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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Allowance · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Accent (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Jadorlinija (6/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Scarlett's Halo (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Two Martini's (12/1), 5 – Candy Moonshine (8/1), 9 – Beira (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Lady River Lily (30/1), 6 – Majaz (3/1), 1 – Miss Nightfall (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-7-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-3-6-5-9-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Saintly Villain (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Ready Set Roll (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Eight Rose's (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Fourteen Roses (10/1), 5 – Tookenette (10/1), 6 – Rescue Dawn (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Norah Begorrah (5/1), 8 – Call Me (15/1), 9 – Jetsetter (12/1), 10 – Heirsuta (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-10-7-5-1-4-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $125,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sharp Swinger (4/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Little Thunder (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Gate To Wire (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Show Time (5/1), 1 – Two Eagles River (6/1), 5 – Perfect Force (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Twenty Four Mamba (8/1), 7 – Barb (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-8-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-6-5-2-7-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bakuto (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Sfumato (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Chris's Song (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Always Honest (8/1), 10 – Plan On It (4/1), 3 – Kings Landyn (8/1), 2 – Tampa Storm (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – True Adirondacker (30/1), 1 – Thundertaker (15/1), 8 – Taqueeto Jones (30/1), 7 – Klimt Master (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-11-2-6-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-11-3-5-10-7-8-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Just A Girl (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sesasi (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Episodic (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Red Beach (15/1), 5 – Glow Of A Rose (4/1), 6 – Miss Watermelon (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Guns Of Roses (6/1), 8 – Flying Hawley (15/1), 9 – Raging Vortex (8/1), 10 – Noble Glow (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-2-1-10-7-5-4-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Glen Airy (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Secured Landing (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Bernin Hot (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Metatron's Muse (6/1), 3 – Frizzante (5/1), 5 – Peek (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Castle Chaos (8/1), 6 – Three Technique (15/1), 4 – Late Call (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-9-8-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-5-6-9-4-3-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #9, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Roughkin (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Hullabaloo Ray Ray (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Louisiana Baby (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Damavand (3/1), 5 – Road To Ravello (20/1), 6 – Motawaali (8/1), 7 – Dargham (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – I'm America (10/1), 9 – Shahnameh (4/1), 10 – Bellissimo D'oro (8/1), 11 – Closing Surge (20/1), 12 – Hooked (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-6-4-10-12-3-1-9-8-2-7-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 1/8 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Siesta Key (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Debt Limit (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Urgency (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 13 – Leftembehind (3/1), 1 – English Law (8/1), 6 – Hammerhead (8/1), 11 – Hard Circle (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Rabaja (15/1), 9 – Outsource (6/1), 10 – Vintage Vino (12/1), 5 – High Beta (20/1), 14 – Neigh Baby (8/1), 8 – Printer's Alley (20/1), 12 – Hot Property (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-9-8-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-2-3-13-6-11-10-14-9-4-12-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #4, #13 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Seeker's Hope (2/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Korrongo (10/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Escapades (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Light Fantastic (3/1), 1 – Abrigado (10/1), 11 – Math Tutor (4/1), 8 – Ambassador Blue (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Sicilian Defense (15/1), 5 – Sea Vista (6/1), 6 – Global Prosperity (12/1), 3 – Utopian (8/1), 10 – Frostelle (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-4-2-9-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-1-2-7-4-3-6-9-11-8-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #9, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Scramjet (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Fullcup (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mindfield (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – D I Wire (8/1), 1 – Professor Plum (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Midnight Raider (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Place: | 11 – Talk To Me Jimmy (8/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Third Coast (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Glavine (5/1), 9 – Black Hornet (6/1), 7 – Siyouincanada (7/2), 6 – Doubting Thomas (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Chummers (9/2), 1 – Glorious Boy (20/1), 5 – Bull Shoals (20/1), 4 – Lyneham (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-1-10-11-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-11-6-7-8-2-3-5-1-9-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 12 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Ticket To Ride (6/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Daylight Dreamer (6/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Avery's Wonderland (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12 – Copper Caduceus (4/1), 14 – Luckbeourlady (8/1), 6 – Midtown Mischief (6/1), 5 – My Lil Army Girl (7/2), 10 – You Know Better (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 13 – Froghollowsummer (15/1), 9 – Adroit (20/1), 7 – Lively Pal (20/1), 15 – Midnight Blue (10/1), 11 – Quell (20/1), 8 – Sassy Sats (20/1), 4 – Bank On Bebe (50/1), 16 – Signal Chat (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 13-10-4-3-1-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-8-1-12-10-5-7-2-13-15-6-3-11-9-4-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #2, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Allowance · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Accent (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Jadorlinija (6/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Majaz (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Scarlett's Halo (6/1), 9 – Beira (3/1), 5 – Candy Moonshine (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Two Martini's (12/1), 1 – Miss Nightfall (5/2), 2 – Lady River Lily (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-3-6-5-9-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ready Set Roll (3/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Heirsuta (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Eight Rose's (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Norah Begorrah (5/1), 6 – Rescue Dawn (8/1), 1 – Saintly Villain (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Tookenette (10/1), 9 – Jetsetter (12/1), 4 – Fourteen Roses (10/1), 8 – Call Me (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-3-7-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-10-7-5-1-4-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $125,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Gate To Wire (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Sharp Swinger (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Little Thunder (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Show Time (5/1), 1 – Two Eagles River (6/1), 6 – Twenty Four Mamba (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Perfect Force (10/1), 7 – Barb (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-5-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-6-5-2-7-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sfumato (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Bakuto (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Chris's Song (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Always Honest (8/1), 3 – Kings Landyn (8/1), 10 – Plan On It (4/1), 2 – Tampa Storm (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Thundertaker (15/1), 9 – True Adirondacker (30/1), 8 – Taqueeto Jones (30/1), 7 – Klimt Master (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-11-5-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-11-3-5-10-7-8-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Noble Glow (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Glow Of A Rose (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss Watermelon (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Guns Of Roses (6/1), 1 – Just A Girl (6/1), 3 – Episodic (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Raging Vortex (8/1), 4 – Red Beach (15/1), 2 – Sesasi (12/1), 8 – Flying Hawley (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-5-7-1-3-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-2-1-10-7-5-4-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Secured Landing (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Glen Airy (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Bernin Hot (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Frizzante (5/1), 8 – Metatron's Muse (6/1), 7 – Castle Chaos (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Peek (12/1), 4 – Late Call (20/1), 6 – Three Technique (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-8-4-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-5-6-9-4-3-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Damavand (3/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Shahnameh (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Dargham (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Motawaali (8/1), 10 – Bellissimo D'oro (8/1), 8 – I'm America (10/1), 11 – Closing Surge (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Hullabaloo Ray Ray (10/1), 3 – Louisiana Baby (15/1), 12 – Hooked (20/1), 1 – Roughkin (15/1), 5 – Road To Ravello (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-9-7-6-10-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-6-4-10-12-3-1-9-8-2-7-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 1/8 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Debt Limit (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Siesta