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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Zia Park, November 10, 2026

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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Hurricane Saylor (2/1)
Place:1Vegas Love (5/2)
Show:4Whimsical Heir (9/2)
Other contenders:6Maga Kai (3/1), 2Paarl (6/1)
Rest of field:3Collected Glory (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 516423
🎯 Longshots: 516423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
◆ Strong spot — an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Dream Money (8/5)
Place:6Sheza Goin Comfort (5/1)
Show:4Marquis Lights (7/2)
Other contenders:3American Cherub (4/1), 2Silver Abstract (15/1)
Rest of field:1Pretty Peppy (8/1), 7Casual Encounter (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 546312
🎯 Longshots: 5463271
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $52,500
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Misinformation (2/1)
Place:5Promissione (4/1)
Show:1Unrivaled Hero (3/1)
Other contenders:4Bill (5/1), 2Kawazaki (6/1)
Rest of field:3Mcthanks (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 651423
🎯 Longshots: 651342
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Alma's Grace (5/2)
Place:1Game Of Shance (3/1)
Show:5Miss Petty Cash (10/1)
Other contenders:4Copper Vixen (8/1), 6Leading You On (6/1)
Rest of field:3Take Tres (20/1), 7Getluckyinkentucky (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 215643
🎯 Longshots: 2154367
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $55,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Sunset Sizzle (5/2)
Place:5Alexandra Elaine (7/2)
Show:3Lucky Vegas (5/1)
Other contenders:1Lamorna Inn (9/2), 6Ready To Dial (2/1)
Rest of field:2Candyscape (4/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 456312
🎯 Longshots: 453162
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Cash Waterfall (5/2)
Place:5Exit Strategy (9/5)
Show:4American Century (4/1)
Other contenders:2Another Runaway (9/2), 3Onwithit (5/1)
Rest of field:1Tumbleweed (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 654231
🎯 Longshots: 652431
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $63,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Mcdude (9/5)
Place:4Getaway Car (4/1)
Show:1Twenty One Skidoo (5/1)
Other contenders:6Fire Breather (2/1), 5Tiburon (3/1)
Rest of field:3Carl Erskine (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 246153
🎯 Longshots: 246153
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,500
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Clever Clover (6/5)
Place:6Campfire Creed (4/1)
Show:5Fleetridge (5/2)
Other contenders:7Midnight Boss (5/1), 1Always On Cay (10/1)
Rest of field:4Magical Mark (15/1), 2Halo Rando (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 365712
🎯 Longshots: 3615472
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $55,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Smokeintheair (3/1)
Place:2Millbo Baggins (9/5)
Show:6El Chino Vaca (9/2)
Other contenders:4Never Catch Me (6/1), 5Dormello's Legacy (6/1)
Rest of field:1Pevs Distant Drum (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 236451
🎯 Longshots: 236145
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
◇ Thin spot — race 9 or later: the AI Ensemble has not beaten the morning-line favourite this late on the card. Treat with less confidence.
Win:9Songcat (7/5)
Place:5Bitcoin Buy (3/1)
Show:4Thatsaterriblidea (4/1)
Other contenders:3Sirrah (5/1), 6Who Said It's Easy (8/1), 1Pass The Test (15/1)
Rest of field:8Latigo N Lace (8/1), 7Shenanigans Storm (10/1), 2Bonified Wildcat (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 954361
🎯 Longshots: 956147832
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:1Vegas Love (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:5Hurricane Saylor (2/1) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -36%
Show:4Whimsical Heir (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:6Maga Kai (3/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -48%, 2Paarl (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1
