Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Mountaineer Park, October 5, 2026


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $14,500
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Clay Soldier (3/1)
Place:8Emily's Joy (2/1)
Show:7Sweetcatherinerose (7/1)
Other contenders:2Mornin' Boss (9/1), 11Nit Witness (6/1), 6The Little Sultana (6/1), 3We'll Do It Live (12/1)
Rest of field:1Alien Princess (10/1), 10Citori (20/1), 9Beauty Of The Nile (15/1), 4Outrage (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1810672
🎯 Longshots: 2315810711964
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $11,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Blinging Burr (3/1)
Place:1Everheart (6/1)
Show:4Mean To Me (2/1)
Other contenders:11Lil Breezzy (5/1), 10Scoot Along (9/1), 8Seems To Whisper (7/1), 5Amalfi Lady (10/1)
Rest of field:3One Violent Affair (20/1), 2Spooky Little Girl (20/1), 6Denali Rae (15/1), 9Alter The Stars (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7621114
🎯 Longshots: 1067145112398
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #4, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:10Wicked Luna (2/1)
Place:7Hurricane Kate (5/1)
Show:4Diferencia (8/1)
Other contenders:1Fifth Gear (12/1), 9Mo Touring (4/1), 11Spoken Vow (4/1), 6Dance On Air (7/1)
Rest of field:12Tafaany (8/1), 3Super Engreida (10/1), 5Quince (15/1), 8Sister Sola (15/1), 2My Daniela (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 865173
🎯 Longshots: 415312108711926
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Six Seven Cents (2/1)
Place:6Bet A Fortune (7/2)
Show:7Wave Maker (6/1)
Other contenders:4Discreet Boy (3/1), 2Big G (8/1), 1Robotaxi (15/1)
Rest of field:3Free Range (10/1), 8Gunnamakecentz (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 567421
🎯 Longshots: 56148723
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:9Binging (2/1)
Place:2King Miano (7/2)
Show:3Game Maker (3/1)
Other contenders:6Candycrumbs (7/1), 5Grey Streak (10/1), 8Face Abarrio (12/1)
Rest of field:1H C Holiday (12/1), 4Milano (15/1), 7Guess Im Just Good (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 354961
🎯 Longshots: 891524637
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  3 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Cash Customer (7/5)
Place:2Bustin Loose (10/1)
Show:1Remys Gunsmoke (3/1)
Other contenders:4Silver Candice (6/1), 7Can She Scoot (4/1)
Rest of field:6Ee Yah (15/1), 5Delightful Appeal (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 164732
🎯 Longshots: 3261475
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2I'm Kidding (3/1)
Place:7Estrella Silver (7/2)
Show:1Mazarn (2/1)
Other contenders:6Face Of Shadows (8/1), 4Dream Leader (10/1)
Rest of field:5Kim's Money (4/1), 3Dont Blame Court (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 671432
🎯 Longshots: 2431675
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:9Blue Fashion (2/1)
Place:1Summersattheshore (7/2)
Show:8Sight To See (3/1)
Other contenders:6Amadora's Empire (12/1), 4General Ginny (7/1), 2Super Honey Timber (15/1)
Rest of field:3Breezy Dance (12/1), 7Best Virginia (10/1), 5Right Brightly (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 721698
🎯 Longshots: 691238745
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #8, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:8Emily's Joy (2/1) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -47%
Place:5Clay Soldier (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -28%
Show:7Sweetcatherinerose (7/1) 14% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:11Nit Witness (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 6The Little Sultana (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -34%, 2Mornin' Boss (9/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -34%, 3We'll Do It Live (12/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -32%
Rest of field:1Alien Princess (10/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -47%, 9Beauty Of The Nile (15/1) 2% · fair 45-1 underlay -67%, 4Outrage (20/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -56%, 10Citori (20/1) 2% · fair 101-2 underlay -60%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Emily'S Joy — 20.9% win probability, morning line 2/1Emily'S Joy20.9% ◀Clay Soldier — 19.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Clay Soldier19.3%Sweetcatherinerose — 13.5% win probability, morning line 7/1Sweetcatherinerose13.5%Nit Witness — 12.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Nit Witness12.8%The Little Sultana — 9.9% win probability, morning line 6/1The Little Sultana9.9%Mornin' Boss — 6.8% win probability, morning line 9/1Mornin' Boss6.8%We'Ll Do It Live — 5.4% win probability, morning line 12/1We'Ll Do It Live5.4%Alien Princess — 5.0% win probability, morning line 10/1Alien Princess5.0%Beauty Of The Nile — 2.2% win probability, morning line 15/1Beauty Of The Nile2.2%Outrage — 2.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Outrage2.2%Citori — 1.9% win probability, morning line 20/1Citori1.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Emily'S Joy20.9%2/1
