Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Rated wide; gave way. (2) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($16,000 → $12,500 → $10,000). (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.2 pts: [51, 71, 68, 64, 70]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 80 vs fast: 72). (2) Big last-race effort (78) — 23 pts above recent average. (3) Track specialist — 3 wins from 11 starts here (27%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 4 starts (50%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Speed improved +18 pts then +14 pts in last 2 starts (46 → 64 → 78) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Averages 66.3 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 54.0 in other configs (6 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Step slow; rail rally. (2) Last race was career-best speed (78) — bounce risk after peak effort. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.2 pts: [78, 64, 46, 54, 66]) — unpredictable performer. (4) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (46 → 64 → 78) and last race speed is well above career average (61) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | F | C |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 82 vs fast: 71). (2) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Career-best figure (82) buried in races 4–10 back — 18 pts above race median and 17 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Outside; faltered. (4) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | F | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 72-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (45%). (3) 3 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Strong speed 2 back (66), modest dip last out (56) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 72 days. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Close wide; gave way. (4) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (5) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+1.39 per $2 over 30 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (6) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Big last-race effort (75) — 8 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 91 vs field 87). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 72 vs field 68). (6) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (8) Trainer 'SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Career-best figure (80) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (11) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Profitable Rider, Paying Partnership.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 37 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (5) Trip note from last race: Drifted out; heled 2nd. (6) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.07 per $2 over 644 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (7) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.56 per $2 over 22 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (8) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($15,000 → $10,000 → $7,500). (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.9 pts: [75, 54, 74, 72, 80]) — unpredictable performer. (10) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL, CNL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (3) Career-best speed figure (54) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Equipment change today (code: 1). (5) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Trainer 'SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (7) Career-best figure (83) buried in races 4–10 back — 19 pts above race median and 19 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Adding blinkers today for the first time in last 10 starts — strong trainer intent signal; focus/gate horses often improve sharply.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Pursued winner; wknd. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 28 days since last race. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.7 pts: [57, 39, 64, 54, 66]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | F | D |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 38-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (61%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 18 wins from 60 starts (30%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 5W from 15 starts (33%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Career-best figure (89) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 38 days. (2) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (3) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (4) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (5) Trip note from last race: Close inside; faltered. (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.02 per $2 over 366 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (7) Rising in class ($10,000 → $16,000) after finishing 5 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 87 vs fast: 80). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 36 wins from 115 starts (31%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) Won last 3 consecutive starts. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 3W from 6 starts (50%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Trainer 'NESS JAMIE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($12,500 → $16,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: 3p btwn 3/16; all out. (5) 0 wins from post 2 in 3 recent starts. (6) Last race was career-best speed (80) — bounce risk after peak effort. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.8 pts: [80, 79, 77, 62, 60]) — unpredictable performer. (8) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL, MTH).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (2) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (3) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($12,000 → $16,000). (2) Trip note from last race: Led; widened; tired. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race. (4) Stepping up to $16,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $12,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($25,000 → $16,000). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (61%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 28 wins from 111 starts (25%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 84 vs field 78). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Career-best figure (87) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (10) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Paying Partnership, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Far back; very wide. (2) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.02 per $2 over 366 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (3) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.19 per $2 over 111 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (82) — 11 pts above recent average. (2) Won last 2 consecutive starts. (3) Track specialist — 5 wins from 19 starts here (26%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Pursued; bid; clear. (5) Last race was career-best speed (82) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.3 pts: [82, 84, 59, 70, 62]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (2) In the money in last 7 consecutive starts. (3) Track specialist — 3 wins from 10 starts here (30%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Trip note from last race: Angled out; willingly. (4) Rising in class ($10,000 → $16,000) after finishing 3 last out — double negative. (5) Stepping up to $16,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $10,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (71) well above field median (60). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (45%). (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 83). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 72 vs field 66). (6) Fourth race back from a 51-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Vied btwn; empty lane. (5) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.01 per $2 over 90 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (6) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($55,000 → $35,000 → $10,000). (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.1 pts: [61, 63, 77, 77, 76]) — unpredictable performer. (8) Both speed figures (77→63→61) AND claiming price ($55,000→$35,000→$10,000) have declined in each of last 3 starts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (55) well below field median (60). (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 17 starts). (5) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (6 of 9 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Brief speed; gave way. (7) 0 wins from post 2 in 3 recent starts. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (9) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (75) well above field median (60). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (45%). (3) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 66). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Speed improved +7 pts then +4 pts in last 2 starts (65 → 72 → 76) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (7) Career-best figure (82) buried in races 4–10 back — 22 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['F', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Rally ins;fail to gain. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 29 days since last race. (5) 0 wins from 8 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (6) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: GP).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($20,000 → $10,000). (2) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 74 vs fast: 66). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Career-best figure (74) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 14 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Weakened steadily. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.07 per $2 over 644 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Career-best speed figure (67) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Last race E1 pace (92.0) was 9.7 pts above personal avg (82.3) and horse still finished 7th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 67 days. (2) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $10,000). (3) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (4) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (5) Speed average (53) well below field median (60). (6) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (7) Trip note from last race: Bobbled break;faltered. (8) Rising in class ($7,500 → $10,000) after finishing 7 last out — double negative. (9) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 111-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 111 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (53) well below field median (60). (4) 0 wins from 9 career starts on off tracks. (5) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (6) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 28 starts). (7) Trip note from last race: Inside turn; empty. (8) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.1 pts: [48, 43, 57, 54, 64]) — unpredictable performer. (9) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 7 starts (29%). (2) Big last-race effort (75) — 9 pts above recent average. (3) Won last 2 consecutive starts. (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 6 starts here (33%). (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Carries 10 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 125 lbs). (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'F', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($12,500 → $16,000). (2) Speed average (66) well below field median (74). (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Trip note from last race: Far back; late surge. (6) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (7) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (8) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.01 per $2 over 90 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (9) Last race was career-best speed (75) — bounce risk after peak effort. (10) No workout in last 30 days despite 19 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (43%). (2) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) 0 wins from 10 career starts on off tracks. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Chase;2p;kept on. (4) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (5) Stepping up to $16,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $12,500). (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | C | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 48-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (3) Returning from 48-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (4) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (120 lbs vs median 125 lbs). (5) Career-best figure (84) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Averages 77.1 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 62.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 48 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 8 recent starts). (5) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 9 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Shuffled; taken up st. (7) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (8) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (9) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.74 per $2 over 28 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (10) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.5 pts: [57, 75, 75, 79, 72]) — unpredictable performer. (11) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Finish Pos | F | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (2) Strong speed 2 back (83), modest dip last out (72) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (3) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Paying Partnership, Profitable Rider.
⚠ Concerns:(1) 0 wins from 7 career starts on off tracks. (2) Trip note from last race: Trailed; rail advance. (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.07 per $2 over 644 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (4) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.15 per $2 over 32 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 19 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (45%). (2) Career-best speed figure (86) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 83 vs field 74). (6) Fourth race back from a 48-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Strong speed 2 back (86), modest dip last out (78) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (8) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Rated lead; vied; game. (2) No workout in last 30 days despite 19 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 90 vs field 84). (2) Has won at today's distance (1870 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'S', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (66) well below field median (74). (2) Trip note from last race: Svd gnd;no bid.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (64) — 8 pts above recent average. (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 84). (3) Fourth race back from a 240-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (58) well below field median (65). (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (6) Trip note from last race: Vied btwn; rail; tired. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | A | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (48) well below field median (65). (3) First time at today's distance. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (6) Trip note from last race: Close inside; gave way. (7) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.07 per $2 over 644 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 38-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (54%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Fourth race back from a 308-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Switching turf-to-dirt with a strong turf pedigree rating (115) — pedigree suggests main-track improvement is likely. (6) Carries 10 lbs less than field median (112 lbs vs median 122 lbs).