Key (5/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Outsource (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Hammerhead (8/1), 11 – Hard Circle (8/1), 4 – Urgency (6/1), 13 – Leftembehind (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – English Law (8/1), 10 – Vintage Vino (12/1), 14 – Neigh Baby (8/1), 7 – Rabaja (15/1), 5 – High Beta (20/1), 8 – Printer's Alley (20/1), 12 – Hot Property (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-9-8-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-2-3-13-6-11-10-14-9-4-12-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Seeker's Hope (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Escapades (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Light Fantastic (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sea Vista (6/1), 11 – Math Tutor (4/1), 8 – Ambassador Blue (9/2), 3 – Utopian (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Abrigado (10/1), 6 – Global Prosperity (12/1), 10 – Frostelle (20/1), 7 – Sicilian Defense (15/1), 9 – Korrongo (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-10-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-1-2-7-4-3-6-9-11-8-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Scramjet (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Fullcup (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mindfield (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – D I Wire (8/1), 1 – Professor Plum (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Midnight Raider (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Place: | 11 – Talk To Me Jimmy (8/5) |
| Show: | 7 – Siyouincanada (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Third Coast (5/1), 3 – Glavine (5/1), 8 – Chummers (9/2), 6 – Doubting Thomas (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Black Hornet (6/1), 5 – Bull Shoals (20/1), 1 – Glorious Boy (20/1), 4 – Lyneham (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-1-11-10-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-11-6-7-8-2-3-5-1-9-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 12 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Avery's Wonderland (5/1) |
| Place: | 12 – Copper Caduceus (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Daylight Dreamer (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – My Lil Army Girl (7/2), 1 – Ticket To Ride (6/1), 6 – Midtown Mischief (6/1), 14 – Luckbeourlady (8/1), 10 – You Know Better (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Lively Pal (20/1), 11 – Quell (20/1), 13 – Froghollowsummer (15/1), 9 – Adroit (20/1), 15 – Midnight Blue (10/1), 8 – Sassy Sats (20/1), 16 – Signal Chat (50/1), 4 – Bank On Bebe (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 13-4-10-3-1-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-8-1-12-10-5-7-2-13-15-6-3-11-9-4-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #12, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Allowance · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 7 – Accent (8/5) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -45% |
| Place: | 6 – Majaz (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -26% |
| Show: | 8 – Jadorlinija (6/5) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -81% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Miss Nightfall (5/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -62%, 4 – Scarlett's Halo (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -41%, 9 – Beira (3/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -76% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Candy Moonshine (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -47%, 3 – Two Martini's (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -48%, 2 – Lady River Lily (30/1) 1% · fair 155-2 underlay -61% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-3-6-5-9-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ready Set Roll (3/1) 17% · fair 9-2 underlay -36% |
| Place: | 10 – Heirsuta (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 3 – Eight Rose's (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Norah Begorrah (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -32%, 6 – Rescue Dawn (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2, 5 – Tookenette (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Saintly Villain (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 4 – Fourteen Roses (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -32%, 9 – Jetsetter (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -39%, 8 – Call Me (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -31% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-10-3-7-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-10-7-5-1-4-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $125,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sharp Swinger (4/1) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 2 – Gate To Wire (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 8 – Little Thunder (5/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -54% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Show Time (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -38%, 6 – Twenty Four Mamba (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 1 – Two Eagles River (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Perfect Force (10/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 7 – Barb (15/1) 6% · fair 17-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-7-4-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-6-5-2-7-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sfumato (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Bakuto (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35% |