Clay Soldier19.3%3/1
Sweetcatherinerose13.5%7/1
Nit Witness12.8%6/1
The Little Sultana9.9%6/1
Mornin' Boss6.8%9/1
We'Ll Do It Live5.4%12/1
Alien Princess5.0%10/1
Beauty Of The Nile2.2%15/1
Outrage2.2%20/1
Citori1.9%20/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherEmily'S Joy: model 20.9% vs market 23.5% (-2.6 points)Emily'S Joy-2.6Clay Soldier: model 19.3% vs market 17.6% (+1.7 points)Clay Soldier+1.7Sweetcatherinerose: model 13.5% vs market 8.8% (+4.7 points)Sweetcatherinerose+4.7Nit Witness: model 12.8% vs market 10.1% (+2.7 points)Nit Witness+2.7The Little Sultana: model 9.9% vs market 10.1% (-0.1 points)The Little Sultana-0.1Mornin' Boss: model 6.8% vs market 7.0% (-0.2 points)Mornin' Boss-0.2We'Ll Do It Live: model 5.4% vs market 5.4% (-0.0 points)We'Ll Do It Live-0.0Alien Princess: model 5.0% vs market 6.4% (-1.4 points)Alien Princess-1.4Beauty Of The Nile: model 2.2% vs market 4.4% (-2.2 points)Beauty Of The Nile-2.2Outrage: model 2.2% vs market 3.4% (-1.2 points)Outrage-1.2Citori: model 1.9% vs market 3.4% (-1.4 points)Citori-1.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Emily'S Joy20.9%23.5%-2.6
Clay Soldier19.3%17.6%+1.7
Sweetcatherinerose13.5%8.8%+4.7
Nit Witness12.8%10.1%+2.7
The Little Sultana9.9%10.1%-0.1
Mornin' Boss6.8%7.0%-0.2
We'Ll Do It Live5.4%5.4%-0.0
Alien Princess5.0%6.4%-1.4
Beauty Of The Nile2.2%4.4%-2.2
Outrage2.2%3.4%-1.2
Citori1.9%3.4%-1.4
🌧️ Off-track: 1108672
🎯 Longshots: 2315810711964
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #7, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $11,000
Win:4Mean To Me (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -56%
Place:11Lil Breezzy (5/1) 15% · fair 6-1
Show:1Everheart (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Other contenders:7Blinging Burr (3/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -54%, 8Seems To Whisper (7/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 10Scoot Along (9/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 5Amalfi Lady (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -28%
Rest of field:9Alter The Stars (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -46%, 3One Violent Affair (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -26%, 2Spooky Little Girl (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -34%, 6Denali Rae (15/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -51%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mean To Me — 18.0% win probability, morning line 2/1Mean To Me18.0% ◀Lil Breezzy — 14.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Lil Breezzy14.7%Everheart — 14.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Everheart14.0%Blinging Burr — 13.2% win probability, morning line 3/1Blinging Burr13.2%Seems To Whisper — 10.4% win probability, morning line 7/1Seems To Whisper10.4%Scoot Along — 8.9% win probability, morning line 9/1Scoot Along8.9%Amalfi Lady — 6.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Amalfi Lady6.7%Alter The Stars — 4.3% win probability, morning line 12/1Alter The Stars4.3%One Violent Affair — 3.6% win probability, morning line 20/1One Violent Affair3.6%Spooky Little Girl — 3.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Spooky Little Girl3.2%Denali Rae — 3.2% win probability, morning line 15/1Denali Rae3.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mean To Me18.0%2/1
Lil Breezzy14.7%5/1
Everheart14.0%6/1
Blinging Burr13.2%3/1
Seems To Whisper10.4%7/1
Scoot Along8.9%9/1
Amalfi Lady6.7%10/1
Alter The Stars4.3%12/1
One Violent Affair3.6%20/1
Spooky Little Girl3.2%20/1
Denali Rae3.2%15/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMean To Me: model 18.0% vs market 23.1% (-5.1 points)Mean To Me-5.1Lil Breezzy: model 14.7% vs market 11.5% (+3.1 points)Lil Breezzy+3.1Everheart: model 14.0% vs market 9.9% (+4.1 points)Everheart+4.1Blinging Burr: model 13.2% vs market 17.3% (-4.1 points)Blinging Burr-4.1Seems To Whisper: model 10.4% vs market 8.7% (+1.7 points)Seems To Whisper+1.7Scoot Along: model 8.9% vs market 6.9% (+2.0 points)Scoot Along+2.0Amalfi Lady: model 6.7% vs market 6.3% (+0.4 points)Amalfi Lady+0.4Alter The Stars: model 4.3% vs market 5.3% (-1.0 points)Alter The Stars-1.0One Violent Affair: model 3.6% vs market 3.3% (+0.3 points)One Violent Affair+0.3Spooky Little Girl: model 3.2% vs market 3.3% (-0.1 points)Spooky Little Girl-0.1Denali Rae: model 3.2% vs market 4.3% (-1.2 points)Denali Rae-1.2

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Mean To Me18.0%23.1%-5.1
Lil Breezzy14.7%11.5%+3.1
Everheart14.0%9.9%+4.1
Blinging Burr13.2%17.3%-4.1
Seems To Whisper10.4%8.7%+1.7
Scoot Along8.9%6.9%+2.0
Amalfi Lady6.7%6.3%+0.4
Alter The Stars4.3%5.3%-1.0
One Violent Affair3.6%3.3%+0.3
Spooky Little Girl3.2%3.3%-0.1
Denali Rae3.2%4.3%-1.2
🌧️ Off-track: 7621113
🎯 Longshots: 1067145112398
