Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Wide trip; mild bid. (3) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.5 pts: [79, 85, 79, 68, 91]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (82) — 10 pts above recent average. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) In the money in last 5 consecutive starts. (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'O', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (9) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Paying Partnership, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Poor start; strong bid. (2) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.04 per $2 over 153 starts; also profitable last year at +0.35) - the betting market underprices this barn. (5) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.16 per $2 over 22 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.3 pts: [82, 76, 78, 63, 65]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | D | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 57 wins from 150 starts (38%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 88 vs field 80). (5) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Carries 5 lbs less than field median (120 lbs vs median 125 lbs). (8) Averages 80.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 74.2 in other configs (5 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) 0 wins from 7 career starts on off tracks. (2) Trip note from last race: Inside; always outrun. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 88 vs fast: 82). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (40%). (4) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Btwn early; lacked bid. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (2) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (3) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Paying Partnership, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 7 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Long duel; willingly. (5) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.04 per $2 over 153 starts; also profitable last year at +0.35) - the betting market underprices this barn. (6) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.67 per $2 over 48 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (7) Rising in class ($5,000 → $7,500) after finishing 3 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($12,500 → $7,500). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (53%). (3) Career-best speed figure (81) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Track specialist — 3 wins from 10 starts here (30%). (5) Strong speed 2 back (81), modest dip last out (71) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (68) well below field median (75). (3) Trip note from last race: 3wd outs;bid 1/2;wknd. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.5 pts: [71, 81, 61, 79, 66]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | F | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 35-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 6 wins from 24 starts (25%). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 86 vs field 78). (4) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Dropping in class ($7,500 vs last $16,000) after a 35-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Career-best figure (86) buried in races 4–10 back — 11 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 35 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Drifted wide fading. (4) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.97 per $2 over 24 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 36-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($12,500 → $7,500). (3) Speed average (70) well above field median (64). (4) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (52%). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Dropping in class ($7,500 vs last $12,500) after a 36-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (8) Carries 10 lbs less than field median (112 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (9) Last race E1 pace (80.0) was 6.6 pts above personal avg (73.4) and horse still finished 5th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 36 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (5) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (6) 0 wins from 5 career starts on off tracks. (7) Trip note from last race: Close wide; gave way. (8) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.52 per $2 over 86 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (3) Big last-race effort (69) — 9 pts above recent average. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 78 vs field 74). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 9 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) 0 wins from 8 career starts on off tracks. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: In tight early; wide. (4) 0 wins from post 2 in 3 recent starts. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (6) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (49%). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Fourth race back from a 57-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Averages 65.4 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 56.0 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (2) 0 wins from 5 career starts on off tracks. (3) Trip note from last race: Rail trip; late gain. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.9 pts: [68, 53, 71, 66, 77]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (2) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (3) Career-best figure (77) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 20 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (4) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 6/10 — angles: Profitable Rider, Paying Partnership, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 35 days. (2) Poor recent form - recent speed ratings well below career norm. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) 0 wins from 4 career starts on off tracks. (5) Trip note from last race: Vied btwn; stopped. (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+1.20 per $2 over 150 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (7) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.09 per $2 over 210 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (8) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+3.79 per $2 over 41 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (9) No workout in last 30 days despite 35 days since last race. (10) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.3 pts: [51, 54, 57, 63, 72]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 7 starts (29%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (38%). (4) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 88 vs field 82). (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 50 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Clear; hooked; faded. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.1 pts: [61, 74, 47, 53, 60]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 80 vs fast: 73). (2) Career-best speed figure (73) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 82 vs field 74). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Strong speed 2 back (80), modest dip last out (68) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Wide; some late energy. (2) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Dropping in class today ($12,500 → $7,500). (2) Speed average (71) well above field median (64). (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 90 vs field 82). (4) Fourth race back from a 48-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Dropping in class ($7,500 vs last $12,500) after a 36-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Returning from 36-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (8) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (10) Career-best figure (84) buried in races 4–10 back — 20 pts above race median and 11 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 36 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Brief lead; std tiring. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.5 pts: [53, 73, 66, 64, 81]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (70) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (38%). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 67 vs field 60). (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'L', 'S']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Brief lead; eased back. (5) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+1.20 per $2 over 150 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (46) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 44 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (4) Trip note from last race: 3w far turn; no threat. (5) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+2.51 per $2 over 61 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | F | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Finish positions improving over last 4 starts. (2) Speed average (62) well above field median (50). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (45%). (4) Career-best speed figure (65) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 72 vs field 60). (6) Fourth race back from a 78-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (7) Strong speed 2 back (69), modest dip last out (59) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 6 recent starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Long duel; willingly. (4) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.09 per $2 over 210 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (6) 0 wins from 6 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (44%). (2) Career-best speed figure (60) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (4) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (5) Last race E1 pace (77.0) was 5.8 pts above personal avg (71.2) and horse still finished 7th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Brief factor; gave way. (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.04 per $2 over 153 starts; also profitable last year at +0.35) - the betting market underprices this barn.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | C | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 80 vs field 74). (2) Fourth race back from a 65-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (3) Career-best figure (62) buried in races 4–10 back — 12 pts above race median and 17 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (4 of last 5 starts). (2) Poor recent form - recent speed ratings well below career norm. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) 0 wins from 6 career starts on off tracks. (5) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (6) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 20 starts). (7) Trip note from last race: Outside; lacked rally. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 14.6 pts: [45, 45, 23, 62, 54]) — unpredictable performer. (10) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (63) well above field median (50). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (35%). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 75 vs field 60). (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'O', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 42 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (5) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 5 starts). (6) Trip note from last race: Two path; mild bid. (7) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 42 days since last race. (9) 0 wins from 7 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | D |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (45%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 32 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Unproven on dirt surface (2 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Bid; urged 5/16; empty. (6) Last race was career-best speed (58) — bounce risk after peak effort. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 32 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | A | D |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | D |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 80 vs field 72). