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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ausplexity (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – April Spun (9/5) |
| Show: | 9 – Natures Fury (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Infamy (7/2), 7 – False Witness (8/1), 5 – Munchkin (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Midnite Bust R Out (10/1), 1 – Caitlin Said Run (8/1), 6 – Hurry Up Hailey (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-2-5-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-9-2-1-7-5-3-6-8 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bonsai Warrior (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Captain Oats (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Win Winnie Win (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Fratellone (5/2), 3 – Final Joke (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bliss Street (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-4-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-2-5-4-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Street Glide (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Knox (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Confabulation (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Syntactic (8/1), 6 – Crypto Man (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mystic Night (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-1-2-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-5-6-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mya Papaya (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Elsie's Smile (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Bella Bello Banker (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Backseat Romance (5/1), 8 – Lady Hathor (8/1), 5 – Precious Cat (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Aunt Jo (20/1), 2 – Emily Reward (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-3-8-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-2-8-5-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – La Resolana (3/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Red Head Italian (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Molly's A Bullet (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – She's A Bombshell (8/1), 6 – Starview Twinkle (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Salt And Light (10/1), 4 – Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-5-1-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-7-3-6-4 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hauntress (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Linarite (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Taco Cat Backwards (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – El Ma'any (7/2), 7 – Shadyside (6/1), 6 – Onmywaytosavthday (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Diamondinthesand (6/1), 9 – Spanish Girl (8/1), 8 – Queen Catalina (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-5-9-7-1-4-8 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – April Spun (9/5) |
| Place: | 9 – Natures Fury (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ausplexity (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Infamy (7/2), 1 – Caitlin Said Run (8/1), 3 – Midnite Bust R Out (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – False Witness (8/1), 5 – Munchkin (10/1), 6 – Hurry Up Hailey (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-8-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-9-2-1-7-5-3-6-8 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bonsai Warrior (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Captain Oats (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Win Winnie Win (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Fratellone (5/2), 3 – Final Joke (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bliss Street (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-2-5-4-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Street Glide (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Syntactic (8/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Knox (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Confabulation (7/2), 6 – Crypto Man (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mystic Night (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-1-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-5-6-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mya Papaya (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Elsie's Smile (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Lady Hathor (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bella Bello Banker (5/2), 5 – Precious Cat (6/1), 6 – Backseat Romance (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Aunt Jo (20/1), 2 – Emily Reward (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-8-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-2-8-5-6-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – La Resolana (3/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Molly's A Bullet (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Red Head Italian (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Starview Twinkle (6/1), 7 – She's A Bombshell (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Salt And Light (10/1), 4 – Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-5-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-7-3-6-4 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Linarite (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – El Ma'any (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Hauntress (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Onmywaytosavthday (8/1), 7 – Shadyside (6/1), 1 – Taco Cat Backwards (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Diamondinthesand (6/1), 9 – Spanish Girl (8/1), 8 – Queen Catalina (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-5-9-7-1-4-8 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – April Spun (9/5) |
| Place: | 9 – Natures Fury (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ausplexity (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Infamy (7/2), 1 – Caitlin Said Run (8/1), 7 – False Witness (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Munchkin (10/1), 3 – Midnite Bust R Out (10/1), 6 – Hurry Up Hailey (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-8-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-9-2-1-7-5-3-6-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bonsai Warrior (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Captain Oats (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Win Winnie Win (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Fratellone (5/2), 3 – Final Joke (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Bliss Street (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-2-5-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Street Glide (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Syntactic (8/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Knox (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Confabulation (7/2), 6 – Crypto Man (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mystic Night (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-6-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-5-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Mya Papaya (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Elsie's Smile (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Lady Hathor (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Precious Cat (6/1), 1 – Bella Bello Banker (5/2), 6 – Backseat Romance (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Emily Reward (12/1), 3 – Aunt Jo (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-8-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-4-2-8-5-6-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – La Resolana (3/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Molly's A Bullet (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Red Head Italian (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Starview Twinkle (6/1), 7 – She's A Bombshell (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Salt And Light (10/1), 4 – Purple Lu Lu (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-1-5-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-7-3-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Linarite (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Hauntress (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – El Ma'any (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Onmywaytosavthday (8/1), 7 – Shadyside (6/1), 4 – Diamondinthesand (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Taco Cat Backwards (6/1), 9 – Spanish Girl (8/1), 8 – Queen Catalina (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-5-9-7-1-4-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.46 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 4 | 3 – Aunt Jo | 20/1 | 28.0% | +469.5% | 5.00% | $5.00 |
| TOTAL across 1 play: | 5.0% | $5.00 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| APRIL SPUN | AUNT JO | AUSPLEXITY | BACKSEAT ROMANCE | BELLA BELLO BANKER |
| BONSAI WARRIOR | CAITLIN SAID RUN | CAPTAIN OATS | CONFABULATION | CRYPTO MAN |
| EL MA'ANY | ELSIE'S SMILE | EMILY REWARD | FALSE WITNESS | FINAL JOKE |
| HAUNTRESS | HURRY UP HAILEY | INFAMY | KNOX | LA RESOLANA |
| LINARITE | MIDNITE BUST R OUT | MOLLY'S A BULLET | MUNCHKIN | MYA PAPAYA |
| NATURES FURY | ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY | PRECIOUS CAT | PURPLE LU LU | QUEEN CATALINA |
| SALT AND LIGHT | SHADYSIDE | SHE'S A BOMBSHELL | SPANISH GIRL | STARVIEW TWINKLE |
| SYNTACTIC | TACO CAT BACKWARDS | WIN WINNIE WIN |
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