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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Princess Summer (7/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Only You (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – More Vino Rosa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Radar Loop (9/2), 3 – Power And Glory (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – El Ma'any (7/2), 1 – Red Haired Gal (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-4-5-7-3-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mambrino (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Cassation (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – More Power (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Real Blues (6/1), 4 – Island Spirit (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Wild Jaime (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-3-4-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Smithwick's Spice (5/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Superfractor (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Just Comply (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – The Pauly Factor (9/2), 1 – Vesparo (8/1), 7 – Really Quick (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Midnight Story (6/1), 4 – Perrotto (6/1), 5 – Lecanto (20/1), 6 – T V Man (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-8-9-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-3-8-1-2-7-6-9-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Crypto Man (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Chuck Willis (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Syntactic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gowokegobroke (9/2), 6 – Levee Was Dry (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Latin Spice (12/1), 4 – Awesome For Sure (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-6-1-2-7-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 13 – Red Head Italian (6/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Speightfulelection (8/1) |
| Show: | 7 – One Fine Wine (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Air Masque (9/2), 10 – Blue Moon Tide (8/1), 11 – D' Tiger Lily (9/2), 12 – Golden Ring (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – La Resolana (3/1), 4 – Last Flag Flying (8/1), 3 – Slick Merlin (5/1), 14 – Sea Maiden (8/1), 8 – Lidia Rose (8/1), 6 – Purple Lu Lu (20/1), 2 – I Can Explain (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-8-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-5-9-10-7-1-4-11-8-3-14-12-6-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Just Relax (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – President Z (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Pogi (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Electric Eel (6/1), 1 – Foil (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Beware Of Pride (8/1), 7 – My Mamba (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-4-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-4-5-2-1-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Jet Off (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – All The Luck (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – One Bid (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Beck's Dreamer (4/1), 5 – Restless Passion (7/2), 4 – Matty B Good (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Gaborone (15/1), 2 – Hurricane Jerry (6/1), 1 – Charlie Hustle (15/1), 3 – Pretty Sixxy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-9-10-3-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-10-8-6-5-2-4-1-7-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Unsolved Mystery (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Don't Tell Tammo (15/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Charlie's Beauty (3/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Duela Dent (8/1), 1 – Peggysue I Love U (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – La Vecchia Signora (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-2-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Princess Summer (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Radar Loop (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – More Vino Rosa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – El Ma'any (7/2), 7 – Only You (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Power And Glory (10/1), 1 – Red Haired Gal (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-4-5-7-3-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mambrino (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Cassation (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – More Power (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Island Spirit (8/1), 6 – Real Blues (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Wild Jaime (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-3-4-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Smithwick's Spice (5/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Superfractor (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Vesparo (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – The Pauly Factor (9/2), 2 – Just Comply (6/1), 7 – Really Quick (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Midnight Story (6/1), 4 – Perrotto (6/1), 5 – Lecanto (20/1), 6 – T V Man (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-8-10-3-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-3-8-1-2-7-6-9-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Chuck Willis (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Crypto Man (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Gowokegobroke (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Syntactic (6/1), 6 – Levee Was Dry (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Latin Spice (12/1), 4 – Awesome For Sure (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-5-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-6-1-2-7-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Speightfulelection (8/1) |