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 35 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) 0 wins from 8 career starts on off tracks. (4) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Always outrun. (6) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.09 per $2 over 210 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (7) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 35 days since last race. (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 9.0 pts: [53, 66, 70, 50, 53]) — unpredictable performer. (10) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 36-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Finish positions improving over last 4 starts. (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (48%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 7 wins from 23 starts (30%). (5) Big last-race effort (73) — 25 pts above recent average. (6) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (49%). (7) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (8) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 5 starts (40%) — thrives when the going is off. (9) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (10) Speed improved +9 pts then +7 pts in last 2 starts (57 → 66 → 73) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Averages 67.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 47.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 36 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Trip note from last race: Bid turn; drew away. (4) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.39 per $2 over 23 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 21.9 pts: [73, 66, 57, 21, 74]) — unpredictable performer. (6) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (57 → 66 → 73) and last race speed is well above career average (64) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Big last-race effort (70) — 22 pts above recent average. (2) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (3) Career-best figure (78) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (5) Trip note from last race: Clear pace; held place. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 21 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 25.3 pts: [70, 14, 63, 66, 78]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 39-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Big last-race effort (66) — 16 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (38%). (4) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (5) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Speed improved +10 pts then +5 pts in last 2 starts (51 → 61 → 66) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (7) Career-best figure (73) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 7 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'S', 'T']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 39 days. (2) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $7,500). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Speed average (48) well below field median (64). (5) Trip note from last race: Set pace; drfted; held. (6) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.01 per $2 over 237 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.5 pts: [66, 61, 51, 37, 47]) — unpredictable performer. (8) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: PEN). (9) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (51 → 61 → 66) and last race speed is well above career average (54) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 35-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 6 starts (33%). (3) Big last-race effort (63) — 8 pts above recent average. (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Last race E1 pace (85.0) was 10.9 pts above personal avg (74.1) and horse still finished 4th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer. (8) Career-best figure (73) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 10 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (9) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 35 days. (2) Repeatedly beaten at this class level (3 of last 5 starts). (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Speed average (58) well below field median (64). (5) Trip note from last race: Angled out; flattened. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.7 pts: [63, 45, 47, 73, 61]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 118-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Dropping in class today ($25,000 → $7,500). (3) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (4) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 4 wins from 16 starts (25%). (5) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 89 vs field 81). (6) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Dropping in class ($7,500 vs last $25,000) after a 118-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (8) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Last race E1 pace (95.0) was 6.0 pts above personal avg (89.0) and horse still finished 5th — pace collapse victim; expect bounce if today's fractions are softer.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 118 days. (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Dueled btwn; stopped. (5) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.9 pts: [51, 57, 81, 75, 74]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (61%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 15 wins from 46 starts (33%). (3) In the money in last 3 consecutive starts. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 87 vs field 78). (5) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Profitable Barn, Paying Partnership.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Forced pace; willingly. (3) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.05 per $2 over 325 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (4) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.37 per $2 over 46 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 17 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (4) Carries 7 lbs less than field median (115 lbs vs median 122 lbs). (5) Trainer 'GUERRERO J GUADALUPE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (3) Trip note from last race: Never in contention. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 17 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (86) well above field median (76). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 91 vs field 78). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Strong speed 2 back (90), modest dip last out (85) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Shoe repair;lacked bid. (2) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.20 per $2 over 577 mounts) - the market underrates this rider.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'O', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) First time at today's distance. (3) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (4) Today's distance is longer than any previous start. (5) Trip note from last race: Wide;no match top pair. (6) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 14.3 pts: [67, 83, 69, 51, 87]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | D |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (2) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Strong speed 2 back (76), modest dip last out (64) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Switching turf-to-dirt with a strong turf pedigree rating (105) — pedigree suggests main-track improvement is likely. (6) Career-best figure (86) buried in races 4–10 back — 10 pts above race median and 10 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Paying Partnership, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($15,000 → $25,000). (2) Switching from turf to dirt today. (3) Trip note from last race: Between; faded. (4) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.04 per $2 over 153 starts; also profitable last year at +0.35) - the betting market underprices this barn. (5) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.16 per $2 over 22 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (6) Rising in class ($15,000 → $25,000) after finishing 12 last out — double negative. (7) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 208-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (49%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (4) Track specialist — 2 wins from 6 starts here (33%). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Dropping in class ($25,000 vs last $75,000) after a 208-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (8) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Career-best figure (92) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 8 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 208 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Off rail; gave way. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 19.1 pts: [40, 84, 84, 79, 83]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (84) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (3) Strong speed 2 back (88), modest dip last out (80) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (4) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 4 starts (50%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($16,000 → $25,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Trip note from last race: Rail to lane;drft out. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race. (7) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 12.7 pts: [80, 88, 79, 66, 56]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | A |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (58%). (2) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 57 wins from 150 starts (38%). (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (4) In the money in last 4 consecutive starts. (5) Outstanding wet-track record: 4W from 15 starts (27%) — thrives when the going is off. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['L', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Rail trip; late rally. (3) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (4) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (2) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (3) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (2) Speed average (70) well below field median (76). (3) Trip note from last race: Inside turn; mild bid. (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race. (5) Rising in class ($10,000 → $16,000) after finishing 4 last out — double negative. (6) Stepping up to $16,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $10,000).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 52-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 88 vs field 83). (3) Strong speed 2 back (79), modest dip last out (72) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 52 days. (2) Rising in class today ($7,500 → $16,000). (3) Trip note from last race: Split rivals rallying. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (3 of last 5 starts). (5) Rising in class ($7,500 → $16,000) after finishing 6 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | A | C |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (53%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 88 vs field 83). (4) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 36 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Caught stopping rival. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 10.3 pts: [70, 76, 91, 91, 72]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (86) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (3) Fourth race back from a 57-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (2) Trip note from last race: Chased 3-4w; faded. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 18 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | F | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | F | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) In the money in last 5 consecutive starts. (2) Track specialist — 4 wins from 12 starts here (33%). (3) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'S', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Trip note from last race: Swung wide; rallied. (4) Last race was career-best speed (78) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) Rising in class ($10,000 → $16,000) after finishing 3 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Track specialist — 17 wins from 54 starts here (31%). (3) Has won at today's distance (1430 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Outstanding wet-track record: 4W from 15 starts (27%) — thrives when the going is off. