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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Go Thunder Go (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mama Glows (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Back Nine (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Dominant Caitlin (6/1), 2 – Why Chris Why (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Daisy If You Do (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-6-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Starlit Sofi (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Very Cosmopolitan (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Cankton's Cowgirl (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Night Birdie (4/1), 1 – Klimt's Girl (9/2), 8 – Streaking (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Pops Reward (15/1), 7 – Ellll E (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-4-1-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-8-5-3-6-1-7 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mc Cougar (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – La Fee's Secret (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Tobin Lee (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Five Charlie (9/2), 5 – Ante Meridiem (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Preacher Man Sam (12/1), 4 – Time To Sing (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-6-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-4-7-6-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Winning Nation (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Sissy Sox (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Signdsealddeliverd (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Runaway Ruby (5/1), 5 – Shawnee (6/1), 1 – Victorian Secret (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Sweet Zip (10/1), 3 – Joyous Revenge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-6-4-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-6-2-1-4-5-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Just Good Cents (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Valina (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Miss Olive (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Ladyville (9/2), 5 – R F Army Issue (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Waubeek (10/1), 3 – Jessica's Tough (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-6-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-4-6-2-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 7 – Fast Jack (8/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Sprint Out Pass (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Vale (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Meroney (9/2), 8 – Jarvis Junction (10/1), 1 – Zavala (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Keepinitreal (15/1), 4 – Justa Streak (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-1-2-8-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-2-8-1-3-5-6-4 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 5 – Spankerboom (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Allen's Agenda (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Appealing Addie (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Esperanza's Spirit (6/1), 2 – Mo Sense (10/1), 3 – Red Eleanor (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tremont Tammy (12/1), 8 – Chasing After You (15/1), 7 – Free Drop Tabby (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-9-1-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-8-6-9-1-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Go Thunder Go (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mama Glows (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Back Nine (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Dominant Caitlin (6/1), 2 – Why Chris Why (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Daisy If You Do (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Starlit Sofi (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Very Cosmopolitan (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Klimt's Girl (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Night Birdie (4/1), 8 – Streaking (10/1), 3 – Cankton's Cowgirl (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Ellll E (15/1), 5 – Pops Reward (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-8-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-8-5-3-6-1-7 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – La Fee's Secret (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Mc Cougar (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Ante Meridiem (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Tobin Lee (4/1), 6 – Five Charlie (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Time To Sing (8/1), 3 – Preacher Man Sam (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-7-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-4-7-6-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Sissy Sox (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Winning Nation (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Signdsealddeliverd (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Shawnee (6/1), 4 – Runaway Ruby (5/1), 2 – Sweet Zip (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Victorian Secret (15/1), 3 – Joyous Revenge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-6-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-6-2-1-4-5-3 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Miss Olive (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Valina (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Ladyville (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Just Good Cents (3/1), 3 – Jessica's Tough (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Waubeek (10/1), 5 – R F Army Issue (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-4-6-2-3 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Vale (6/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Fast Jack (8/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Sprint