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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Parx Racing, November 4, 2026

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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Ximena (7/2)
Place:8Spastic Bid (4/1)
Show:5Astrid (9/2)
Other contenders:2Nohai (5/1), 6Edge Of The Blade (6/1), 7My Little Wildcat (6/1)
Rest of field:4Brooklyn Heights (8/1), 3Queen Catalina (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 185267
🎯 Longshots: 18256347
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1No Mor Stones (3/1)
Place:3Easter Blessing (4/1)
Show:5Quick To Judge (5/1)
Other contenders:8Basin Bay (9/2), 2Final Joke (6/1), 6Catalina Cree (8/1)
Rest of field:4Lucky Capo (12/1), 7Whoosh (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 135826
🎯 Longshots: 16358427
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Inner Excellence (9/5)
Place:1My Last Dime (5/2)
Show:5Wanting Attention (5/1)
Other contenders:4Emmyaswifty (4/1), 2Majestic Twirl (6/1)
Rest of field:6Irie And Mellow (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 314526
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Fromanothamutha (5/2)
Place:6Traffic Master (3/1)
Show:1Atrocious (7/2)
Other contenders:4Always Gambling (6/1), 3Whiting Field (9/2)
Rest of field:5What It Tiz (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261435
🎯 Longshots: 261435
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Never Sway (5/2)
Place:5Moor Strength (4/1)
Show:8Fussy Girl (6/1)
Other contenders:6Zeena Swift (7/2), 1Laugh Like Lucy (6/1), 3Judy's Flyer (8/1)
Rest of field:2She Can Scat (12/1), 4Sunlit (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 758613
🎯 Longshots: 73586214
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #8, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2The Magic Speed (7/2)
Place:5Just Another Ten (3/1)
Show:1Chance On Me (5/1)
Other contenders:4Zamirzo (4/1), 3Silver Punch (6/1)
Rest of field:7Big Hawk (6/1), 6Craigh Na Dun (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 251437
🎯 Longshots: 2514376
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Lotsa Trouble (7/2)
Place:3Chris's Revenge (5/2)
Show:5Lasso (3/1)
Other contenders:1Blazing Bucchero (5/1), 2Soze (6/1)
Rest of field:6Yahoo Omar (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 435126
🎯 Longshots: 435126
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $50,000
Win:2Ready As Ever (7/2)
Place:3Trotsky (4/1)
Show:6America's Honor (9/2)
Other contenders:5My Military Hero (5/1), 1Fenton Forever (6/1)
Rest of field:4N. Y. Finest (5/1), 7Chilling Zensation (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 236514
🎯 Longshots: 2365417
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Bourbon Aficionado (7/2)
Place:8Home Invasion (4/1)
Show:6Tavern Time (6/1)
Other contenders:2Roxton (9/2), 5Fully Committed (5/1), 4Ohio Joe (8/1)
Rest of field:3River's Gamble (6/1), 7Smooth Motion (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 182654
🎯 Longshots: 14687523
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Parx Racing — win rate

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 212 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-11-02.

0%11%22%32%43%Our top pick: 34.4% from 212 racesOur top pick34.4%Morning-line favourite: 31.6% from 212 racesMorning-line favourite31.6%

The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick34.4%212
Morning-line favourite31.6%212
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Ximena (7/2) 36% · fair 2-1 overlay +96%
Place:8Spastic Bid (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2
Show:5Astrid (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -31%
Other contenders:2Nohai (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -41%, 6Edge Of The Blade (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%, 7My Little Wildcat (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -51%