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Career-best figure (85) buried in races 4–10 back — 9 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'L', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Trip note from last race: Bid final turn; wknd. (5) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.20 per $2 over 577 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race. (7) Dropping in class in consecutive starts ($20,000 → $15,000 → $10,000). (8) Rising in class ($10,000 → $16,000) after finishing 3 last out — double negative.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 70 vs field 66). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Career-best figure (71) buried in races 4–10 back — 8 pts above race median and 5 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'L', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 4 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Wide bid turn; flatten. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Career-best speed figure (67) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (3) Strong speed 2 back (72), modest dip last out (64) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (4) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (3) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Clear pace; weakened. (5) Was the betting favorite in the last race but finished off the board. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race. (7) 0 wins from 9 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 113-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (9) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 93 vs field 88). (4) Returning from 113-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 113 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (9) well below field median (63). (4) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (5) Unproven on dirt surface (1 start). (6) Trip note from last race: Brief speed; stopped. (7) Cold trainer - low ITM rate (7%).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | F | D |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | F |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 85-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (67) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (4) Strong speed 2 back (67), modest dip last out (62) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 85 days. (2) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (3) Moving from a route to a sprint today. (4) Trip note from last race: Led; vied; weakened. (5) 0 wins from 5 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (46%). (2) Career-best speed figure (70) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 70 vs field 66). (4) Strong speed 2 back (70), modest dip last out (64) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Bid turn; lasted show. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (2) Big last-race effort (67) — 13 pts above recent average. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Speed improved +16 pts then +5 pts in last 2 starts (46 → 62 → 67) — trainer is progressively building fitness. (5) Trainer 'GUERRERO J GUADALUPE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'O', 'S', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Broke thru prior start. (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.20 per $2 over 577 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (4) Last race was career-best speed (67) — bounce risk after peak effort. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race. (6) Two consecutive 5+ pt speed jumps (46 → 62 → 67) and last race speed is well above career average (58) — high bounce risk after back-to-back peak efforts.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (2) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Not urged late. (3) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 13.3 pts: [62, 88, 93, 95, 86]) — unpredictable performer.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | A |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | B | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 34-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Big last-race effort (87) — 11 pts above recent average. (3) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Returning from 34-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 34 days. (2) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (3) Speed average (76) well below field median (84). (4) Trip note from last race: Rated; bid turn;gamely. (5) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.20 per $2 over 577 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (6) Last race was career-best speed (87) — bounce risk after peak effort.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | F | A |
| Finish Pos | C | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | A |
| Turf Speed | F | D |
| Distance Speed | F | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | F | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 93 vs field 90). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 7 recent starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Close for mile; faded. (3) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (4) No workout in last 30 days despite 17 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | F | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | D | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | F |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | A |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Returning from 157-day layoff with a recent workout. (2) Career-best speed figure (98) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Big last-race effort (97) — 8 pts above recent average. (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (57%). (5) 4 workouts in last 30 days — horse appears sharp and fit. (6) Has a bullet work (fastest at track that day) — sharp conditioning signal. (7) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (8) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (9) Returning from 157-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (10) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (11) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'O', 'T', 'U']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (12) Averages 87.6 speed pts in today's distance/surface configuration vs 65.5 in other configs (8 qualifying starts) — returning to ideal setup.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 157 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Rail; flattened out. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | A |
| Finish Pos | C | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | D | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (92) well above field median (84). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 31 wins from 104 starts (30%). (4) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (52%). (5) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 96 vs field 90). (6) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (7) Fourth race back from a 57-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (8) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (9) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Trip note from last race: Outside; gave way. (2) 0 wins from post 5 in 3 recent starts. (3) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: LRL).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | D |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (60%). (2) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 84 vs field 79). (3) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Returning from 30-day layoff with a bullet workout — trainer signaling extra readiness for today's spot. (5) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (6) Career-best figure (98) buried in races 4–10 back — 14 pts above race median and 10 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L', 'O', 'V']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Trip note from last race: Long drive;edged away. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 30 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | A |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | A |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | A |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (71) well above field median (61). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (47%). (3) Career-best speed figure (86) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 79 vs field 67). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Strong speed 2 back (86), modest dip last out (78) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (7) Trainer 'GUERRERO J GUADALUPE' has 2 horses in today's card all showing last-race improvement — barn appears sharp right now. (8) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'F', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Poor record at this distance (0 wins from 9 recent starts). (2) Poor record at this track (0 wins from 8 starts). (3) Trip note from last race: Trailed; wide; flatten. (4) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (5) Consistently runs wide at the first call (4 of last 5 starts). (6) Has not won in last 10 starts despite career wins. (7) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race. (8) Stepping up to $16,000 — highest class level in last 10 starts (previous high: $12,500). (9) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 8.9 pts: [78, 86, 63, 70, 69]) — unpredictable performer. (10) 0 wins from 10 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | C |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 7 starts (29%). (2) Big last-race effort (80) — 13 pts above recent average. (3) Fourth race back from a 256-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (4) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 2nd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal. (6) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Profitable Rider, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (2) Speed average (51) well below field median (61). (3) Tends to fade in the stretch at similar distances (2 of 3 starts). (4) Trip note from last race: Clear pace; held game. (5) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.77 per $2 over 70 starts) - the betting market underprices this barn. (6) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.43 per $2 over 69 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (7) Last race was career-best speed (80) — bounce risk after peak effort. (8) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Finish Pos | F | F |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | C | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | A | B |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | C | C |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (44%). (2) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (3) One gate workout in recent training — sharpness signal from the gate. (4) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (5) Pick Pony Daily Edge Radar pick — value score 4/10 — angles: Paying Partnership, Profitable Barn.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Speed average (53) well below field median (61). (2) Trip note from last race: No factor. (3) Consistently breaks behind post position (4 of last 5 starts). (4) Consistently runs wide at the first call (3 of last 5 starts). (5) Trainer is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.04 per $2 over 153 starts; also profitable last year at +0.35) - the betting market underprices this barn. (6) Trainer/jockey pairing is flat-bet PROFITABLE (+0.67 per $2 over 48 starts together) - a paying partnership the odds don't reflect. (7) First start at PRX — never raced here before (last seen at: MTH).
