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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Huggy (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Great Composer (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Solo In Paris (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Docsgotallthecandy (6/1), 7 – Prairie Dunes (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Reverse The Curse (9/2), 3 – Sittin Chilly (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-1-2-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-7-2-3-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Desert Aire (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – War Commander (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Zoppi Fischbein (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Evasive Moves (9/2), 7 – Southern Dream (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – What It Tiz (6/1), 6 – Liberty Runner (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-1-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-7-4-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Petey Motto (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mi Hermano (6/1) |
| Show: | 7 – World Wide Web (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – The Fridge (7/2), 6 – Aussie's Heir (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Quick To Judge (8/1), 1 – Slew Of Fortune (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-2-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-6-3-1-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Alyvia Mavis (6/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Craving Carbs (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Broad Strokes (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Classic Mystery (10/1), 1 – Nouveau Riche (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – English Elsa (4/1), 3 – Alyvia's Lil Girl (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-1-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-6-2-5-3-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – David's Kitten (2/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Gunman Jayvo (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Ten Plus Ten (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Warheaded (6/1), 6 – Gentleman Don (8/1), 7 – Matzoball Muhammet (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Little Sneckdraw (6/1), 8 – Firstflashofmoon (15/1), 9 – Onishenko (8/1), 1 – Tap The Devil (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-3-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-10-5-9-4-6-1-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Extrasexymcsteemee (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – No Mor Stones (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – It's Authentic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – The Tire Man (8/1), 7 – King Barou (4/1), 3 – Peach Smoothie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Spherification (7/2), 1 – Brentwood (15/1), 2 – Quetzal Island (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-8-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-9-7-8-3-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Buff Gary (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Ragatony (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Associated (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Very Bad Guy (6/1), 8 – Mister Monday Nite (5/1), 2 – Mo Socks (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jimmy's Page (8/1), 1 – Wholelotoftrouble (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-8-2-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-8-7-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Allenhurst (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Lady Sriracha (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Silver City Kitty (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Edge Of The Blade (4/1), 3 – Midnight Flight (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Flaming Eyes (8/1), 4 – Spooky Gal (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-2-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-1-5-6-4-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 9 – Lake Chapala (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – True Connection (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Atrocious (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Skinny Joey (10/1), 10 – Riley's Rockstar (9/2), 6 – Cisco Kid (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Union Purrfection (10/1), 4 – My Kid Syd (10/1), 8 – Sheer Dominance (10/1), 7 – Save A Prayer (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-10-3-6-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-3-1-10-8-4-9-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Huggy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Prairie Dunes (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Great Composer (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Solo In Paris (10/1), 3 – Sittin Chilly (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Reverse The Curse (9/2), 2 – Docsgotallthecandy (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-7-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-7-2-3-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – War Commander (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Desert Aire (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Zoppi Fischbein (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Evasive Moves (9/2), 4 – What It Tiz (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Southern Dream (6/1), 6 – Liberty Runner (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-6-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-7-4-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Petey Motto (4/1) |
| Place: | 7 – World Wide Web (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – The Fridge (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Mi Hermano (6/1), 3 – Quick To Judge (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Aussie's Heir (9/2), 1 – Slew Of Fortune (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-6-3-1-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Alyvia Mavis (6/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Craving Carbs (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Broad Strokes (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – English Elsa (4/1), 5 – Classic Mystery (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Nouveau Riche (20/1), 3 – Alyvia's Lil Girl (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-2-4-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-6-2-5-3-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Warheaded (6/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Ten Plus Ten (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – David's Kitten (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Gunman Jayvo (9/2), 6 – Gentleman Don (8/1), 3 – Little Sneckdraw (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Matzoball Muhammet (8/1), 1 – Tap The Devil (15/1), 8 – Firstflashofmoon (15/1), 9 – Onishenko (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-4-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-10-5-9-4-6-1-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 9 – No Mor Stones (5/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Extrasexymcsteemee (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Spherification (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – It's Authentic (6/1), 4 – The Tire Man (8/1), 3 – Peach Smoothie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – King Barou (4/1), 2 – Quetzal Island (10/1), 1 – Brentwood (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-9-8-7-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-9-7-8-3-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Buff Gary (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Associated (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Ragatony (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Very Bad Guy (6/1), 8 – Mister Monday Nite (5/1), 2 – Mo Socks (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jimmy's Page (8/1), 1 – Wholelotoftrouble (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-3-2-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-8-7-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Allenhurst (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Silver City Kitty (5/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Edge Of The Blade (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Lady Sriracha (9/2), 4 – Spooky Gal (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Flaming Eyes (8/1), 3 – Midnight Flight (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-7-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-1-5-6-4-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 9 – Lake Chapala (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – True Connection (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Atrocious (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Riley's Rockstar (9/2), 2 – Skinny Joey (10/1), 1 – Union Purrfection (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Sheer Dominance (10/1), 6 – Cisco Kid (12/1), 4 – My Kid Syd (10/1), 7 – Save A Prayer (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-9-10-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-3-1-10-8-4-9-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Great Composer (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Solo In Paris (10/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Huggy (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sittin Chilly (6/1), 4 – Reverse The Curse (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Docsgotallthecandy (6/1), 7 – Prairie Dunes (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-3-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-5-7-2-3-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Desert Aire (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Evasive Moves (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – What It Tiz (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Zoppi Fischbein (5/1), 7 – Southern Dream (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Liberty Runner (6/1), 2 – War Commander (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-1-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-7-4-6 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Petey Motto (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mi Hermano (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – The Fridge (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Aussie's Heir (9/2), 3 – Quick To Judge (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – World Wide Web (5/2), 1 – Slew Of Fortune (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-6-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-2-6-3-1-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Craving Carbs (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Alyvia Mavis (6/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Broad Strokes (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – English Elsa (4/1), 5 – Classic Mystery (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Alyvia's Lil Girl (12/1), 1 – Nouveau Riche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-2-6-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-4-6-2-5-3-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 10 – Gunman Jayvo (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – David's Kitten (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Ten Plus Ten (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Warheaded (6/1), 3 – Little Sneckdraw (6/1), 6 – Gentleman Don (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Matzoball Muhammet (8/1), 9 – Onishenko (8/1), 8 – Firstflashofmoon (15/1), 1 – Tap The Devil (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-5-10-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-3-10-5-9-4-6-1-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 9 – No Mor Stones (5/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Spherification (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Peach Smoothie (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – King Barou (4/1), 8 – It's Authentic (6/1), 5 – Extrasexymcsteemee (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – The Tire Man (8/1), 1 – Brentwood (15/1), 2 – Quetzal Island (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-6-7-3-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-6-9-7-8-3-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Very Bad Guy (6/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Buff Gary (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Mo Socks (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Mister Monday Nite (5/1), 7 – Jimmy's Page (8/1), 4 – Associated (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Ragatony (3/1), 1 – Wholelotoftrouble (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-4-8-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-6-8-7-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Allenhurst (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Edge Of The Blade (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Silver City Kitty (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Lady Sriracha (9/2), 6 – Flaming Eyes (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Spooky Gal (10/1), 3 – Midnight Flight (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-1-5-6-4-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 9 – Lake Chapala (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – True Connection (4/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Riley's Rockstar (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Cisco Kid (12/1), 2 – Skinny Joey (10/1), 3 – Atrocious (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – My Kid Syd (10/1), 1 – Union Purrfection (10/1), 8 – Sheer Dominance (10/1), 7 – Save A Prayer (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-5-10-6-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-3-1-10-8-4-9-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 26, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 4, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 2, Days Since Last Race: 11, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 3, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $100 |
| 1 | 5 – Solo In Paris | 10/1 | 14.9% | +58.1% | 1.45% | $1.45 |
| 9 | 8 – Sheer Dominance | 10/1 | 14.9% | +58.1% | 1.45% | $1.45 |
| 4 | 5 – Classic Mystery | 10/1 | 14.3% | +52.5% | 1.31% | $1.31 |
| 9 | 4 – My Kid Syd | 10/1 | 14.0% | +49.3% | 1.23% | $1.23 |
| 9 | 2 – Skinny Joey | 10/1 | 13.2% | +41.5% | 1.04% | $1.04 |
| 6 | 1 – Brentwood | 15/1 | 8.9% | +37.9% | 0.63% | $0.63 |
| 7 | 1 – Wholelotoftrouble | 20/1 | 6.4% | +30.9% | 0.39% | $0.39 |
| 6 | 2 – Quetzal Island | 10/1 | 11.4% | +23.1% | 0.58% | $0.58 |
| 8 | 4 – Spooky Gal | 10/1 | 11.0% | +19.1% | 0.48% | $0.48 |
| 9 | 1 – Union Purrfection | 10/1 | 10.8% | +17.2% | 0.43% | $0.43 |
| 8 | 3 – Midnight Flight | 10/1 | 10.4% | +13.1% | 0.33% | $0.33 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $100 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ALLENHURST | ALYVIA MAVIS | ALYVIA'S LIL GIRL | ASSOCIATED | ATROCIOUS |
| BRENTWOOD | BROAD STROKES | BUFF GARY | CISCO KID | CLASSIC MYSTERY |
| DAVID'S KITTEN | DESERT AIRE | DOCSGOTALLTHECANDY | EDGE OF THE BLADE | ENGLISH ELSA |
| EXTRASEXYMCSTEEMEE | FIRSTFLASHOFMOON | FLAMING EYES | GENTLEMAN DON | GREAT COMPOSER |
| HUGGY | IT'S AUTHENTIC | JIMMY'S PAGE | KING BAROU | LADY SRIRACHA |
| LIBERTY RUNNER | LITTLE SNECKDRAW | MATZOBALL MUHAMMET | MI HERMANO | MIDNIGHT FLIGHT |
| MO SOCKS | MY KID SYD | NO MOR STONES | NOUVEAU RICHE | ONISHENKO |
| PETEY MOTTO | PRAIRIE DUNES | QUETZAL ISLAND | QUICK TO JUDGE | RAGATONY |
| RILEY'S ROCKSTAR | SAVE A PRAYER | SHEER DOMINANCE | SILVER CITY KITTY | SITTIN CHILLY |
| SLEW OF FORTUNE | SOLO IN PARIS | SOUTHERN DREAM | SPHERIFICATION | SPOOKY GAL |
| TEN PLUS TEN | THE FRIDGE | THE TIRE MAN | TRUE CONNECTION | UNION PURRFECTION |
| WAR COMMANDER | WARHEADED | WHAT IT TIZ | WHOLELOTOFTROUBLE | WORLD WIDE WEB |
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