-2.8
Silvertown14.9%8.6%+6.3
Artella12.9%12.9%+0.0
Little Sam'S12.9%19.3%-6.4
Inflammabelle10.4%7.0%+3.4
Pulstar9.4%11.0%-1.6
Don'T Look Back4.5%4.8%-0.3
🌧️ Off-track: 176845
🎯 Longshots: 58714632
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:11Lucerra (9/5) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -55%
Place:13Practical Patsy (5/2) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -57%
Show:10Jerri Jo (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Other contenders:6Paciano (3/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -70%, 2Ai Magic (5/2) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -79%, 4Dixieland (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -51%, 3V Formation (5/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -65%, 12Girl On A Tear (15/1) 4% · fair 51-2 underlay -41%
Rest of field:8Doozie Do (10/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -63%, 5Tookenette (15/1) 3% · fair 69-2 underlay -57%, 14Furious Angel (12/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -66%, 7Ninetales (15/1) 2% · fair 40-1 underlay -62%, 15Tippy Tap (15/1) 2% · fair 101-2 underlay -70%, 9Dreamlicious (25/1) 2% · fair 111-2 underlay -55%, 1Underestimated (25/1) 1% · fair 100-1 underlay -75%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Lucerra — 20.1% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Lucerra20.1% ◀Practical Patsy — 14.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Practical Patsy14.8%Jerri Jo — 14.1% win probability, morning line 5/1Jerri Jo14.1%Paciano — 9.0% win probability, morning line 3/1Paciano9.0%Ai Magic — 7.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Ai Magic7.7%Dixieland — 7.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Dixieland7.6%V Formation — 6.6% win probability, morning line 5/1V Formation6.6%Girl On A Tear — 3.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Girl On A Tear3.8%Doozie Do — 3.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Doozie Do3.6%Tookenette — 2.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Tookenette2.8%Furious Angel — 2.8% win probability, morning line 12/1Furious Angel2.8%Ninetales — 2.4% win probability, morning line 15/1Ninetales2.4%Tippy Tap — 1.9% win probability, morning line 15/1Tippy Tap1.9%Dreamlicious — 1.8% win probability, morning line 25/1Dreamlicious1.8%Underestimated — 1.0% win probability, morning line 25/1Underestimated1.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Lucerra20.1%1.8/1
Practical Patsy14.8%2.5/1
Jerri Jo14.1%5/1
Paciano9.0%3/1
Ai Magic7.7%2.5/1
Dixieland7.6%6/1
V Formation6.6%5/1
Girl On A Tear3.8%15/1
Doozie Do3.6%10/1
Tookenette2.8%15/1
Furious Angel2.8%12/1
Ninetales2.4%15/1
Tippy Tap1.9%15/1
Dreamlicious1.8%25/1
Underestimated1.0%25/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherLucerra: model 20.1% vs market 16.6% (+3.5 points)Lucerra+3.5Practical Patsy: model 14.8% vs market 13.3% (+1.5 points)Practical Patsy+1.5Jerri Jo: model 14.1% vs market 7.8% (+6.4 points)Jerri Jo+6.4Paciano: model 9.0% vs market 11.6% (-2.6 points)Paciano-2.6Ai Magic: model 7.7% vs market 13.3% (-5.6 points)Ai Magic-5.6Dixieland: model 7.6% vs market 6.6% (+1.0 points)Dixieland+1.0V Formation: model 6.6% vs market 7.8% (-1.2 points)V Formation-1.2Girl On A Tear: model 3.8% vs market 2.9% (+0.9 points)Girl On A Tear+0.9Doozie Do: model 3.6% vs market 4.2% (-0.6 points)Doozie Do-0.6Tookenette: model 2.8% vs market 2.9% (-0.1 points)Tookenette-0.1Furious Angel: model 2.8% vs market 3.6% (-0.8 points)Furious Angel-0.8Ninetales: model 2.4% vs market 2.9% (-0.5 points)Ninetales-0.5Tippy Tap: model 1.9% vs market 2.9% (-1.0 points)Tippy Tap-1.0Dreamlicious: model 1.8% vs market 1.8% (-0.0 points)Dreamlicious-0.0Underestimated: model 1.0% vs market 1.8% (-0.8 points)Underestimated-0.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Lucerra20.1%16.6%+3.5
