How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 8:56 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 33% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 25% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 1 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 0 finished in the money.
AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied
Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.
| Track | Race | Model | New Top Pick | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRX | 8 | Model Algo 1 | #7 – Tims | 3 scratch(es) |
| PRX | 8 | Model Algo 2 (Ensemble) | #7 – Tims | 3 scratch(es) |
| PRX | 8 | Model Weight set 3 | #7 – Tims | 3 scratch(es) |
Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:
- Trifecta play: PRX Race 8 — Curly's Agenda (SCRATCHED)
Where the experts back our strongest pick today
In 7 of today's 9 races, the published handicappers landed on the same horse as Algo 2, our best-performing model. That agreement is the strongest single signal we have measured: across 1,389 graded races, the races where they agreed won 39.8% of the time against 28.6% where they did not — a wider gap than between any two of our own algorithms.
Today's agreement races — PR 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9.
Which horse the two agree on is part of Algo 2, included with Insider and above. The race numbers above are free to everyone: if you are playing these races, you now know the experts and our strongest model are pointing the same way.
Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Parx Racing — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 133 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-08-15 to 2026-09-19.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 28.6% | 133 |
| Morning-line favourite | 25.6% | 133 |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Ruby Ruby (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Dakota Cam (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Royalties Riches (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Astrid (5/1), 8Gruene Hall (9/2), 7Onmywaytosavthday (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1My Little Wildcat (8/1), 6Queen Catalina (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 156483 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 47531628 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Great Escape (9/5) |
| Place: | 7Hey Porter (5/2) |
| Show: | 2Chelonian (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Cut The Cord (7/2), 5Admiral's Wave (8/1), 1Majestic Lion (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Batter Up Bud (20/1), 8Liberty Runner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 382754 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67521348 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Good Sal (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Vino Gray (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Carcharoth (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Easter Blessing (8/1), 3Lucky Capo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Marchin Into April (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 415623 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 145623 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Literary (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Supream (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Obstinate (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7You Know Me (10/1), 2Waitwaitdonttellme (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6True Sunshine (15/1), 3Tomarie (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 164572 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1467235 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 5 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Warrior Wayne (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Gun Right (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Fromanothamutha (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Vance Scholars (4/1), 8Atrocious (10/1), 5Heat Alert (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Union Lights (10/1), 7Cobble Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 486213 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 46817325 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 10Bloody Colors Wave (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Society Ball (5/1) |
| Show: | 5Problematica (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Sofster (7/2), 6Don't Tell Tammo (9/2), 9Golden Philly (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Solemn Oath (8/1), 2Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1), 3Gia's Fuego (15/1), 7Downanddirtydonna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8951042 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10914532867 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #4, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Place: | 9Frankie Coffeecake (4/1) |
| Show: | 10Tongue Tied (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Lido Shuffle (5/1), 6World Wide Web (8/1), 4Change Your Boots (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1King Of Salsa (12/1), 8Quick To Judge (20/1), 3Relentlessness (12/1), 7Irish Wish (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 572413 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 65891012347 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #10, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 6Curly's Agenda (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Tims (5/2) |
| Show: | 8Psalmist (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Golden Sand (9/2), 5Duke Of Suggins (12/1), 2Quetzal Island (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3It's Authentic (10/1), 4Little Sneckdraw (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 761432 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 57263841 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Blame Eve (3/1) |
| Place: | 10Spastic Bid (5/2) |
| Show: | 3Too Many Mikes (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Ranting And Raving (6/1), 6Dreaming Of Bella (10/1), 5Saint Grace (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Always In Play (8/1), 8Eleanor Rigby (15/1), 9Catrina Zar (20/1), 4Wonderfulvenezuela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8254106 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26105137849 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Parx Racing — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 64 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-19.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 25.0% | 64 |
| Morning-line favourite | 21.9% | 64 |