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #11, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:10Wicked Luna (2/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -52%
Place:7Hurricane Kate (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Show:4Diferencia (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2
Other contenders:11Spoken Vow (4/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -58%, 6Dance On Air (7/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -28%, 9Mo Touring (4/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -66%, 12Tafaany (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -40%
Rest of field:1Fifth Gear (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 3Super Engreida (10/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -33%, 5Quince (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1, 8Sister Sola (15/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -57%, 2My Daniela (20/1) 2% · fair 42-1 underlay -52%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Wicked Luna — 19.2% win probability, morning line 2/1Wicked Luna19.2% ◀Hurricane Kate — 14.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Hurricane Kate14.2%Diferencia — 10.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Diferencia10.5%Spoken Vow — 9.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Spoken Vow9.4%Dance On Air — 9.3% win probability, morning line 7/1Dance On Air9.3%Mo Touring — 7.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Mo Touring7.8%Tafaany — 7.0% win probability, morning line 8/1Tafaany7.0%Fifth Gear — 6.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Fifth Gear6.4%Super Engreida — 6.3% win probability, morning line 10/1Super Engreida6.3%Quince — 4.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Quince4.8%Sister Sola — 2.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Sister Sola2.8%My Daniela — 2.3% win probability, morning line 20/1My Daniela2.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Wicked Luna19.2%2/1
Hurricane Kate14.2%5/1
Diferencia10.5%8/1
Spoken Vow9.4%4/1
Dance On Air9.3%7/1
Mo Touring7.8%4/1
Tafaany7.0%8/1
Fifth Gear6.4%12/1
Super Engreida6.3%10/1
Quince4.8%15/1
Sister Sola2.8%15/1
My Daniela2.3%20/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherWicked Luna: model 19.2% vs market 21.0% (-1.8 points)Wicked Luna-1.8Hurricane Kate: model 14.2% vs market 10.5% (+3.7 points)Hurricane Kate+3.7Diferencia: model 10.5% vs market 7.0% (+3.5 points)Diferencia+3.5Spoken Vow: model 9.4% vs market 12.6% (-3.2 points)Spoken Vow-3.2Dance On Air: model 9.3% vs market 7.9% (+1.4 points)Dance On Air+1.4Mo Touring: model 7.8% vs market 12.6% (-4.8 points)Mo Touring-4.8Tafaany: model 7.0% vs market 7.0% (+0.0 points)Tafaany+0.0Fifth Gear: model 6.4% vs market 4.8% (+1.5 points)Fifth Gear+1.5Super Engreida: model 6.3% vs market 5.7% (+0.5 points)Super Engreida+0.5Quince: model 4.8% vs market 3.9% (+0.8 points)Quince+0.8Sister Sola: model 2.8% vs market 3.9% (-1.1 points)Sister Sola-1.1My Daniela: model 2.3% vs market 3.0% (-0.7 points)My Daniela-0.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Wicked Luna19.2%21.0%-1.8
Hurricane Kate14.2%10.5%+3.7
Diferencia10.5%7.0%+3.5
Spoken Vow9.4%12.6%-3.2
Dance On Air9.3%7.9%+1.4
Mo Touring7.8%12.6%-4.8
Tafaany7.0%7.0%+0.0
Fifth Gear6.4%4.8%+1.5
Super Engreida6.3%5.7%+0.5
Quince4.8%3.9%+0.8
Sister Sola2.8%3.9%-1.1
My Daniela2.3%3.0%-0.7
🌧️ Off-track: 865173
🎯 Longshots: 415312108711926
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #4, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:5Six Seven Cents (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2
Place:6Bet A Fortune (7/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:4Discreet Boy (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35%
Other contenders:2Big G (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 7Wave Maker (6/1) 9% · fair 11-1 underlay -44%, 3Free Range (10/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -38%
Rest of field:1Robotaxi (15/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -36%, 8Gunnamakecentz (20/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -55%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Six Seven Cents — 28.1% win probability, morning line 2/1Six Seven Cents28.1% ◀Bet A Fortune — 24.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Bet A Fortune24.0%Discreet Boy — 17.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Discreet Boy17.7%Big G — 9.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Big G9.5%Wave Maker — 8.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Wave Maker8.5%Free Range — 5.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Free Range5.8%Robotaxi — 4.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Robotaxi4.1%Gunnamakecentz — 2.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Gunnamakecentz2.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Six Seven Cents28.1%2/1
Bet A Fortune24.0%3.5/1
Discreet Boy17.7%3/1