Practical Patsy14.8%13.3%+1.5
Jerri Jo14.1%7.8%+6.4
Paciano9.0%11.6%-2.6
Ai Magic7.7%13.3%-5.6
Dixieland7.6%6.6%+1.0
V Formation6.6%7.8%-1.2
Girl On A Tear3.8%2.9%+0.9
Doozie Do3.6%4.2%-0.6
Tookenette2.8%2.9%-0.1
Furious Angel2.8%3.6%-0.8
Ninetales2.4%2.9%-0.5
Tippy Tap1.9%2.9%-1.0
Dreamlicious1.8%1.8%-0.0
Underestimated1.0%1.8%-0.8
🌧️ Off-track: 111310624
🎯 Longshots: 111213546214915110837
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #13, #10, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,200
Win:1Skyler (5/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Place:8Conference Calling (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Show:3Leo Springs (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -40%
Other contenders:2Cut Glass (7/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -58%, 7One Cool Dude (20/1) 8% · fair 11-1 overlay +85%, 6Sound Doctrine (12/1) 7% · fair 13-1
Rest of field:9Rigoberto (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43%, 4Rocket Hoss (8/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -52%, 5El Dandi (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Skyler — 20.0% win probability, morning line 5/1Skyler20.0% ◀Conference Calling — 19.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Conference Calling19.8%Leo Springs — 16.6% win probability, morning line 3/1Leo Springs16.6%Cut Glass — 10.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Cut Glass10.7%One Cool Dude — 8.5% win probability, morning line 20/1One Cool Dude8.5%Sound Doctrine — 7.1% win probability, morning line 12/1Sound Doctrine7.1%Rigoberto — 6.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Rigoberto6.7%Rocket Hoss — 5.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Rocket Hoss5.6%El Dandi — 5.0% win probability, morning line 12/1El Dandi5.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Skyler20.0%5/1
Conference Calling19.8%4/1
Leo Springs16.6%3/1
Cut Glass10.7%3.5/1
One Cool Dude8.5%20/1
Sound Doctrine7.1%12/1
Rigoberto6.7%8/1
Rocket Hoss5.6%8/1
El Dandi5.0%12/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSkyler: model 20.0% vs market 13.2% (+6.8 points)Skyler+6.8Conference Calling: model 19.8% vs market 15.8% (+4.0 points)Conference Calling+4.0Leo Springs: model 16.6% vs market 19.8% (-3.2 points)Leo Springs-3.2Cut Glass: model 10.7% vs market 17.6% (-6.9 points)Cut Glass-6.9One Cool Dude: model 8.5% vs market 3.8% (+4.7 points)One Cool Dude+4.7Sound Doctrine: model 7.1% vs market 6.1% (+1.0 points)Sound Doctrine+1.0Rigoberto: model 6.7% vs market 8.8% (-2.1 points)Rigoberto-2.1Rocket Hoss: model 5.6% vs market 8.8% (-3.2 points)Rocket Hoss-3.2El Dandi: model 5.0% vs market 6.1% (-1.1 points)El Dandi-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Skyler20.0%13.2%+6.8
Conference Calling19.8%15.8%+4.0
Leo Springs16.6%19.8%-3.2
Cut Glass10.7%17.6%-6.9
One Cool Dude8.5%3.8%+4.7
Sound Doctrine7.1%6.1%+1.0
Rigoberto6.7%8.8%-2.1
Rocket Hoss5.6%8.8%-3.2
El Dandi5.0%6.1%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 674231
🎯 Longshots: 596873412
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:11Gold On Black (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -31%
Place:14Modern Legacy (7/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -47%
Show:1Sir Caden (5/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -64%
Other contenders:10Clever Heist (5/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -42%, 6Whitburn (5/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -43%, 4Silver Star (9/2) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -57%, 2Ruettiger (10/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -34%