| Place: | 11 – D' Tiger Lily (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – La Resolana (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 13 – Red Head Italian (6/1), 9 – Air Masque (9/2), 7 – One Fine Wine (4/1), 10 – Blue Moon Tide (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Golden Ring (6/1), 14 – Sea Maiden (8/1), 3 – Slick Merlin (5/1), 4 – Last Flag Flying (8/1), 6 – Purple Lu Lu (20/1), 8 – Lidia Rose (8/1), 2 – I Can Explain (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-7-3-1-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-5-9-10-7-1-4-11-8-3-14-12-6-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Just Relax (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – President Z (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Pogi (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Electric Eel (6/1), 1 – Foil (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Beware Of Pride (8/1), 7 – My Mamba (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-4-5-2-1-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Jet Off (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – All The Luck (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – One Bid (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Beck's Dreamer (4/1), 5 – Restless Passion (7/2), 2 – Hurricane Jerry (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Matty B Good (8/1), 7 – Gaborone (15/1), 1 – Charlie Hustle (15/1), 3 – Pretty Sixxy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-9-10-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-10-8-6-5-2-4-1-7-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Unsolved Mystery (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Don't Tell Tammo (15/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Charlie's Beauty (3/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Duela Dent (8/1), 2 – La Vecchia Signora (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Peggysue I Love U (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-2-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Princess Summer (7/5) |
| Place: | 4 – More Vino Rosa (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Radar Loop (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Only You (6/1), 2 – El Ma'any (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Power And Glory (10/1), 1 – Red Haired Gal (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-4-5-7-3-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – More Power (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Cassation (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Mambrino (1/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Island Spirit (8/1), 2 – Wild Jaime (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Real Blues (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-3-4-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 10 – Superfractor (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – The Pauly Factor (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Midnight Story (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Really Quick (5/1), 2 – Just Comply (6/1), 1 – Vesparo (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Smithwick's Spice (5/2), 4 – Perrotto (6/1), 6 – T V Man (10/1), 5 – Lecanto (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-8-9-10-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-3-8-1-2-7-6-9-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Crypto Man (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Syntactic (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Levee Was Dry (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gowokegobroke (9/2), 3 – Chuck Willis (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Latin Spice (12/1), 4 – Awesome For Sure (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-1-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-6-1-2-7-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 9 – Air Masque (9/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Slick Merlin (5/1) |
| Show: | 13 – Red Head Italian (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – La Resolana (3/1), 7 – One Fine Wine (4/1), 12 – Golden Ring (6/1), 1 – Speightfulelection (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Blue Moon Tide (8/1), 11 – D' Tiger Lily (9/2), 8 – Lidia Rose (8/1), 14 – Sea Maiden (8/1), 4 – Last Flag Flying (8/1), 6 – Purple Lu Lu (20/1), 2 – I Can Explain (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-9-3-5-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-5-9-10-7-1-4-11-8-3-14-12-6-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Just Relax (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Pogi (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Foil (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – President Z (3/1), 4 – Electric Eel (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Beware Of Pride (8/1), 7 – My Mamba (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-3-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-4-5-2-1-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Restless Passion (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 – Beck's Dreamer (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – All The Luck (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Jet Off (5/2), 6 – One Bid (9/2), 4 – Matty B Good (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Hurricane Jerry (6/1), 1 – Charlie Hustle (15/1), 7 – Gaborone (15/1), 3 – Pretty Sixxy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-10-9-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-10-8-6-5-2-4-1-7-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Unsolved Mystery (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Don't Tell Tammo (15/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Duela Dent (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Charlie's Beauty (3/2), 2 – La Vecchia Signora (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Peggysue I Love U (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-3-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-2-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 26, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 4, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 2, Days Since Last Race: 11, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 3, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.40 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $100 |
| 3 | 6 – T V Man | 10/1 | 14.9% | +68.4% | 1.71% | $1.71 |
| 7 | 1 – Charlie Hustle | 15/1 | 8.9% | +44.6% | 0.74% | $0.74 |
| 7 | 7 – Gaborone | 15/1 | 8.3% | +35.6% | 0.59% | $0.59 |
| 6 | 7 – My Mamba | 15/1 | 7.3% | +18.6% | 0.31% | $0.31 |
| 8 | 5 – Don'T Tell Tammo | 15/1 | 6.8% | +10.2% | 0.17% | $0.17 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $100 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AIR MASQUE | ALL THE LUCK | AWESOME FOR SURE | BECK'S DREAMER | BEWARE OF PRIDE |
| CASSATION | CHARLIE HUSTLE | CHARLIE'S BEAUTY | CHUCK WILLIS | CRYPTO MAN |
| DON'T TELL TAMMO | DUELA DENT | EL MA'ANY | ELECTRIC EEL | FOIL |
| GOLDEN RING | GOWOKEGOBROKE | HURRICANE JERRY | I CAN EXPLAIN | ISLAND SPIRIT |
| JUST COMPLY | JUST RELAX | LA RESOLANA | LA VECCHIA SIGNORA | LAST FLAG FLYING |
| LECANTO | LEVEE WAS DRY | LIDIA ROSE | MAMBRINO | MATTY B GOOD |
| MORE POWER | MORE VINO ROSA | MY MAMBA | ONE BID | ONE FINE WINE |
| PEGGYSUE I LOVE U | PERROTTO | POGI | POWER AND GLORY | PRESIDENT Z |
| PRINCESS SUMMER | PURPLE LU LU | RADAR LOOP | REAL BLUES | REALLY QUICK |
| RED HEAD ITALIAN | RESTLESS PASSION | SEA MAIDEN | SLICK MERLIN | SMITHWICK'S SPICE |
| SUPERFRACTOR | SYNTACTIC | T V MAN | THE PAULY FACTOR | UNSOLVED MYSTERY |
| WILD JAIME |
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