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | F | D |
| Sprint FPS | F | D |
| Route FPS | F | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | A | B |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Significantly better on off tracks (off: 74 vs fast: 63). (2) Career-best speed figure (63) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (50%). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Strong speed 2 back (74), modest dip last out (63) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'F', 'L', 'V']) yet still finished 3rd — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($12,500 → $16,000). (2) Trip note from last race: Far back; rail advance. (3) Rising in class ($12,500 → $16,000) after finishing 3 last out — double negative. (4) Speed figures are highly erratic over last 5 starts (σ = 11.2 pts: [63, 74, 45, 57, 51]) — unpredictable performer. (5) 0 wins from 6 starts on dirt in last 10 — repeated failure on today's surface.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | C | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | F | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | A |
| 3rd Party Ratings | C | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Early pace significantly above field median (E1: 87 vs field 78). (2) Fourth race back from a 66-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (3) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (4) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (5) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['D', 'L']) yet still finished 1st — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($10,000 → $16,000). (2) Was claimed from its most recent race - new connections. (3) Consider there will be likely pace pressure in this race - multiple E types entered. (4) Trip note from last race: Drew away handily. (5) No workout in last 30 days despite 27 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | A | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | D | D |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (42%). (2) Career-best speed figure (63) recorded in last 1-2 starts — peaking form. (3) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (4) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 72 vs field 67). (5) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (6) Strong speed 2 back (63), modest dip last out (56) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Limited experience at today's distance (2 starts). (2) Trip note from last race: Angled in; faded. (3) No workout in last 30 days despite 22 days since last race.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | D |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | B | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | B | C |
| Jockey Effectiveness | B | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | D | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (2) Strong speed 2 back (56), modest dip last out (50) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (3) Outstanding wet-track record: 1W from 4 starts (25%) — thrives when the going is off.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Rising in class today ($5,000 → $16,000). (2) Speed average (56) well below field median (61). (3) Limited experience at today's distance (1 start). (4) Moving from a sprint to a route today. (5) Trip note from last race: No factor; outrun. (6) No workout in last 30 days despite 24 days since last race. (7) Rising in class ($5,000 → $16,000) after finishing 13 last out — double negative. (8) Post 7 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | D | F |
| Dirt Speed | F | D |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | D | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | F | F |
| 3rd Party Ratings | F | D |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | D | F |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
Chart Guide (2.0.40)
What it shows: This horse’s recent races, one bubble per race, plotted by its AI speed figure against the class par for today’s race (the dashed line).
What to look for: Recent bubbles at or above the dashed line, a trend line angled up, and a narrow shaded band (steady form). Check whether the good runs came on today’s surface and distance.
- Bubbles
- Color = surface: green (turf), brown (dirt), blue (synthetic)
- Top number = finishing position; bottom number in parentheses = starting post position
- Height above line = beaten lengths — closer means a smaller margin
- Border = track conditions: green (FST/GD/FM), yellow (WF/SL/YLD), red (SY/MY/FRZ/SFT/HVY)
- Connecting Line
- Solid = good conditions; dashed = bad conditions
- Line Symbol
- ▲ Triangle = sprint (7f or less); ● Circle = route (more than 7f)
- Days Between Races
- Small number above each bubble (e.g. 19d) = days since the previous race — helps spot freshness, layoffs, and tight scheduling.
- Shaded Band (Bollinger)
- Highlights volatility — a wider band means more variation in recent performance
- Performance Trend
- Straight line showing the overall performance direction — angled up = improving, angled down = declining
- Dashed Reference Line
- AI Opponent = AI analysis class-level par for the race
✓ Positives:(1) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 2 wins from 8 starts (25%). (2) Hot jockey — high ITM rate (42%). (3) Late pace significantly above field median (LP: 75 vs field 67). (4) Closer/presser in a race with pace pressure — ideal race setup for late runners. (5) Has won at today's distance (1760 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (6) Dropping in class ($16,000 vs last $25,000) after a 77-day freshening — trainer setup-for-win angle. (7) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo.