Rest of field:4Brooklyn Heights (8/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -74%, 3Queen Catalina (10/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -71%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Ximena — 35.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ximena35.9% ◀Spastic Bid — 19.0% win probability, morning line 4/1Spastic Bid19.0%Astrid — 13.2% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Astrid13.2%Nohai — 10.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Nohai10.6%Edge Of The Blade — 7.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Edge Of The Blade7.7%My Little Wildcat — 7.6% win probability, morning line 6/1My Little Wildcat7.6%Brooklyn Heights — 3.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Brooklyn Heights3.2%Queen Catalina — 2.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Queen Catalina2.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Ximena35.9%3.5/1
Spastic Bid19.0%4/1
Astrid13.2%4.5/1
Nohai10.6%5/1
Edge Of The Blade7.7%6/1
My Little Wildcat7.6%6/1
Brooklyn Heights3.2%8/1
Queen Catalina2.9%10/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherXimena: model 35.9% vs market 17.7% (+18.2 points)Ximena+18.2Spastic Bid: model 19.0% vs market 15.9% (+3.1 points)Spastic Bid+3.1Astrid: model 13.2% vs market 14.4% (-1.2 points)Astrid-1.2Nohai: model 10.6% vs market 13.2% (-2.6 points)Nohai-2.6Edge Of The Blade: model 7.7% vs market 11.4% (-3.7 points)Edge Of The Blade-3.7My Little Wildcat: model 7.6% vs market 11.4% (-3.7 points)My Little Wildcat-3.7Brooklyn Heights: model 3.2% vs market 8.8% (-5.7 points)Brooklyn Heights-5.7Queen Catalina: model 2.9% vs market 7.2% (-4.4 points)Queen Catalina-4.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Ximena35.9%17.7%+18.2
Spastic Bid19.0%15.9%+3.1
Astrid13.2%14.4%-1.2
Nohai10.6%13.2%-2.6
Edge Of The Blade7.7%11.4%-3.7
My Little Wildcat7.6%11.4%-3.7
Brooklyn Heights3.2%8.8%-5.7
Queen Catalina2.9%7.2%-4.4
🌧️ Off-track: 185267
🎯 Longshots: 18256347
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1No Mor Stones (3/1) 38% · fair 3-2 overlay +86%
Place:5Quick To Judge (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2
Show:3Easter Blessing (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -37%
Other contenders:8Basin Bay (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 6Catalina Cree (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -38%, 2Final Joke (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -57%
Rest of field:4Lucky Capo (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -48%, 7Whoosh (10/1) 2% · fair 49-1 underlay -80%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

No Mor Stones — 38.2% win probability, morning line 3/1No Mor Stones38.2% ◀Quick To Judge — 15.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Quick To Judge15.6%Easter Blessing — 13.6% win probability, morning line 4/1Easter Blessing13.6%Basin Bay — 12.6% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Basin Bay12.6%Catalina Cree — 7.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Catalina Cree7.2%Final Joke — 6.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Final Joke6.6%Lucky Capo — 4.1% win probability, morning line 12/1Lucky Capo4.1%Whoosh — 2.0% win probability, morning line 10/1Whoosh2.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
No Mor Stones38.2%3/1
Quick To Judge15.6%5/1
Easter Blessing13.6%4/1
Basin Bay12.6%4.5/1
Catalina Cree7.2%8/1
Final Joke6.6%6/1
Lucky Capo4.1%12/1
Whoosh2.0%10/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherNo Mor Stones: model 38.2% vs market 20.5% (+17.7 points)No Mor Stones+17.7Quick To Judge: model 15.6% vs market 13.7% (+1.9 points)Quick To Judge+1.9Easter Blessing: model 13.6% vs market 16.4% (-2.8 points)Easter Blessing-2.8Basin Bay: model 12.6% vs market 14.9% (-2.3 points)Basin Bay-2.3Catalina Cree: model 7.2% vs market 9.1% (-1.9 points)Catalina Cree-1.9Final Joke: model 6.6% vs market 11.7% (-5.1 points)Final Joke-5.1Lucky Capo: model 4.1% vs market 6.3% (-2.2 points)Lucky Capo-2.2Whoosh: model 2.0% vs market 7.4% (-5.5 points)Whoosh-5.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
No Mor Stones38.2%20.5%+17.7
Quick To Judge15.6%13.7%+1.9
Easter Blessing13.6%16.4%-2.8
Basin Bay12.6%14.9%-2.3
Catalina Cree7.2%9.1%-1.9
Final Joke6.6%11.7%-5.1
Lucky Capo4.1%6.3%-2.2
Whoosh2.0%7.4%-5.5
🌧️ Off-track: 135826
🎯 Longshots: 16358427
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:3Inner Excellence (9/5) 29% · fair 5-2 underlay -26%
Place:5Wanting Attention (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Show:1My Last Dime (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -48%
Other contenders:2Majestic Twirl (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2, 4Emmyaswifty (4/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -41%