Rest of field:3Collected Glory (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Vegas Love — 24.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Vegas Love24.8% ◀Hurricane Saylor — 24.3% win probability, morning line 2/1Hurricane Saylor24.3%Whimsical Heir — 16.0% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Whimsical Heir16.0%Maga Kai — 14.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Maga Kai14.7%Paarl — 12.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Paarl12.6%Collected Glory — 7.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Collected Glory7.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Vegas Love24.8%2.5/1
Hurricane Saylor24.3%2/1
Whimsical Heir16.0%4.5/1
Maga Kai14.7%3/1
Paarl12.6%6/1
Collected Glory7.7%6/1
🌧️ Off-track: 516423
🎯 Longshots: 516423
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:5Dream Money (8/5) 35% · fair 2-1
Place:6Sheza Goin Comfort (5/1) 21% · fair 7-2 overlay +34%
Show:4Marquis Lights (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -32%
Other contenders:3American Cherub (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -30%, 1Pretty Peppy (8/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -58%
Rest of field:2Silver Abstract (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -37%, 7Casual Encounter (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -26%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Dream Money — 35.1% win probability, morning line 1.6/1Dream Money35.1% ◀Sheza Goin Comfort — 21.1% win probability, morning line 5/1Sheza Goin Comfort21.1%Marquis Lights — 16.3% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Marquis Lights16.3%American Cherub — 15.0% win probability, morning line 4/1American Cherub15.0%Pretty Peppy — 5.0% win probability, morning line 8/1Pretty Peppy5.0%Silver Abstract — 4.0% win probability, morning line 15/1Silver Abstract4.0%Casual Encounter — 3.6% win probability, morning line 20/1Casual Encounter3.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Dream Money35.1%1.6/1
Sheza Goin Comfort21.1%5/1
Marquis Lights16.3%3.5/1
American Cherub15.0%4/1
Pretty Peppy5.0%8/1
Silver Abstract4.0%15/1
Casual Encounter3.6%20/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherDream Money: model 35.1% vs market 32.2% (+2.9 points)Dream Money+2.9Sheza Goin Comfort: model 21.1% vs market 14.0% (+7.2 points)Sheza Goin Comfort+7.2Marquis Lights: model 16.3% vs market 18.6% (-2.3 points)Marquis Lights-2.3American Cherub: model 15.0% vs market 16.7% (-1.8 points)American Cherub-1.8Pretty Peppy: model 5.0% vs market 9.3% (-4.3 points)Pretty Peppy-4.3Silver Abstract: model 4.0% vs market 5.2% (-1.2 points)Silver Abstract-1.2Casual Encounter: model 3.6% vs market 4.0% (-0.4 points)Casual Encounter-0.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Dream Money35.1%32.2%+2.9
Sheza Goin Comfort21.1%14.0%+7.2
Marquis Lights16.3%18.6%-2.3
American Cherub15.0%16.7%-1.8
Pretty Peppy5.0%9.3%-4.3
Silver Abstract4.0%5.2%-1.2
Casual Encounter3.6%4.0%-0.4
🌧️ Off-track: 546312
🎯 Longshots: 5463271
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $52,500
Win:6Misinformation (2/1) 44% · fair 3-2 overlay +55%
Place:5Promissione (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Show:1Unrivaled Hero (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -59%
Other contenders:4Bill (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -35%, 2Kawazaki (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%
Rest of field:3Mcthanks (8/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -56%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Misinformation — 43.6% win probability, morning line 2/1Misinformation43.6% ◀Promissione — 19.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Promissione19.7%Unrivaled Hero — 12.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Unrivaled Hero12.1%Bill — 11.5% win probability, morning line 5/1Bill11.5%Kawazaki — 7.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Kawazaki7.9%Mcthanks — 5.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Mcthanks5.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Misinformation43.6%2/1
Promissione19.7%4/1
Unrivaled Hero12.1%3/1
Bill11.5%5/1
Kawazaki7.9%6/1
Mcthanks5.2%8/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMisinformation: model 43.6% vs market 27.7% (+15.9 points)Misinformation+15.9Promissione: model 19.7% vs market 16.6% (+3.1 points)Promissione+3.1Unrivaled Hero: model 12.1% vs market 20.8% (-8.7 points)Unrivaled Hero-8.7Bill: model 11.5% vs market 13.8% (-2.3 points)Bill-2.3Kawazaki: model 7.9% vs market 11.9% (-3.9 points)Kawazaki-3.9Mcthanks: model 5.2% vs market 9.2% (-4.1 points)Mcthanks-4.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Misinformation43.6%27.7%+15.9
Promissione19.7%16.6%+3.1