⚠ Concerns:(1) Has not raced in 77 days. (2) Trip note from last race: Trailed; narrowed gap. (3) Jockey is flat-bet PROFITABLE this year (+0.20 per $2 over 577 mounts) - the market underrates this rider. (4) Post 8 in a 8-horse dirt sprint — wide draw forces extra ground and a difficult first-turn path.
Lane Bias Guide
What it shows: Whether horses starting from each post position (lane) have finished better or worse than average at this track.
What to look for: This horse’s lane (blue). Green means its post has been an advantage here, red a disadvantage. A lane built on only a few races is less reliable.
- Bar Direction
- Bars above the line = more favorable lane • Bars below = less favorable, relative to the average at this track.
- Color
- Green = above-average advantage • Yellow = near-average • Red = below-average • Blue = this horse’s lane.
- Bias Score
- Derived from weighted average finishing positions across historical races at this track. Shown in the tooltip on hover. To use the bias score, calculate your handicap for the horse (e.g. finish position), then add (detrimental bias) or subtract (favorable bias) the bias score.
- Races
- Number of historical races used to compute each lane’s bias score.
Race Pace Bias Guide
What it shows: How the expected early pace of today’s race, based on every horse’s running style, is likely to help or hurt each horse.
What to look for: A green bar for this horse means the race should unfold its way — for example a closer in a race with lots of early speed. A star marks an effect big enough to weigh in your handicapping.
- Bar Height & Direction
- Positive (green) = pace favors this horse • Negative (red) = pace works against this horse • Near-zero (amber) = neutral.
- Race Shape
- Projected race shape based on running styles of all horses (e.g. EE = two early horses, EP = one early presser).
- Pace Category
- FAST = contested early pace • LONE EARLY = one speed horse controlling pace • HONEST = moderate early pressure • SLOW = closers’ race.
- Flag (★)
- A star above the bar means this horse’s pace bias figure is ≥ 1.5 — a meaningful pace advantage or disadvantage.
Total Pace Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s average early, middle and late pace figures stacked into one bar, for the whole field.
What to look for: Where this horse ranks in the field and where its strength sits: a big green segment is early speed, a big red segment is a strong finish. Compare the bars to see who is likely to lead and who will close.
- Bar Segments
- Green = Early Pace (E1) • Amber = Mid Pace (E2) • Red = Late Pace (LP)
- Bar Height
- Total height = sum of E1 + E2 + LP average pace figures. Taller bars indicate a faster-paced horse overall.
- Grades & Rankings
- Hover to see each horse’s letter grade and ranking vs. other horses in this race (e.g. 2/9 = 2nd best of 9).
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Performance vs. Peers Guide
What it shows: Each horse’s career, last-3-race and last-race performance side by side, against the field average.
What to look for: Horses above the field average whose last race is green (better than their average) and whose trend line rises — improving form. Red last races and falling lines point to declining form.
- Bars (per post)
- Blue = avg career performance • Amber = avg last 3 races • Green = last race (improved vs. avg) • Red = last race (declined vs. avg)
- Trend Line
- Angled line above the bars: rising = improving form • falling = declining form.
- Horizontal Line
- Field average — the mean career performance of all horses in this race.
- Color Circles
- Standard post-position colors below each lane — same as the Total Pace chart.
- Border
- Thicker border = this horse’s post position.
Figure Comparison
What it shows: This horse’s ratings, speed figures and pace figures next to every other horse in the race.
What to look for: Where this horse (the darker column) leads the field or falls short. Strong ratings plus strong recent speed make a contender; recent speed well above career speed suggests improving form.
- Rating
- The three Pick Pony algorithm ratings (Algo 1, Algo 2, Algo 3) that make up the overall PP AI Rating — higher is a stronger contender rating.
- Speed
- Career average speed, recent 3-race average, and last-race speed figure — spot horses in improving or declining form.
- Pace
- Average Early (E1), Mid (E2), and Stretch (LP) pace figures — reveals pace-setters vs. closers vs. all-the-way types.
- This horse
- The horse whose stats card is open is highlighted with a darker column background.
Winning Profiles
What it shows: Each horse’s win rate and in-the-money rate over its last 10 starts, one dot per horse.
What to look for: Dots in the top-right are consistent winners. Top-left horses often finish in the money but rarely win — better for place and show bets or underneath in exotics. Bottom-left horses rarely finish well.
- Axes
- X: Win % from last 10 starts — Y: In-the-money % (top-3 finishes) from last 10 starts.
- Quadrants
- Consistent Winners (top-right): high win & ITM — reliable performers.
Place Threats (top-left): boards often but doesn’t win often — good exacta/trifecta angles.
Streaky (bottom-right): wins occasionally, misses the board often — all-or-nothing.
Developing (bottom-left): still finding form — longshot territory. - Reference Lines
- Dashed lines mark field averages. Dots to the right win more; dots higher board more.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a gold border and larger dot.
Race Pace Simulation Guide
What it shows: A simulated run of today’s race, based on each horse’s running style, post position and the expected pace.
What to look for: Who gets the lead, who gets boxed in, and who is gaining at the finish. Move the track-bias slider to see how the predicted order changes on a speed-favouring or closer-favouring track.
- Slider
- Drag left→right to advance from gate to finish. Drag all the way back to reset the race.
- Predicted Finish Order
- Factors in contested pace burn, each horse’s effort curve (peaked-early vs. peaked-late), and wide trip cost from outside posts. Updated live when Track Bias changes.
- Pace Scenario
- Lone Speed: single E horse likely rates and holds. Contested: two E horses burn each other — closers benefit. Hot Pace: speed meltdown, deep closers thrive. Soft: no early speed, moderate fractions throughout.