Rest of field:6Irie And Mellow (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -33%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Inner Excellence — 29.1% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Inner Excellence29.1% ◀Wanting Attention — 18.3% win probability, morning line 5/1Wanting Attention18.3%My Last Dime — 17.2% win probability, morning line 2.5/1My Last Dime17.2%Majestic Twirl — 14.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Majestic Twirl14.9%Emmyaswifty — 12.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Emmyaswifty12.8%Irie And Mellow — 7.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Irie And Mellow7.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Inner Excellence29.1%1.8/1
Wanting Attention18.3%5/1
My Last Dime17.2%2.5/1
Majestic Twirl14.9%6/1
Emmyaswifty12.8%4/1
Irie And Mellow7.7%8/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherInner Excellence: model 29.1% vs market 28.3% (+0.9 points)Inner Excellence+0.9Wanting Attention: model 18.3% vs market 13.2% (+5.1 points)Wanting Attention+5.1My Last Dime: model 17.2% vs market 22.6% (-5.5 points)My Last Dime-5.5Majestic Twirl: model 14.9% vs market 11.3% (+3.6 points)Majestic Twirl+3.6Emmyaswifty: model 12.8% vs market 15.8% (-3.0 points)Emmyaswifty-3.0Irie And Mellow: model 7.7% vs market 8.8% (-1.1 points)Irie And Mellow-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Inner Excellence29.1%28.3%+0.9
Wanting Attention18.3%13.2%+5.1
My Last Dime17.2%22.6%-5.5
Majestic Twirl14.9%11.3%+3.6
Emmyaswifty12.8%15.8%-3.0
Irie And Mellow7.7%8.8%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 315426
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:2Fromanothamutha (5/2) 36% · fair 2-1 overlay +40%
Place:6Traffic Master (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -38%
Show:1Atrocious (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -27%
Other contenders:4Always Gambling (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 3Whiting Field (9/2) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -48%
Rest of field:5What It Tiz (5/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -65%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Fromanothamutha — 35.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Fromanothamutha35.9% ◀Traffic Master — 17.2% win probability, morning line 3/1Traffic Master17.2%Atrocious — 17.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Atrocious17.2%Always Gambling — 12.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Always Gambling12.9%Whiting Field — 10.4% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Whiting Field10.4%What It Tiz — 6.5% win probability, morning line 5/1What It Tiz6.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Fromanothamutha35.9%2.5/1
Traffic Master17.2%3/1
Atrocious17.2%3.5/1
Always Gambling12.9%6/1
Whiting Field10.4%4.5/1
What It Tiz6.5%5/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherFromanothamutha: model 35.9% vs market 22.9% (+13.0 points)Fromanothamutha+13.0Traffic Master: model 17.2% vs market 20.0% (-2.8 points)Traffic Master-2.8Atrocious: model 17.2% vs market 17.8% (-0.6 points)Atrocious-0.6Always Gambling: model 12.9% vs market 11.4% (+1.4 points)Always Gambling+1.4Whiting Field: model 10.4% vs market 14.6% (-4.2 points)Whiting Field-4.2What It Tiz: model 6.5% vs market 13.3% (-6.8 points)What It Tiz-6.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Fromanothamutha35.9%22.9%+13.0
Traffic Master17.2%20.0%-2.8
Atrocious17.2%17.8%-0.6
Always Gambling12.9%11.4%+1.4
Whiting Field10.4%14.6%-4.2
What It Tiz6.5%13.3%-6.8
🌧️ Off-track: 261345
🎯 Longshots: 261435
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Never Sway (5/2) 44% · fair 1-1 overlay +100%
Place:8Fussy Girl (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1
Show:5Moor Strength (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -47%
Other contenders:6Zeena Swift (7/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -56%, 3Judy's Flyer (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -30%, 1Laugh Like Lucy (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -56%
