Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – No Napping (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sweet Queen Bee (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Stubold (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Legacy Trail (5/1), 4 – A Little Bit Crazy (7/1), 6 – Everheart (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Kaz' Rose (15/1), 9 – Ante Angel (15/1), 7 – Years Ago (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-2-1-3-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-6-7-1-3-4-8-9 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Toolpusher (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Judge Rules (5/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Royal Salute (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Bosley (3/1), 1 – Silver Front (6/1), 7 – Train And Trust (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – My Boy Rocky (12/1), 8 – Analyst (7/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-7-5-1-4-3-8 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Lu's Redemption (12/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Girl Bye (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Lino And Me (20/1), 3 – Worldly Beauty (9/2), 12 – Lady Hamilton (15/1), 7 – Up Her Sleeve (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Vingativa (5/1), 1 – Verbal Geyser (6/1), 8 – Lu Lu Vaton (7/1), 11 – Cloudy Bay (12/1), 9 – High Vibes (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-7-4-9-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-3-12-1-2-10-11-9-8-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Enlighten (4/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Remerton (5/1) |
| Show: | 13 – Louisianimal (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – States United (8/1), 4 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (3/1), 8 – Unpredictable Bay (7/1), 5 – Bold Advance (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Envelope Please (12/1), 1 – Why Not Me (8/1), 12 – Secret Treasure (10/1), 7 – Brown Liquor Man (12/1), 14 – Game Keeper (15/1), 3 – Lucky Curlin (12/1), 2 – Rip Thorn (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-4-9-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-7-8-10-4-13-5-11-1-14-12-3-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Divo D'oro (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Doomed (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Game Maker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Gemstone Warrior (7/1), 2 – Fernando's Gold (3/1), 3 – Sugar Lips (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Gospel Gentleman (20/1), 6 – Dancing On Air (12/1), 1 – No Authority (20/1), 9 – Cometothedarkside (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-10-7-2-5-3-9-6-8-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Independent Streak (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Liz Dreamin (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Our Big Sis (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Something Sweet (9/2), 5 – Offthe Beaten Path (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Intel Agent (2/1), 7 – Princess Honor (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-7-3-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Abundant Energy (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Zealous Storm (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Remys Gunsmoke (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Dembe Zuma (6/1), 4 – Union Branch (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Rescue Five (10/1), 3 – Curb That Tiger (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-7-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-4-5-7-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Force Of Justice (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Magoo (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Pace (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – High Rolling Dude (5/1), 2 – Big Spin (9/2), 9 – Khozando (6/1), 7 – Post Facto (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Ghost Bike (12/1), 3 – Unraptured (12/1), 1 – Leo And Royal (20/1), 6 – Torrefactor (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-9-2-10-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-9-3-10-7-11-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Sweet Queen Bee (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Legacy Trail (5/1) |