Unrivaled Hero12.1%20.8%-8.7
Bill11.5%13.8%-2.3
Kawazaki7.9%11.9%-3.9
Mcthanks5.2%9.2%-4.1
🌧️ Off-track: 651423
🎯 Longshots: 651342
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:1Game Of Shance (3/1) 28% · fair 5-2
Place:2Alma's Grace (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1
Show:5Miss Petty Cash (10/1) 17% · fair 5-1 overlay +99%
Other contenders:6Leading You On (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -44%, 4Copper Vixen (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -30%
Rest of field:3Take Tres (20/1) 8% · fair 23-2 overlay +73%, 7Getluckyinkentucky (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Game Of Shance — 28.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Game Of Shance28.3% ◀Alma'S Grace — 25.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Alma'S Grace25.5%Miss Petty Cash — 16.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Miss Petty Cash16.6%Leading You On — 8.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Leading You On8.6%Copper Vixen — 8.1% win probability, morning line 8/1Copper Vixen8.1%Take Tres — 8.0% win probability, morning line 20/1Take Tres8.0%Getluckyinkentucky — 5.0% win probability, morning line 15/1Getluckyinkentucky5.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Game Of Shance28.3%3/1
Alma'S Grace25.5%2.5/1
Miss Petty Cash16.6%10/1
Leading You On8.6%6/1
Copper Vixen8.1%8/1
Take Tres8.0%20/1
Getluckyinkentucky5.0%15/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherGame Of Shance: model 28.3% vs market 25.2% (+3.1 points)Game Of Shance+3.1Alma'S Grace: model 25.5% vs market 28.8% (-3.4 points)Alma'S Grace-3.4Miss Petty Cash: model 16.6% vs market 9.2% (+7.4 points)Miss Petty Cash+7.4Leading You On: model 8.6% vs market 14.4% (-5.9 points)Leading You On-5.9Copper Vixen: model 8.1% vs market 11.2% (-3.1 points)Copper Vixen-3.1Take Tres: model 8.0% vs market 4.8% (+3.2 points)Take Tres+3.2Getluckyinkentucky: model 5.0% vs market 6.3% (-1.3 points)Getluckyinkentucky-1.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Game Of Shance28.3%25.2%+3.1
Alma'S Grace25.5%28.8%-3.4
Miss Petty Cash16.6%9.2%+7.4
Leading You On8.6%14.4%-5.9
Copper Vixen8.1%11.2%-3.1
Take Tres8.0%4.8%+3.2
Getluckyinkentucky5.0%6.3%-1.3
🌧️ Off-track: 125647
🎯 Longshots: 2154367
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $55,000
Win:4Sunset Sizzle (5/2) 31% · fair 2-1
Place:5Alexandra Elaine (7/2) 28% · fair 5-2 overlay +38%
Show:3Lucky Vegas (5/1) 15% · fair 6-1
Other contenders:1Lamorna Inn (9/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -43%, 6Ready To Dial (2/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -82%
Rest of field:2Candyscape (4/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -73%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Sunset Sizzle — 31.3% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sunset Sizzle31.3% ◀Alexandra Elaine — 28.3% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Alexandra Elaine28.3%Lucky Vegas — 14.5% win probability, morning line 5/1Lucky Vegas14.5%Lamorna Inn — 11.2% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Lamorna Inn11.2%Ready To Dial — 8.4% win probability, morning line 2/1Ready To Dial8.4%Candyscape — 6.3% win probability, morning line 4/1Candyscape6.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Sunset Sizzle31.3%2.5/1
Alexandra Elaine28.3%3.5/1
Lucky Vegas14.5%5/1
Lamorna Inn11.2%4.5/1
Ready To Dial8.4%2/1
Candyscape6.3%4/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSunset Sizzle: model 31.3% vs market 20.6% (+10.7 points)Sunset Sizzle+10.7Alexandra Elaine: model 28.3% vs market 16.0% (+12.3 points)Alexandra Elaine+12.3Lucky Vegas: model 14.5% vs market 12.0% (+2.5 points)Lucky Vegas+2.5Lamorna Inn: model 11.2% vs market 13.1% (-1.9 points)Lamorna Inn-1.9Ready To Dial: model 8.4% vs market 24.0% (-15.6 points)Ready To Dial-15.6Candyscape: model 6.3% vs market 14.4% (-8.1 points)Candyscape-8.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Sunset Sizzle31.3%20.6%+10.7
Alexandra Elaine28.3%16.0%+12.3
Lucky Vegas14.5%12.0%+2.5
Lamorna Inn11.2%13.1%-1.9
Ready To Dial8.4%24.0%-15.6
Candyscape6.3%14.4%-8.1
🌧️ Off-track: 456312
🎯 Longshots: 453162
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:6Cash Waterfall (5/2) 41% · fair 3-2 overlay +75%
Place:5Exit Strategy (9/5) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -46%
Show:4American Century (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -46%