Big G9.5%8/1
Wave Maker8.5%6/1
Free Range5.8%10/1
Robotaxi4.1%15/1
Gunnamakecentz2.2%20/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSix Seven Cents: model 28.1% vs market 26.4% (+1.6 points)Six Seven Cents+1.6Bet A Fortune: model 24.0% vs market 17.6% (+6.4 points)Bet A Fortune+6.4Discreet Boy: model 17.7% vs market 19.8% (-2.1 points)Discreet Boy-2.1Big G: model 9.5% vs market 8.8% (+0.7 points)Big G+0.7Wave Maker: model 8.5% vs market 11.3% (-2.8 points)Wave Maker-2.8Free Range: model 5.8% vs market 7.2% (-1.4 points)Free Range-1.4Robotaxi: model 4.1% vs market 5.0% (-0.9 points)Robotaxi-0.9Gunnamakecentz: model 2.2% vs market 3.8% (-1.6 points)Gunnamakecentz-1.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Six Seven Cents28.1%26.4%+1.6
Bet A Fortune24.0%17.6%+6.4
Discreet Boy17.7%19.8%-2.1
Big G9.5%8.8%+0.7
Wave Maker8.5%11.3%-2.8
Free Range5.8%7.2%-1.4
Robotaxi4.1%5.0%-0.9
Gunnamakecentz2.2%3.8%-1.6
🌧️ Off-track: 564273
🎯 Longshots: 56148723
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:9Binging (2/1) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -44%
Place:2King Miano (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1
Show:3Game Maker (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -44%
Other contenders:6Candycrumbs (7/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 5Grey Streak (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 8Face Abarrio (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2
Rest of field:1H C Holiday (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 4Milano (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1, 7Guess Im Just Good (20/1) 2% · fair 50-1 underlay -60%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Binging — 21.9% win probability, morning line 2/1Binging21.9% ◀King Miano — 19.3% win probability, morning line 3.5/1King Miano19.3%Game Maker — 15.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Game Maker15.7%Candycrumbs — 14.4% win probability, morning line 7/1Candycrumbs14.4%Grey Streak — 8.0% win probability, morning line 10/1Grey Streak8.0%Face Abarrio — 7.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Face Abarrio7.0%H C Holiday — 6.9% win probability, morning line 12/1H C Holiday6.9%Milano — 4.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Milano4.8%Guess Im Just Good — 2.0% win probability, morning line 20/1Guess Im Just Good2.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Binging21.9%2/1
King Miano19.3%3.5/1
Game Maker15.7%3/1
Candycrumbs14.4%7/1
Grey Streak8.0%10/1
Face Abarrio7.0%12/1
H C Holiday6.9%12/1
Milano4.8%15/1
Guess Im Just Good2.0%20/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherBinging: model 21.9% vs market 25.9% (-4.0 points)Binging-4.0King Miano: model 19.3% vs market 17.3% (+2.0 points)King Miano+2.0Game Maker: model 15.7% vs market 19.4% (-3.7 points)Game Maker-3.7Candycrumbs: model 14.4% vs market 9.7% (+4.6 points)Candycrumbs+4.6Grey Streak: model 8.0% vs market 7.1% (+1.0 points)Grey Streak+1.0Face Abarrio: model 7.0% vs market 6.0% (+1.0 points)Face Abarrio+1.0H C Holiday: model 6.9% vs market 6.0% (+0.9 points)H C Holiday+0.9Milano: model 4.8% vs market 4.9% (-0.1 points)Milano-0.1Guess Im Just Good: model 2.0% vs market 3.7% (-1.8 points)Guess Im Just Good-1.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Binging21.9%25.9%-4.0
King Miano19.3%17.3%+2.0
Game Maker15.7%19.4%-3.7
Candycrumbs14.4%9.7%+4.6
Grey Streak8.0%7.1%+1.0
Face Abarrio7.0%6.0%+1.0
H C Holiday6.9%6.0%+0.9
Milano4.8%4.9%-0.1
Guess Im Just Good2.0%3.7%-1.8
🌧️ Off-track: 354796
🎯 Longshots: 891524637
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  3 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:3Cash Customer (7/5) 41% · fair 3-2
Place:7Can She Scoot (4/1) 17% · fair 9-2
Show:1Remys Gunsmoke (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -50%
Other contenders:4Silver Candice (6/1) 11% · fair 15-2, 2Bustin Loose (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1
Rest of field:5Delightful Appeal (12/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -59%, 6Ee Yah (15/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -60%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Cash Customer — 40.7% win probability, morning line 1.4/1Cash Customer40.7% ◀Can She Scoot — 17.5% win probability, morning line 4/1Can She Scoot17.5%Remys Gunsmoke — 14.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Remys Gunsmoke14.3%Silver Candice — 11.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Silver Candice11.5%Bustin Loose — 10.2% win probability, morning line 10/1Bustin Loose10.2%Delightful Appeal — 3.3% win probability, morning line 12/1Delightful Appeal3.3%Ee Yah — 2.6% win probability, morning line 15/1Ee Yah2.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Cash Customer40.7%1.4/1
Can She Scoot17.5%4/1
Remys Gunsmoke14.3%3/1
Silver Candice11.5%6/1
Bustin Loose10.2%10/1
Delightful Appeal3.3%12/1
