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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.1% | 2,646 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 30.0% | 2,427 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.2% | 86 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 3 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Nilo's Rose (2-1) ⭐ | 3/3 | 100.0% | 9 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Crushed Ice (6-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 8 – Beach Dancer (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Pens Street (2-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Sunset Harbour (30-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 6 – Acousticat (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Cora's Legacy (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 4 – Ce La Vi Charli (6-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 5 – Song Of Songs (2-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Don't Be Salty (1-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Heartbeat (4-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 7 – Beara Peninsula (10-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Leafology (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Freak City (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Fasta Lavista Baby (50-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Carol's Melody (2-1) | 3/3 | 100.0% | 12 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Tempting Eve (12-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 4 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Tetiaroa (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Huck's Agenda (1-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Just Do Believe (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Good Call (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 3 – Mom's Cheesecake (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Celtic Mo (2-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Goal To Go (4-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Prove Me Wrong (20-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 3 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Mined That Gold (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Very Royal (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Chasing Em (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Mo Que (5-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – Shamrock Guard (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 8 – Eleos (3-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Rank (4-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Bluebeard (2-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 3 – Justice (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Patriot Moon (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Magic Moose (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Sparked (6-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Leading Off (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Mackinac (5-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Ships Inn (8-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 8 – Ms. Jay Dee Em (10-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 10 – Twirling Claire (3-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Ratu Jawa (6-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 16 – Storm Cloud Rising (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – Lady Revenge (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 9 – Aldene (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 12 – Sunny Ray (6-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 11 – Quick To Charm (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 14 – Cactus Cairo (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 5 – Cotillard (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 13 – Black Cherry (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 11: | 7 – Solemn Vow (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 12: | 15 – Windy Houston (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 13: | 6 – Coco G (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Easy Dial (6-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 10 – Pezzonovante (4-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 9 – Culprit (3-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – T V Channel (8-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Swamp King (10-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Our Standard (12-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Refined Design (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 7 – Dewy's Denali (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 1 – Surfin' M (5-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 8 – Bagg O Time (6-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Sassy Princess (2-1) ⭐ | 3/3 | 100.0% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Tennesseehoneybee (8-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Dozen Diamonds (4-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Run Camila Run (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Creative Quality (5-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 6 – Tiffany Twist (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – Liuzza (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 3 – Spring Spinning (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Lit Ship (4-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Place: | 12 – Fiery Lucy (6-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 7 pts |
| Show: | 10 – Princess Attitude (3-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 7 – Sweet Note (30-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 11 – Icona (4-1) | 1/3 | 33.3% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Next Up (8-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Faye's Gold (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 9 – Lady Iva (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 6 – Devassa (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 2 – J Z's Last Schance (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 8 – Sanctify (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 5 – Dream On Stormy (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 10
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 5 – Sweet Venture (2-1) ⭐ | 2/3 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Fumed (10-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
| Show: | 9 – Timbertop (6-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 10 – Puunene (15-1) | 2/3 | 66.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 13 – Benevolencia (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 14 – J Z's Not Again (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Selah Breeze (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 12 – Bourbon Ice (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 6 – She's A Beauty (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 4 – Finally No Drama (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 1 – Yousuredoshine (12-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 2 – Debating (4-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 8 – So Jelly (20-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 11: | 11 – Andy's Call (30-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 12: | 15 – Wish You Were Here (10-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 13: | 16 – I Want Her (15-1) | 0/3 | 0.0% | 0 pts |