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 38 days. (2) Switching from turf to dirt today. (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (4) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (2 of 3 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: 4-w 2nd; never fired. (6) 0 wins from 5 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($40,000 → $25,000). (2) Speed average (71) well above field median (65). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 36 wins from 115 starts (31%). (5) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (6) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $40,000) after a 39-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Trainer 'NESS JAMIE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (9) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 5 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Close inside; gave way. (5) 0 wins from 7 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (76) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 84). (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Averages 70.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.0 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Vied; easily 2nd best. (5) 0 wins from post 5 in 4 recent starts. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.6 pts: [71, 76, 79, 61, 60]) — unpredictable performer. (8) 0 wins from 8 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 55-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Big last-race effort (73) — 8 pts above recent average. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 75). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Speed improved +5 pts then +6 pts in last 2 starts (62 → 67 → 73) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'F', 'O']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 55 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 10 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Far back; no menace. (5) Last race was career-best speed (73) — bounce risk after peak effort. (6) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($40,000 → $30,000 → $25,000). (7) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (8) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (62 → 67 → 73) and last race speed is well above career average (64) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (49%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Trainer 'NESS JAMIE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 5 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: 3w;6p2nd;7p1/8;mvd up. (3) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (4) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (5) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: KEE, CD, ELP).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | B | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($40,000 → $25,000). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (4) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (5) Fourth race back from a 58-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (6) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $40,000) after a 39-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 39-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Passed tiring rival. (4) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (53%). (2) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (3) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $10,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (5) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (6) Trip note from last race: Stalked; bid; clear. (7) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.37 per $2 over 93 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (9) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($150,000 → $15,000 → $7,500).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 38-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (78) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 38 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Inside;move 3/8;3w1/4.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($14,000 → $10,000). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Track specialist — 17 wins from 55 starts here (31%). (4) Strong speed 2 back (79), modest dip last out (68) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 4W from 15 starts (27%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Career-best figure (85) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Close wide; faltered. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.07 per $2 over 644 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 20 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 7 starts (29%). (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 92 vs field 83). (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (5) Career-best figure (85) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 10 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Clear; hooked; faded. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.01 per $2 over 90 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.9 pts: [71, 66, 75, 62, 85]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (79) — 14 pts above recent average. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Averages 70.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 61.8 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($6,250 → $10,000). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (66) well below field median (72). (4) 0 wins from 5 career starts on off tracks. (5) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Stlk;ins 1/4;angl;game. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 24 days since last race. (8) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($10,000 → $7,500 → $6,250).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (78) well above field median (72). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 36 wins from 115 starts (31%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (5) Track specialist — 10 wins from 33 starts here (30%). (6) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 84 vs field 81). (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 7 starts (29%) — thrives when the going is off. (10) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (11) Trainer 'NESS JAMIE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (12) Career-best figure (90) buried in races 4–10 back — 18 pts above race median and 12 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (13) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 37 days. (2) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $10,000). (3) Trip note from last race: Gaining; edged clear. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 37 days since last race. (5) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($15,000 → $10,000 → $7,500).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (77) — 11 pts above recent average. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'F', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $10,000). (2) Speed average (66) well below field median (72). (3) 0 wins from 7 career starts on off tracks. (4) Trip note from last race: Far back; late energy. (5) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (6) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (7) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+1.36 per $2 over 24 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (9) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (10) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.0 pts: [77, 55, 72, 70, 60]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Track specialist — 5 wins from 18 starts here (28%). (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (5) Trainer 'SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Career-best figure (84) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Forced pace; gave way. (3) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (4) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.2 pts: [53, 78, 79, 76, 79]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 15 starts (27%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'T', 'U', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (5) Averages 83.7 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 77.5 in other configs (6 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (3) Trip note from last race: Vied 2w; ridden out. (4) 0 wins from post 1 in 3 recent starts. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 19 days since last race. (6) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL, OP).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | D | A |
| Mid Pace | D | A |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | D | A |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (2) Cutting back to sprint (1320 yds) from routes — sprint speed figures (51.3) are 5.8 pts better than route figures (45.5).
