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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Mountaineer Park, September 6, 2026

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AI Ensemble Picksⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:9 – Caesarea (2/1)
Place:12 – Loan Me A Dime (9/2)
Show:14 – Xiao Long (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Fiction (5/1), 6 – Springs (7/1), 10 – Briarcliff (4/1), 3 – They Not Like Us (8/1)
Rest of field:13 – Kukai (8/1), 11 – Mickeleene (10/1), 2 – Dude The Legend (10/1), 1 – Feels Like A Kylla (15/1), 4 – Thirty Thirty (20/1), 5 – Mark Of Greatness (15/1), 8 – Atomic War (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-1-8-6-14-12
🎯 Longshots: 9-3-10-12-7-13-2-1-11-5-8-14-6-4
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:5 – How About It (2/1)
Place:4 – Cascabel (4/1)
Show:6 – Fast Fall (7/1)
Other contenders:7 – Raji (12/1), 2 – Wings Of God (8/1), 1 – Starship D'oro (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Blanton (5/1), 10 – Fabelman (20/1), 8 – Hot Wings (15/1), 9 – Aves Makin' Waves (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-4-6-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-7-8-5-10-4-6-9-3
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:6 – Defiant Giant (2/1)
Place:7 – Soupersilverdollar (5/1)
Show:10 – Golden Bandit (8/1)
Other contenders:8 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (7/1), 5 – Arak (4/1), 4 – Ghost Bike (15/1)
Rest of field:3 – Wynn Giant (12/1), 1 – High Rolling Dude (15/1), 2 – Unraptured (10/1), 9 – Major Tom (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-1-6-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-10-4-5-7-8-2-3
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · HO · Purse $13,000
Win:7 – Fivefive Six Champ (2/1)
Place:1 – Trigger Point (3/1)
Show:3 – Priority Lane (7/2)
Other contenders:8 – Atlantic Firestorm (6/1), 5 – Bustin Loose (8/1), 4 – Johnnyfrenchfri (10/1)
Rest of field:2 – Mighty Mo (20/1), 6 – Falcon Blue (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-3-8-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-1-5-6-3-8
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:1 – Califragilistic (2/1)
Place:8 – Ocata (3/1)
Show:4 – Load The Wagon (6/1)
Other contenders:3 – Team Mischievous (8/1), 5 – Lastshotatlightnin (7/2), 2 – Calissimo (15/1)
Rest of field:7 – Attractive Soul (10/1), 6 – Arapaho Nation (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-2-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-7-8-6-4-5
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $16,000
Win:1 – Force Of Justice (6/5)
Place:3 – St. Louie Louie (5/2)
Show:4 – Tizawhitefacecat (4/1)
Other contenders:2 – Work Hard (7/1), 6 – Magic Mover (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Washington's Union (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-2-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-2-4
 
Race 7  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:7 – Smalltownsmokeshow (2/1)
Place:4 – Bashful Daisy (7/2)
Show:5 – A Little Bit Crazy (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Rock Star Parking (9/2), 3 – Maci's World (10/1)
Rest of field:6 – Opposite The Crowd (8/1), 2 – Special Note (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-6-4-2
🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-1-4-2
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Unclecharliesgift (7/5)
Place:5 – King Miano (10/1)
Show:7 – Mr Hoover (6/1)
Other contenders:8 – Cleveland Power (4/1), 1 – Ember (12/1), 2 – Ambulante (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Tapio (15/1), 9 – First Citizen (15/1), 3 – Distorted Limits (20/1), 10 – Gold Buckle (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-8-4-9-6
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-2-9-6-8-3-10-7
AI Win Probability Picksⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:9 – Caesarea (2/1) 20%
Place:12 – Loan Me A Dime (9/2) 12%
Show:14 – Xiao Long (5/1) 12%