Ee Yah2.6%15/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCash Customer: model 40.7% vs market 33.6% (+7.1 points)Cash Customer+7.1Can She Scoot: model 17.5% vs market 16.1% (+1.3 points)Can She Scoot+1.3Remys Gunsmoke: model 14.3% vs market 20.2% (-5.9 points)Remys Gunsmoke-5.9Silver Candice: model 11.5% vs market 11.5% (-0.1 points)Silver Candice-0.1Bustin Loose: model 10.2% vs market 7.3% (+2.9 points)Bustin Loose+2.9Delightful Appeal: model 3.3% vs market 6.2% (-2.9 points)Delightful Appeal-2.9Ee Yah: model 2.6% vs market 5.0% (-2.4 points)Ee Yah-2.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Cash Customer40.7%33.6%+7.1
Can She Scoot17.5%16.1%+1.3
Remys Gunsmoke14.3%20.2%-5.9
Silver Candice11.5%11.5%-0.1
Bustin Loose10.2%7.3%+2.9
Delightful Appeal3.3%6.2%-2.9
Ee Yah2.6%5.0%-2.4
🌧️ Off-track: 614732
🎯 Longshots: 3261475
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:2I'm Kidding (3/1) 27% · fair 5-2
Place:7Estrella Silver (7/2) 26% · fair 3-1
Show:1Mazarn (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -57%
Other contenders:5Kim's Money (4/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -59%, 6Face Of Shadows (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Rest of field:4Dream Leader (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 3Dont Blame Court (15/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -43%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

I'M Kidding — 26.9% win probability, morning line 3/1I'M Kidding26.9% ◀Estrella Silver — 25.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Estrella Silver25.7%Mazarn — 17.5% win probability, morning line 2/1Mazarn17.5%Kim'S Money — 9.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Kim'S Money9.4%Face Of Shadows — 8.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Face Of Shadows8.7%Dream Leader — 8.1% win probability, morning line 10/1Dream Leader8.1%Dont Blame Court — 3.7% win probability, morning line 15/1Dont Blame Court3.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
I'M Kidding26.9%3/1
Estrella Silver25.7%3.5/1
Mazarn17.5%2/1
Kim'S Money9.4%4/1
Face Of Shadows8.7%8/1
Dream Leader8.1%10/1
Dont Blame Court3.7%15/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherI'M Kidding: model 26.9% vs market 19.7% (+7.2 points)I'M Kidding+7.2Estrella Silver: model 25.7% vs market 17.5% (+8.2 points)Estrella Silver+8.2Mazarn: model 17.5% vs market 26.2% (-8.7 points)Mazarn-8.7Kim'S Money: model 9.4% vs market 15.7% (-6.4 points)Kim'S Money-6.4Face Of Shadows: model 8.7% vs market 8.7% (-0.0 points)Face Of Shadows-0.0Dream Leader: model 8.1% vs market 7.2% (+1.0 points)Dream Leader+1.0Dont Blame Court: model 3.7% vs market 4.9% (-1.3 points)Dont Blame Court-1.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
I'M Kidding26.9%19.7%+7.2
Estrella Silver25.7%17.5%+8.2
Mazarn17.5%26.2%-8.7
Kim'S Money9.4%15.7%-6.4
Face Of Shadows8.7%8.7%-0.0
Dream Leader8.1%7.2%+1.0
Dont Blame Court3.7%4.9%-1.3
🌧️ Off-track: 671432
🎯 Longshots: 2431675
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000
Win:9Blue Fashion (2/1) 29% · fair 5-2
Place:1Summersattheshore (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1
Show:8Sight To See (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -37%
Other contenders:4General Ginny (7/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -44%, 6Amadora's Empire (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 7Best Virginia (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -31%
Rest of field:3Breezy Dance (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 2Super Honey Timber (15/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -33%, 5Right Brightly (20/1) 2% · fair 87-2 underlay -54%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Blue Fashion — 28.9% win probability, morning line 2/1Blue Fashion28.9% ◀Summersattheshore — 20.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Summersattheshore20.0%Sight To See — 17.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Sight To See17.3%General Ginny — 7.4% win probability, morning line 7/1General Ginny7.4%Amadora'S Empire — 7.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Amadora'S Empire7.4%Best Virginia — 6.4% win probability, morning line 10/1Best Virginia6.4%Breezy Dance — 6.1% win probability, morning line 12/1Breezy Dance6.1%Super Honey Timber — 4.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Super Honey Timber4.3%Right Brightly — 2.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Right Brightly2.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Blue Fashion28.9%2/1
Summersattheshore20.0%3.5/1
Sight To See17.3%3/1
General Ginny7.4%7/1
Amadora'S Empire7.4%12/1
Best Virginia6.4%10/1
Breezy Dance6.1%12/1
Super Honey Timber4.3%15/1
Right Brightly2.2%20/1
🌧️ Off-track: 721694
🎯 Longshots: 691238745
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
Algo 1 (Weighted Rating) at Mountaineer Park — average winning payout

What a $2 win bet returned WHEN THE PICK WON. 499 graded races at Mountaineer Park, 2026-04-13 to 2026-09-30.