| Show: | 5 – Chris's Song (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Plan On It (4/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -55%, 11 – Always Honest (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 2 – Tampa Storm (12/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 3 – Kings Landyn (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Thundertaker (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 9 – True Adirondacker (30/1) 3% · fair 59-2, 8 – Taqueeto Jones (30/1) 3% · fair 34-1, 7 – Klimt Master (50/1) 2% · fair 60-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-11-5-6-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-11-3-5-10-7-8-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Noble Glow (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Place: | 6 – Miss Watermelon (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -32% |
| Show: | 7 – Guns Of Roses (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Just A Girl (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -27%, 5 – Glow Of A Rose (4/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -53%, 9 – Raging Vortex (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -37% |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Episodic (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2, 2 – Sesasi (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 8 – Flying Hawley (15/1) 6% · fair 33-2, 4 – Red Beach (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -25% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-7-1-5-9-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-2-1-10-7-5-4-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #6, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Secured Landing (5/2) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -40% |
| Place: | 1 – Glen Airy (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -37% |
| Show: | 3 – Frizzante (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Bernin Hot (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1, 8 – Metatron's Muse (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 7 – Castle Chaos (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -26% |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Three Technique (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 5 – Peek (12/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -41%, 4 – Late Call (20/1) 4% · fair 24-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-8-4-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-5-6-9-4-3-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Damavand (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -38% |
| Place: | 9 – Shahnameh (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -29% |
| Show: | 6 – Motawaali (8/1) 13% · fair 7-1 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Dargham (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -39%, 10 – Bellissimo D'oro (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 2 – Hullabaloo Ray Ray (10/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -36%, 8 – I'm America (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -39% |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Louisiana Baby (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1, 1 – Roughkin (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1, 11 – Closing Surge (20/1) 5% · fair 18-1, 12 – Hooked (20/1) 4% · fair 45-2, 5 – Road To Ravello (20/1) 3% · fair 67-2 underlay -40% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-9-6-7-10-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-6-4-10-12-3-1-9-8-2-7-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 1/8 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Debt Limit (7/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -34% |
| Place: | 3 – Siesta Key (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Show: | 13 – Leftembehind (3/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -67% |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Outsource (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36%, 6 – Hammerhead (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -29%, 4 – Urgency (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%, 11 – Hard Circle (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -32% |
| Rest of field: | 14 – Neigh Baby (8/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -49%, 1 – English Law (8/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -54%, 10 – Vintage Vino (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -39%, 12 – Hot Property (20/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -31%, 7 – Rabaja (15/1) 3% · fair 63-2 underlay -53%, 8 – Printer's Alley (20/1) 3% · fair 73-2 underlay -45%, 5 – High Beta (20/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -56% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-8-9-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-2-3-13-6-11-10-14-9-4-12-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #13, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 12 – Seeker's Hope (2/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -58% |
| Place: | 2 – Light Fantastic (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -60% |