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (71) well below field median (78). (2) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (3) Trip note from last race: Brief bid; gave way. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.5 pts: [56, 67, 83, 69, 51]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | F | B |
| Mid Pace | F | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | F | B |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | F | B |
| Mid Pace | F | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Strong speed 2 back (88), modest dip last out (76) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (2) Trip note from last race: Bid rail turn; empty. (3) 0 wins from post 3 in 4 recent starts. (4) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | D | A |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | B |
| Route FPS | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (89) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (3) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (72) well below field median (78). (3) Trip note from last race: Repelled foe; drew off. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.3 pts: [87, 89, 84, 69, 76]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | F | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | F | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 36 wins from 115 starts (31%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Switching turf-to-dirt with a strong turf pedigree rating (109) — pedigree suggests main-track improvement is likely. (6) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Trainer 'NESS JAMIE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Switching from turf to dirt today. (2) Trip note from last race: Rail; gave way. (3) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (4) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 17 days since last race. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.0 pts: [83, 85, 64, 84, 64]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | C |
| Route FPS | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 41-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Fourth race back from a 65-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (3) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 41 days. (2) Speed average (73) well below field median (78). (3) Trip note from last race: Inside; gave way. (4) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($75,000 → $50,000 → $25,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | D | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | D | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (85) well above field median (78). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (61%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 18 wins from 60 starts (30%). (4) Career-best speed figure (97) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 82 vs field 76). (6) Fourth race back from a 48-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Clear pace; empty late. (3) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.02 per $2 over 366 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (88) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Outstanding wet-track record: 3W from 5 starts (60%) — thrives when the going is off. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Wide trip; lacked bid. (2) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | C | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 37-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Running with Lasix for the first time — significant performance angle. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Returning from 37-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (6) Career-best figure (98) buried in races 4–10 back — 17 pts above race median and 12 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 3/10 — angles: First-Time Lasix.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 37 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Close wide; stopped. (4) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 18.5 pts: [43, 86, 76, 88, 82]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Track specialist — 10 wins from 26 starts here (38%). (2) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Career-best figure (90) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'S']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (7 of 10 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Chased pace; ran on.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (86) well above field median (81). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 59 wins from 159 starts (37%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (5) Won last 8 consecutive starts. (6) Track specialist — 7 wins from 10 starts here (70%). (7) Fourth race back from a 61-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (8) Strong speed 2 back (97), modest dip last out (91) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (9) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (10) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Clear; brisk hand ride. (3) Stepping up to $50,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $20,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (2) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 87 vs field 84). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 5 starts (40%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T', 'V']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Very wide; late bid. (2) Stepping up to $50,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $30,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | A |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | A |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | F | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 37-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (84) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Strong speed 2 back (84), modest dip last out (75) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Returning from 37-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 37 days. (2) Rising in class today ($30,000 → $50,000). (3) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (4) Trip note from last race: Lunged start;no factor. (5) Rising in class ($30,000 → $50,000) after finishing 9 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | A |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 8 wins from 32 starts (25%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (48%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 84 vs field 80). (5) Dropping in class ($12,500 vs last $20,000) after a 74-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (6) Trainer 'NESS JAMIE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 74 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 6 recent starts). (4) Trip note from last race: 3p trns;5p1/4;faltered. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.5 pts: [51, 77, 68, 63, 68]) — unpredictable performer. (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface. (7) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: SAR, BAQ).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 144-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 88 vs fast: 81). (3) Big last-race effort (71) — 13 pts above recent average. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Switching turf-to-dirt with a strong turf pedigree rating (107) — pedigree suggests main-track improvement is likely. (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Dropping in class ($12,500 vs last $25,000) after a 144-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (8) Career-best figure (79) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 144 days. (2) Switching from turf to dirt today. (3) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (4) Trip note from last race: Ins; btwn; mild rally. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.6 pts: [71, 48, 69, 57, 66]) — unpredictable performer. (6) 0 wins from 5 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 8 wins from 15 starts (53%). (2) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Averages 58.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 47.8 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 41 days. (2) Speed average (53) well below field median (69). (3) Trip note from last race: Far back throughout. (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.43 per $2 over 85 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (75) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Won last 2 consecutive starts. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Strong speed 2 back (75), modest dip last out (70) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $12,500). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 5 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Bid turn; drew off.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (2) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $12,500). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) 0 wins from 5 career starts on off tracks. (4) Trip note from last race: Angled in; ralllied. (5) 0 wins from post 5 in 3 recent starts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 15 starts (27%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 80). (4) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Career-best figure (82) buried in races 4–10 back — 13 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($8,000 → $12,500). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Off rail; gave way. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (6) Rising in class ($8,000 → $12,500) after finishing 5 last out — double negative. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.4 pts: [68, 71, 76, 82, 57]) — unpredictable performer. (8) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: DEL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 73). (2) Strong speed 2 back (76), modest dip last out (64) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (3) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Career-best figure (87) buried in races 4–10 back — 18 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Averages 72.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 67.0 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $12,500). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (5) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 7 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Rated close; faltered. (7) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (9) Rising in class ($7,500 → $12,500) after finishing 4 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.41)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (56%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (3) In the money in last 6 consecutive starts. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 79 vs field 73). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (2) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 16 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Rated btwn; wide bid. (5) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
TL;DR
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Buckin' Right (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Vanaka (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Spooky Gal (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6May Mischief (6/1), 4Charm Of The Song (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Rose Of Sharon (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512643 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 541236 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Shetalkstomuch (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Shadyside (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Pearls And Heels (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Moor Strength (5/1), 5Telephone Line (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Browneyedvalentine (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 421635 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 421653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Capt Fluff N Stuff (9/5) |
| Place: | 3Wheelhouse (8/5) |
| Show: | 4Quick To Judge (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Read The Meter (5/1), 2Matzoball Muhammet (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Craigh Na Dun (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 134526 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 314562 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Bonafide (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Shallus (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Chain Lightning (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Zoppi Fischbein (5/1), 1Irish Mamba (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Winning Song (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 543216 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 543216 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Grey Bull (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Hyperlink (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Joy Boy (6/1), 6Tregetour (6/1), 8Who's Your Hattie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Relentlessness (6/1), 2Righteous Felon (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 547368 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 54763821 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Chelsea Wall (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Ambitiously Placed (7/2) |
| Show: | 5Winkiwinki (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1), 8Cruise Missile (9/2), 4Game Energy (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Molly's A Bullet (8/1), 7Amy Mule (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 635284 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64132578 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| Win: | 7Vancougar (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Call Me Andy (3/1) |
| Show: | 1King Peanut (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Complex Music (4/1), 4Great Composer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Cajun Venom (8/1), 6Tough Guy Tony (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 751342 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7615234 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4More Than Grace (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Volleyballprincess (5/1) |
| Show: | 6Vanilla (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Centre Court Champ (6/1), 1Carousel Queen (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Missy Sixtysix (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 423615 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 465123 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6As The Bell Toles (4/1) |
| Place: | 1Spirit Of Esther (3/1) |
| Show: | 8Lady Sriracha (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Ruby Ruby (5/1), 2Southampton Dock (5/1), 5Royalties Riches (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Doppio Espresso (8/1), 3Gruene Hall (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 618725 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64187523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Buckin' Right (8/5) 29% · fair 5-2 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Spooky Gal (4/1) 27% · fair 3-1 overlay +44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Vanaka (2/1) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6May Mischief (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 4Charm Of The Song (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Rose Of Sharon (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 512643 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 541236 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Shetalkstomuch (8/5) 32% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Shadyside (5/2) 21% · fair 7-2 underlay -32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Pearls And Heels (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Moor Strength (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 3Browneyedvalentine (9/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Telephone Line (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 426135 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 421653 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Capt Fluff N Stuff (9/5) 38% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Wheelhouse (8/5) 37% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Quick To Judge (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Read The Meter (5/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -65%, 2Matzoball Muhammet (6/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -63% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Craigh Na Dun (15/1) 1% · fair 86-1 underlay -83% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 314526 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 314562 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Shallus (3/1) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Bonafide (2/1) 27% · fair 5-2 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Irish Mamba (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Zoppi Fischbein (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -31%, 3Chain Lightning (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Winning Song (5/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 543216 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 543216 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Grey Bull (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Hyperlink (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Joy Boy (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 8Who's Your Hattie (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1, 