Other contenders:10 – Briarcliff (4/1) 10%, 6 – Springs (7/1) 8%, 7 – Fiction (5/1) 8%, 3 – They Not Like Us (8/1) 7%
Rest of field:13 – Kukai (8/1) 5%, 1 – Feels Like A Kylla (15/1) 4%, 11 – Mickeleene (10/1) 4%, 2 – Dude The Legend (10/1) 3%, 8 – Atomic War (12/1) 3%, 5 – Mark Of Greatness (15/1) 3%, 4 – Thirty Thirty (20/1) 2%
🌧️ Off-track: 13-1-8-6-14-12
🎯 Longshots: 9-3-10-12-7-13-2-1-11-5-8-14-6-4
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:5 – How About It (2/1) 23%
Place:4 – Cascabel (4/1) 15%
Show:6 – Fast Fall (7/1) 11%
Other contenders:1 – Starship D'oro (10/1) 10%, 2 – Wings Of God (8/1) 9%, 3 – Blanton (5/1) 8%
Rest of field:7 – Raji (12/1) 8%, 8 – Hot Wings (15/1) 8%, 10 – Fabelman (20/1) 6%, 9 – Aves Makin' Waves (15/1) 4%
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-4-6-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-7-8-5-10-4-6-9-3
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:6 – Defiant Giant (2/1) 36%
Place:8 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (7/1) 11%
Show:10 – Golden Bandit (8/1) 10%
Other contenders:7 – Soupersilverdollar (5/1) 9%, 5 – Arak (4/1) 9%, 2 – Unraptured (10/1) 6%
Rest of field:4 – Ghost Bike (15/1) 6%, 9 – Major Tom (20/1) 5%, 3 – Wynn Giant (12/1) 5%, 1 – High Rolling Dude (15/1) 4%
🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-1-4-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-10-4-5-7-8-2-3
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · HO · Purse $13,000
Win:7 – Fivefive Six Champ (2/1) 25%
Place:1 – Trigger Point (3/1) 17%
Show:8 – Atlantic Firestorm (6/1) 13%
Other contenders:3 – Priority Lane (7/2) 13%, 5 – Bustin Loose (8/1) 12%, 4 – Johnnyfrenchfri (10/1) 10%
Rest of field:2 – Mighty Mo (20/1) 7%, 6 – Falcon Blue (15/1) 4%
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-8-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-1-5-6-3-8
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:8 – Ocata (3/1) 20%
Place:1 – Califragilistic (2/1) 19%
Show:5 – Lastshotatlightnin (7/2) 15%
Other contenders:4 – Load The Wagon (6/1) 15%, 3 – Team Mischievous (8/1) 9%, 7 – Attractive Soul (10/1) 9%
Rest of field:2 – Calissimo (15/1) 8%, 6 – Arapaho Nation (20/1) 5%
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-7-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-7-8-6-4-5
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $16,000
Win:1 – Force Of Justice (6/5) 25%
Place:4 – Tizawhitefacecat (4/1) 21%
Show:3 – St. Louie Louie (5/2) 19%
Other contenders:2 – Work Hard (7/1) 13%, 5 – Washington's Union (10/1) 12%
Rest of field:6 – Magic Mover (15/1) 10%
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-2-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-2-4
 
Race 7  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:7 – Smalltownsmokeshow (2/1) 21%
Place:5 – A Little Bit Crazy (3/1) 19%
Show:4 – Bashful Daisy (7/2) 16%
Other contenders:1 – Rock Star Parking (9/2) 14%, 6 – Opposite The Crowd (8/1) 13%
Rest of field:3 – Maci's World (10/1) 10%, 2 – Special Note (15/1) 7%
🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-6-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-1-4-2
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Unclecharliesgift (7/5) 21%
Place:8 – Cleveland Power (4/1) 16%
Show:7 – Mr Hoover (6/1) 13%
Other contenders:1 – Ember (12/1) 10%, 5 – King Miano (10/1) 9%, 2 – Ambulante (8/1) 9%
Rest of field:9 – First Citizen (15/1) 6%, 10 – Gold Buckle (20/1) 6%, 6 – Tapio (15/1) 5%, 3 – Distorted Limits (20/1) 4%
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-9-8-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-2-9-6-8-3-10-7
Algo Picks – Algo 1ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:12 – Loan Me A Dime (9/2)
Place:9 – Caesarea (2/1)
Show:6 – Springs (7/1)
Other contenders:10 – Briarcliff (4/1), 7 – Fiction (5/1), 14 – Xiao Long (5/1), 3 – They Not Like Us (8/1)
Rest of field:11 – Mickeleene (10/1), 13 – Kukai (8/1), 1 – Feels Like A Kylla (15/1), 4 – Thirty Thirty (20/1), 8 – Atomic War (12/1), 5 – Mark Of Greatness (15/1), 2 – Dude The Legend (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-1-8-6-12-14