Other contenders:3Onwithit (5/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -53%, 2Another Runaway (9/2) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -61%
Rest of field:1Tumbleweed (6/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -53%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Cash Waterfall — 41.2% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Cash Waterfall41.2% ◀Exit Strategy — 23.1% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Exit Strategy23.1%American Century — 11.9% win probability, morning line 4/1American Century11.9%Onwithit — 8.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Onwithit8.6%Another Runaway — 7.9% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Another Runaway7.9%Tumbleweed — 7.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Tumbleweed7.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Cash Waterfall41.2%2.5/1
Exit Strategy23.1%1.8/1
American Century11.9%4/1
Onwithit8.6%5/1
Another Runaway7.9%4.5/1
Tumbleweed7.2%6/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCash Waterfall: model 41.2% vs market 21.4% (+19.8 points)Cash Waterfall+19.8Exit Strategy: model 23.1% vs market 26.8% (-3.7 points)Exit Strategy-3.7American Century: model 11.9% vs market 15.0% (-3.0 points)American Century-3.0Onwithit: model 8.6% vs market 12.5% (-3.9 points)Onwithit-3.9Another Runaway: model 7.9% vs market 13.6% (-5.7 points)Another Runaway-5.7Tumbleweed: model 7.2% vs market 10.7% (-3.5 points)Tumbleweed-3.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Cash Waterfall41.2%21.4%+19.8
Exit Strategy23.1%26.8%-3.7
American Century11.9%15.0%-3.0
Onwithit8.6%12.5%-3.9
Another Runaway7.9%13.6%-5.7
Tumbleweed7.2%10.7%-3.5
🌧️ Off-track: 654231
🎯 Longshots: 652431
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:2Mcdude (9/5) 32% · fair 2-1
Place:4Getaway Car (4/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:1Twenty One Skidoo (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:6Fire Breather (2/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -74%, 5Tiburon (3/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -69%
Rest of field:3Carl Erskine (9/2) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -66%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mcdude — 32.0% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Mcdude32.0% ◀Getaway Car — 22.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Getaway Car22.4%Twenty One Skidoo — 17.8% win probability, morning line 5/1Twenty One Skidoo17.8%Fire Breather — 11.5% win probability, morning line 2/1Fire Breather11.5%Tiburon — 9.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Tiburon9.3%Carl Erskine — 7.0% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Carl Erskine7.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mcdude32.0%1.8/1
Getaway Car22.4%4/1
Twenty One Skidoo17.8%5/1
Fire Breather11.5%2/1
Tiburon9.3%3/1
Carl Erskine7.0%4.5/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMcdude: model 32.0% vs market 24.0% (+8.0 points)Mcdude+8.0Getaway Car: model 22.4% vs market 13.4% (+9.0 points)Getaway Car+9.0Twenty One Skidoo: model 17.8% vs market 11.2% (+6.6 points)Twenty One Skidoo+6.6Fire Breather: model 11.5% vs market 22.4% (-10.9 points)Fire Breather-10.9Tiburon: model 9.3% vs market 16.8% (-7.5 points)Tiburon-7.5Carl Erskine: model 7.0% vs market 12.2% (-5.2 points)Carl Erskine-5.2

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Mcdude32.0%24.0%+8.0
Getaway Car22.4%13.4%+9.0
Twenty One Skidoo17.8%11.2%+6.6
Fire Breather11.5%22.4%-10.9
Tiburon9.3%16.8%-7.5
Carl Erskine7.0%12.2%-5.2
🌧️ Off-track: 246153
🎯 Longshots: 246153
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,500
Win:3Clever Clover (6/5) 33% · fair 2-1 underlay -40%
Place:6Campfire Creed (4/1) 27% · fair 5-2 overlay +47%
Show:5Fleetridge (5/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -66%
Other contenders:7Midnight Boss (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -37%, 1Always On Cay (10/1) 8% · fair 25-2
Rest of field:4Magical Mark (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2, 2Halo Rando (8/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -69%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Clever Clover — 33.4% win probability, morning line 1.2/1Clever Clover33.4% ◀Campfire Creed — 26.9% win probability, morning line 4/1Campfire Creed26.9%Fleetridge — 12.0% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Fleetridge12.0%Midnight Boss — 11.1% win probability, morning line 5/1Midnight Boss11.1%Always On Cay — 7.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Always On Cay7.5%Magical Mark — 5.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Magical Mark5.3%Halo Rando — 3.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Halo Rando3.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Clever Clover33.4%1.2/1