- Track Bias
- Slider below canvas. −2 = strong closer/wet bias; +2 = strong speed/rail bias. Recomputes the predicted finish order.
- Boxed Indicator
- Dashed orange ring = horse is surrounded (rival ahead, rival behind, wall outside). In a real race this horse must find a clear path to run.
- Running Styles
- E/EE = early speed (rushes to rail). P = presser (stalks the pace). S = stalker. SS = slow starter / closer.
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages
Career-average metrics across all AI race analysis. Performance and pace averages reflect estimated historical performance; trainer and jockey grades score in-the-money percentages. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Pace Trip Longshot | — | — |
| Connections Longshot | — | — |
| Situational Longshot | — | — |
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Recent
Performance analysis from the horse's recent races, weighted to reflect current form. Sprint and Route FPS (Foot Per Second) measure pace efficiency over the horse's recent sprints and routes respectively. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
| Trainer Effectiveness | C | D |
| Jockey Effectiveness | A | B |
| 3rd Party Ratings | B | C |
| Predictions
AI-generated projections for the upcoming race, derived from prior AI analysis for speed and pace trends, surface and distance suitability, and current conditions. Grading scale: A = elite • B = above average • C = average • D = below average • F = poor • — = no data |
||
| Speed | B | D |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
Mod1(W): 82 (1/8) Mod2(W): 75 (2/8) Mod3(W): 79 (3/8) Mod1-LS: 55 (6/8) Win Prob: 18.4% Value Score: 1.35 ★
AI Model Comparison
What it shows: All AI model scores for every horse in the race, grouped by what each model is trained to find.
What to look for: The horse leading the green winner models is the models’ likely winner. A horse that stands out in the red longshot models but not the green ones is a longshot the models think is underrated.
- Winner Models (green)
- Mod1(W), Mod2(W), and Mod3(W) trained to predict race winners. Higher score = stronger contender.
- Longshot Models (red)
- Mod1-LS, Mod2-LS, and Mod3-LS trained to find high-value longshots. Higher score = stronger longshot candidate.
- Form Model (blue)
- Mod4 sequence model trained on recent form patterns. Higher score = stronger recent form profile.
- This horse
- Highlighted with a darker column background.
TL;DR
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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 165 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-08-15 to 2026-10-05.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 29.7% | 165 |
| Morning-line favourite | 27.3% | 165 |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Melt With You (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Fast Bob (5/1) |
| Show: | 5Fromanothamutha (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Roan Burgundy (4/1), 2Boys Of Summer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6War Commander (5/1), 4Mr. Mendelssohn (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 327465 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1345726 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Captain Fancy (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Vix (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Kuz It's Chilly (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Prairie Dunes (5/1), 6Pastero (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 4Change Your Name (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 315247 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3571264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Spring St. Dreamer (2/1) |
| Place: | 6The Fridge (5/2) |
| Show: | 1Zamirzo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4El Huirro (15/1), 7Johnny Mac (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Rhythm Man (6/1), 5Gunman Jayvo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 456317 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6341572 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Halftime Show (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Week's Strong (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Stonecoldhandsome (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Deportivo (6/1), 5Sunny Magic (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Scudetto (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 265143 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 625134 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 1Wish Carefully (6/5) |
| Place: | 3Waitlist (9/2) |
| Show: | 6Light Forever (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Electric Eel (10/1), 2Play The Gray (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Smallchangegeep (10/1), 4Cajun Venom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 713245 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1237456 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Snappy Ride (8/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Eve (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Lost Love (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5J Rivers (10/1), 7Ambitiously Placed (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Et's Moon Maiden (15/1), 2Browneyedvalentine (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 546372 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1532467 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $60,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Slash Alley (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Catch Me A Catch (2/1) |
| Show: | 6Amor Ala Mexicana (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Lucky Lu Lu (5/1), 4Midwest Princess (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Beautiful Sunshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 126543 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 214653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4National Law (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Worcester (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Profound (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Preacha Meyers (5/1), 2Midway Munny (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3My Imagination (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 165432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 452136 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Pittore D'oro (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banco Di Sicilia (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Berlinwin (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Rosie Outlook (4/1), 3Rhee Wall (10/1), 4Noble Annie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Mo Indian Lady (15/1), 7Izzy's Rock Star (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 243615 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12436587 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 97 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-10-05.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 28.9% | 97 |
| Morning-line favourite | 26.8% | 97 |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Melt With You (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Fromanothamutha (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Fast Bob (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Boys Of Summer (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 7Roan Burgundy (4/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6War Commander (5/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -28%, 4Mr. Mendelssohn (20/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 432765 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1345726 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Vix (3/1) 25% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Captain Fancy (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Kuz It's Chilly (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Pastero (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 2Prairie Dunes (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -36%, 4Change Your Name (20/1) 3% · fair 39-1 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 314527 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 3571264 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6The Fridge (5/2) 39% · fair 3-2 overlay +59% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Spring St. Dreamer (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Zamirzo (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4El Huirro (15/1) 12% · fair 7-1 overlay +110%, 7Johnny Mac (5/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Rhythm Man (6/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -74%, 5Gunman Jayvo (15/1) 3% · fair 55-2 underlay -46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 456172 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6341572 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Halftime Show (4/5) 36% · fair 3-2 underlay -54% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Week's Strong (3/1) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Stonecoldhandsome (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Deportivo (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -30%, 5Sunny Magic (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Scudetto (15/1) 4% · fair 55-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 251643 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 625134 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Wish Carefully (6/5) 31% · fair 2-1 underlay -46% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Waitlist (9/2) 22% · fair 7-2 overlay +27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Light Forever (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Electric Eel (10/1) 12% · fair 7-1 overlay +39%, 7Smallchangegeep (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Play The Gray (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -41%, 4Cajun Venom (15/1) 4% · fair 51-2 underlay -41% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 731245 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1237456 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Snappy Ride (8/5) 32% · fair 2-1 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Sister Eve (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Ambitiously Placed (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Lost Love (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 5J Rivers (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Et's Moon Maiden (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -29%, 2Browneyedvalentine (15/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -59% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 534627 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1532467 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $60,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Slash Alley (8/5) 31% · fair 2-1 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Catch Me A Catch (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Amor Ala Mexicana (7/2) 22% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Lucky Lu Lu (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%, 4Midwest Princess (10/1) 10% · fair 17-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Beautiful Sunshine (20/1) 1% · fair 131-1 underlay -85% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 126543 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 214653 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4National Law (8/5) 36% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Worcester (2/1) 28% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Preacha Meyers (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Profound (3/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -61%, 2Midway Munny (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3My Imagination (15/1) 2% · fair 115-2 underlay -74% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 165342 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 452136 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Pittore D'oro (2/1) 32% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Banco Di Sicilia (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -30% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Rosie Outlook (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Berlinwin (5/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -35%, 3Rhee Wall (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 4Noble Annie (10/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -30% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Mo Indian Lady (15/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -39%, 7Izzy's Rock Star (15/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 426351 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 12436587 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 3Fast Bob (5/1) |
| Place: | 7Roan Burgundy (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Fromanothamutha (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Melt With You (5/2), 2Boys Of Summer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6War Commander (5/1), 4Mr. Mendelssohn (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 375216 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1345726 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 1Kuz It's Chilly (4/1) |
| Place: | 7Captain Fancy (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Pastero (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Vix (3/1), 2Prairie Dunes (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 4Change Your Name (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 137526 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3571264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 6The Fridge (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Spring St. Dreamer (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Zamirzo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4El Huirro (15/1), 7Johnny Mac (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Rhythm Man (6/1), 5Gunman Jayvo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 463157 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6341572 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6Halftime Show (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Week's Strong (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Sunny Magic (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Deportivo (6/1), 4Stonecoldhandsome (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Scudetto (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 265143 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 625134 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 1Wish Carefully (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Light Forever (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Waitlist (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Electric Eel (10/1), 2Play The Gray (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Smallchangegeep (10/1), 4Cajun Venom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 173256 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1237456 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1Snappy Ride (8/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Eve (3/1) |
| Show: | 5J Rivers (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Lost Love (5/1), 7Ambitiously Placed (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Et's Moon Maiden (15/1), 2Browneyedvalentine (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145637 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1532467 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $60,000 | |
| Win: | 2Slash Alley (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Catch Me A Catch (2/1) |
| Show: | 5Lucky Lu Lu (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Amor Ala Mexicana (7/2), 4Midwest Princess (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Beautiful Sunshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 215643 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 214653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 4National Law (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Worcester (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Profound (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Preacha Meyers (5/1), 2Midway Munny (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3My Imagination (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 154632 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 452136 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 1Pittore D'oro (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banco Di Sicilia (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Berlinwin (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Rhee Wall (10/1), 6Mo Indian Lady (15/1), 8Rosie Outlook (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Izzy's Rock Star (15/1), 4Noble Annie (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 241356 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12436587 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #1 over #3 ($1 straight; box #1-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #7 over #5 ($1 straight; box #7-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #2 ($1 straight; box #6-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #3 ($1 straight; box #1-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 3 | 4El Huirro | 15/1 | — | 7.4% | +16.8% | 0.28% | $0.28 |
| TOTAL across 1 play: | 0.3% | $0.28 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 3Fast Bob (5/1) |
| Place: | 5Fromanothamutha (9/2) |
| Show: | 6War Commander (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Melt With You (5/2), 2Boys Of Summer (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Roan Burgundy (4/1), 4Mr. Mendelssohn (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 356271 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1345726 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 1Kuz It's Chilly (4/1) |
| Place: | 7Captain Fancy (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Vix (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Prairie Dunes (5/1), 6Pastero (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 4Change Your Name (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 135726 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3571264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 6The Fridge (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Spring St. Dreamer (2/1) |