Rest of field:12Vanguardian (12/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -45%, 8Zona Rosso (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2, 5I Like Beer (8/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -69%, 3Banyan (15/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -57%, 9Lindenborg (20/1) 2% · fair 47-1 underlay -57%, 7Bourbon D'oro (25/1) 2% · fair 101-2 underlay -50%, 13Prize Performance (30/1) 1% · fair 177-2 underlay -66%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Gold On Black — 18.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Gold On Black18.7% ◀Modern Legacy — 13.1% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Modern Legacy13.1%Sir Caden — 12.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sir Caden12.4%Clever Heist — 10.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Clever Heist10.4%Whitburn — 10.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Whitburn10.2%Silver Star — 8.6% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Silver Star8.6%Ruettiger — 6.2% win probability, morning line 10/1Ruettiger6.2%Vanguardian — 4.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Vanguardian4.4%Zona Rosso — 4.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Zona Rosso4.2%I Like Beer — 3.7% win probability, morning line 8/1I Like Beer3.7%Banyan — 2.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Banyan2.8%Lindenborg — 2.1% win probability, morning line 20/1Lindenborg2.1%Bourbon D'Oro — 1.9% win probability, morning line 25/1Bourbon D'Oro1.9%Prize Performance — 1.1% win probability, morning line 30/1Prize Performance1.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Gold On Black18.7%3/1
Modern Legacy13.1%3.5/1
Sir Caden12.4%2.5/1
Clever Heist10.4%5/1
Whitburn10.2%5/1
Silver Star8.6%4.5/1
Ruettiger6.2%10/1
Vanguardian4.4%12/1
Zona Rosso4.2%20/1
I Like Beer3.7%8/1
Banyan2.8%15/1
Lindenborg2.1%20/1
Bourbon D'Oro1.9%25/1
Prize Performance1.1%30/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherGold On Black: model 18.7% vs market 14.0% (+4.6 points)Gold On Black+4.6Modern Legacy: model 13.1% vs market 12.5% (+0.6 points)Modern Legacy+0.6Sir Caden: model 12.4% vs market 16.0% (-3.6 points)Sir Caden-3.6Clever Heist: model 10.4% vs market 9.4% (+1.0 points)Clever Heist+1.0Whitburn: model 10.2% vs market 9.4% (+0.9 points)Whitburn+0.9Silver Star: model 8.6% vs market 10.2% (-1.6 points)Silver Star-1.6Ruettiger: model 6.2% vs market 5.1% (+1.1 points)Ruettiger+1.1Vanguardian: model 4.4% vs market 4.3% (+0.1 points)Vanguardian+0.1Zona Rosso: model 4.2% vs market 2.7% (+1.6 points)Zona Rosso+1.6I Like Beer: model 3.7% vs market 6.2% (-2.5 points)I Like Beer-2.5Banyan: model 2.8% vs market 3.5% (-0.7 points)Banyan-0.7Lindenborg: model 2.1% vs market 2.7% (-0.6 points)Lindenborg-0.6Bourbon D'Oro: model 1.9% vs market 2.2% (-0.2 points)Bourbon D'Oro-0.2Prize Performance: model 1.1% vs market 1.8% (-0.7 points)Prize Performance-0.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Gold On Black18.7%14.0%+4.6
Modern Legacy13.1%12.5%+0.6
Sir Caden12.4%16.0%-3.6
Clever Heist10.4%9.4%+1.0
Whitburn10.2%9.4%+0.9
Silver Star8.6%10.2%-1.6
Ruettiger6.2%5.1%+1.1
Vanguardian4.4%4.3%+0.1
Zona Rosso4.2%2.7%+1.6
I Like Beer3.7%6.2%-2.5
Banyan2.8%3.5%-0.7
Lindenborg2.1%2.7%-0.6
Bourbon D'Oro1.9%2.2%-0.2
Prize Performance1.1%1.8%-0.7
🌧️ Off-track: 111411064
🎯 Longshots: 3104916871311142512
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #14, #1, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,500
Win:7Gimmeethreesteps (2/1)
Place:1Do Ya Wanna Dance (5/2)
Show:3Spotonjustice (8/1)
Other contenders:5Catch A Nite Train (8/1), 6Ice Express (6/1), 4Mowins (10/1)
Rest of field:8Bozaano (15/1), 2Me And Chili (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 715348
🎯 Longshots: 78132546
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,500
Win:1Unbridled Moon (6/1) no strong opinion
This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection.