Rest of field:2She Can Scat (12/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -66%, 4Sunlit (15/1) 2% · fair 44-1 underlay -66%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Never Sway — 44.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Never Sway44.5% ◀Fussy Girl — 12.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Fussy Girl12.7%Moor Strength — 11.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Moor Strength11.7%Zeena Swift — 11.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Zeena Swift11.2%Judy'S Flyer — 8.1% win probability, morning line 8/1Judy'S Flyer8.1%Laugh Like Lucy — 6.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Laugh Like Lucy6.8%She Can Scat — 2.8% win probability, morning line 12/1She Can Scat2.8%Sunlit — 2.2% win probability, morning line 15/1Sunlit2.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Never Sway44.5%2.5/1
Fussy Girl12.7%6/1
Moor Strength11.7%4/1
Zeena Swift11.2%3.5/1
Judy'S Flyer8.1%8/1
Laugh Like Lucy6.8%6/1
She Can Scat2.8%12/1
Sunlit2.2%15/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherNever Sway: model 44.5% vs market 23.0% (+21.5 points)Never Sway+21.5Fussy Girl: model 12.7% vs market 11.5% (+1.2 points)Fussy Girl+1.2Moor Strength: model 11.7% vs market 16.1% (-4.3 points)Moor Strength-4.3Zeena Swift: model 11.2% vs market 17.9% (-6.6 points)Zeena Swift-6.6Judy'S Flyer: model 8.1% vs market 8.9% (-0.8 points)Judy'S Flyer-0.8Laugh Like Lucy: model 6.8% vs market 11.5% (-4.7 points)Laugh Like Lucy-4.7She Can Scat: model 2.8% vs market 6.2% (-3.4 points)She Can Scat-3.4Sunlit: model 2.2% vs market 5.0% (-2.8 points)Sunlit-2.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Never Sway44.5%23.0%+21.5
Fussy Girl12.7%11.5%+1.2
Moor Strength11.7%16.1%-4.3
Zeena Swift11.2%17.9%-6.6
Judy'S Flyer8.1%8.9%-0.8
Laugh Like Lucy6.8%11.5%-4.7
She Can Scat2.8%6.2%-3.4
Sunlit2.2%5.0%-2.8
🌧️ Off-track: 765813
🎯 Longshots: 73586214
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:2The Magic Speed (7/2) 35% · fair 2-1 overlay +88%
Place:5Just Another Ten (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -38%
Show:1Chance On Me (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:3Silver Punch (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 4Zamirzo (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -47%
Rest of field:7Big Hawk (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -42%, 6Craigh Na Dun (12/1) 2% · fair 47-1 underlay -74%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

The Magic Speed — 35.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1The Magic Speed35.0% ◀Just Another Ten — 17.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Just Another Ten17.1%Chance On Me — 13.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Chance On Me13.6%Silver Punch — 11.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Silver Punch11.7%Zamirzo — 11.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Zamirzo11.7%Big Hawk — 8.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Big Hawk8.8%Craigh Na Dun — 2.1% win probability, morning line 12/1Craigh Na Dun2.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
The Magic Speed35.0%3.5/1
Just Another Ten17.1%3/1
Chance On Me13.6%5/1
Silver Punch11.7%6/1
Zamirzo11.7%4/1
Big Hawk8.8%6/1
Craigh Na Dun2.1%12/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherThe Magic Speed: model 35.0% vs market 18.5% (+16.5 points)The Magic Speed+16.5Just Another Ten: model 17.1% vs market 20.8% (-3.7 points)Just Another Ten-3.7Chance On Me: model 13.6% vs market 13.9% (-0.3 points)Chance On Me-0.3Silver Punch: model 11.7% vs market 11.9% (-0.2 points)Silver Punch-0.2Zamirzo: model 11.7% vs market 16.6% (-4.9 points)Zamirzo-4.9Big Hawk: model 8.8% vs market 11.9% (-3.1 points)Big Hawk-3.1Craigh Na Dun: model 2.1% vs market 6.4% (-4.3 points)Craigh Na Dun-4.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
The Magic Speed35.0%18.5%+16.5
Just Another Ten17.1%20.8%-3.7
Chance On Me13.6%13.9%-0.3
Silver Punch11.7%11.9%-0.2
Zamirzo11.7%16.6%-4.9
Big Hawk8.8%11.9%-3.1
Craigh Na Dun2.1%6.4%-4.3
🌧️ Off-track: 254137
🎯 Longshots: 2514376
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:4Lotsa Trouble (7/2) 29% · fair 5-2 overlay +43%
Place:5Lasso (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35%
Show:3Chris's Revenge (5/2) 17% · fair 9-2 underlay -47%
Other contenders:1Blazing Bucchero (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 2Soze (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2