| Show: | 4El Huirro (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Zamirzo (4/1), 7Johnny Mac (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Rhythm Man (6/1), 5Gunman Jayvo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 643175 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6341572 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6Halftime Show (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Week's Strong (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Sunny Magic (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Deportivo (6/1), 4Stonecoldhandsome (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Scudetto (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 625413 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 625134 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 1Wish Carefully (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Light Forever (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Waitlist (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Electric Eel (10/1), 2Play The Gray (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Smallchangegeep (10/1), 4Cajun Venom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 137265 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1237456 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1Snappy Ride (8/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Eve (3/1) |
| Show: | 5J Rivers (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Lost Love (5/1), 2Browneyedvalentine (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Ambitiously Placed (6/1), 3Et's Moon Maiden (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145627 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1532467 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $60,000 | |
| Win: | 2Slash Alley (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Catch Me A Catch (2/1) |
| Show: | 6Amor Ala Mexicana (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Lucky Lu Lu (5/1), 4Midwest Princess (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Beautiful Sunshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 216543 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 214653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 4National Law (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Worcester (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Profound (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Preacha Meyers (5/1), 2Midway Munny (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3My Imagination (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 415632 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 452136 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 1Pittore D'oro (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banco Di Sicilia (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Berlinwin (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Noble Annie (10/1), 3Rhee Wall (10/1), 8Rosie Outlook (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Mo Indian Lady (15/1), 7Izzy's Rock Star (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 214536 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12436587 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 1Melt With You (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Fast Bob (5/1) |
| Show: | 2Boys Of Summer (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Fromanothamutha (9/2), 7Roan Burgundy (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6War Commander (5/1), 4Mr. Mendelssohn (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 327156 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1345726 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 7Captain Fancy (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Kuz It's Chilly (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Vix (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Prairie Dunes (5/1), 6Pastero (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 4Change Your Name (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 135726 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3571264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,000 | |
| Win: | 6The Fridge (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Spring St. Dreamer (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Zamirzo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4El Huirro (15/1), 7Johnny Mac (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Rhythm Man (6/1), 5Gunman Jayvo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 634175 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6341572 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6Halftime Show (4/5) |
| Place: | 2Week's Strong (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Deportivo (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Stonecoldhandsome (4/1), 5Sunny Magic (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Scudetto (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 265413 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 625134 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $32,000 | |
| Win: | 1Wish Carefully (6/5) |
| Place: | 3Waitlist (9/2) |
| Show: | 6Light Forever (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Electric Eel (10/1), 2Play The Gray (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Smallchangegeep (10/1), 4Cajun Venom (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 137254 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1237456 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000 | |
| Win: | 1Snappy Ride (8/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Eve (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Lost Love (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Ambitiously Placed (6/1), 5J Rivers (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Et's Moon Maiden (15/1), 2Browneyedvalentine (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145673 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1532467 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $60,000 | |
| Win: | 2Slash Alley (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Catch Me A Catch (2/1) |
| Show: | 5Lucky Lu Lu (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Midwest Princess (10/1), 6Amor Ala Mexicana (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3Beautiful Sunshine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 215463 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 214653 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 4National Law (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Worcester (2/1) |
| Show: | 6Preacha Meyers (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Midway Munny (8/1), 1Profound (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3My Imagination (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 514632 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 452136 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 1Pittore D'oro (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Banco Di Sicilia (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Rhee Wall (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Berlinwin (5/1), 8Rosie Outlook (4/1), 4Noble Annie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Mo Indian Lady (15/1), 7Izzy's Rock Star (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 214358 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12436587 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight SettingsⓘThe relative importance this algorithm gave each handicapping factor when scoring this card. Higher numbers mean the factor counted more toward the rankings — a quick way to see what is driving this algorithm's picks. |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #6,#3,#1 (71%) / R4: #6,#2 (64%) / R5: #1,#3,#6 (70%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #6,#2 (64%) / R5: #1,#3,#6 (70%) / R6: #1,#4,#7 (72%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #1,#4,#7 (72%) / R7: #2,#1,#6 (77%) / R8: #4,#5 (64%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #2,#1,#6 (77%) / R8: #4,#5 (64%) / R9: #1,#2,#8 (68%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33% |
| Pick 4 R4-7 | R4: #6,#2 (64%) / R5: #1,#3,#6 (70%) / R6: #1,#4,#7 (72%) / R7: #2,#1,#6 (77%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 4 R5-8 | R5: #1,#3,#6 (70%) / R6: #1,#4,#7 (72%) / R7: #2,#1,#6 (77%) / R8: #4,#5 (64%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| AMBITIOUSLY PLACED | AMOR ALA MEXICANA | BANCO DI SICILIA | BEAUTIFUL SUNSHINE | BERLINWIN |
| BROWNEYEDVALENTINE | CAJUN VENOM | CAPTAIN FANCY | CATCH ME A CATCH | CHANGE YOUR NAME |
| EL HUIRRO | ELECTRIC EEL | ET'S MOON MAIDEN | FAST BOB | FROMANOTHAMUTHA |
| HALFTIME SHOW | IZZY'S ROCK STAR | J RIVERS | JOHNNY MAC | KUZ IT'S CHILLY |
| LOST LOVE | LUCKY LU LU | MELT WITH YOU | MIDWAY MUNNY | MIDWEST PRINCESS |
| MR. MENDELSSOHN | MY IMAGINATION | NATIONAL LAW | NOBLE ANNIE | PASTERO |
| PLAY THE GRAY | PRAIRIE DUNES | PREACHA MEYERS | PROFOUND | RHEE WALL |
| ROAN BURGUNDY | ROSIE OUTLOOK | SCUDETTO | SISTER EVE | SITTIN CHILLY |
| SMALLCHANGEGEEP | SNAPPY RIDE | SPRING ST. DREAMER | STONECOLDHANDSOME | SUNNY MAGIC |
| VIX | WAITLIST | WAR COMMANDER | WEEK'S STRONG | WISH CAREFULLY |
| ZAMIRZO |
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✓ Positives:(1) Speed average (80) well above field median (75). (2) Hot trainer - high ITM rate (51%). (3) Strong trainer/jockey combo - 5 wins from 13 starts (38%). (4) Fourth race back from a 50-day layoff — often the peak fitness race. (5) Strong speed 2 back (85), modest dip last out (79) — form reversal angle, ready to bounce back to top form. (6) Has won at today's distance (1830 yds) within the last 10 starts — proven ability at this trip. (7) Outstanding wet-track record: 2W from 7 starts (29%) — thrives when the going is off. (8) Has won at PRX on dirt in the last 10 starts — proven at today's exact track/surface combo. (9) Career-best figure (91) buried in races 4–10 back — 16 pts above race median and 6 pts above recent form — market has forgotten the peak effort. (10) Had documented trouble last race (codes: ['B', 'D', 'L', 'T']) yet still finished 4th — a clean trip today sets up a form reversal.