Campfire Creed26.9%4/1
Fleetridge12.0%2.5/1
Midnight Boss11.1%5/1
Always On Cay7.5%10/1
Magical Mark5.3%15/1
Halo Rando3.7%8/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherClever Clover: model 33.4% vs market 33.1% (+0.3 points)Clever Clover+0.3Campfire Creed: model 26.9% vs market 14.6% (+12.3 points)Campfire Creed+12.3Fleetridge: model 12.0% vs market 20.8% (-8.9 points)Fleetridge-8.9Midnight Boss: model 11.1% vs market 12.2% (-1.0 points)Midnight Boss-1.0Always On Cay: model 7.5% vs market 6.6% (+0.9 points)Always On Cay+0.9Magical Mark: model 5.3% vs market 4.6% (+0.8 points)Magical Mark+0.8Halo Rando: model 3.7% vs market 8.1% (-4.4 points)Halo Rando-4.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Clever Clover33.4%33.1%+0.3
Campfire Creed26.9%14.6%+12.3
Fleetridge12.0%20.8%-8.9
Midnight Boss11.1%12.2%-1.0
Always On Cay7.5%6.6%+0.9
Magical Mark5.3%4.6%+0.8
Halo Rando3.7%8.1%-4.4
🌧️ Off-track: 365721
🎯 Longshots: 3615472
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $55,000
Win:2Millbo Baggins (9/5) 31% · fair 2-1
Place:3Smokeintheair (3/1) 31% · fair 5-2 overlay +33%
Show:6El Chino Vaca (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:4Never Catch Me (6/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -54%, 1Pevs Distant Drum (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43%
Rest of field:5Dormello's Legacy (6/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -59%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Millbo Baggins — 30.8% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Millbo Baggins30.8% ◀Smokeintheair — 30.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Smokeintheair30.7%El Chino Vaca — 18.4% win probability, morning line 4.5/1El Chino Vaca18.4%Never Catch Me — 7.1% win probability, morning line 6/1Never Catch Me7.1%Pevs Distant Drum — 6.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Pevs Distant Drum6.6%Dormello'S Legacy — 6.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Dormello'S Legacy6.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Millbo Baggins30.8%1.8/1
Smokeintheair30.7%3/1
El Chino Vaca18.4%4.5/1
Never Catch Me7.1%6/1
Pevs Distant Drum6.6%8/1
Dormello'S Legacy6.4%6/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMillbo Baggins: model 30.8% vs market 30.1% (+0.7 points)Millbo Baggins+0.7Smokeintheair: model 30.7% vs market 21.1% (+9.6 points)Smokeintheair+9.6El Chino Vaca: model 18.4% vs market 15.3% (+3.0 points)El Chino Vaca+3.0Never Catch Me: model 7.1% vs market 12.0% (-4.9 points)Never Catch Me-4.9Pevs Distant Drum: model 6.6% vs market 9.4% (-2.7 points)Pevs Distant Drum-2.7Dormello'S Legacy: model 6.4% vs market 12.0% (-5.7 points)Dormello'S Legacy-5.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Millbo Baggins30.8%30.1%+0.7
Smokeintheair30.7%21.1%+9.6
El Chino Vaca18.4%15.3%+3.0
Never Catch Me7.1%12.0%-4.9
Pevs Distant Drum6.6%9.4%-2.7
Dormello'S Legacy6.4%12.0%-5.7
🌧️ Off-track: 236451
🎯 Longshots: 236145
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:9Songcat (7/5) 37% · fair 3-2
Place:5Bitcoin Buy (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:4Thatsaterriblidea (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -47%
Other contenders:3Sirrah (5/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -68%, 6Who Said It's Easy (8/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -51%, 1Pass The Test (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2
Rest of field:7Shenanigans Storm (10/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -51%, 8Latigo N Lace (8/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -65%, 2Bonified Wildcat (12/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -55%
