How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 7:34 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 33% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 6 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 1 finished in the money.
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,900 | |
| Win: | 8 – Sweet Aurora G (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Sarah's Rolling (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Awree (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Lucky Bead Lady (10/1), 1 – Roseigh All Day (6/1), 4 – Cookie Brookie (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Annala (20/1), 2 – Mary Claire (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-8-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,100 | |
| Win: | 4 – Jade's Wicked Doll (5/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Hall Of Cards (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Major Move (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Insipid (7/2), 7 – Goodmorning Gracie (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Wickey Bibby (12/1), 6 – Custom Value (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-3-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miracle On Central (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – The Big Ben (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Kingscliff (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Rocky Rock It (10/1), 7 – Unshakeable Proof (12/1), 2 – Pea Eye (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Patek (30/1), 4 – Little Lee (15/1), 8 – Agatino (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-5-3-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-8-4-1-7-5-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,600 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sir Tristan (4/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Weitzman (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Ready Shoes (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Clements Ride (12/1), 2 – Garnet Jubilee (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Butchy Boy (30/1), 5 – Pure Malice (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-6-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-6-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 1 – Grazed (8/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Masteroffoxhounds (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Warrior Richard (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Purple Heart (12/1), 11 – Mr. Faversham (10/1), 5 – U Rascal U (30/1), 8 – Don'task Don'ttell (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Moneystrike (10/1), 6 – Afleet Sky (30/1), 9 – Gabarra (20/1), 10 – Max S (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-8-1-5-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-11-2-9-4-8-3-10-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 4 – East Shore (3/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Katerini (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Country Belle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Imma Going To Win (8/1), 5 – Marina's Gold (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Beautiful Janet (20/1), 1 – Miz Jameson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-7-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-6-3-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hurry Up Hannah (4/5) |
| Place: | 9 – Hand It Over (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Seamus's Girl (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Cajun Aces (15/1), 2 – Star Anise (12/1), 4 – Chaton Rouge (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Moenchanted (20/1), 10 – Roll Gypsy Roll (30/1), 5 – Ann's Storm (30/1), 7 – Little Z (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-9-1-3-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-3-2-4-8-5-7-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,900 | |
| Win: | 8 – Sweet Aurora G (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Awree (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Sarah's Rolling (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Cookie Brookie (5/1), 1 – Roseigh All Day (6/1), 7 – Lucky Bead Lady (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Mary Claire (15/1), 5 – Annala (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-3-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,100 | |
| Win: | 7 – Goodmorning Gracie (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Hall Of Cards (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Major Move (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Jade's Wicked Doll (5/1), 1 – Insipid (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Wickey Bibby (12/1), 6 – Custom Value (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-5-4-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miracle On Central (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Kingscliff (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – The Big Ben (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Rocky Rock It (10/1), 7 – Unshakeable Proof (12/1), 4 – Little Lee (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Agatino (15/1), 2 – Pea Eye (30/1), 6 – Patek (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-8-4-1-7-5-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,600 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sir Tristan (4/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Weitzman (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Ready Shoes (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Garnet Jubilee (12/1), 3 – Clements Ride (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Butchy Boy (30/1), 5 – Pure Malice (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-7-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-6-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 1 – Grazed (8/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Masteroffoxhounds (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Warrior Richard (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Purple Heart (12/1), 8 – Don'task Don'ttell (15/1), 11 – Mr. Faversham (10/1), 3 – Moneystrike (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Gabarra (20/1), 10 – Max S (12/1), 6 – Afleet Sky (30/1), 5 – U Rascal U (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-7-5-1-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-11-2-9-4-8-3-10-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 4 – East Shore (3/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Katerini (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Country Belle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Marina's Gold (8/1), 6 – Imma Going To Win (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Beautiful Janet (20/1), 1 – Miz Jameson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-6-3-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hurry Up Hannah (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Seamus's Girl (7/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Hand It Over (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Star Anise (12/1), 4 – Chaton Rouge (15/1), 1 – Cajun Aces (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Moenchanted (20/1), 10 – Roll Gypsy Roll (30/1), 5 – Ann's Storm (30/1), 7 – Little Z (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-9-6-1-10-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-3-2-4-8-5-7-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #9, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,900 | |