| Show: | 5 – No Napping (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Stubold (6/1), 4 – A Little Bit Crazy (7/1), 6 – Everheart (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Kaz' Rose (15/1), 7 – Years Ago (10/1), 9 – Ante Angel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-5-1-3-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-6-7-1-3-4-8-9 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Judge Rules (5/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Royal Salute (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Toolpusher (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Silver Front (6/1), 5 – Bosley (3/1), 7 – Train And Trust (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – My Boy Rocky (12/1), 8 – Analyst (7/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-7-5-1-4-3-8 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Girl Bye (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Vingativa (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Verbal Geyser (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1), 4 – Lu's Redemption (12/1), 3 – Worldly Beauty (9/2), 12 – Lady Hamilton (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Lino And Me (20/1), 7 – Up Her Sleeve (20/1), 11 – Cloudy Bay (12/1), 8 – Lu Lu Vaton (7/1), 9 – High Vibes (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-7-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-3-12-1-2-10-11-9-8-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Enlighten (4/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (3/1) |
| Show: | 13 – Louisianimal (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Remerton (5/1), 5 – Bold Advance (6/1), 8 – Unpredictable Bay (7/1), 10 – States United (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Envelope Please (12/1), 1 – Why Not Me (8/1), 14 – Game Keeper (15/1), 7 – Brown Liquor Man (12/1), 12 – Secret Treasure (10/1), 2 – Rip Thorn (20/1), 3 – Lucky Curlin (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-2-6-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-7-8-10-4-13-5-11-1-14-12-3-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Divo D'oro (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Fernando's Gold (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Game Maker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Doomed (4/1), 3 – Sugar Lips (10/1), 5 – Gemstone Warrior (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Gospel Gentleman (20/1), 6 – Dancing On Air (12/1), 9 – Cometothedarkside (12/1), 1 – No Authority (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-7-2-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-10-7-2-5-3-9-6-8-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Independent Streak (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Liz Dreamin (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Our Big Sis (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Something Sweet (9/2), 5 – Offthe Beaten Path (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Intel Agent (2/1), 7 – Princess Honor (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-7-3-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Abundant Energy (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Zealous Storm (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Remys Gunsmoke (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Union Branch (4/1), 7 – Dembe Zuma (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Rescue Five (10/1), 3 – Curb That Tiger (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-7-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-4-5-7-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Force Of Justice (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Big Spin (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Pace (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Magoo (9/2), 11 – High Rolling Dude (5/1), 9 – Khozando (6/1), 10 – Ghost Bike (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Leo And Royal (20/1), 3 – Unraptured (12/1), 7 – Post Facto (10/1), 6 – Torrefactor (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-8-9-10-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-9-3-10-7-11-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – No Napping (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Everheart (8/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Legacy Trail (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Stubold (6/1), 7 – Years Ago (10/1), 2 – Sweet Queen Bee (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Kaz' Rose (15/1), 4 – A Little Bit Crazy (7/1), 9 – Ante Angel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-2-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-6-7-1-3-4-8-9 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Bosley (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Silver Front (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Toolpusher (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Train And Trust (10/1), 2 – Judge Rules (5/1), 8 – Analyst (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – My Boy Rocky (12/1), 4 – Royal Salute (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-7-5-1-4-3-8 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 12 – Lady Hamilton (15/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Girl Bye (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Lino And Me (20/1), 11 – Cloudy Bay (12/1), 4 – Lu's Redemption (12/1), 3 – Worldly Beauty (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Up Her Sleeve (20/1), 2 – Vingativa (5/1), 8 – Lu Lu Vaton (7/1), 1 – Verbal Geyser (6/1), 9 – High Vibes (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-12-7-10-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-5-3-12-1-2-10-11-9-8-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Remerton (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Enlighten (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 