Place:2Gensistheking (20/1)
Show:3Gabe Doesit Again (7/2)
Other contenders:4Mo Rambo (3/1), 5Sky High Chris (12/1), 6Crazy Luck (9/2)
Rest of field:7Jims Promise (5/2), 8Just The Tap (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 576123
🎯 Longshots: 74365218
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,240
Win:7Kenz (7/2)
Place:6I'm Game (6/5)
Show:3Tearin'up My Heart (7/2)
Other contenders:2Lady Pippa (6/1), 1Let's Go Barbie (8/1)
Rest of field:4Stephens Dream (10/1), 5Signdsealddeliverd (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 376245
🎯 Longshots: 6174352
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,640
Win:4Shankar (3/1)
Place:2Canyon Streak (6/1)
Show:5Baytown Parfait (6/1)
Other contenders:10Purdy Darn Good (2/1), 7Personal Creed (7/2), 3Jailhouse Justice (5/1)
Rest of field:9Nine Questions (10/1), 8Another Mystery (20/1), 1Happy Happy Day (4/1), 6Quokka (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 374952
🎯 Longshots: 37491610258
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,800
Win:8Momentario (3/1)
Place:4Little Sam's (3/1)
Show:3Artella (5/1)
Other contenders:1Pulstar (6/1), 6Pickle Shoes (7/2), 5Silvertown (8/1)
Rest of field:7Inflammabelle (10/1), 2Don't Look Back (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 186745
🎯 Longshots: 58714632
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:1Underestimated (25/1) no strong opinion
This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection.
Place:2Ai Magic (5/2)
Show:3V Formation (5/1)
Other contenders:4Dixieland (6/1), 5Tookenette (15/1), 6Paciano (3/1), 7Ninetales (15/1), 8Doozie Do (10/1)
Rest of field:9Dreamlicious (25/1), 10Jerri Jo (5/1), 11Lucerra (9/5), 12Girl On A Tear (15/1), 13Practical Patsy (5/2), 14Furious Angel (12/1), 15Tippy Tap (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 123456
🎯 Longshots: 111213546214915110837
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,200
Win:1Skyler (5/1)
Place:8Conference Calling (4/1)
Show:3Leo Springs (3/1)
Other contenders:2Cut Glass (7/2), 5El Dandi (12/1), 6Sound Doctrine (12/1)
Rest of field:9Rigoberto (8/1), 7One Cool Dude (20/1), 4Rocket Hoss (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 362187
🎯 Longshots: 596873412
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:1Sir Caden (5/2)
Place:2Ruettiger (10/1)
Show:3Banyan (15/1)
Other contenders:4Silver Star (9/2), 5I Like Beer (8/1), 6Whitburn (5/1), 7Bourbon D'oro (25/1)
Rest of field:8Zona Rosso (20/1), 9Lindenborg (20/1), 10Clever Heist (5/1), 11Gold On Black (3/1), 12Vanguardian (12/1), 13Prize Performance (30/1), 14Modern Legacy (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 123456
🎯 Longshots: 3104916871311142512
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #7 over #1 ($1 straight; box #7-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #7 over #4 ($1 straight; box #7-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #6 over #7 ($1 straight; box #6-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #7, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #4 over #7 ($1 straight; box #4-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #8 over #1 ($1 straight; box #8-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #11 over #13 ($1 straight; box #11-#13 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #8 over #3 ($1 straight; box #8-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #10 over #4 ($1 straight; box #10-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder))    Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $
bankroll
77One Cool Dude20/1—6.6%+35.8%0.45%$0.45
83Banyan15/1—8.4%+32.9%0.55%$0.55
87Bourbon D'Oro ⚠ low confidence / high risk (maiden, 20-1 or longer)25/1—4.9%+26.4%0.26%$0.26
48Another Mystery20/1—5.4%+13.0%0.16%$0.16
TOTAL across 4 plays:1.4%$1.42
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,500
Win:7Gimmeethreesteps (2/1)
Place:3Spotonjustice (8/1)
Show:1Do Ya Wanna Dance (5/2)
