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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
How often our pick wins, by its price
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.2% | 2,588 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.7% | 2,355 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.2% | 86 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 5 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Stream It (2-1) | 5/5 | 100.0% | 18 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Sorrentino (8-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Determinedfinisher (5-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Senior Lender (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – Blue Mountains (5-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Asked And Answered (12-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Gordy (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 4 – Enticed Master (30-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 8 – Tap Rules (2-1) ⭐ | 5/5 | 100.0% | 17 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Galicat (6-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Valentine Crusader (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Term Premium (2-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Mcrye (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Lombardo (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – Mr Dan (30-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Kaz Toro (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Salt Spartan (1-1) ⭐ | 5/5 | 100.0% | 20 pts |
| Place: | 5 – Smilensaycheese (10-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Diliello (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Coach Case (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 8 – Solo Empire (12-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Manor Park (12-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Blame It On K J (6-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 1 – Maximum Heat (15-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Blazing Beauty (2-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 10 pts |
| Place: | 6 – Aerial Affair (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Rockabye (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Shared Ambition (5-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 9 – Harpist (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Ready Set Roll (8-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Mariner (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 2 – Saintly Villain (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 5 – Aneki (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 5 – Unbroken Chain (2-1) ⭐ | 4/5 | 80.0% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Kid Billy (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Disarmed (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Bootleg Runner (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Screaming Uncle (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Tenebris (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Without Pretence (8-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Neuschwanstein (10-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Ganderella (2-1) ⭐ | 5/5 | 100.0% | 20 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Zap That Ghost (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Vicked (2-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Take Charge Smarty (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Alesiamae (10-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Mighty Miss (15-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 8 – Run Flat (30-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 2 – City War (30-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Stand The Rain (2-1) ⭐ | 3/5 | 60.0% | 10 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Bobby M's Girl (12-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Consensus View (3-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Alibi (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Abigail (8-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Toes (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Tiz The Lady (6-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Sociably Johnny (3-1) ⭐ | 4/5 | 80.0% | 14 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Whitby (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Supreme Good (6-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Resilient Hero (8-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Corvus (8-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 8 – Monte Avi (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Good Bali (15-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 9 – The Obliterator (6-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 7 – Lucky Dragon (10-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
