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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ultra Cameo (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Miss Mo Magic (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Lucky Lis (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Holly Ln (5/1), 8 – Just One Kiss (10/1), 3 – Queen Ofthe Cosmos (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Time On The Run (10/1), 7 – Majestic Twirl (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-8-4-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-7-8-5-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 8 – Veola (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Endless Glow (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – My Lizzy Lou (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Feather Wish (5/1), 2 – Air Force Sue (9/2), 6 – Explosive Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Cayuga (20/1), 3 – Hedera (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-1-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-2-7-3-5-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Oneofthegoodguys (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – The Boy's Warrior (6/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Prado Road (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Five Dreams (9/2), 4 – Heard On Thestreet (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Eagles Cry (12/1), 2 – Ortho Star (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-7-4-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-1-6-4-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Natural Harbor (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Nazareno (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Bermuda Run (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Capo (5/1), 3 – Just For The Money (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kiss Them Deadly (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Your Analysis (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Fromanothamutha (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Bangkok Bob (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bonded (6/1), 2 – Checkitup (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Disturbed (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Sevenon (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Black Fly (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Dreaming Of Bella (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Dress Like Coco (5/1), 5 – Candothis (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Astrid (8/1), 7 – No Argument (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-6-1-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1-5-6-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Lachicafortequila (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Special Affair (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Scott Alaia (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – La Lima (5/1), 1 – My Boss Lady (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kentucky Reign (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-4-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-1-4-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – War Code (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Change Your Name (8/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Panagiotis (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Reverse The Curse (10/1), 3 – Buzz Adams (6/1), 1 – Leonidas Stand (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Battle Anthem (6/1), 5 – Desert Aire (10/1), 7 – Whiskey Alley (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-5-7-9-3-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ultra Cameo (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Lucky Lis (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Miss Mo Magic (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Holly Ln (5/1), 3 – Queen Ofthe Cosmos (6/1), 8 – Just One Kiss (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Time On The Run (10/1), 7 – Majestic Twirl (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-5-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-7-8-5-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 8 – Veola (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Endless Glow (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Air Force Sue (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – My Lizzy Lou (6/1), 5 – Feather Wish (5/1), 6 – Explosive Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Cayuga (20/1), 3 – Hedera (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-2-7-3-5-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – The Boy's Warrior (6/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Five Dreams (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Oneofthegoodguys (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Prado Road (7/2), 4 – Heard On Thestreet (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Ortho Star (8/1), 1 – Eagles Cry (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-1-6-4-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Natural Harbor (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Capo (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Nazareno (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Just For The Money (6/1), 2 – Bermuda Run (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kiss Them Deadly (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Your Analysis (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Fromanothamutha (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Bangkok Bob (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bonded (6/1), 2 – Checkitup (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Disturbed (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-2-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Sevenon (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Black Fly (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Dreaming Of Bella (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Candothis (6/1), 7 – No Argument (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Astrid (8/1), 6 – Dress Like Coco (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-6-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1-5-6-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Lachicafortequila (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Special Affair (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – My Boss Lady (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Scott Alaia (4/1), 4 – La Lima (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kentucky Reign (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-4-1-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-1-4-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – War Code (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Reverse The Curse (10/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Change Your Name (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Panagiotis (5/1), 3 – Buzz Adams (6/1), 1 – Leonidas Stand (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Battle Anthem (6/1), 7 – Whiskey Alley (8/1), 5 – Desert Aire (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-2-3-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-5-7-9-3-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ultra Cameo (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Lucky Lis (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Miss Mo Magic (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Holly Ln (5/1), 3 – Queen Ofthe Cosmos (6/1), 2 – Time On The Run (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Just One Kiss (10/1), 7 – Majestic Twirl (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-5-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-7-8-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 8 – Veola (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Endless Glow (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Air Force Sue (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Feather Wish (5/1), 7 – My Lizzy Lou (6/1), 6 – Explosive Run (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Hedera (15/1), 4 – Cayuga (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-7-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-2-7-3-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – The Boy's Warrior (6/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Five Dreams (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Oneofthegoodguys (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Prado Road (7/2), 4 – Heard On Thestreet (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Ortho Star (8/1), 1 – Eagles Cry (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-5-1-6-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Natural Harbor (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Capo (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Nazareno (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Just For The Money (6/1), 2 – Bermuda Run (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kiss Them Deadly (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Your Analysis (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Fromanothamutha (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Bangkok Bob (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bonded (6/1), 2 – Checkitup (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Disturbed (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-1-4-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Sevenon (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Black Fly (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Dreaming Of Bella (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Candothis (6/1), 7 – No Argument (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Astrid (8/1), 6 – Dress Like Coco (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-6-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-2-1-5-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Lachicafortequila (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Special Affair (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – My Boss Lady (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Scott Alaia (4/1), 4 – La Lima (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Kentucky Reign (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-1-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-1-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – War Code (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Reverse The Curse (10/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Panagiotis (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Change Your Name (8/1), 3 – Buzz Adams (6/1), 1 – Leonidas Stand (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Battle Anthem (6/1), 7 – Whiskey Alley (8/1), 5 – Desert Aire (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-2-3-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-2-5-7-9-3-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #9, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.33 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 8 – Reverse The Curse | 10/1 | 17.4% | +81.1% | 2.03% | $2.03 |
| 2 | 3 – Hedera | 15/1 | 10.6% | +60.9% | 1.02% | $1.02 |
| 3 | 1 – Eagles Cry | 12/1 | 11.1% | +38.8% | 0.81% | $0.81 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 3.9% | $3.85 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AIR FORCE SUE | ASTRID | BANGKOK BOB | BATTLE ANTHEM | BERMUDA RUN |
| BONDED | BUZZ ADAMS | CANDOTHIS | CAPO | CAYUGA |
| CHECKITUP | DESERT AIRE | DISTURBED | DREAMING OF BELLA | DRESS LIKE COCO |
| ENDLESS GLOW | EXPLOSIVE RUN | FEATHER WISH | FIVE DREAMS | FROMANOTHAMUTHA |
| HEDERA | HOLLY LN | JUST FOR THE MONEY | JUST ONE KISS | KENTUCKY REIGN |
| LA LIMA | LACHICAFORTEQUILA | LEONIDAS STAND | LUCKY LIS | MAJESTIC TWIRL |
| MY BOSS LADY | MY LIZZY LOU | NATURAL HARBOR | NAZARENO | NO ARGUMENT |
| ORTHO STAR | PANAGIOTIS | PRADO ROAD | QUEEN OFTHE COSMOS | REVERSE THE CURSE |
| SEVENON | SPECIAL AFFAIR | THE BOY'S WARRIOR | TIME ON THE RUN | ULTRA CAMEO |
| WAR CODE | WHISKEY ALLEY | YOUR ANALYSIS |
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