13 – Louisianimal (5/1), 8 – Unpredictable Bay (7/1), 5 – Bold Advance (6/1), 11 – Envelope Please (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – States United (8/1), 7 – Brown Liquor Man (12/1), 12 – Secret Treasure (10/1), 1 – Why Not Me (8/1), 14 – Game Keeper (15/1), 3 – Lucky Curlin (12/1), 2 – Rip Thorn (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-9-2-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-7-8-10-4-13-5-11-1-14-12-3-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Divo D'oro (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Fernando's Gold (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Game Maker (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Cometothedarkside (12/1), 4 – Doomed (4/1), 8 – Gospel Gentleman (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Sugar Lips (10/1), 6 – Dancing On Air (12/1), 5 – Gemstone Warrior (7/1), 1 – No Authority (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-7-2-9-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-10-7-2-5-3-9-6-8-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Independent Streak (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Liz Dreamin (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Our Big Sis (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Something Sweet (9/2), 5 – Offthe Beaten Path (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Intel Agent (2/1), 7 – Princess Honor (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-7-3-2-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Zealous Storm (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Remys Gunsmoke (5/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Union Branch (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Dembe Zuma (6/1), 1 – Abundant Energy (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Rescue Five (10/1), 3 – Curb That Tiger (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-4-7-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-4-5-7-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Force Of Justice (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Post Facto (10/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Magoo (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – High Rolling Dude (5/1), 5 – Pace (7/2), 2 – Big Spin (9/2), 10 – Ghost Bike (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Unraptured (12/1), 9 – Khozando (6/1), 1 – Leo And Royal (20/1), 6 – Torrefactor (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-7-10-2-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-9-3-10-7-11-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 26, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 4, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 2, Days Since Last Race: 11, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 3, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $100 |
| 1 | 7 – Years Ago | 10/1 | 14.9% | +59.4% | 1.48% | $1.48 |
| 2 | 7 – Train And Trust | 10/1 | 14.9% | +59.4% | 1.48% | $1.48 |
| 8 | 7 – Post Facto | 10/1 | 13.5% | +44.8% | 1.12% | $1.12 |
| 6 | 7 – Princess Honor | 10/1 | 13.0% | +39.7% | 0.99% | $0.99 |
| 3 | 12 – Lady Hamilton | 15/1 | 8.9% | +38.7% | 0.64% | $0.64 |
| 5 | 3 – Sugar Lips | 10/1 | 12.3% | +32.9% | 0.82% | $0.82 |
| 1 | 8 – Kaz' Rose | 15/1 | 8.4% | +32.2% | 0.54% | $0.54 |
| 4 | 14 – Game Keeper | 15/1 | 8.4% | +31.6% | 0.53% | $0.53 |
| 1 | 9 – Ante Angel | 15/1 | 7.9% | +25.2% | 0.42% | $0.42 |
| 8 | 6 – Torrefactor | 15/1 | 7.6% | +20.7% | 0.35% | $0.35 |
| 3 | 9 – High Vibes | 15/1 | 7.6% | +19.9% | 0.33% | $0.33 |
| 4 | 12 – Secret Treasure | 10/1 | 10.9% | +18.2% | 0.46% | $0.46 |
| 4 | 11 – Envelope Please | 12/1 | 8.9% | +14.0% | 0.29% | $0.29 |
| 5 | 9 – Cometothedarkside | 12/1 | 8.9% | +14.0% | 0.29% | $0.29 |
| 8 | 10 – Ghost Bike | 12/1 | 8.9% | +14.0% | 0.29% | $0.29 |
| 3 | 11 – Cloudy Bay | 12/1 | 8.7% | +11.9% | 0.25% | $0.25 |
| 2 | 3 – My Boy Rocky | 12/1 | 8.5% | +10.3% | 0.21% | $0.21 |
| 5 | 6 – Dancing On Air | 12/1 | 8.5% | +10.1% | 0.21% | $0.21 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $100 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| A LITTLE BIT CRAZY | ABUNDANT ENERGY | ANALYST | ANTE ANGEL | BIG SPIN |
| BOSLEY | BROWN LIQUOR MAN | CLOUDY BAY | COMETOTHEDARKSIDE | CURB THAT TIGER |
| DEMBE ZUMA | DIVO D'ORO | DOOMED | ENLIGHTEN | ENVELOPE PLEASE |
| FERNANDO'S GOLD | FORCE OF JUSTICE | GAME KEEPER | GAME MAKER | GEMSTONE WARRIOR |
| GIRL BYE | GOSPEL GENTLEMAN | HIGH ROLLING DUDE | HIGH VIBES | INDEPENDENT STREAK |
| JUDGE RULES | KAZ' ROSE | KHOZANDO | LADY HAMILTON | LEGACY TRAIL |
| LETMEKNOWBEFOREUGO | LINO AND ME | LIZ DREAMIN | LOUISIANIMAL | LU LU VATON |
| LUCKY CURLIN | MAGOO | MY BOY ROCKY | NEW AGE BAD GIRL | NO AUTHORITY |
| OFFTHE BEATEN PATH | OUR BIG SIS | PACE | POST FACTO | PRINCESS HONOR |
| REMYS GUNSMOKE | RESCUE FIVE | RIP THORN | ROYAL SALUTE | SECRET TREASURE |
| SOMETHING SWEET | STATES UNITED | STUBOLD | SUGAR LIPS | SWEET QUEEN BEE |
| TORREFACTOR | TRAIN AND TRUST | UNION BRANCH | UNPREDICTABLE BAY | UNRAPTURED |
| VERBAL GEYSER | VINGATIVA | WHY NOT ME | WORLDLY BEAUTY | YEARS AGO |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