🎯 Longshots: 9-3-10-12-7-13-2-1-11-5-8-14-6-4
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:5 – How About It (2/1)
Place:1 – Starship D'oro (10/1)
Show:3 – Blanton (5/1)
Other contenders:4 – Cascabel (4/1), 6 – Fast Fall (7/1), 2 – Wings Of God (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – Hot Wings (15/1), 7 – Raji (12/1), 10 – Fabelman (20/1), 9 – Aves Makin' Waves (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-4-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-7-8-5-10-4-6-9-3
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:7 – Soupersilverdollar (5/1)
Place:10 – Golden Bandit (8/1)
Show:6 – Defiant Giant (2/1)
Other contenders:5 – Arak (4/1), 8 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (7/1), 1 – High Rolling Dude (15/1)
Rest of field:4 – Ghost Bike (15/1), 3 – Wynn Giant (12/1), 9 – Major Tom (20/1), 2 – Unraptured (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-6-1-5-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-10-4-5-7-8-2-3
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · HO · Purse $13,000
Win:7 – Fivefive Six Champ (2/1)
Place:1 – Trigger Point (3/1)
Show:3 – Priority Lane (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Johnnyfrenchfri (10/1), 8 – Atlantic Firestorm (6/1), 6 – Falcon Blue (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Bustin Loose (8/1), 2 – Mighty Mo (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-3-2-4-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-1-5-6-3-8
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:1 – Califragilistic (2/1)
Place:8 – Ocata (3/1)
Show:4 – Load The Wagon (6/1)
Other contenders:5 – Lastshotatlightnin (7/2), 3 – Team Mischievous (8/1), 7 – Attractive Soul (10/1)
Rest of field:2 – Calissimo (15/1), 6 – Arapaho Nation (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-7-8-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-7-8-6-4-5
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $16,000
Win:1 – Force Of Justice (6/5)
Place:3 – St. Louie Louie (5/2)
Show:6 – Magic Mover (15/1)
Other contenders:2 – Work Hard (7/1), 5 – Washington's Union (10/1)
Rest of field:4 – Tizawhitefacecat (4/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-2-6-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-2-4
 
Race 7  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:7 – Smalltownsmokeshow (2/1)
Place:5 – A Little Bit Crazy (3/1)
Show:4 – Bashful Daisy (7/2)
Other contenders:1 – Rock Star Parking (9/2), 6 – Opposite The Crowd (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Special Note (15/1), 3 – Maci's World (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-1-6-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-1-4-2
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Unclecharliesgift (7/5)
Place:7 – Mr Hoover (6/1)
Show:8 – Cleveland Power (4/1)
Other contenders:5 – King Miano (10/1), 2 – Ambulante (8/1), 6 – Tapio (15/1)
Rest of field:9 – First Citizen (15/1), 1 – Ember (12/1), 3 – Distorted Limits (20/1), 10 – Gold Buckle (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-7-2-9
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-2-9-6-8-3-10-7
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:9 – Caesarea (2/1)
Place:6 – Springs (7/1)
Show:7 – Fiction (5/1)
Other contenders:12 – Loan Me A Dime (9/2), 10 – Briarcliff (4/1), 14 – Xiao Long (5/1), 3 – They Not Like Us (8/1)
Rest of field:13 – Kukai (8/1), 4 – Thirty Thirty (20/1), 11 – Mickeleene (10/1), 1 – Feels Like A Kylla (15/1), 2 – Dude The Legend (10/1), 5 – Mark Of Greatness (15/1), 8 – Atomic War (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-1-6-9-14-12
🎯 Longshots: 9-3-10-12-7-13-2-1-11-5-8-14-6-4
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:3 – Blanton (5/1)
Place:5 – How About It (2/1)