Out Pass (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Meroney (9/2), 8 – Jarvis Junction (10/1), 3 – Keepinitreal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Zavala (12/1), 4 – Justa Streak (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-2-8-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-2-8-1-3-5-6-4 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Allen's Agenda (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Spankerboom (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Esperanza's Spirit (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Appealing Addie (5/1), 2 – Mo Sense (10/1), 3 – Red Eleanor (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tremont Tammy (12/1), 8 – Chasing After You (15/1), 7 – Free Drop Tabby (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-9-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-8-6-9-1-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Go Thunder Go (1/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Mama Glows (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Back Nine (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Dominant Caitlin (6/1), 2 – Why Chris Why (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Daisy If You Do (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Starlit Sofi (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Very Cosmopolitan (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Klimt's Girl (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Night Birdie (4/1), 8 – Streaking (10/1), 3 – Cankton's Cowgirl (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Ellll E (15/1), 5 – Pops Reward (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-8-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-8-5-3-6-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – La Fee's Secret (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Mc Cougar (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Ante Meridiem (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Tobin Lee (4/1), 6 – Five Charlie (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Time To Sing (8/1), 3 – Preacher Man Sam (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-7-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-4-7-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 7 – Winning Nation (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Sissy Sox (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Signdsealddeliverd (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Shawnee (6/1), 4 – Runaway Ruby (5/1), 2 – Sweet Zip (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Victorian Secret (15/1), 3 – Joyous Revenge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-6-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-6-2-1-4-5-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Miss Olive (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Valina (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Ladyville (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Just Good Cents (3/1), 3 – Jessica's Tough (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Waubeek (10/1), 5 – R F Army Issue (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-6-1-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-1-5-4-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Vale (6/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Fast Jack (8/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Sprint Out Pass (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Meroney (9/2), 8 – Jarvis Junction (10/1), 3 – Keepinitreal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Zavala (12/1), 4 – Justa Streak (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-2-8-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-2-8-1-3-5-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 4 – Allen's Agenda (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Spankerboom (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Esperanza's Spirit (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Appealing Addie (5/1), 2 – Mo Sense (10/1), 3 – Red Eleanor (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tremont Tammy (12/1), 8 – Chasing After You (15/1), 7 – Free Drop Tabby (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-9-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-2-8-6-9-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 5 | 8 – Streaking | 10/1 | 17.4% | +70.5% | 1.76% | $1.76 |
| 9 | 8 – Jarvis Junction | 10/1 | 17.4% | +70.5% | 1.76% | $1.76 |
| 10 | 8 – Chasing After You | 15/1 | 8.3% | +25.7% | 0.43% | $0.43 |
| 7 | 1 – Victorian Secret | 15/1 | 8.1% | +22.9% | 0.38% | $0.38 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 4.3% | $4.34 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALLEN'S AGENDA | ANTE MERIDIEM | APOLLITICAL TUCK | APPEALING ADDIE | BACK NINE |
| CANKTON'S COWGIRL | CHASING AFTER YOU | DAISY IF YOU DO | DASSAULT | DG FOLLIES KVN |
| DOCS BEST ROSE | DOMINANT CAITLIN | EAGLE ECLIPSE | EAGLE OF FIRE | EDBERG VERDE |
| ELLLL E | ESPERANZA'S SPIRIT | EYE WINSOM | FANCY FAST PRIZE | FAST DRAW |
| FAVORITE CONTESSA | FIVE CHARLIE | FRAULEIN | FREE DROP TABBY | FULL THROTTLE N 25 |
| JARVIS JUNCTION | JESS FLASH THE CASH | JESSICA'S TOUGH | JOYOUS REVENGE | JUST GOOD CENTS |
| KEEPINITREAL | KISS ME I AM FAMOUS | KLIMT'S GIRL | LA FEE'S SECRET | LADYVILLE |
| LIL SPECIAL WAGON | LONELY KAT HUNTER | MAMA GLOWS | MARGARETS COWBOY | MC COUGAR |
| MISS OLIVE | MO SENSE | NAUGHTY CUBAN COWBOY | NIGHT BIRDIE | NSM FLYING CORONA |
| POPS REWARD | PREACHER MAN SAM | R F ARMY ISSUE | RAIZEN KANE | RED ELEANOR |
| ROY HOBS | RR JESS A LEGACY | RUNAWAY RUBY | SHAWNEE | SIGNDSEALDDELIVERD |
| SMOKEN COWBOY JOE | SOUTHARD LEGEND | SPANKERBOOM | SPRINT OUT PASS | STARLIT SOFI |
| STREAKING | SWEET ZIP | SWIVELS | THE DULCE TACHA | THIS IZ MY TIME |
| TINY TEMPTRESS | TOBIN LEE | TREMONT TAMMY | VALE | VALINA |
| VICTORIAN SECRET | VIVA LE VENUS | WAUBEEK | WHITE SHOES WILLY | WHY CHRIS WHY |
| YES WAY | ZAVALA |
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