| Show: | 8 – Ambassador Blue (9/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -44% |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Math Tutor (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -51%, 4 – Escapades (7/2) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -59%, 5 – Sea Vista (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -39%, 3 – Utopian (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -45% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Abrigado (10/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -41%, 6 – Global Prosperity (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%, 9 – Korrongo (10/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -52%, 7 – Sicilian Defense (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -29%, 10 – Frostelle (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -34% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-10-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-1-2-7-4-3-6-9-11-8-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #2, #8, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Mindfield (5/2) 29% · fair 5-2 |
| Place: | 5 – Scramjet (9/5) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -47% |
| Show: | 2 – Fullcup (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -55% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Professor Plum (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2, 4 – D I Wire (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Midnight Raider (20/1) 4% · fair 53-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-1-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 10 – Chief Wallabee (4/5) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -79% |
| Place: | 7 – Siyouincanada (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% |
| Show: | 11 – Talk To Me Jimmy (8/5) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -76% |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Chummers (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -32%, 9 – Black Hornet (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -47%, 3 – Glavine (5/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -56%, 2 – Third Coast (5/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -65% |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Lyneham (4/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -76%, 6 – Doubting Thomas (8/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -53%, 5 – Bull Shoals (20/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -33%, 1 – Glorious Boy (20/1) 2% · fair 95-2 underlay -58% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-1-11-9-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-11-6-7-8-2-3-5-1-9-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #11, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 12 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Daylight Dreamer (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2 |
| Place: | 12 – Copper Caduceus (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46% |
| Show: | 5 – My Lil Army Girl (7/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -54% |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Avery's Wonderland (5/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -49%, 1 – Ticket To Ride (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -42%, 14 – Luckbeourlady (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28%, 6 – Midtown Mischief (6/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -56%, 10 – You Know Better (12/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -34% |
| Rest of field: | 15 – Midnight Blue (10/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -56%, 13 – Froghollowsummer (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -37%, 11 – Quell (20/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -32%, 7 – Lively Pal (20/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -33%, 8 – Sassy Sats (20/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -35%, 9 – Adroit (20/1) 2% · fair 39-1 underlay -49%, 16 – Signal Chat (50/1) 1% · fair 151-2 underlay -34%, 4 – Bank On Bebe (50/1) 1% · fair 339-2 underlay -70% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 13-4-10-3-15-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-8-1-12-10-5-7-2-13-15-6-3-11-9-4-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #12, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #8 over #7 ($1 straight; box #8-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #8, #6, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #8 ($1 straight; box #4-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #8, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #4 ($1 straight; box #6-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #4, #5, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #10 over #5 ($1 straight; box #10-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #4 over #9 ($1 straight; box #4-#9 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #3, #6, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #12 over #4 ($1 straight; box #12-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #12 over #2, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 10 | AI Exacta: #5 over #2 ($1 straight; box #5-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 11 | AI Exacta: #10 over #11 ($1 straight; box #10-#11 for cover) Trifecta: #11 over #10, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 12 | AI Exacta: #12 over #2 ($1 straight; box #12-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #12, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.40 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 11 | 5 – Bull Shoals | 20/1 | — | 7.5% | +60.7% | 0.76% | $0.76 |
| 12 | 7 – Lively Pal | 20/1 | — | 7.4% | +59.6% | 0.74% | $0.74 |
| 6 | 4 – Late Call | 20/1 | — | 6.7% | +43.6% | 0.55% | $0.55 |
| 12 | 9 – Adroit | 20/1 | — | 6.2% | +32.7% | 0.41% | $0.41 |
| 4 | 7 – Klimt Master | 50/1 | — | 2.5% | +29.2% | 0.15% | $0.15 |
| 12 | 16 – Signal Chat | 50/1 | — | 2.5% | +28.6% | 0.14% | $0.14 |
| 12 | 4 – Bank On Bebe | 50/1 | — | 2.4% | +21.4% | 0.11% | $0.11 |
| 11 | 1 – Glorious Boy | 20/1 | — | 5.7% | +20.2% | 0.25% | $0.25 |
| 12 | 11 – Quell | 20/1 | — | 5.6% | +18.2% | 0.23% | $0.23 |