Race 10 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Songcat — 37.0% win probability, morning line 1.4/1Songcat37.0% ◀Bitcoin Buy — 21.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Bitcoin Buy21.8%Thatsaterriblidea — 11.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Thatsaterriblidea11.8%Sirrah — 6.0% win probability, morning line 5/1Sirrah6.0%Who Said It'S Easy — 5.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Who Said It'S Easy5.8%Pass The Test — 5.1% win probability, morning line 15/1Pass The Test5.1%Shenanigans Storm — 4.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Shenanigans Storm4.7%Latigo N Lace — 4.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Latigo N Lace4.2%Bonified Wildcat — 3.6% win probability, morning line 12/1Bonified Wildcat3.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Songcat37.0%1.4/1
Bitcoin Buy21.8%3/1
Thatsaterriblidea11.8%4/1
Sirrah6.0%5/1
Who Said It'S Easy5.8%8/1
Pass The Test5.1%15/1
Shenanigans Storm4.7%10/1
Latigo N Lace4.2%8/1
Bonified Wildcat3.6%12/1
Race 10 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSongcat: model 37.0% vs market 28.0% (+9.0 points)Songcat+9.0Bitcoin Buy: model 21.8% vs market 16.8% (+5.0 points)Bitcoin Buy+5.0Thatsaterriblidea: model 11.8% vs market 13.5% (-1.7 points)Thatsaterriblidea-1.7Sirrah: model 6.0% vs market 11.2% (-5.2 points)Sirrah-5.2Who Said It'S Easy: model 5.8% vs market 7.5% (-1.7 points)Who Said It'S Easy-1.7Pass The Test: model 5.1% vs market 4.2% (+0.9 points)Pass The Test+0.9Shenanigans Storm: model 4.7% vs market 6.1% (-1.4 points)Shenanigans Storm-1.4Latigo N Lace: model 4.2% vs market 7.5% (-3.3 points)Latigo N Lace-3.3Bonified Wildcat: model 3.6% vs market 5.2% (-1.5 points)Bonified Wildcat-1.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Songcat37.0%28.0%+9.0
Bitcoin Buy21.8%16.8%+5.0
Thatsaterriblidea11.8%13.5%-1.7
Sirrah6.0%11.2%-5.2
Who Said It'S Easy5.8%7.5%-1.7
Pass The Test5.1%4.2%+0.9
Shenanigans Storm4.7%6.1%-1.4
Latigo N Lace4.2%7.5%-3.3
Bonified Wildcat3.6%5.2%-1.5
🌧️ Off-track: 954368
🎯 Longshots: 956147832
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:5Hurricane Saylor (2/1)
Place:1Vegas Love (5/2)
Show:2Paarl (6/1)
Other contenders:4Whimsical Heir (9/2), 6Maga Kai (3/1)
Rest of field:3Collected Glory (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 516423
🎯 Longshots: 516423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:5Dream Money (8/5)
Place:2Silver Abstract (15/1)
Show:3American Cherub (4/1)
Other contenders:7Casual Encounter (20/1), 4Marquis Lights (7/2)
Rest of field:6Sheza Goin Comfort (5/1), 1Pretty Peppy (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 534621
🎯 Longshots: 5463271
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $52,500
Win:4Bill (5/1)
Place:6Misinformation (2/1)
Show:5Promissione (4/1)
Other contenders:1Unrivaled Hero (3/1), 2Kawazaki (6/1)
Rest of field:3Mcthanks (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 641523
🎯 Longshots: 651342
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:2Alma's Grace (5/2)
Place:1Game Of Shance (3/1)
Show:5Miss Petty Cash (10/1)
Other contenders:6Leading You On (6/1), 4Copper Vixen (8/1)
Rest of field:3Take Tres (20/1), 7Getluckyinkentucky (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 216547
🎯 Longshots: 2154367
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $55,000
Win:2Candyscape (4/1)
Place:5Alexandra Elaine (7/2)
Show:4Sunset Sizzle (5/2)
Other contenders:6Ready To Dial (2/1), 3Lucky Vegas (5/1)
Rest of field:1Lamorna Inn (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 246531
🎯 Longshots: 453162
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:5Exit Strategy (9/5)
Place:6Cash Waterfall (5/2)
Show:4American Century (4/1)
Other contenders:2Another Runaway (9/2), 3Onwithit (5/1)
Rest of field:1Tumbleweed (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 564231
🎯 Longshots: 652431
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:4Getaway Car (4/1)
Place:3Carl Erskine (9/2)
Show:2Mcdude (9/5)
Other contenders:6Fire Breather (2/1), 1Twenty One Skidoo (5/1)
Rest of field:5Tiburon (3/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 246351
🎯 Longshots: 246153
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,500
Win:5Fleetridge (5/2)
Place:1Always On Cay (10/1)
Show:6Campfire Creed (4/1)
Other contenders:3Clever Clover (6/5), 7Midnight Boss (5/1)
Rest of field:4Magical Mark (15/1), 2Halo Rando (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 536172
🎯 Longshots: 3615472
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $55,000
Win:2Millbo Baggins (9/5)
Place:6El Chino Vaca (9/2)
Show:3Smokeintheair (3/1)
Other contenders:4Never Catch Me (6/1), 5Dormello's Legacy (6/1)
Rest of field:1Pevs Distant Drum (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 236451
🎯 Longshots: 236145
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:9Songcat (7/5)