Rest of field:6Yahoo Omar (9/2) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -46%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Lotsa Trouble — 29.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Lotsa Trouble29.0% ◀Lasso — 17.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Lasso17.7%Chris'S Revenge — 17.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Chris'S Revenge17.5%Blazing Bucchero — 13.3% win probability, morning line 5/1Blazing Bucchero13.3%Soze — 11.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Soze11.8%Yahoo Omar — 10.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Yahoo Omar10.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Lotsa Trouble29.0%3.5/1
Lasso17.7%3/1
Chris'S Revenge17.5%2.5/1
Blazing Bucchero13.3%5/1
Soze11.8%6/1
Yahoo Omar10.7%4.5/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherLotsa Trouble: model 29.0% vs market 17.8% (+11.2 points)Lotsa Trouble+11.2Lasso: model 17.7% vs market 20.0% (-2.3 points)Lasso-2.3Chris'S Revenge: model 17.5% vs market 22.9% (-5.4 points)Chris'S Revenge-5.4Blazing Bucchero: model 13.3% vs market 13.3% (-0.0 points)Blazing Bucchero-0.0Soze: model 11.8% vs market 11.4% (+0.4 points)Soze+0.4Yahoo Omar: model 10.7% vs market 14.6% (-3.9 points)Yahoo Omar-3.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Lotsa Trouble29.0%17.8%+11.2
Lasso17.7%20.0%-2.3
Chris'S Revenge17.5%22.9%-5.4
Blazing Bucchero13.3%13.3%-0.0
Soze11.8%11.4%+0.4
Yahoo Omar10.7%14.6%-3.9
🌧️ Off-track: 435162
🎯 Longshots: 435126
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $50,000
Win:2Ready As Ever (7/2) 28% · fair 5-2 overlay +36%
Place:3Trotsky (4/1) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +49%
Show:5My Military Hero (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:6America's Honor (9/2) 15% · fair 6-1, 4N. Y. Finest (5/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -60%
Rest of field:1Fenton Forever (6/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -67%, 7Chilling Zensation (6/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -84%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Ready As Ever — 28.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ready As Ever28.0% ◀Trotsky — 27.1% win probability, morning line 4/1Trotsky27.1%My Military Hero — 14.9% win probability, morning line 5/1My Military Hero14.9%America'S Honor — 14.8% win probability, morning line 4.5/1America'S Honor14.8%N. Y. Finest — 7.4% win probability, morning line 5/1N. Y. Finest7.4%Fenton Forever — 5.1% win probability, morning line 6/1Fenton Forever5.1%Chilling Zensation — 2.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Chilling Zensation2.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Ready As Ever28.0%3.5/1
Trotsky27.1%4/1
My Military Hero14.9%5/1
America'S Honor14.8%4.5/1
N. Y. Finest7.4%5/1
Fenton Forever5.1%6/1
Chilling Zensation2.6%6/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherReady As Ever: model 28.0% vs market 18.2% (+9.8 points)Ready As Ever+9.8Trotsky: model 27.1% vs market 16.4% (+10.8 points)Trotsky+10.8My Military Hero: model 14.9% vs market 13.6% (+1.3 points)My Military Hero+1.3America'S Honor: model 14.8% vs market 14.9% (-0.1 points)America'S Honor-0.1N. Y. Finest: model 7.4% vs market 13.6% (-6.2 points)N. Y. Finest-6.2Fenton Forever: model 5.1% vs market 11.7% (-6.5 points)Fenton Forever-6.5Chilling Zensation: model 2.6% vs market 11.7% (-9.0 points)Chilling Zensation-9.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Ready As Ever28.0%18.2%+9.8
Trotsky27.1%16.4%+10.8
My Military Hero14.9%13.6%+1.3
America'S Honor14.8%14.9%-0.1
N. Y. Finest7.4%13.6%-6.2
Fenton Forever5.1%11.7%-6.5
Chilling Zensation2.6%11.7%-9.0
🌧️ Off-track: 236541
🎯 Longshots: 2365417
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Bourbon Aficionado (7/2) 32% · fair 2-1 overlay +62%
Place:6Tavern Time (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2
Show:5Fully Committed (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:4Ohio Joe (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 8Home Invasion (4/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -57%, 2Roxton (9/2) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -52%