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Ruby Ruby (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Royalties Riches (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Dakota Cam (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -26% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Astrid (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 8Gruene Hall (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 7Onmywaytosavthday (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Queen Catalina (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 1My Little Wildcat (8/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -54% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 165843 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 47531628 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Hey Porter (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Cut The Cord (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Great Escape (9/5) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -56% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Chelonian (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -36%, 5Admiral's Wave (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -32%, 1Majestic Lion (15/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Batter Up Bud (20/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -47%, 8Liberty Runner (20/1) 2% · fair 131-2 underlay -69% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 382457 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 67521348 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Good Sal (6/5) 41% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Vino Gray (5/2) 30% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Lucky Capo (6/1) 11% · fair 15-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Carcharoth (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 5Easter Blessing (8/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -49% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Marchin Into April (12/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -66% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 451623 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 145623 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Sister Supream (8/5) 30% · fair 5-2 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Literary (6/5) 30% · fair 5-2 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Obstinate (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Waitwaitdonttellme (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 7You Know Me (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Tomarie (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 6True Sunshine (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -42% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 615427 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1467235 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Warrior Wayne (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Gun Right (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Vance Scholars (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Fromanothamutha (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -48%, 8Atrocious (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 2Union Lights (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Heat Alert (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -40%, 7Cobble Road (20/1) 4% · fair 51-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 482671 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 46817325 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 10Bloody Colors Wave (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Problematica (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Sofster (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Don't Tell Tammo (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -36%, 4Society Ball (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%, 1Solemn Oath (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 9Golden Philly (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 3Gia's Fuego (15/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -34%, 2Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1) 3% · fair 39-1 underlay -62%, 7Downanddirtydonna (20/1) 2% · fair 41-1 underlay -51% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 892573 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 10914532867 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 9Frankie Coffeecake (4/1) 21% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 10Tongue Tied (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Change Your Boots (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -50%, 2Lido Shuffle (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -36%, 6World Wide Web (8/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Relentlessness (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -47%, 1King Of Salsa (12/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -55%, 8Quick To Judge (20/1) 2% · fair 81-2 underlay -50%, 7Irish Wish (20/1) 2% · fair 105-2 underlay -62% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 571423 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 65891012347 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #10, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Tims (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Curly's Agenda (3/1) 21% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 8Psalmist (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Golden Sand (9/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -50%, 4Little Sneckdraw (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 2Quetzal Island (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3It's Authentic (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -29%, 5Duke Of Suggins (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 471362 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 57263841 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Blame Eve (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 10Spastic Bid (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Too Many Mikes (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Ranting And Raving (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%, 5Saint Grace (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -36%, 1Always In Play (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Dreaming Of Bella (10/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -55%, 8Eleanor Rigby (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 9Catrina Zar (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -34%, 4Wonderfulvenezuela (20/1) 2% · fair 40-1 underlay -50% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8254106 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 26105137849 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 4Ruby Ruby (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Dakota Cam (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Astrid (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Gruene Hall (9/2), 1My Little Wildcat (8/1), 3Royalties Riches (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Onmywaytosavthday (10/1), 6Queen Catalina (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 154863 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 47531628 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 7Hey Porter (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Great Escape (9/5) |
| Show: | 3Cut The Cord (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Chelonian (3/1), 5Admiral's Wave (8/1), 1Majestic Lion (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Batter Up Bud (20/1), 8Liberty Runner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 327856 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67521348 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 1Good Sal (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Carcharoth (8/1) |