| Win: | 3 – Sarah's Rolling (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 6 – Awree (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 8 – Sweet Aurora G (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -48% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Roseigh All Day (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1, 4 – Cookie Brookie (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 7 – Lucky Bead Lady (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Mary Claire (15/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -34%, 5 – Annala (20/1) 4% · fair 25-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-7-3-8-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,100 | |
| Win: | 7 – Goodmorning Gracie (7/2) 25% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 4 – Jade's Wicked Doll (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 3 – Major Move (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -41% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Hall Of Cards (5/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -53%, 1 – Insipid (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -49% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Wickey Bibby (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 6 – Custom Value (20/1) 6% · fair 15-1 overlay +32% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-5-4-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miracle On Central (4/5) 31% · fair 5-2 underlay -64% |
| Place: | 1 – Kingscliff (9/2) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 5 – The Big Ben (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29% |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Rocky Rock It (10/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 7 – Unshakeable Proof (12/1) 10% · fair 19-2 overlay +29%, 4 – Little Lee (15/1) 9% · fair 21-2 overlay +41% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pea Eye (30/1) 4% · fair 53-2, 8 – Agatino (15/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -56%, 6 – Patek (30/1) 2% · fair 42-1 underlay -29% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-8-4-1-7-5-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,600 | |
| Win: | 7 – Weitzman (5/2) 30% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Ready Shoes (7/2) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +28% |
| Show: | 4 – Sir Tristan (4/5) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -76% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Clements Ride (12/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 2 – Garnet Jubilee (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1 |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Pure Malice (30/1) 3% · fair 61-2, 1 – Butchy Boy (30/1) 3% · fair 65-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-1-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-6-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 7 – Masteroffoxhounds (2/1) 21% · fair 7-2 underlay -45% |
| Place: | 1 – Grazed (8/5) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -59% |
| Show: | 4 – Warrior Richard (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Mr. Faversham (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 3 – Moneystrike (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 2 – Purple Heart (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 8 – Don'task Don'ttell (15/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -33% |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Max S (12/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -50%, 9 – Gabarra (20/1) 4% · fair 49-2, 6 – Afleet Sky (30/1) 2% · fair 40-1 underlay -25%, 5 – U Rascal U (30/1) 2% · fair 107-2 underlay -44% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-7-5-1-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-11-2-9-4-8-3-10-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 4 – East Shore (3/5) 39% · fair 3-2 underlay -61% |
| Place: | 3 – Katerini (5/1) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Show: | 5 – Marina's Gold (8/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Country Belle (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 6 – Imma Going To Win (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -36% |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Beautiful Janet (20/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 1 – Miz Jameson (30/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -38% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-7-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-6-3-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 6 – Hurry Up Hannah (4/5) 32% · fair 2-1 underlay -63% |
| Place: | 9 – Hand It Over (6/1) 17% · fair 9-2 overlay +27% |
| Show: | 3 – Seamus's Girl (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -27% |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Star Anise (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 1 – Cajun Aces (15/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 4 – Chaton Rouge (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2 |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Moenchanted (20/1) 5% · fair 41-2, 10 – Roll Gypsy Roll (30/1) 4% · fair 53-2, 5 – Ann's Storm (30/1) 3% · fair 29-1, 7 – Little Z (30/1) 3% · fair 71-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-9-6-1-5-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-3-2-4-8-5-7-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #8 over #6 ($1 straight; box #8-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #3, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #3 over #7 ($1 straight; box #3-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #1, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #4 over #7 ($1 straight; box #4-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #7 ($1 straight; box #1-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #7, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #9, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.43 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 8 – Moenchanted | 20/1 | — | 6.8% | +48.5% | 0.61% | $0.61 |
| 5 | 9 – Gabarra | 20/1 | — | 6.0% | +28.9% | 0.36% | $0.36 |
| 3 | 2 – Pea Eye | 30/1 | — | 4.0% | +28.6% | 0.24% | $0.24 |
| 6 | 1 – Miz Jameson | 30/1 | — | 3.9% | +25.6% | 0.21% | $0.21 |
| 4 | 1 – Butchy Boy | 30/1 | — | 3.9% | +23.5% | 0.20% | $0.20 |
| 4 | 5 – Pure Malice | 30/1 | — | 3.7% | +18.4% | 0.15% | $0.15 |
| 7 | 5 – Ann'S Storm | 30/1 | — | 3.5% | +10.8% | 0.09% | $0.09 |
| TOTAL across 7 plays: | 1.9% | $1.86 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,900 | |
| Win: | 6 - Awree (7/2) |
| Place: | 8 - Sweet Aurora G (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Sarah's Rolling (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Lucky Bead Lady (10/1), 4 - Cookie Brookie (5/1), 1 - Roseigh All Day (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Mary Claire (15/1), 5 - Annala (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-7-8-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,100 | |