Rest of field:3River's Gamble (6/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -61%, 7Smooth Motion (10/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -55%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Bourbon Aficionado — 31.6% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Bourbon Aficionado31.6% ◀Tavern Time — 13.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Tavern Time13.5%Fully Committed — 13.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Fully Committed13.2%Ohio Joe — 11.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Ohio Joe11.8%Home Invasion — 9.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Home Invasion9.7%Roxton — 9.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Roxton9.7%River'S Gamble — 6.1% win probability, morning line 6/1River'S Gamble6.1%Smooth Motion — 4.3% win probability, morning line 10/1Smooth Motion4.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Bourbon Aficionado31.6%3.5/1
Tavern Time13.5%6/1
Fully Committed13.2%5/1
Ohio Joe11.8%8/1
Home Invasion9.7%4/1
Roxton9.7%4.5/1
River'S Gamble6.1%6/1
Smooth Motion4.3%10/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherBourbon Aficionado: model 31.6% vs market 17.7% (+14.0 points)Bourbon Aficionado+14.0Tavern Time: model 13.5% vs market 11.4% (+2.2 points)Tavern Time+2.2Fully Committed: model 13.2% vs market 13.2% (-0.0 points)Fully Committed-0.0Ohio Joe: model 11.8% vs market 8.8% (+2.9 points)Ohio Joe+2.9Home Invasion: model 9.7% vs market 15.9% (-6.2 points)Home Invasion-6.2Roxton: model 9.7% vs market 14.4% (-4.8 points)Roxton-4.8River'S Gamble: model 6.1% vs market 11.4% (-5.2 points)River'S Gamble-5.2Smooth Motion: model 4.3% vs market 7.2% (-2.9 points)Smooth Motion-2.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Bourbon Aficionado31.6%17.7%+14.0
Tavern Time13.5%11.4%+2.2
Fully Committed13.2%13.2%-0.0
Ohio Joe11.8%8.8%+2.9
Home Invasion9.7%15.9%-6.2
Roxton9.7%14.4%-4.8
River'S Gamble6.1%11.4%-5.2
Smooth Motion4.3%7.2%-2.9
🌧️ Off-track: 158624
🎯 Longshots: 14687523
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Ximena (7/2)
Place:8Spastic Bid (4/1)
Show:5Astrid (9/2)
Other contenders:2Nohai (5/1), 6Edge Of The Blade (6/1), 7My Little Wildcat (6/1)
Rest of field:4Brooklyn Heights (8/1), 3Queen Catalina (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 185267
🎯 Longshots: 18256347
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1No Mor Stones (3/1)
Place:3Easter Blessing (4/1)
Show:8Basin Bay (9/2)
Other contenders:5Quick To Judge (5/1), 2Final Joke (6/1), 6Catalina Cree (8/1)
Rest of field:7Whoosh (10/1), 4Lucky Capo (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 138526
🎯 Longshots: 16358427
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #8, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:3Inner Excellence (9/5)
Place:1My Last Dime (5/2)
Show:4Emmyaswifty (4/1)
Other contenders:5Wanting Attention (5/1), 2Majestic Twirl (6/1)
Rest of field:6Irie And Mellow (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 314526
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:2Fromanothamutha (5/2)
Place:6Traffic Master (3/1)
Show:4Always Gambling (6/1)
Other contenders:1Atrocious (7/2), 3Whiting Field (9/2)
Rest of field:5What It Tiz (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261345
🎯 Longshots: 261435
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Never Sway (5/2)
Place:8Fussy Girl (6/1)
Show:5Moor Strength (4/1)
Other contenders:6Zeena Swift (7/2), 3Judy's Flyer (8/1), 1Laugh Like Lucy (6/1)
Rest of field:2She Can Scat (12/1), 4Sunlit (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 756813
🎯 Longshots: 73586214
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:2The Magic Speed (7/2)
Place:5Just Another Ten (3/1)
Show:4Zamirzo (4/1)
Other contenders:1Chance On Me (5/1), 3Silver Punch (6/1)
Rest of field:7Big Hawk (6/1), 6Craigh Na Dun (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 254137
🎯 Longshots: 2514376
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:4Lotsa Trouble (7/2)
Place:3Chris's Revenge (5/2)
Show:1Blazing Bucchero (5/1)
Other contenders:5Lasso (3/1), 2Soze (6/1)
Rest of field:6Yahoo Omar (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 435126
🎯 Longshots: 435126
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $50,000
Win:2Ready As Ever (7/2)
Place:3Trotsky (4/1)
Show:5My Military Hero (5/1)
Other contenders:6America's Honor (9/2), 1Fenton Forever (6/1)
Rest of field:4N. Y. Finest (5/1), 7Chilling Zensation (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235641
🎯 Longshots: 2365417