| Show: | 4Vino Gray (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Easter Blessing (8/1), 3Lucky Capo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Marchin Into April (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 416523 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 145623 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 1Literary (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Supream (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Obstinate (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7You Know Me (10/1), 6True Sunshine (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Waitwaitdonttellme (10/1), 3Tomarie (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145672 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1467235 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 5 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4Warrior Wayne (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Gun Right (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Fromanothamutha (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Vance Scholars (4/1), 8Atrocious (10/1), 2Union Lights (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Cobble Road (20/1), 5Heat Alert (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 486132 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 46817325 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 10Bloody Colors Wave (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Problematica (4/1) |
| Show: | 4Society Ball (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Sofster (7/2), 6Don't Tell Tammo (9/2), 9Golden Philly (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1), 1Solemn Oath (8/1), 3Gia's Fuego (15/1), 7Downanddirtydonna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1085942 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10914532867 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 10Tongue Tied (5/1) |
| Place: | 9Frankie Coffeecake (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6World Wide Web (8/1), 2Lido Shuffle (5/1), 4Change Your Boots (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3Relentlessness (12/1), 1King Of Salsa (12/1), 8Quick To Judge (20/1), 7Irish Wish (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5249106 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 65891012347 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #9, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 6Curly's Agenda (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Tims (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Duke Of Suggins (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Psalmist (7/2), 2Quetzal Island (10/1), 1Golden Sand (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3It's Authentic (10/1), 4Little Sneckdraw (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 761243 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 57263841 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 2Blame Eve (3/1) |
| Place: | 10Spastic Bid (5/2) |
| Show: | 3Too Many Mikes (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Always In Play (8/1), 7Ranting And Raving (6/1), 5Saint Grace (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Dreaming Of Bella (10/1), 9Catrina Zar (20/1), 8Eleanor Rigby (15/1), 4Wonderfulvenezuela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8251041 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26105137849 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #6 over #7 ($1 straight; box #6-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #2, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #6, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #10 over #4 ($1 straight; box #10-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #10 over #4, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #10 over #5 ($1 straight; box #10-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #9, #10, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #7 over #6 ($1 straight; box #7-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #7, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #2 over #10 ($1 straight; box #2-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #10, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 5Duke Of Suggins | 12/1 | — | 10.5% | +33.5% | 0.70% | $0.70 |
| TOTAL across 1 play: | 0.7% | $0.70 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 4Ruby Ruby (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Dakota Cam (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Royalties Riches (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Astrid (5/1), 7Onmywaytosavthday (10/1), 8Gruene Hall (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1My Little Wildcat (8/1), 6Queen Catalina (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145387 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 47531628 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Great Escape (9/5) |
| Place: | 7Hey Porter (5/2) |
| Show: | 3Cut The Cord (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Chelonian (3/1), 5Admiral's Wave (8/1), 1Majestic Lion (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Batter Up Bud (20/1), 8Liberty Runner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 327658 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67521348 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 1Good Sal (6/5) |
| Place: | 6Carcharoth (8/1) |
| Show: | 4Vino Gray (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5Easter Blessing (8/1), 2Marchin Into April (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Lucky Capo (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 416523 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 145623 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 1Literary (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Supream (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Obstinate (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7You Know Me (10/1), 2Waitwaitdonttellme (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6True Sunshine (15/1), 3Tomarie (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145762 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1467235 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 5 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4Warrior Wayne (5/2) |
| Place: | 3Vance Scholars (4/1) |
| Show: | 1Gun Right (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8Atrocious (10/1), 6Fromanothamutha (3/1), 2Union Lights (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Heat Alert (12/1), 7Cobble Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 483612 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 46817325 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 10Bloody Colors Wave (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Problematica (4/1) |
| Show: | 4Society Ball (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Sofster (7/2), 6Don't Tell Tammo (9/2), 9Golden Philly (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Solemn Oath (8/1), 2Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1), 3Gia's Fuego (15/1), 7Downanddirtydonna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1085942 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10914532867 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Place: | 10Tongue Tied (5/1) |
| Show: | 9Frankie Coffeecake (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Lido Shuffle (5/1), 4Change Your Boots (7/2), 6World Wide Web (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Quick To Judge (20/1), 1King Of Salsa (12/1), 3Relentlessness (12/1), 7Irish Wish (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5241096 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 65891012347 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #10, #9, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 7Tims (5/2) |