Other contenders:8Bozaano (15/1), 5Catch A Nite Train (8/1), 2Me And Chili (12/1)
Rest of field:4Mowins (10/1), 6Ice Express (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 731584
🎯 Longshots: 78132546
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,500
Win:1Unbridled Moon (6/1)
Place:2Gensistheking (20/1)
Show:3Gabe Doesit Again (7/2)
Other contenders:4Mo Rambo (3/1), 5Sky High Chris (12/1), 6Crazy Luck (9/2)
Rest of field:7Jims Promise (5/2), 8Just The Tap (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 576123
🎯 Longshots: 74365218
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,240
Win:6I'm Game (6/5)
Place:7Kenz (7/2)
Show:3Tearin'up My Heart (7/2)
Other contenders:1Let's Go Barbie (8/1), 2Lady Pippa (6/1)
Rest of field:4Stephens Dream (10/1), 5Signdsealddeliverd (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 637241
🎯 Longshots: 6174352
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,640
Win:1Happy Happy Day (4/1)
Place:10Purdy Darn Good (2/1)
Show:3Jailhouse Justice (5/1)
Other contenders:4Shankar (3/1), 7Personal Creed (7/2), 2Canyon Streak (6/1)
Rest of field:5Baytown Parfait (6/1), 9Nine Questions (10/1), 6Quokka (12/1), 8Another Mystery (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3749510
🎯 Longshots: 37491610258
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #10, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,800
Win:8Momentario (3/1)
Place:4Little Sam's (3/1)
Show:6Pickle Shoes (7/2)
Other contenders:3Artella (5/1), 1Pulstar (6/1), 5Silvertown (8/1)
Rest of field:7Inflammabelle (10/1), 2Don't Look Back (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 186475
🎯 Longshots: 58714632
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:1Underestimated (25/1)
Place:2Ai Magic (5/2)
Show:3V Formation (5/1)
Other contenders:4Dixieland (6/1), 5Tookenette (15/1), 6Paciano (3/1), 7Ninetales (15/1), 8Doozie Do (10/1)
Rest of field:9Dreamlicious (25/1), 10Jerri Jo (5/1), 11Lucerra (9/5), 12Girl On A Tear (15/1), 13Practical Patsy (5/2), 14Furious Angel (12/1), 15Tippy Tap (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 123456
🎯 Longshots: 111213546214915110837
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,200
Win:8Conference Calling (4/1)
Place:1Skyler (5/1)
Show:3Leo Springs (3/1)
Other contenders:5El Dandi (12/1), 9Rigoberto (8/1), 2Cut Glass (7/2)
Rest of field:6Sound Doctrine (12/1), 7One Cool Dude (20/1), 4Rocket Hoss (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 836125
🎯 Longshots: 596873412
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:1Sir Caden (5/2)
Place:2Ruettiger (10/1)
Show:3Banyan (15/1)
Other contenders:4Silver Star (9/2), 5I Like Beer (8/1), 6Whitburn (5/1), 7Bourbon D'oro (25/1)
Rest of field:8Zona Rosso (20/1), 9Lindenborg (20/1), 10Clever Heist (5/1), 11Gold On Black (3/1), 12Vanguardian (12/1), 13Prize Performance (30/1), 14Modern Legacy (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 123456
🎯 Longshots: 3104916871311142512
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,500
Win:7Gimmeethreesteps (2/1)
Place:1Do Ya Wanna Dance (5/2)
Show:3Spotonjustice (8/1)
Other contenders:4Mowins (10/1), 8Bozaano (15/1), 2Me And Chili (12/1)
Rest of field:5Catch A Nite Train (8/1), 6Ice Express (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 715438
🎯 Longshots: 78132546
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,500
Win:1Unbridled Moon (6/1)
Place:2Gensistheking (20/1)
Show:3Gabe Doesit Again (7/2)
Other contenders:4Mo Rambo (3/1), 5Sky High Chris (12/1), 6Crazy Luck (9/2)
Rest of field:7Jims Promise (5/2), 8Just The Tap (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 576123
🎯 Longshots: 74365218
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $46,240
Win:6I'm Game (6/5)
Place:7Kenz (7/2)
Show:3Tearin'up My Heart (7/2)
Other contenders:2Lady Pippa (6/1), 1Let's Go Barbie (8/1)
Rest of field:4Stephens Dream (10/1), 5Signdsealddeliverd (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 673245