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Bourbon Aficionado (7/2)
Place:6Tavern Time (6/1)
Show:8Home Invasion (4/1)
Other contenders:2Roxton (9/2), 4Ohio Joe (8/1), 7Smooth Motion (10/1)
Rest of field:5Fully Committed (5/1), 3River's Gamble (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 186253
🎯 Longshots: 14687523
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #8, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #1 over #8 ($1 straight; box #1-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #8, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #1 over #3 ($1 straight; box #1-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #3, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #2 over #6 ($1 straight; box #2-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #7 over #5 ($1 straight; box #7-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #8, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #2 over #5 ($1 straight; box #2-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #3, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #1, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #3, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #1 over #6 ($1 straight; box #1-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #6, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Ximena (7/2)
Place:8Spastic Bid (4/1)
Show:5Astrid (9/2)
Other contenders:7My Little Wildcat (6/1), 2Nohai (5/1), 6Edge Of The Blade (6/1)
Rest of field:3Queen Catalina (10/1), 4Brooklyn Heights (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 185276
🎯 Longshots: 18256347
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1No Mor Stones (3/1)
Place:3Easter Blessing (4/1)
Show:8Basin Bay (9/2)
Other contenders:5Quick To Judge (5/1), 6Catalina Cree (8/1), 2Final Joke (6/1)
Rest of field:4Lucky Capo (12/1), 7Whoosh (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 138526
🎯 Longshots: 16358427
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #8, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:3Inner Excellence (9/5)
Place:1My Last Dime (5/2)
Show:5Wanting Attention (5/1)
Other contenders:2Majestic Twirl (6/1), 4Emmyaswifty (4/1)
Rest of field:6Irie And Mellow (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 314526
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:2Fromanothamutha (5/2)
Place:1Atrocious (7/2)
Show:6Traffic Master (3/1)
Other contenders:4Always Gambling (6/1), 5What It Tiz (5/1)
Rest of field:3Whiting Field (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 261354
🎯 Longshots: 261435
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Never Sway (5/2)
Place:8Fussy Girl (6/1)
Show:5Moor Strength (4/1)
Other contenders:6Zeena Swift (7/2), 1Laugh Like Lucy (6/1), 3Judy's Flyer (8/1)
Rest of field:2She Can Scat (12/1), 4Sunlit (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 765813
🎯 Longshots: 73586214
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:2The Magic Speed (7/2)
Place:5Just Another Ten (3/1)
Show:3Silver Punch (6/1)
Other contenders:1Chance On Me (5/1), 4Zamirzo (4/1)
Rest of field:7Big Hawk (6/1), 6Craigh Na Dun (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 254137
🎯 Longshots: 2514376
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:4Lotsa Trouble (7/2)
Place:1Blazing Bucchero (5/1)
Show:2Soze (6/1)
Other contenders:6Yahoo Omar (9/2), 5Lasso (3/1)
Rest of field:3Chris's Revenge (5/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 413562
🎯 Longshots: 435126
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $50,000
Win:2Ready As Ever (7/2)
Place:5My Military Hero (5/1)
Show:3Trotsky (4/1)
Other contenders:6America's Honor (9/2), 1Fenton Forever (6/1)
Rest of field:4N. Y. Finest (5/1), 7Chilling Zensation (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235614
🎯 Longshots: 2365417
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Bourbon Aficionado (7/2)
Place:7Smooth Motion (10/1)
Show:8Home Invasion (4/1)
Other contenders:6Tavern Time (6/1), 4Ohio Joe (8/1), 5Fully Committed (5/1)
Rest of field:2Roxton (9/2), 3River's Gamble (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 182567
🎯 Longshots: 14687523
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #8, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Ximena (7/2)
Place:8Spastic Bid (4/1)
Show:2Nohai (5/1)
Other contenders:5Astrid (9/2), 6Edge Of The Blade (6/1), 7My Little Wildcat (6/1)
