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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
How often our pick wins, by its price
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.2% | 2,588 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.7% | 2,355 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.2% | 86 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 4 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Drain The Bourbon (8-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 11 pts |
| Place: | 5 – I Like To Party (2-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Oscar's Candy (3-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – With You (2-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – Candor (6-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Boss (12-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Angel Bella (4-1) | 4/4 | 100.0% | 11 pts |
| Place: | 3 – You're In Heaven (2-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Oraia (1-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Red Beretta (20-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Justified Gift (12-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 6 – Full Dolly (6-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Helpful Howie (8-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 10 pts |
| Place: | 8 – Soulman (10-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 10 – Bright Skittle (4-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 3 – Rockfest (4-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 9 – Quintillion (5-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 6 – Turnback (12-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Anthony The Great (15-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 11 – Cold Draft Beer (8-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 4 – Unlimited (8-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 2 – Our Vekoma Ride (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 7 – Boston Time (15-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 12 – Storm Commander (30-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Shared Vision (1-1) ⭐ | 4/4 | 100.0% | 14 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Getting After It (4-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Lexico (4-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – G Rocks (5-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – Quinn's Promise (6-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Ride The Broom (15-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Denise Says No (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Order Restored (2-1) ⭐ | 4/4 | 100.0% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Got The Ring (8-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Munnings Monet (5-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 3 – Leedu (2-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Hathaway (4-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Will's Ali (10-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Bella Luna (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 12 – Moonlight Dash (8-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 7 pts |
| Place: | 8 – Lovely Grey (3-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Tramuntana (4-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – High South (4-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 11 – Risen Power (20-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Forget About You (10-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Flower River (20-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 5: | 15 – Now Or Nevermore (20-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 6: | 2 – Rain Gold (8-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 10 – Maverick Queen (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 14 – Lady Sybil (30-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 13 – Temple Goddess (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 1 – Forgotten About (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 11: | 16 – Trusty Troutman (15-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 12: | 7 – El Joury (15-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 13: | 9 – Power To Glory (30-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Consequential (4-1) | 4/4 | 100.0% | 10 pts |
| Place: | 8 – Feeling Grand (6-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Obra Prima (3-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Harry Houdini (2-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Most Probable (8-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Don't U Shush Me (10-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – King Lee (6-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 5 – Berniedott (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Banned For Life (3-1) ⭐ ↻ | 3/4 | 75.0% | 10 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Tarantino (2-1) | 3/4 | 75.0% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Can't Hush This (5-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Track Phantom (4-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 8 – Zambezi (15-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 7 – Risk It (8-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – Accretive (8-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 1 – Charlie Foxtrot (12-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Demolition Duke (4-1) ⭐ | 3/4 | 75.0% | 9 pts |
| Place: | 9 – Son Of A Birch (6-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Sea Singer (4-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 11 – Exact Estimate (8-1) | 2/4 | 50.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Skyro (10-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 8 – Baltimore Heart (8-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Charge For Gold (15-1) | 1/4 | 25.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 10 – Out Of Deductions (5-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 1 – Risk Manager (8-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 13 – Sugoi (15-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 15 – Debt Paid (10-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 16 – The Minkster (20-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 12 – Real Fast (30-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 11: | 7 – Sambalover (30-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 12: | 14 – Woodcock Flight (30-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 13: | 5 – Professor Higgins (50-1) | 0/4 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