🎯 Longshots: 6174352
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,640
Win:4Shankar (3/1)
Place:2Canyon Streak (6/1)
Show:5Baytown Parfait (6/1)
Other contenders:3Jailhouse Justice (5/1), 10Purdy Darn Good (2/1), 9Nine Questions (10/1)
Rest of field:7Personal Creed (7/2), 1Happy Happy Day (4/1), 8Another Mystery (20/1), 6Quokka (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 347592
🎯 Longshots: 37491610258
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,800
Win:8Momentario (3/1)
Place:3Artella (5/1)
Show:6Pickle Shoes (7/2)
Other contenders:5Silvertown (8/1), 4Little Sam's (3/1), 1Pulstar (6/1)
Rest of field:7Inflammabelle (10/1), 2Don't Look Back (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 186745
🎯 Longshots: 58714632
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:1Underestimated (25/1)
Place:2Ai Magic (5/2)
Show:3V Formation (5/1)
Other contenders:4Dixieland (6/1), 5Tookenette (15/1), 6Paciano (3/1), 7Ninetales (15/1), 8Doozie Do (10/1)
Rest of field:9Dreamlicious (25/1), 10Jerri Jo (5/1), 11Lucerra (9/5), 12Girl On A Tear (15/1), 13Practical Patsy (5/2), 14Furious Angel (12/1), 15Tippy Tap (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 123456
🎯 Longshots: 111213546214915110837
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,200
Win:8Conference Calling (4/1)
Place:3Leo Springs (3/1)
Show:1Skyler (5/1)
Other contenders:2Cut Glass (7/2), 5El Dandi (12/1), 9Rigoberto (8/1)
Rest of field:7One Cool Dude (20/1), 4Rocket Hoss (8/1), 6Sound Doctrine (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 328167
🎯 Longshots: 596873412
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $43,520
Win:1Sir Caden (5/2)
Place:2Ruettiger (10/1)
Show:3Banyan (15/1)
Other contenders:4Silver Star (9/2), 5I Like Beer (8/1), 6Whitburn (5/1), 7Bourbon D'oro (25/1)
Rest of field:8Zona Rosso (20/1), 9Lindenborg (20/1), 10Clever Heist (5/1), 11Gold On Black (3/1), 12Vanguardian (12/1), 13Prize Performance (30/1), 14Modern Legacy (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 123456
🎯 Longshots: 3104916871311142512
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #1,#7,#6 (65%) / R2: #7,#4,#1 (63%) / R3: #6,#7 (69%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #7,#4,#1 (63%) / R3: #6,#7 (69%) / R4: #10,#1,#7 (44%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #6,#7 (69%) / R4: #10,#1,#7 (44%) / R5: #6,#8,#5 (50%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #6,#8,#5 (50%) / R6: #11,#13,#10 (49%) / R7: #1,#8,#3 (56%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 14%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #1,#7,#6 (65%) / R2: #7,#4,#1 (63%) / R3: #6,#7 (69%) / R4: #10,#1,#7 (44%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #7,#4,#1 (63%) / R3: #6,#7 (69%) / R4: #10,#1,#7 (44%) / R5: #6,#8,#5 (50%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 10%
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
A FLARE FOR POLITICSAI MAGICANOTHER MYSTERYAP IM THAT DOVEAP JESSIES CARTEL
ARTELLABANYANBAYTOWN PARFAITBEACH FIRSTBEACHUM
BOZAANOCANYON STREAKCATCH A NITE TRAINCLEVER HEISTCONFERENCE CALLING
CRAZY LUCKCUT GLASSCV DENALIDIXIELANDDO YA WANNA DANCE
DOOZIE DODREAMLICIOUSEL DANDIESCONDIDO GOLDFURIOUS ANGEL
GENSISTHEKINGGIMMEETHREESTEPSGIRL ON A TEARGOLD ON BLACKHAPPY HAPPY DAY
I LIKE BEERI'M GAMEICE EXPRESSINFLAMMABELLEJAILHOUSE JUSTICE
JESS A RIOTJIMS PROMISEJUST THE TAPKENZLADY PIPPA
LET'S GO BARBIELINDENBORGLITTLE SAM'SLUCERRAME AND CHILI
MODERN LEGACYMOMENTARIOMOWINSMR MICHELNACHOR SECRET
NINETALESONE COOL DUDEPACIANOPERSONAL CREEDPICKLE SHOES
PRIZE PERFORMANCEPULSTARPURDY DARN GOODQUOKKARIGOBERTO
ROCKET HOSSRUETTIGERSEVEN BEACHESSHANKARSIGNDSEALDDELIVERD
SILVERTOWNSIR CADENSKY HIGH CHRISSKYLERSOUND DOCTRINE
STEPHENS DREAMTACHAS SECRETTEARIN'UP MY HEARTTIPPY TAPTOOKENETTE
UNBRIDLED MOONUNDERESTIMATEDV FORMATIONVANGUARDIANVICTORY BEACH
ZONA ROSSO

 


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