| 12 | 10 – You Know Better | 12/1 | — | 9.0% | +17.5% | 0.36% | $0.36 |
| 8 | 10 – Vintage Vino | 12/1 | — | 8.5% | +11.5% | 0.24% | $0.24 |
| TOTAL across 11 plays: | 3.9% | $3.94 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Allowance · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 8 - Jadorlinija (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 - Accent (8/5) |
| Show: | 9 - Beira (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Scarlett's Halo (6/1), 6 - Majaz (3/1), 1 - Miss Nightfall (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Lady River Lily (30/1), 5 - Candy Moonshine (8/1), 3 - Two Martini's (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-8-7-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-3-6-5-9-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #9, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Saintly Villain (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Ready Set Roll (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Eight Rose's (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Fourteen Roses (10/1), 5 - Tookenette (10/1), 6 - Rescue Dawn (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Norah Begorrah (5/1), 8 - Call Me (15/1), 9 - Jetsetter (12/1), 10 - Heirsuta (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-10-7-5-1-4-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $125,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sharp Swinger (4/1) |
| Place: | 8 - Little Thunder (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Show Time (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Two Eagles River (6/1), 2 - Gate To Wire (7/2), 5 - Perfect Force (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Barb (15/1), 6 - Twenty Four Mamba (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-8-5-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-6-5-2-7-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sfumato (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 - Plan On It (4/1) |
| Show: | 11 - Always Honest (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Chris's Song (5/1), 6 - Bakuto (3/1), 3 - Kings Landyn (8/1), 2 - Tampa Storm (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Thundertaker (15/1), 9 - True Adirondacker (30/1), 8 - Taqueeto Jones (30/1), 7 - Klimt Master (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-5-10-2-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-11-3-5-10-7-8-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #10, #11, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Just A Girl (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Sesasi (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Episodic (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Red Beach (15/1), 5 - Glow Of A Rose (4/1), 6 - Miss Watermelon (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Guns Of Roses (6/1), 8 - Flying Hawley (15/1), 9 - Raging Vortex (8/1), 10 - Noble Glow (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-2-1-10-7-5-4-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Glen Airy (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Secured Landing (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Frizzante (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Metatron's Muse (6/1), 9 - Bernin Hot (6/1), 7 - Castle Chaos (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Late Call (20/1), 5 - Peek (12/1), 6 - Three Technique (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-8-9-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-5-6-9-4-3-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Roughkin (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Hullabaloo Ray Ray (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Louisiana Baby (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Damavand (3/1), 5 - Road To Ravello (20/1), 6 - Motawaali (8/1), 7 - Dargham (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - I'm America (10/1), 9 - Shahnameh (4/1), 10 - Bellissimo D'oro (8/1), 11 - Closing Surge (20/1), 12 - Hooked (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-6-4-10-12-3-1-9-8-2-7-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 1/8 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 13 - Leftembehind (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Debt Limit (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Siesta Key (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 14 - Neigh Baby (8/1), 6 - Hammerhead (8/1), 4 - Urgency (6/1), 9 - Outsource (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 - Hard Circle (8/1), 10 - Vintage Vino (12/1), 1 - English Law (8/1), 12 - Hot Property (20/1), 8 - Printer's Alley (20/1), 5 - High Beta (20/1), 7 - Rabaja (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-9-2-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-2-3-13-6-11-10-14-9-4-12-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #13 over #2, #3, #14 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 12 - Seeker's Hope (2/1) |
| Place: | 11 - Math Tutor (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Escapades (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Light Fantastic (3/1), 5 - Sea Vista (6/1), 9 - Korrongo (10/1), 8 - Ambassador Blue (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Utopian (8/1), 1 - Abrigado (10/1), 7 - Sicilian Defense (15/1), 10 - Frostelle (20/1), 6 - Global Prosperity (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 12-8-4-2-5-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-1-2-7-4-3-6-9-11-8-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #11, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - Scramjet (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 - Fullcup (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Mindfield (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - D I Wire (8/1), 1 - Professor Plum (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Midnight Raider (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 10 - Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Place: | 11 - Talk To Me Jimmy (8/5) |