| Place: | 6Curly's Agenda (3/1) |
| Show: | 5Duke Of Suggins (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Psalmist (7/2), 2Quetzal Island (10/1), 4Little Sneckdraw (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Golden Sand (9/2), 3It's Authentic (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 768241 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 57263841 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 2Blame Eve (3/1) |
| Place: | 1Always In Play (8/1) |
| Show: | 10Spastic Bid (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Dreaming Of Bella (10/1), 3Too Many Mikes (7/2), 5Saint Grace (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Ranting And Raving (6/1), 9Catrina Zar (20/1), 8Eleanor Rigby (15/1), 4Wonderfulvenezuela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8251016 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26105137849 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #10, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 4Ruby Ruby (3/1) |
| Place: | 5Dakota Cam (4/1) |
| Show: | 2Astrid (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Royalties Riches (5/1), 8Gruene Hall (9/2), 7Onmywaytosavthday (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1My Little Wildcat (8/1), 6Queen Catalina (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145386 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 47531628 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Great Escape (9/5) |
| Place: | 2Chelonian (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Hey Porter (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Cut The Cord (7/2), 5Admiral's Wave (8/1), 1Majestic Lion (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Batter Up Bud (20/1), 8Liberty Runner (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 326758 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 67521348 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 1Good Sal (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Vino Gray (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Carcharoth (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Easter Blessing (8/1), 3Lucky Capo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Marchin Into April (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 416523 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 145623 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 1Literary (6/5) |
| Place: | 4Sister Supream (8/5) |
| Show: | 5Obstinate (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7You Know Me (10/1), 6True Sunshine (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Waitwaitdonttellme (10/1), 3Tomarie (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 145672 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1467235 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 5 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 3Vance Scholars (4/1) |
| Place: | 6Fromanothamutha (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Warrior Wayne (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Gun Right (7/2), 8Atrocious (10/1), 2Union Lights (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Heat Alert (12/1), 7Cobble Road (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 436812 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 46817325 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 10Bloody Colors Wave (3/1) |
| Place: | 4Society Ball (5/1) |
| Show: | 5Problematica (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Sofster (7/2), 6Don't Tell Tammo (9/2), 9Golden Philly (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Solemn Oath (8/1), 2Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1), 3Gia's Fuego (15/1), 7Downanddirtydonna (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1084592 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10914532867 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #4, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 5Mor Cheese Please (3/1) |
| Place: | 9Frankie Coffeecake (4/1) |
| Show: | 10Tongue Tied (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6World Wide Web (8/1), 2Lido Shuffle (5/1), 4Change Your Boots (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1King Of Salsa (12/1), 8Quick To Judge (20/1), 3Relentlessness (12/1), 7Irish Wish (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5249106 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 65891012347 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #10, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000 | |
| Win: | 6Curly's Agenda (3/1) |
| Place: | 7Tims (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Duke Of Suggins (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Psalmist (7/2), 2Quetzal Island (10/1), 1Golden Sand (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4Little Sneckdraw (12/1), 3It's Authentic (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 761824 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 57263841 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 2Blame Eve (3/1) |
| Place: | 10Spastic Bid (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Dreaming Of Bella (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Ranting And Raving (6/1), 5Saint Grace (8/1), 3Too Many Mikes (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1Always In Play (8/1), 8Eleanor Rigby (15/1), 9Catrina Zar (20/1), 4Wonderfulvenezuela (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8251067 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26105137849 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #4,#3,#5 (55%) / R2: #7,#3,#6 (67%) / R3: #1,#4 (71%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #7,#3,#6 (67%) / R3: #1,#4 (71%) / R4: #4,#1,#5 (74%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #1,#4 (71%) / R4: #4,#1,#5 (74%) / R5: #4,#1,#3 (64%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #4,#1,#5 (74%) / R5: #4,#1,#3 (64%) / R6: #10,#5,#8 (50%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #4,#3,#5 (55%) / R2: #7,#3,#6 (67%) / R3: #1,#4 (71%) / R4: #4,#1,#5 (74%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #7,#3,#6 (67%) / R3: #1,#4 (71%) / R4: #4,#1,#5 (74%) / R5: #4,#1,#3 (64%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ADMIRAL'S WAVE | ALWAYS IN PLAY | ASTRID | ATROCIOUS | BATTER UP BUD |
| BLOODY COLORS WAVE | CARCHAROTH | CATRINA ZAR | CHANGE YOUR BOOTS | CHELONIAN |
| CURLY'S AGENDA | CUT THE CORD | DAKOTA CAM | DON'T TELL TAMMO | DOWNANDDIRTYDONNA |
| DUKE OF SUGGINS | EASTER BLESSING | ELEANOR RIGBY | FRANKIE COFFEECAKE | FROMANOTHAMUTHA |
| GOLDEN PHILLY | GOLDEN SAND | GOOD SAL | GREAT ESCAPE | GRUENE HALL |
| HEAT ALERT | HEY PORTER | IRISH WISH | IT'S AUTHENTIC | KING OF SALSA |
| LIDO SHUFFLE | LITERARY | LITTLE SNECKDRAW | LUCKY CAPO | MAJESTIC LION |
| MOR CHEESE PLEASE | MY LITTLE WILDCAT | OBSTINATE | ONMYWAYTOSAVTHDAY | PROBLEMATICA |
| QUEEN CATALINA | QUETZAL ISLAND | QUICK TO JUDGE | RANTING AND RAVING | RELENTLESSNESS |
| RUBY RUBY | SAINT GRACE | SHUDABEENACOWGIRL | SISTER SUPREAM | SOCIETY BALL |
| SOLEMN OATH | SPASTIC BID | TIMS | TOMARIE | TONGUE TIED |
| TRUE SUNSHINE | UNION LIGHTS | VANCE SCHOLARS | VINO GRAY | WAITWAITDONTTELLME |
| WONDERFULVENEZUELA | WORLD WIDE WEB | YOU KNOW ME |
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