6Tregetour (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Relentlessness (6/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -74%, 2Righteous Felon (12/1) 2% · fair 97-2 underlay -75% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 457386 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 54763821 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Chelsea Wall (5/2) 36% · fair 3-2 overlay +43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Ambitiously Placed (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Winkiwinki (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -40%, 8Cruise Missile (9/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -50%, 4Game Energy (10/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Molly's A Bullet (8/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -53%, 7Amy Mule (15/1) 3% · fair 63-2 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 638251 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 64132578 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Vancougar (7/2) 30% · fair 5-2 overlay +51% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1King Peanut (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Call Me Andy (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -41% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Complex Music (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -26%, 4Great Composer (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Tough Guy Tony (10/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -48%, 2Cajun Venom (8/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -64% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 751342 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 7615234 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4More Than Grace (4/5) 61% · fair 3-5 overlay +26% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Volleyballprincess (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Vanilla (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -31% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Centre Court Champ (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%, 5Missy Sixtysix (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Carousel Queen (8/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 423651 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 465123 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6As The Bell Toles (4/1) 19% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 8Lady Sriracha (9/2) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Spirit Of Esther (3/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -41% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Ruby Ruby (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2, 5Royalties Riches (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -42%, 2Southampton Dock (5/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Doppio Espresso (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -33%, 3Gruene Hall (6/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -59% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 618725 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 64187523 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 5Buckin' Right (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Vanaka (2/1) |
| Show: | 2Spooky Gal (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6May Mischief (6/1), 4Charm Of The Song (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Rose Of Sharon (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512643 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 541236 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 4Shetalkstomuch (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Shadyside (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Pearls And Heels (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Moor Strength (5/1), 5Telephone Line (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Browneyedvalentine (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 421635 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 421653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 1Capt Fluff N Stuff (9/5) |
| Place: | 3Wheelhouse (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Read The Meter (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Quick To Judge (4/1), 2Matzoball Muhammet (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Craigh Na Dun (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 134526 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 314562 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 5Bonafide (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Shallus (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Chain Lightning (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Zoppi Fischbein (5/1), 1Irish Mamba (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Winning Song (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 543261 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 543216 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 4Grey Bull (7/2) |
| Place: | 7Hyperlink (9/2) |
| Show: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Joy Boy (6/1), 6Tregetour (6/1), 8Who's Your Hattie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Relentlessness (6/1), 2Righteous Felon (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 457368 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 54763821 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 6Chelsea Wall (5/2) |
| Place: | 2Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1) |
| Show: | 5Winkiwinki (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Ambitiously Placed (7/2), 4Game Energy (10/1), 8Cruise Missile (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1Molly's A Bullet (8/1), 7Amy Mule (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 635281 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64132578 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 5Call Me Andy (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Vancougar (7/2) |
| Show: | 1King Peanut (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Complex Music (4/1), 4Great Composer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Tough Guy Tony (10/1), 2Cajun Venom (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 571342 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7615234 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 4More Than Grace (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Volleyballprincess (5/1) |
| Show: | 6Vanilla (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Centre Court Champ (6/1), 5Missy Sixtysix (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Carousel Queen (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 423651 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 465123 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 6As The Bell Toles (4/1) |
| Place: | 1Spirit Of Esther (3/1) |
| Show: | 8Lady Sriracha (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Ruby Ruby (5/1), 2Southampton Dock (5/1), 5Royalties Riches (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Doppio Espresso (8/1), 3Gruene Hall (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 168725 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64187523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #2, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #1 over #3 ($1 straight; box #1-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #7 over #1 ($1 straight; box #7-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #6 over #8 ($1 straight; box #6-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 5Buckin' Right (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Spooky Gal (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Vanaka (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6May Mischief (6/1), 4Charm Of The Song (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Rose Of Sharon (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512643 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 541236 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 2Shadyside (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Pearls And Heels (6/1) |
| Show: | 6Moor Strength (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Shetalkstomuch (8/5), 5Telephone Line (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Browneyedvalentine (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 246153 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 421653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 5Read The Meter (5/1) |
| Place: | 1Capt Fluff N Stuff (9/5) |
| Show: | 3Wheelhouse (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 4Quick To Judge (4/1), 2Matzoball Muhammet (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Craigh Na Dun (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 135426 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 314562 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 5Bonafide (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Irish Mamba (6/1) |