| Show: | 7 - Siyouincanada (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Lyneham (4/1), 2 - Third Coast (5/1), 9 - Black Hornet (6/1), 8 - Chummers (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Glavine (5/1), 6 - Doubting Thomas (8/1), 5 - Bull Shoals (20/1), 1 - Glorious Boy (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-10-6-11-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-11-6-7-8-2-3-5-1-9-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 12 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Avery's Wonderland (5/1) |
| Place: | 10 - You Know Better (12/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Ticket To Ride (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Daylight Dreamer (6/1), 12 - Copper Caduceus (4/1), 5 - My Lil Army Girl (7/2), 15 - Midnight Blue (10/1), 6 - Midtown Mischief (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 13 - Froghollowsummer (15/1), 14 - Luckbeourlady (8/1), 7 - Lively Pal (20/1), 9 - Adroit (20/1), 8 - Sassy Sats (20/1), 11 - Quell (20/1), 16 - Signal Chat (50/1), 4 - Bank On Bebe (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-13-4-3-1-15 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-8-1-12-10-5-7-2-13-15-6-3-11-9-4-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #10, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Allowance · Purse $120,000 | |
| Win: | 7 - Accent (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 - Jadorlinija (6/5) |
| Show: | 6 - Majaz (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 - Beira (3/1), 4 - Scarlett's Halo (6/1), 3 - Two Martini's (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Candy Moonshine (8/1), 2 - Lady River Lily (30/1), 1 - Miss Nightfall (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-7-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-3-6-5-9-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #6, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Saintly Villain (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Ready Set Roll (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Eight Rose's (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Fourteen Roses (10/1), 5 - Tookenette (10/1), 6 - Rescue Dawn (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Norah Begorrah (5/1), 8 - Call Me (15/1), 9 - Jetsetter (12/1), 10 - Heirsuta (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-10-7-5-1-4-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $125,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sharp Swinger (4/1) |
| Place: | 8 - Little Thunder (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Show Time (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Two Eagles River (6/1), 2 - Gate To Wire (7/2), 6 - Twenty Four Mamba (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Perfect Force (10/1), 7 - Barb (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-2-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-8-6-5-2-7-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $50,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Bakuto (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 - Sfumato (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Chris's Song (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Always Honest (8/1), 3 - Kings Landyn (8/1), 2 - Tampa Storm (12/1), 10 - Plan On It (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Thundertaker (15/1), 9 - True Adirondacker (30/1), 7 - Klimt Master (50/1), 8 - Taqueeto Jones (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-11-2-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-11-3-5-10-7-8-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #5, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Just A Girl (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Sesasi (12/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Episodic (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Red Beach (15/1), 5 - Glow Of A Rose (4/1), 6 - Miss Watermelon (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Guns Of Roses (6/1), 8 - Flying Hawley (15/1), 9 - Raging Vortex (8/1), 10 - Noble Glow (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-2-1-10-7-5-4-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Secured Landing (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Glen Airy (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 - Bernin Hot (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Frizzante (5/1), 8 - Metatron's Muse (6/1), 5 - Peek (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Castle Chaos (8/1), 6 - Three Technique (15/1), 4 - Late Call (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-9-8-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-7-5-6-9-4-3-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $115,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Roughkin (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Hullabaloo Ray Ray (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Louisiana Baby (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Damavand (3/1), 5 - Road To Ravello (20/1), 6 - Motawaali (8/1), 7 - Dargham (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - I'm America (10/1), 9 - Shahnameh (4/1), 10 - Bellissimo D'oro (8/1), 11 - Closing Surge (20/1), 12 - Hooked (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-6-4-10-12-3-1-9-8-2-7-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 1 1/8 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Debt Limit (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Siesta Key (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Hammerhead (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Hard Circle (8/1), 13 - Leftembehind (3/1), 4 - Urgency (6/1), 1 - English Law (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 - Outsource (6/1), 10 - Vintage Vino (12/1), 14 - Neigh Baby (8/1), 7 - Rabaja (15/1), 5 - High Beta (20/1), 8 - Printer's Alley (20/1), 12 - Hot Property (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-2-9-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-2-3-13-6-11-10-14-9-4-12-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $78,000 | |