$0$2$4$5$7Our top pick: $5.62 from 112 racesOur top pick$5.62Morning-line favourite: $5.09 from 112 racesMorning-line favourite$5.09

This is the size of a winning payout, not a measure of profit — a pick that wins less often at a longer price can average more per winner and still lose money over the month. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupAverage payoutWinners
Our top pick$5.62112
Morning-line favourite$5.09112
 
Race 1  5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:5Clay Soldier (3/1)
Place:3We'll Do It Live (12/1)
Show:2Mornin' Boss (9/1)
Other contenders:8Emily's Joy (2/1), 7Sweetcatherinerose (7/1), 11Nit Witness (6/1), 6The Little Sultana (6/1)
Rest of field:1Alien Princess (10/1), 9Beauty Of The Nile (15/1), 10Citori (20/1), 4Outrage (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1810762
🎯 Longshots: 2315810711964
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #2, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $11,000
Win:1Everheart (6/1) no strong opinion
This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection.
Place:7Blinging Burr (3/1)
Show:4Mean To Me (2/1)
Other contenders:11Lil Breezzy (5/1), 10Scoot Along (9/1), 5Amalfi Lady (10/1), 8Seems To Whisper (7/1)
Rest of field:2Spooky Little Girl (20/1), 9Alter The Stars (12/1), 6Denali Rae (15/1), 3One Violent Affair (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7111426
🎯 Longshots: 1067145112398
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #4, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:10Wicked Luna (2/1)
Place:4Diferencia (8/1)
Show:7Hurricane Kate (5/1)
Other contenders:11Spoken Vow (4/1), 1Fifth Gear (12/1), 6Dance On Air (7/1), 3Super Engreida (10/1)
Rest of field:12Tafaany (8/1), 5Quince (15/1), 8Sister Sola (15/1), 9Mo Touring (4/1), 2My Daniela (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 861573
🎯 Longshots: 415312108711926
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #4, #7, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:5Six Seven Cents (2/1)
Place:6Bet A Fortune (7/2)
Show:4Discreet Boy (3/1)
Other contenders:1Robotaxi (15/1), 8Gunnamakecentz (20/1), 7Wave Maker (6/1)
Rest of field:2Big G (8/1), 3Free Range (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 564187
🎯 Longshots: 56148723
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:9Binging (2/1)
Place:6Candycrumbs (7/1)
Show:5Grey Streak (10/1)
Other contenders:2King Miano (7/2), 8Face Abarrio (12/1), 3Game Maker (3/1)
Rest of field:1H C Holiday (12/1), 4Milano (15/1), 7Guess Im Just Good (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 539624
🎯 Longshots: 891524637
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #6, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  3 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:1Remys Gunsmoke (3/1)
Place:3Cash Customer (7/5)
Show:6Ee Yah (15/1)
Other contenders:4Silver Candice (6/1), 2Bustin Loose (10/1)
Rest of field:7Can She Scoot (4/1), 5Delightful Appeal (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 164372
🎯 Longshots: 3261475
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:2I'm Kidding (3/1)
Place:7Estrella Silver (7/2)
Show:1Mazarn (2/1)
Other contenders:4Dream Leader (10/1), 3Dont Blame Court (15/1)
Rest of field:5Kim's Money (4/1), 6Face Of Shadows (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 712643
🎯 Longshots: 2431675
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000
Win:9Blue Fashion (2/1)
Place:1Summersattheshore (7/2)
Show:6Amadora's Empire (12/1)
Other contenders:8Sight To See (3/1), 4General Ginny (7/1), 2Super Honey Timber (15/1)
Rest of field:3Breezy Dance (12/1), 7Best Virginia (10/1), 5Right Brightly (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 169278
🎯 Longshots: 691238745
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #5 over #8 ($1 straight; box #5-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #2, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #1, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #10 over #7 ($1 straight; box #10-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #10, #11, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #5, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #9 over #2 ($1 straight; box #9-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #9 over #2, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #1, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #1, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #9 over #1 ($1 straight; box #9-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #9, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder))    Morning-line reliability: +0.32 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $
bankroll
86Amadora'S Empire12/1—13.2%+62.0%1.29%$1.29
31Fifth Gear12/1—11.1%+38.4%0.80%$0.80
62Bustin Loose10/1—12.6%+34.1%0.85%$0.85
TOTAL across 3 plays:2.9%$2.94
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:8Emily's Joy (2/1)
Place:5Clay Soldier (3/1)
Show:2Mornin' Boss (9/1)
Other contenders:7Sweetcatherinerose (7/1), 3We'll Do It Live (12/1), 11Nit Witness (6/1), 1Alien Princess (10/1)
Rest of field:6The Little Sultana (6/1), 10Citori (20/1), 9Beauty Of The Nile (15/1), 4Outrage (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1872610
🎯 Longshots: 2315810711964
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $11,000
Win:1Everheart (6/1)
Place:5Amalfi Lady (10/1)
Show:11Lil Breezzy (5/1)
Other contenders:10Scoot Along (9/1), 7Blinging Burr (3/1), 4Mean To Me (2/1), 8Seems To Whisper (7/1)
Rest of field:9Alter The Stars (12/1), 6Denali Rae (15/1), 3One Violent Affair (20/1), 2Spooky Little Girl (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1711546
🎯 Longshots: 1067145112398
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #11, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:10Wicked Luna (2/1)
Place:11Spoken Vow (4/1)
Show:4Diferencia (8/1)
Other contenders:6Dance On Air (7/1), 7Hurricane Kate (5/1), 1Fifth Gear (12/1), 3Super Engreida (10/1)
Rest of field:9Mo Touring (4/1), 5Quince (15/1), 12Tafaany (8/1), 8Sister Sola (15/1), 2My Daniela (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8651117
🎯 Longshots: 415312108711926
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:6Bet A Fortune (7/2)
Place:5Six Seven Cents (2/1)
Show:4Discreet Boy (3/1)
Other contenders:7Wave Maker (6/1), 2Big G (8/1), 3Free Range (10/1)
Rest of field:1Robotaxi (15/1), 8Gunnamakecentz (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 654723
🎯 Longshots: 56148723
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:9Binging (2/1)
Place:6Candycrumbs (7/1)
Show:2King Miano (7/2)
Other contenders:3Game Maker (3/1), 5Grey Streak (10/1), 8Face Abarrio (12/1)
Rest of field:1H C Holiday (12/1), 4Milano (15/1), 7Guess Im Just Good (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 395624
🎯 Longshots: 891524637
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #6, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  3 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:3Cash Customer (7/5)
Place:1Remys Gunsmoke (3/1)
Show:2Bustin Loose (10/1)
Other contenders:4Silver Candice (6/1), 6Ee Yah (15/1)
Rest of field:7Can She Scoot (4/1), 5Delightful Appeal (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 136472
🎯 Longshots: 3261475
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:2I'm Kidding (3/1)
Place:7Estrella Silver (7/2)
Show:1Mazarn (2/1)
Other contenders:6Face Of Shadows (8/1), 3Dont Blame Court (15/1)
Rest of field:4Dream Leader (10/1), 5Kim's Money (4/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 276143
🎯 Longshots: 2431675
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000
Win:9Blue Fashion (2/1)
Place:8Sight To See (3/1)
Show:1Summersattheshore (7/2)
Other contenders:6Amadora's Empire (12/1), 2Super Honey Timber (15/1), 3Breezy Dance (12/1)
Rest of field:4General Ginny (7/1), 7Best Virginia (10/1), 5Right Brightly (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 916827
🎯 Longshots: 691238745
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $14,500
Win:5Clay Soldier (3/1)
Place:2Mornin' Boss (9/1)
Show:8Emily's Joy (2/1)
Other contenders:7Sweetcatherinerose (7/1), 3We'll Do It Live (12/1), 11Nit Witness (6/1), 1Alien Princess (10/1)
Rest of field:6The Little Sultana (6/1), 10Citori (20/1), 9Beauty Of The Nile (15/1), 4Outrage (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 185726
🎯 Longshots: 2315810711964
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #8, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $11,000
Win:7Blinging Burr (3/1)
Place:1Everheart (6/1)
Show:4Mean To Me (2/1)