Place:5Bitcoin Buy (3/1)
Show:8Latigo N Lace (8/1)
Other contenders:4Thatsaterriblidea (4/1), 6Who Said It's Easy (8/1), 1Pass The Test (15/1)
Rest of field:3Sirrah (5/1), 2Bonified Wildcat (12/1), 7Shenanigans Storm (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 954386
🎯 Longshots: 956147832
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #1, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #4, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #6, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #2 over #4 ($1 straight; box #2-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #4, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
Race 9AI Exacta: #3 over #2 ($1 straight; box #3-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #2, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 10AI Exacta: #9 over #5 ($1 straight; box #9-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #9 over #5, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:1Vegas Love (5/2)
Place:5Hurricane Saylor (2/1)
Show:4Whimsical Heir (9/2)
Other contenders:6Maga Kai (3/1), 2Paarl (6/1)
Rest of field:3Collected Glory (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 156423
🎯 Longshots: 516423
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:5Dream Money (8/5)
Place:3American Cherub (4/1)
Show:7Casual Encounter (20/1)
Other contenders:6Sheza Goin Comfort (5/1), 4Marquis Lights (7/2)
Rest of field:2Silver Abstract (15/1), 1Pretty Peppy (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 534617
🎯 Longshots: 5463271
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $52,500
Win:6Misinformation (2/1)
Place:5Promissione (4/1)
Show:4Bill (5/1)
Other contenders:1Unrivaled Hero (3/1), 2Kawazaki (6/1)
Rest of field:3Mcthanks (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 651423
🎯 Longshots: 651342
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:1Game Of Shance (3/1)
Place:2Alma's Grace (5/2)
Show:5Miss Petty Cash (10/1)
Other contenders:6Leading You On (6/1), 4Copper Vixen (8/1)
Rest of field:3Take Tres (20/1), 7Getluckyinkentucky (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 216547
🎯 Longshots: 2154367
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $55,000
Win:4Sunset Sizzle (5/2)
Place:5Alexandra Elaine (7/2)
Show:6Ready To Dial (2/1)
Other contenders:2Candyscape (4/1), 3Lucky Vegas (5/1)
Rest of field:1Lamorna Inn (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 465213
🎯 Longshots: 453162
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:6Cash Waterfall (5/2)
Place:5Exit Strategy (9/5)
Show:2Another Runaway (9/2)
Other contenders:4American Century (4/1), 3Onwithit (5/1)
Rest of field:1Tumbleweed (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 562431
🎯 Longshots: 652431
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:2Mcdude (9/5)
Place:4Getaway Car (4/1)
Show:6Fire Breather (2/1)
Other contenders:1Twenty One Skidoo (5/1), 3Carl Erskine (9/2)
Rest of field:5Tiburon (3/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 264513
🎯 Longshots: 246153
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,500
Win:3Clever Clover (6/5)
Place:5Fleetridge (5/2)
Show:6Campfire Creed (4/1)
Other contenders:1Always On Cay (10/1), 7Midnight Boss (5/1)
Rest of field:4Magical Mark (15/1), 2Halo Rando (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 356712
🎯 Longshots: 3615472
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $55,000
Win:2Millbo Baggins (9/5)
Place:6El Chino Vaca (9/2)
Show:3Smokeintheair (3/1)
Other contenders:5Dormello's Legacy (6/1), 4Never Catch Me (6/1)
Rest of field:1Pevs Distant Drum (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 236541
🎯 Longshots: 236145
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #3, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:9Songcat (7/5)
Place:5Bitcoin Buy (3/1)
Show:4Thatsaterriblidea (4/1)
Other contenders:6Who Said It's Easy (8/1), 3Sirrah (5/1), 8Latigo N Lace (8/1)
Rest of field:1Pass The Test (15/1), 7Shenanigans Storm (10/1), 2Bonified Wildcat (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 954368
🎯 Longshots: 956147832
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:5Hurricane Saylor (2/1)
Place:1Vegas Love (5/2)
Show:4Whimsical Heir (9/2)
Other contenders:6Maga Kai (3/1), 2Paarl (6/1)
Rest of field:3Collected Glory (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 516423
🎯 Longshots: 516423
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  5 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $32,000