Rest of field:4Brooklyn Heights (8/1), 3Queen Catalina (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 185267
🎯 Longshots: 18256347
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1No Mor Stones (3/1)
Place:3Easter Blessing (4/1)
Show:5Quick To Judge (5/1)
Other contenders:2Final Joke (6/1), 8Basin Bay (9/2), 6Catalina Cree (8/1)
Rest of field:4Lucky Capo (12/1), 7Whoosh (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 135826
🎯 Longshots: 16358427
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:3Inner Excellence (9/5)
Place:5Wanting Attention (5/1)
Show:1My Last Dime (5/2)
Other contenders:4Emmyaswifty (4/1), 2Majestic Twirl (6/1)
Rest of field:6Irie And Mellow (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 315426
🎯 Longshots: 316542
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:2Fromanothamutha (5/2)
Place:6Traffic Master (3/1)
Show:1Atrocious (7/2)
Other contenders:4Always Gambling (6/1), 3Whiting Field (9/2)
Rest of field:5What It Tiz (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 261345
🎯 Longshots: 261435
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Never Sway (5/2)
Place:8Fussy Girl (6/1)
Show:5Moor Strength (4/1)
Other contenders:6Zeena Swift (7/2), 1Laugh Like Lucy (6/1), 3Judy's Flyer (8/1)
Rest of field:2She Can Scat (12/1), 4Sunlit (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 756813
🎯 Longshots: 73586214
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000
Win:2The Magic Speed (7/2)
Place:3Silver Punch (6/1)
Show:5Just Another Ten (3/1)
Other contenders:1Chance On Me (5/1), 4Zamirzo (4/1)
Rest of field:7Big Hawk (6/1), 6Craigh Na Dun (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 254137
🎯 Longshots: 2514376
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:4Lotsa Trouble (7/2)
Place:1Blazing Bucchero (5/1)
Show:3Chris's Revenge (5/2)
Other contenders:2Soze (6/1), 5Lasso (3/1)
Rest of field:6Yahoo Omar (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 435126
🎯 Longshots: 435126
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $50,000
Win:2Ready As Ever (7/2)
Place:3Trotsky (4/1)
Show:5My Military Hero (5/1)
Other contenders:6America's Honor (9/2), 4N. Y. Finest (5/1)
Rest of field:1Fenton Forever (6/1), 7Chilling Zensation (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235641
🎯 Longshots: 2365417
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Bourbon Aficionado (7/2)
Place:6Tavern Time (6/1)
Show:8Home Invasion (4/1)
Other contenders:4Ohio Joe (8/1), 7Smooth Motion (10/1), 5Fully Committed (5/1)
Rest of field:2Roxton (9/2), 3River's Gamble (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 186254
🎯 Longshots: 14687523
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #1,#8,#5 (68%) / R2: #1,#5,#3 (67%) / R3: #3,#5,#1 (65%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #1,#5,#3 (67%) / R3: #3,#5,#1 (65%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (70%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 31%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #3,#5,#1 (65%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (70%) / R5: #7,#8,#5 (69%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 31%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #2,#6,#1 (70%) / R5: #7,#8,#5 (69%) / R6: #2,#5,#1 (66%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #1,#8,#5 (68%) / R2: #1,#5,#3 (67%) / R3: #3,#5,#1 (65%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (70%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #1,#5,#3 (67%) / R3: #3,#5,#1 (65%) / R4: #2,#6,#1 (70%) / R5: #7,#8,#5 (69%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ALWAYS GAMBLINGAMERICA'S HONORASTRIDATROCIOUSBASIN BAY
BLAZING BUCCHEROBOURBON AFICIONADOBROOKLYN HEIGHTSCATALINA CREECHANCE ON ME
CHRIS'S REVENGECRAIGH NA DUNEASTER BLESSINGEDGE OF THE BLADEEMMYASWIFTY
FINAL JOKEFROMANOTHAMUTHAFULLY COMMITTEDFUSSY GIRLHOME INVASION
IRIE AND MELLOWJUDY'S FLYERJUST ANOTHER TENLASSOLAUGH LIKE LUCY
LUCKY CAPOMAJESTIC TWIRLMOOR STRENGTHMY LAST DIMEMY LITTLE WILDCAT
N. Y. FINESTNEVER SWAYNO MOR STONESNOHAIOHIO JOE
QUICK TO JUDGEREADY AS EVERRIVER'S GAMBLEROXTONSHE CAN SCAT
SMOOTH MOTIONSOZESPASTIC BIDSUNLITTAVERN TIME
TRAFFIC MASTERTROTSKYWANTING ATTENTIONWHAT IT TIZWHITING FIELD
XIMENAYAHOO OMARZAMIRZOZEENA SWIFT

 


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