Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Thistledown October 3, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

Pick Pony’s AI picks work best when used alongside our Past Performance reports to boost your handicapping. You may purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription programs. Read more about Pick Pony’s Past Performance reports here.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Hip Hip Hooray (5/2)🥇
Place: 3 – Mr Loooch (2/1)🥉
Show: 4 – Reckless L J (6/1)🥈
Other contenders: 2 – Ghost Of Londyn (8/1), 1 – Knock Wood (5/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Poncho Jac (5/2)🥇
Place: 2 – Mo Mo Lightning (8/1)
Show: 3 – Beat The Buzzer (5/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Lucky For Life (8/1)🥉, 5 – Unbridled O’Brien (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Ron Dah Lou (8/5)🥈
Place: 4 – Over The Falls (5/1)
Show: 3 – Greek Boutique (9/5)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Lil Red Beaudette (6/5)🥇
Place: 2 – Ten Reflect (8/1)
Show: 1 – Runningonhighlevel (7/2)🥉
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – She’S So Sexy (2/1)🥈
Place: 4 – Honduras Passion (5/2)🥉
Show: 2 – Solo Surprise (5/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Pearl Magic (8/1), 1 – Khali J (8/1)🥇
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Kissing Medals (8/1)
Place: 5 – Amy’S Star (8/5)🥇
Show: 1 – Mobil Lady (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Pride And Attitude (8/5)🥇
Place: 3 – Elopedatthederby (9/5)🥈
Show: 4 – Gabadost (2/1)🥉
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – So Dialed In (5/2)
Place: 1 – Poppy’S Pride (3/1)🥉
Show: 5 – Auger (2/1)🥈
Other contenders: 4 – Morethanreadyeddie (8/1)🥇, 3 – Sailingtheislands (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Hip Hip Hooray (5/2)
Place: 3 – Mr Loooch (2/1)
Show: 4 – Reckless L J (6/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Knock Wood (5/1), 2 – Ghost Of Londyn (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Poncho Jac (5/2)
Place: 2 – Mo Mo Lightning (8/1)
Show: 3 – Beat The Buzzer (5/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Lucky For Life (8/1), 5 – Unbridled O’Brien (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Ron Dah Lou (8/5)
Place: 4 – Over The Falls (5/1)
Show: 2 – Cowgirltakemeaway (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Lil Red Beaudette (6/5)
Place: 2 – Ten Reflect (8/1)
Show: 1 – Runningonhighlevel (7/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – She’S So Sexy (2/1)
Place: 4 – Honduras Passion (5/2)
Show: 5 – Pearl Magic (8/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Solo Surprise (5/1), 1 – Khali J (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Kissing Medals (8/1)
Place: 5 – Amy’S Star (8/5)
Show: 1 – Mobil Lady (6/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Pride And Attitude (8/5)
Place: 3 – Elopedatthederby (9/5)
Show: 4 – Gabadost (2/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – So Dialed In (5/2)
Place: 1 – Poppy’S Pride (3/1)
Show: 5 – Auger (2/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Morethanreadyeddie (8/1), 2 – Patriarchal (9/2)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 5 – Hip Hip Hooray (5/2)
Place: 3 – Mr Loooch (2/1)
Show: 4 – Reckless L J (6/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Knock Wood (5/1), 2 – Ghost Of Londyn (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 1 – Poncho Jac (5/2)
Place: 2 – Mo Mo Lightning (8/1)
Show: 3 – Beat The Buzzer (5/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Lucky For Life (8/1), 5 – Unbridled O’Brien (15/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 5 – Ron Dah Lou (8/5)
Place: 4 – Over The Falls (5/1)
Show: 2 – Cowgirltakemeaway (4/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 3 – Lil Red Beaudette (6/5)
Place: 2 – Ten Reflect (8/1)
Show: 1 – Runningonhighlevel (7/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 3 – She’S So Sexy (2/1)
Place: 4 – Honduras Passion (5/2)
Show: 2 – Solo Surprise (5/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Pearl Magic (8/1), 1 – Khali J (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 2 – Kissing Medals (8/1)
Place: 5 – Amy’S Star (8/5)
Show: 4 – Quick Rendezvous (3/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 2 – Pride And Attitude (8/5)
Place: 3 – Elopedatthederby (9/5)
Show: 4 – Gabadost (2/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 6 – So Dialed In (5/2)
Place: 1 – Poppy’S Pride (3/1)
Show: 5 – Auger (2/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Morethanreadyeddie (8/1), 3 – Sailingtheislands (10/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

AMY’S STAR AUGER AZTEC MELODY BEAT THE BUZZER COMMISSIONER D
DREAMINGABOUTTIME ELOPEDATTHEDERBY GABADOST GHOST OF LONDYN GREEK BOUTIQUE
HONDURAS PASSION KHALI J KISSING MEDALS KNOCK WOOD LEAVETHENINETYNINE
LUCKY FOR LIFE MO MO LIGHTNING MOBIL LADY MORETHANREADYEDDIE MR LOOOCH
MYSTICAL MOBIL OVER THE FALLS PATRIARCHAL PEARL MAGIC PONCHO JAC
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE PRINCESS EM QUICK RENDEZVOUS RECKLESS L J RON DAH LOU
SAILINGTHEISLANDS SHE’S SO SEXY SO DIALED IN SOLO SURPRISE STRIKE BREAKER
TOP FROST UNBRIDLED O’BRIEN WELLOILEDCAT

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