| Win: | 3 - Major Move (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Insipid (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Hall Of Cards (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Jade's Wicked Doll (5/1), 7 - Goodmorning Gracie (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Wickey Bibby (12/1), 6 - Custom Value (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 3 - Miracle On Central (4/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Unshakeable Proof (12/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Kingscliff (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 - Rocky Rock It (10/1), 5 - The Big Ben (5/1), 4 - Little Lee (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Pea Eye (30/1), 6 - Patek (30/1), 8 - Agatino (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-3-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-8-4-1-7-5-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,600 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sir Tristan (4/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Weitzman (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Ready Shoes (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Garnet Jubilee (12/1), 3 - Clements Ride (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Pure Malice (30/1), 1 - Butchy Boy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-6-3-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-6-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 1 - Grazed (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Warrior Richard (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Masteroffoxhounds (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Purple Heart (12/1), 3 - Moneystrike (10/1), 11 - Mr. Faversham (10/1), 5 - U Rascal U (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 - Gabarra (20/1), 8 - Don'task Don'ttell (15/1), 10 - Max S (12/1), 6 - Afleet Sky (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-8-1-5-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-11-2-9-4-8-3-10-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 4 - East Shore (3/5) |
| Place: | 3 - Katerini (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Beautiful Janet (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Country Belle (5/1), 5 - Marina's Gold (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Imma Going To Win (8/1), 1 - Miz Jameson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-7-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-6-3-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 6 - Hurry Up Hannah (4/5) |
| Place: | 9 - Hand It Over (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Seamus's Girl (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Star Anise (12/1), 1 - Cajun Aces (15/1), 8 - Moenchanted (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 - Roll Gypsy Roll (30/1), 4 - Chaton Rouge (15/1), 7 - Little Z (30/1), 5 - Ann's Storm (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-9-4-3-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-3-2-4-8-5-7-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,900 | |
| Win: | 8 - Sweet Aurora G (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Sarah's Rolling (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Awree (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Lucky Bead Lady (10/1), 4 - Cookie Brookie (5/1), 1 - Roseigh All Day (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Mary Claire (15/1), 5 - Annala (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-3-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,100 | |
| Win: | 5 - Hall Of Cards (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Major Move (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Insipid (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Jade's Wicked Doll (5/1), 7 - Goodmorning Gracie (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Wickey Bibby (12/1), 6 - Custom Value (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $10,400 | |
| Win: | 3 - Miracle On Central (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Kingscliff (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 - The Big Ben (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 - Rocky Rock It (10/1), 7 - Unshakeable Proof (12/1), 8 - Agatino (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Pea Eye (30/1), 4 - Little Lee (15/1), 6 - Patek (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-3-5-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-8-4-1-7-5-2-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $8,600 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sir Tristan (4/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Weitzman (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Ready Shoes (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Clements Ride (12/1), 2 - Garnet Jubilee (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Butchy Boy (30/1), 5 - Pure Malice (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-6-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-2-3-6-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 1 - Grazed (8/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Masteroffoxhounds (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Warrior Richard (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Mr. Faversham (10/1), 2 - Purple Heart (12/1), 3 - Moneystrike (10/1), 8 - Don'task Don'ttell (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - U Rascal U (30/1), 9 - Gabarra (20/1), 10 - Max S (12/1), 6 - Afleet Sky (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-8-1-5-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-11-2-9-4-8-3-10-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 4 - East Shore (3/5) |
| Place: | 2 - Country Belle (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Katerini (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Imma Going To Win (8/1), 5 - Marina's Gold (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Beautiful Janet (20/1), 1 - Miz Jameson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-6-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-6-3-2-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $9,400 | |
| Win: | 6 - Hurry Up Hannah (4/5) |
| Place: | 9 - Hand It Over (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Seamus's Girl (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Cajun Aces (15/1), 2 - Star Anise (12/1), 4 - Chaton Rouge (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Moenchanted (20/1), 10 - Roll Gypsy Roll (30/1), 5 - Ann's Storm (30/1), 7 - Little Z (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-9-1-3-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-3-2-4-8-5-7-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #9, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #7,#4,#3 (58%) / R3: #3,#1,#5 (62%) / R4: #7,#6,#4 (80%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #3,#1,#5 (62%) / R4: #7,#6,#4 (80%) / R5: #7,#1,#4 (60%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #7,#6,#4 (80%) / R5: #7,#1,#4 (60%) / R6: #4,#3,#5 (72%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 34% |
| Pick 3 R5-7 | R5: #7,#1,#4 (60%) / R6: #4,#3,#5 (72%) / R7: #6,#9,#3 (66%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #3,#1,#5 (62%) / R4: #7,#6,#4 (80%) / R5: #7,#1,#4 (60%) / R6: #4,#3,#5 (72%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 4 R4-7 | R4: #7,#6,#4 (80%) / R5: #7,#1,#4 (60%) / R6: #4,#3,#5 (72%) / R7: #6,#9,#3 (66%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 23% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| AFLEET SKY | AGATINO | ANN'S STORM | ANNALA | AWREE |
| BUTCHY BOY | CAJUN ACES | CHATON ROUGE | CLEMENTS RIDE | COOKIE BROOKIE |
| CUSTOM VALUE | DON'TASK DON'TTELL | EAST SHORE | GABARRA | GARNET JUBILEE |
| GRAZED | HALL OF CARDS | HAND IT OVER | HURRY UP HANNAH | IMMA GOING TO WIN |
| JADE'S WICKED DOLL | KATERINI | KINGSCLIFF | LITTLE LEE | LITTLE Z |
| MAJOR MOVE | MARINA'S GOLD | MARY CLAIRE | MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS | MAX S |
| MIZ JAMESON | MOENCHANTED | MONEYSTRIKE | MR. FAVERSHAM | PATEK |
| PURE MALICE | PURPLE HEART | READY SHOES | ROCKY ROCK IT | ROLL GYPSY ROLL |
| SARAH'S ROLLING | SEAMUS'S GIRL | SIR TRISTAN | STAR ANISE | SWEET AURORA G |
| U RASCAL U | UNSHAKEABLE PROOF | WARRIOR RICHARD | WEITZMAN | WICKEY BIBBY |
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