| Win: | 12 - Seeker's Hope (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Light Fantastic (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 - Escapades (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 11 - Math Tutor (4/1), 1 - Abrigado (10/1), 5 - Sea Vista (6/1), 8 - Ambassador Blue (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Sicilian Defense (15/1), 6 - Global Prosperity (12/1), 3 - Utopian (8/1), 9 - Korrongo (10/1), 10 - Frostelle (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-4-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 12-1-2-7-4-3-6-9-11-8-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #2, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - Scramjet (9/5) |
| Place: | 2 - Fullcup (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Mindfield (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - D I Wire (8/1), 1 - Professor Plum (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Midnight Raider (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 11 - Talk To Me Jimmy (8/5) |
| Place: | 10 - Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Show: | 7 - Siyouincanada (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Third Coast (5/1), 3 - Glavine (5/1), 6 - Doubting Thomas (8/1), 9 - Black Hornet (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Chummers (9/2), 5 - Bull Shoals (20/1), 1 - Glorious Boy (20/1), 4 - Lyneham (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-11-10-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-11-6-7-8-2-3-5-1-9-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #10, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 12 5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $56,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Avery's Wonderland (5/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Ticket To Ride (6/1) |
| Show: | 12 - Copper Caduceus (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Midtown Mischief (6/1), 3 - Daylight Dreamer (6/1), 5 - My Lil Army Girl (7/2), 14 - Luckbeourlady (8/1), 10 - You Know Better (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 - Adroit (20/1), 15 - Midnight Blue (10/1), 13 - Froghollowsummer (15/1), 7 - Lively Pal (20/1), 8 - Sassy Sats (20/1), 11 - Quell (20/1), 4 - Bank On Bebe (50/1), 16 - Signal Chat (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 13-10-3-4-1-14 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-8-1-12-10-5-7-2-13-15-6-3-11-9-4-16 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #12, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #7,#6,#8 (59%) / R2: #2,#10,#3 (46%) / R3: #4,#2,#8 (54%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #4,#2,#8 (54%) / R4: #4,#6,#5 (50%) / R5: #10,#6,#7 (48%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| Pick 3 R9-11 | R9: #12,#2,#8 (40%) / R10: #3,#5,#2 (70%) / R11: #10,#7,#11 (47%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| Pick 3 R10-12 | R10: #3,#5,#2 (70%) / R11: #10,#7,#11 (47%) / R12: #3,#12,#5 (39%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #7,#6,#8 (59%) / R2: #2,#10,#3 (46%) / R3: #4,#2,#8 (54%) / R4: #4,#6,#5 (50%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 7% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #4,#2,#8 (54%) / R4: #4,#6,#5 (50%) / R5: #10,#6,#7 (48%) / R6: #2,#1,#3 (52%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 7% |
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ABRIGADO | ACCENT | ADROIT | ALWAYS HONEST | AMBASSADOR BLUE |
| BAKUTO | BANK ON BEBE | BARB | BEIRA | BELLISSIMO D'ORO |
| BLACK HORNET | BULL SHOALS | CALL ME | CANDY MOONSHINE | CASTLE CHAOS |
| CHRIS'S SONG | CHUMMERS | CLOSING SURGE | COPPER CADUCEUS | D I WIRE |
| DARGHAM | DAYLIGHT DREAMER | DEBT LIMIT | DOUBTING THOMAS | EIGHT ROSE'S |
| EPISODIC | ESCAPADES | FLYING HAWLEY | FOURTEEN ROSES | FRIZZANTE |
| FROSTELLE | FULLCUP | GATE TO WIRE | GLAVINE | GLEN AIRY |
| GLORIOUS BOY | GLOW OF A ROSE | GUNS OF ROSES | HAMMERHEAD | HARD CIRCLE |
| HIGH BETA | HOOKED | HOT PROPERTY | HULLABALOO RAY RAY | I'M AMERICA |
| JETSETTER | JUST A GIRL | KINGS LANDYN | KLIMT MASTER | KORRONGO |
| LATE CALL | LEFTEMBEHIND | LIGHT FANTASTIC | LITTLE THUNDER | LIVELY PAL |
| LUCKBEOURLADY | LYNEHAM | MAJAZ | MATH TUTOR | METATRON'S MUSE |
| MIDNIGHT RAIDER | MIDTOWN MISCHIEF | MINDFIELD | MISS NIGHTFALL | MISS WATERMELON |
| MY LIL ARMY GIRL | NEIGH BABY | NOBLE GLOW | NORAH BEGORRAH | OUTSOURCE |
| PERFECT FORCE | PLAN ON IT | PRINTER'S ALLEY | PROFESSOR PLUM | QUELL |
| RAGING VORTEX | READY SET ROLL | RED BEACH | RESCUE DAWN | ROAD TO RAVELLO |
| SAINTLY VILLAIN | SASSY SATS | SCARLETT'S HALO | SCRAMJET | SEA VISTA |
| SEEKER'S HOPE | SESASI | SFUMATO | SHAHNAMEH | SHARP SWINGER |
| SICILIAN DEFENSE | SIESTA KEY | SIGNAL CHAT | SIYOUINCANADA | TALK TO ME JIMMY |
| TAQUEETO JONES | THIRD COAST | THREE TECHNIQUE | THUNDERTAKER | TICKET TO RIDE |
| TRUE ADIRONDACKER | TWENTY FOUR MAMBA | TWO EAGLES RIVER | TWO MARTINI'S | URGENCY |
| VINTAGE VINO | YOU KNOW BETTER |
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