Show:4 – Cascabel (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – Fast Fall (7/1), 8 – Hot Wings (15/1), 2 – Wings Of God (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Starship D'oro (10/1), 7 – Raji (12/1), 10 – Fabelman (20/1), 9 – Aves Makin' Waves (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-4-1-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-7-8-5-10-4-6-9-3
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:6 – Defiant Giant (2/1)
Place:10 – Golden Bandit (8/1)
Show:8 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (7/1)
Other contenders:7 – Soupersilverdollar (5/1), 4 – Ghost Bike (15/1), 1 – High Rolling Dude (15/1)
Rest of field:3 – Wynn Giant (12/1), 5 – Arak (4/1), 2 – Unraptured (10/1), 9 – Major Tom (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-7-1-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-10-4-5-7-8-2-3
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · HO · Purse $13,000
Win:7 – Fivefive Six Champ (2/1)
Place:1 – Trigger Point (3/1)
Show:3 – Priority Lane (7/2)
Other contenders:8 – Atlantic Firestorm (6/1), 4 – Johnnyfrenchfri (10/1), 5 – Bustin Loose (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Mighty Mo (20/1), 6 – Falcon Blue (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-1-8-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-1-5-6-3-8
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:1 – Califragilistic (2/1)
Place:3 – Team Mischievous (8/1)
Show:4 – Load The Wagon (6/1)
Other contenders:8 – Ocata (3/1), 5 – Lastshotatlightnin (7/2), 2 – Calissimo (15/1)
Rest of field:7 – Attractive Soul (10/1), 6 – Arapaho Nation (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-2-7-8
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-7-8-6-4-5
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $16,000
Win:1 – Force Of Justice (6/5)
Place:3 – St. Louie Louie (5/2)
Show:6 – Magic Mover (15/1)
Other contenders:4 – Tizawhitefacecat (4/1), 2 – Work Hard (7/1)
Rest of field:5 – Washington's Union (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-6-2-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-2-4
 
Race 7  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:5 – A Little Bit Crazy (3/1)
Place:7 – Smalltownsmokeshow (2/1)
Show:4 – Bashful Daisy (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Opposite The Crowd (8/1), 3 – Maci's World (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Rock Star Parking (9/2), 2 – Special Note (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-4-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-1-4-2
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Unclecharliesgift (7/5)
Place:7 – Mr Hoover (6/1)
Show:8 – Cleveland Power (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Distorted Limits (20/1), 1 – Ember (12/1), 5 – King Miano (10/1)
Rest of field:2 – Ambulante (8/1), 6 – Tapio (15/1), 9 – First Citizen (15/1), 10 – Gold Buckle (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-7-1-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-2-9-6-8-3-10-7
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:9 – Caesarea (2/1)
Place:12 – Loan Me A Dime (9/2)
Show:14 – Xiao Long (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Fiction (5/1), 3 – They Not Like Us (8/1), 10 – Briarcliff (4/1), 6 – Springs (7/1)
Rest of field:11 – Mickeleene (10/1), 13 – Kukai (8/1), 1 – Feels Like A Kylla (15/1), 2 – Dude The Legend (10/1), 4 – Thirty Thirty (20/1), 5 – Mark Of Greatness (15/1), 8 – Atomic War (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-1-14-12-8-6
🎯 Longshots: 9-3-10-12-7-13-2-1-11-5-8-14-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #12, #14, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $13,000
Win:5 – How About It (2/1)
Place:1 – Starship D'oro (10/1)
Show:6 – Fast Fall (7/1)
Other contenders:4 – Cascabel (4/1), 2 – Wings Of God (8/1), 3 – Blanton (5/1)
Rest of field:7 – Raji (12/1), 9 – Aves Makin' Waves (15/1), 8 – Hot Wings (15/1), 10 – Fabelman (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-4-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-2-7-8-5-10-4-6-9-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Turf · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:6 – Defiant Giant (2/1)