| Show: | 3Chain Lightning (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Shallus (3/1), 2Zoppi Fischbein (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Winning Song (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 543126 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 543216 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Grey Bull (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Hyperlink (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Joy Boy (6/1), 6Tregetour (6/1), 8Who's Your Hattie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Relentlessness (6/1), 2Righteous Felon (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 547368 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 54763821 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 6Chelsea Wall (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Winkiwinki (5/1) |
| Show: | 2Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Game Energy (10/1), 8Cruise Missile (9/2), 3Ambitiously Placed (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1Molly's A Bullet (8/1), 7Amy Mule (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 653824 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64132578 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 5Call Me Andy (3/1) |
| Place: | 1King Peanut (9/2) |
| Show: | 3Complex Music (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Vancougar (7/2), 4Great Composer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Tough Guy Tony (10/1), 2Cajun Venom (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 573142 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7615234 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 4More Than Grace (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Volleyballprincess (5/1) |
| Show: | 6Vanilla (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Centre Court Champ (6/1), 1Carousel Queen (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Missy Sixtysix (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 423615 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 465123 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 6As The Bell Toles (4/1) |
| Place: | 1Spirit Of Esther (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Ruby Ruby (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Lady Sriracha (9/2), 4Doppio Espresso (8/1), 2Southampton Dock (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Royalties Riches (6/1), 3Gruene Hall (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 167825 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64187523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 5Buckin' Right (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Spooky Gal (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Vanaka (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Charm Of The Song (12/1), 6May Mischief (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Rose Of Sharon (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 512643 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 541236 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 4Shetalkstomuch (8/5) |
| Place: | 2Shadyside (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Pearls And Heels (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Moor Strength (5/1), 5Telephone Line (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Browneyedvalentine (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 421635 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 421653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 1Capt Fluff N Stuff (9/5) |
| Place: | 3Wheelhouse (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Read The Meter (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Quick To Judge (4/1), 2Matzoball Muhammet (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Craigh Na Dun (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 134526 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 314562 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 5Bonafide (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Shallus (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Chain Lightning (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Zoppi Fischbein (5/1), 1Irish Mamba (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Winning Song (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 543216 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 543216 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 4Grey Bull (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Hyperlink (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Tregetour (6/1), 3Joy Boy (6/1), 8Who's Your Hattie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Relentlessness (6/1), 2Righteous Felon (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 457638 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 54763821 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 6Chelsea Wall (5/2) |
| Place: | 2Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1) |
| Show: | 5Winkiwinki (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Ambitiously Placed (7/2), 4Game Energy (10/1), 8Cruise Missile (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1Molly's A Bullet (8/1), 7Amy Mule (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 635281 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64132578 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 7Vancougar (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Call Me Andy (3/1) |
| Show: | 1King Peanut (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Complex Music (4/1), 4Great Composer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Tough Guy Tony (10/1), 2Cajun Venom (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 573142 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7615234 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 4More Than Grace (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Volleyballprincess (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Centre Court Champ (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Missy Sixtysix (8/1), 6Vanilla (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Carousel Queen (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 423561 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 465123 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 6As The Bell Toles (4/1) |
| Place: | 1Spirit Of Esther (3/1) |
| Show: | 8Lady Sriracha (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Ruby Ruby (5/1), 2Southampton Dock (5/1), 4Doppio Espresso (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Royalties Riches (6/1), 3Gruene Hall (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 168725 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 64187523 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #5,#2,#1 (78%) / R2: #4,#2,#1 (68%) / R3: #1,#3 (75%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 40% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #4,#2,#1 (68%) / R3: #1,#3 (75%) / R4: #4,#5,#1 (67%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 34% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #6,#2,#3 (64%) / R7: #7,#1,#5 (64%) / R8: #4 (61%) $9 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #7,#1,#5 (64%) / R8: #4 (61%) / R9: #6,#8,#1 (53%) $9 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21% |
| Pick 4 R5-8 | R5: #4,#7,#5 (57%) / R6: #6,#2,#3 (64%) / R7: #7,#1,#5 (64%) / R8: #4 (61%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 14% |
| Pick 4 R6-9 | R6: #6,#2,#3 (64%) / R7: #7,#1,#5 (64%) / R8: #4 (61%) / R9: #6,#8,#1 (53%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| AMBITIOUSLY PLACED | AMY MULE | AS THE BELL TOLES | BONAFIDE | BROWNEYEDVALENTINE |
| CAJUN VENOM | CALL ME ANDY | CAPT FLUFF N STUFF | CAROUSEL QUEEN | CENTRE COURT CHAMP |
| CHARM OF THE SONG | CHELSEA WALL | COMPLEX MUSIC | CRAIGH NA DUN | CRUISE MISSILE |
| GAME ENERGY | GREAT COMPOSER | GREY BULL | GRUENE HALL | HYPERLINK |
| JOY BOY | KING PEANUT | LADY EMILY KATHRYN | LADY SRIRACHA | MATZOBALL MUHAMMET |
| MISSY SIXTYSIX | MOLLY'S A BULLET | MOOR STRENGTH | MOR CHEESE PLEASE | MORE THAN GRACE |
| QUICK TO JUDGE | READ THE METER | RELENTLESSNESS | RIGHTEOUS FELON | ROSE OF SHARON |
| RUBY RUBY | SHADYSIDE | SHALLUS | SHETALKSTOMUCH | SOUTHAMPTON DOCK |
| SPOOKY GAL | TELEPHONE LINE | TOUGH GUY TONY | TREGETOUR | VANAKA |
| VANILLA | VOLLEYBALLPRINCESS | WHEELHOUSE | WHO'S YOUR HATTIE | WINKIWINKI |
| ZOPPI FISCHBEIN |
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✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 3 wins from 11 starts (27%). (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Has won at today's distance (1320 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Career-best figure (80) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.