Win:5Dream Money (8/5)
Place:4Marquis Lights (7/2)
Show:3American Cherub (4/1)
Other contenders:6Sheza Goin Comfort (5/1), 2Silver Abstract (15/1)
Rest of field:7Casual Encounter (20/1), 1Pretty Peppy (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 543612
🎯 Longshots: 5463271
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $52,500
Win:6Misinformation (2/1)
Place:5Promissione (4/1)
Show:4Bill (5/1)
Other contenders:2Kawazaki (6/1), 1Unrivaled Hero (3/1)
Rest of field:3Mcthanks (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 651423
🎯 Longshots: 651342
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:1Game Of Shance (3/1)
Place:2Alma's Grace (5/2)
Show:5Miss Petty Cash (10/1)
Other contenders:4Copper Vixen (8/1), 3Take Tres (20/1)
Rest of field:6Leading You On (6/1), 7Getluckyinkentucky (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 126457
🎯 Longshots: 2154367
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $55,000
Win:4Sunset Sizzle (5/2)
Place:5Alexandra Elaine (7/2)
Show:3Lucky Vegas (5/1)
Other contenders:2Candyscape (4/1), 1Lamorna Inn (9/2)
Rest of field:6Ready To Dial (2/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 456231
🎯 Longshots: 453162
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:5Exit Strategy (9/5)
Place:6Cash Waterfall (5/2)
Show:2Another Runaway (9/2)
Other contenders:4American Century (4/1), 3Onwithit (5/1)
Rest of field:1Tumbleweed (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 562431
🎯 Longshots: 652431
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $63,000
Win:2Mcdude (9/5)
Place:4Getaway Car (4/1)
Show:1Twenty One Skidoo (5/1)
Other contenders:6Fire Breather (2/1), 5Tiburon (3/1)
Rest of field:3Carl Erskine (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 246513
🎯 Longshots: 246153
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,500
Win:3Clever Clover (6/5)
Place:5Fleetridge (5/2)
Show:6Campfire Creed (4/1)
Other contenders:1Always On Cay (10/1), 7Midnight Boss (5/1)
Rest of field:4Magical Mark (15/1), 2Halo Rando (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 356712
🎯 Longshots: 3615472
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $55,000
Win:3Smokeintheair (3/1)
Place:2Millbo Baggins (9/5)
Show:6El Chino Vaca (9/2)
Other contenders:1Pevs Distant Drum (8/1), 4Never Catch Me (6/1)
Rest of field:5Dormello's Legacy (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 236451
🎯 Longshots: 236145
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $62,000
Win:9Songcat (7/5)
Place:5Bitcoin Buy (3/1)
Show:4Thatsaterriblidea (4/1)
Other contenders:3Sirrah (5/1), 6Who Said It's Easy (8/1), 1Pass The Test (15/1)
Rest of field:2Bonified Wildcat (12/1), 8Latigo N Lace (8/1), 7Shenanigans Storm (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 954368
🎯 Longshots: 956147832
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #5, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R5-7R5: #4,#5,#3 (74%) / R6: #6,#5 (64%) / R7: #2,#4,#1 (72%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 34%
Pick 3 R6-8R6: #6,#5 (64%) / R7: #2,#4,#1 (72%) / R8: #3,#6 (60%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28%
Pick 3 R7-9R7: #2,#4,#1 (72%) / R8: #3,#6 (60%) / R9: #2,#3 (61%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27%
Pick 3 R8-10R8: #3,#6 (60%) / R9: #2,#3 (61%) / R10: #9,#5,#4 (71%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #6,#5 (63%) / R4: #1,#2,#5 (70%) / R5: #4,#5,#3 (74%) / R6: #6,#5 (64%)
$36 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Pick 4 R6-9R6: #6,#5 (64%) / R7: #2,#4,#1 (72%) / R8: #3,#6 (60%) / R9: #2,#3 (61%)
$24 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ALEXANDRA ELAINEALMA'S GRACEALWAYS ON CAYAMERICAN CENTURYAMERICAN CHERUB
BILLBITCOIN BUYBONIFIED WILDCATCAMPFIRE CREEDCANDYSCAPE
CASH WATERFALLCASUAL ENCOUNTERCLEVER CLOVERCOLLECTED GLORYCOPPER VIXEN
DREAM MONEYEL CHINO VACAEXIT STRATEGYFIRE BREATHERFLEETRIDGE
GETAWAY CARGETLUCKYINKENTUCKYHALO RANDOHURRICANE SAYLORKAWAZAKI
LATIGO N LACELEADING YOU ONLUCKY VEGASMAGA KAIMAGICAL MARK
MCDUDEMCTHANKSMIDNIGHT BOSSMILLBO BAGGINSMISINFORMATION
NEVER CATCH MEONWITHITPAARLPASS THE TESTPEVS DISTANT DRUM
PROMISSIONEREADY TO DIALSHENANIGANS STORMSHEZA GOIN COMFORTSILVER ABSTRACT
SMOKEINTHEAIRSONGCATSUNSET SIZZLETAKE TRESTHATSATERRIBLIDEA
TUMBLEWEEDTWENTY ONE SKIDOOUNRIVALED HEROVEGAS LOVEWHIMSICAL HEIR

 


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