Other contenders:11Lil Breezzy (5/1), 10Scoot Along (9/1), 5Amalfi Lady (10/1), 8Seems To Whisper (7/1)
Rest of field:6Denali Rae (15/1), 2Spooky Little Girl (20/1), 9Alter The Stars (12/1), 3One Violent Affair (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7111462
🎯 Longshots: 1067145112398
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #4, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:4Diferencia (8/1)
Place:10Wicked Luna (2/1)
Show:11Spoken Vow (4/1)
Other contenders:7Hurricane Kate (5/1), 1Fifth Gear (12/1), 6Dance On Air (7/1), 3Super Engreida (10/1)
Rest of field:12Tafaany (8/1), 5Quince (15/1), 9Mo Touring (4/1), 8Sister Sola (15/1), 2My Daniela (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 861753
🎯 Longshots: 415312108711926
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #10, #11, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:6Bet A Fortune (7/2)
Place:5Six Seven Cents (2/1)
Show:4Discreet Boy (3/1)
Other contenders:7Wave Maker (6/1), 8Gunnamakecentz (20/1), 1Robotaxi (15/1)
Rest of field:2Big G (8/1), 3Free Range (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 654781
🎯 Longshots: 56148723
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $7,000
Win:9Binging (2/1)
Place:2King Miano (7/2)
Show:6Candycrumbs (7/1)
Other contenders:5Grey Streak (10/1), 3Game Maker (3/1), 8Face Abarrio (12/1)
Rest of field:1H C Holiday (12/1), 4Milano (15/1), 7Guess Im Just Good (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 539624
🎯 Longshots: 891524637
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  3 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:3Cash Customer (7/5)
Place:1Remys Gunsmoke (3/1)
Show:4Silver Candice (6/1)
Other contenders:2Bustin Loose (10/1), 6Ee Yah (15/1)
Rest of field:7Can She Scoot (4/1), 5Delightful Appeal (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 143627
🎯 Longshots: 3261475
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:2I'm Kidding (3/1)
Place:1Mazarn (2/1)
Show:7Estrella Silver (7/2)
Other contenders:4Dream Leader (10/1), 3Dont Blame Court (15/1)
Rest of field:5Kim's Money (4/1), 6Face Of Shadows (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 271643
🎯 Longshots: 2431675
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $12,000
Win:1Summersattheshore (7/2)
Place:9Blue Fashion (2/1)
Show:6Amadora's Empire (12/1)
Other contenders:8Sight To See (3/1), 4General Ginny (7/1), 2Super Honey Timber (15/1)
Rest of field:3Breezy Dance (12/1), 7Best Virginia (10/1), 5Right Brightly (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 196278
🎯 Longshots: 691238745
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #9, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R3-5R3: #10,#7,#4 (44%) / R4: #5,#6,#4 (70%) / R5: #9,#2,#3 (57%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 18%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #5,#6,#4 (70%) / R5: #9,#2,#3 (57%) / R6: #3,#7,#1 (72%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #9,#2,#3 (57%) / R6: #3,#7,#1 (72%) / R7: #2,#7,#1 (70%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R6-8R6: #3,#7,#1 (72%) / R7: #2,#7,#1 (70%) / R8: #9,#1,#8 (66%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 34%
Pick 4 R4-7R4: #5,#6,#4 (70%) / R5: #9,#2,#3 (57%) / R6: #3,#7,#1 (72%) / R7: #2,#7,#1 (70%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20%
Pick 4 R5-8R5: #9,#2,#3 (57%) / R6: #3,#7,#1 (72%) / R7: #2,#7,#1 (70%) / R8: #9,#1,#8 (66%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ALIEN PRINCESSALTER THE STARSAMADORA'S EMPIREAMALFI LADYBEAUTY OF THE NILE
BET A FORTUNEBIG GBINGINGBLINGING BURRBLUE FASHION
BUSTIN LOOSECAN SHE SCOOTCANDYCRUMBSCASH CUSTOMERCITORI
DANCE ON AIRDELIGHTFUL APPEALDENALI RAEDIFERENCIADISCREET BOY
DREAM LEADEREE YAHEMILY'S JOYESTRELLA SILVEREVERHEART
FACE OF SHADOWSFIFTH GEARFREE RANGEGAME MAKERGENERAL GINNY
GUESS IM JUST GOODGUNNAMAKECENTZH C HOLIDAYHURRICANE KATEI'M KIDDING
KING MIANOLIL BREEZZYMAZARNMEAN TO MEMILANO
MORNIN' BOSSMY DANIELANIT WITNESSONE VIOLENT AFFAIROUTRAGE
REMYS GUNSMOKERIGHT BRIGHTLYROBOTAXISCOOT ALONGSEEMS TO WHISPER
SILVER CANDICESISTER SOLASIX SEVEN CENTSSPOKEN VOWSPOOKY LITTLE GIRL
SUPER ENGREIDASUPER HONEY TIMBERSWEETCATHERINEROSETAFAANYTHE LITTLE SULTANA
WE'LL DO IT LIVEWICKED LUNA

 


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