Place:10 – Golden Bandit (8/1)
Show:7 – Soupersilverdollar (5/1)
Other contenders:8 – Letmeknowbeforeugo (7/1), 5 – Arak (4/1), 2 – Unraptured (10/1)
Rest of field:4 – Ghost Bike (15/1), 1 – High Rolling Dude (15/1), 3 – Wynn Giant (12/1), 9 – Major Tom (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-6-5-1-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-9-10-4-5-7-8-2-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #10, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 Furlongs · Dirt · HO · Purse $13,000
Win:7 – Fivefive Six Champ (2/1)
Place:1 – Trigger Point (3/1)
Show:3 – Priority Lane (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Johnnyfrenchfri (10/1), 8 – Atlantic Firestorm (6/1), 5 – Bustin Loose (8/1)
Rest of field:2 – Mighty Mo (20/1), 6 – Falcon Blue (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-3-4-2-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-1-5-6-3-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $19,000
Win:1 – Califragilistic (2/1)
Place:8 – Ocata (3/1)
Show:4 – Load The Wagon (6/1)
Other contenders:5 – Lastshotatlightnin (7/2), 3 – Team Mischievous (8/1), 2 – Calissimo (15/1)
Rest of field:7 – Attractive Soul (10/1), 6 – Arapaho Nation (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-8-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-2-7-8-6-4-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $16,000
Win:1 – Force Of Justice (6/5)
Place:3 – St. Louie Louie (5/2)
Show:4 – Tizawhitefacecat (4/1)
Other contenders:2 – Work Hard (7/1), 6 – Magic Mover (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Washington's Union (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-4-2-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-5-2-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Starter Allowance · Purse $15,000
Win:7 – Smalltownsmokeshow (2/1)
Place:5 – A Little Bit Crazy (3/1)
Show:4 – Bashful Daisy (7/2)
Other contenders:1 – Rock Star Parking (9/2), 6 – Opposite The Crowd (8/1)
Rest of field:3 – Maci's World (10/1), 2 – Special Note (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-4-1-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 7-3-5-6-1-4-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $9,000
Win:4 – Unclecharliesgift (7/5)
Place:8 – Cleveland Power (4/1)
Show:7 – Mr Hoover (6/1)
Other contenders:5 – King Miano (10/1), 1 – Ember (12/1), 2 – Ambulante (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Tapio (15/1), 9 – First Citizen (15/1), 3 – Distorted Limits (20/1), 10 – Gold Buckle (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-7-2-5
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-2-9-6-8-3-10-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic)    Morning-line reliability: +0.33 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
14 – Thirty Thirty20/1—7.0%+33.7%0.42%$0.42
27 – Raji12/1—10.3%+24.5%0.51%$0.51
34 – Ghost Bike15/1—7.7%+16.9%0.28%$0.28
52 – Calissimo15/1—7.5%+15.1%0.25%$0.25
81 – Ember12/1—9.2%+14.4%0.30%$0.30
42 – Mighty Mo20/1—5.5%+11.0%0.14%$0.14
TOTAL across 6 plays:1.9%$1.90
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
A LITTLE BIT CRAZYAMBULANTEARAKARAPAHO NATIONATLANTIC FIRESTORM
ATTRACTIVE SOULAVES MAKIN' WAVESBASHFUL DAISYBLANTONBRIARCLIFF
CAESAREACALIFRAGILISTICCALISSIMOCASCABELCLEVELAND POWER
DISTORTED LIMITSDUDE THE LEGENDEMBERFABELMANFALCON BLUE
FEELS LIKE A KYLLAFICTIONFIRST CITIZENFIVEFIVE SIX CHAMPFORCE OF JUSTICE
GOLD BUCKLEGOLDEN BANDITHIGH ROLLING DUDEHOT WINGSHOW ABOUT IT
KING MIANOKUKAILASTSHOTATLIGHTNINLETMEKNOWBEFOREUGOLOAD THE WAGON
MACI'S WORLDMAGIC MOVERMAJOR TOMMARK OF GREATNESSMICKELEENE
MR HOOVEROCATAOPPOSITE THE CROWDPRIORITY LANERAJI
SMALLTOWNSMOKESHOWSOUPERSILVERDOLLARSPECIAL NOTESPRINGSST. LOUIE LOUIE
TAPIOTEAM MISCHIEVOUSTHEY NOT LIKE USTHIRTY THIRTYTIZAWHITEFACECAT
UNCLECHARLIESGIFTUNRAPTUREDWASHINGTON'S UNIONWINGS OF GODWORK HARD
XIAO LONG

 


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