Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, October 28, 2026.


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

How often our pick wins, by its price

AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.

0%13%26%39%52%Odds-on to 5/2: 41.8% from 2,287 racesOdds-on to 5/241.8%5/2 to 5/1: 29.9% from 2,041 races5/2 to 5/129.9%

Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Odds-on to 5/241.8%2,287
5/2 to 5/129.9%2,041

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:9 – Discotheque (2-1) ⭐5/683.3%15 pts
Place:8 – Attersee (6-1)4/666.7%9 pts
Show:2 – Sleepingonfreedom (5-1)3/650.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – One More Freud (6-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Alt 2:4 – Feral (15-1)2/633.3%7 pts
Alt 3:1 – Risk It (4-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 4:6 – Ravens Dream (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 5:5 – Poppa Echo (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:7 – Six String Prince (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Chambersville (2-1) ⭐5/683.3%17 pts
Place:6 – Catch The Breeze (5-1)4/666.7%10 pts
Show:3 – Esmark (3-1)3/650.0%11 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Rapoport (8-1)3/650.0%7 pts
Alt 2:4 – The Hidden Chamber (6-1)3/650.0%5 pts
Alt 3:5 – Clyde's Got A Gun (4-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 4:7 – Hard As Life (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Ingleborough (4-1) ⭐4/666.7%14 pts
Place:4 – Guns Allowed (2-1)4/666.7%12 pts
Show:6 – Harbor Prince (8-1)3/650.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Macchiato (4-1)3/650.0%6 pts
Alt 2:2 – It's Final (15-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 3:8 – Private Show (15-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 4:9 – Max Is Him (6-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:7 – Flume's Vino (10-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 6:1 – Titan King (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:9 – Spill The Sugar (2-1) ⭐5/683.3%17 pts
Place:2 – Statutory (4-1)4/666.7%12 pts
Show:11 – Enticing Moves (8-1)3/650.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Pulling Threads (4-1)2/633.3%6 pts
Alt 2:4 – Loves To Fish (15-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 3:8 – Funny Twist (20-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:7 – Grant's Gretchen (10-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 5:10 – Triple Moon (12-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 6:6 – Riyah Al Nil (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:3 – Preach Tewmey Now (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:1 – Super Pachi (50-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – Greystone (2-1)4/666.7%14 pts
Place:1 – My Boy Tony (8-1)4/666.7%13 pts
Show:5 – Lahainaluna (4-1)4/666.7%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:8 – Vaporetti (4-1)2/633.3%7 pts
Alt 2:6 – Dawn Dragon (8-1)2/633.3%6 pts
Alt 3:2 – Lazlo (10-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 4:7 – Caragogo (6-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:3 – Sav'n Money (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Noroomformischief (2-1)5/683.3%17 pts
Place:4 – Lockdownyourtown (2-1)5/683.3%17 pts
Show:5 – Critikal Sense (4-1)4/666.7%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:7 – Epic Prankster (6-1)3/650.0%7 pts
Alt 2:1 – She's Not A Joke (10-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 3:2 – Final Shipman (8-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 4:6 – Lindy Can (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Rules And Regs (3-1) ⭐4/666.7%14 pts
Place:3 – Aegis (2-1)4/666.7%11 pts
Show:9 – Cartier Gold (8-1)4/666.7%10 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Magic Woman (6-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Alt 2:4 – Dancin In Old Town (4-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 3:8 – Love Divine (6-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 4:1 – Shewontbudge (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 5:7 – M's Mabee Baby (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:6 – Get Into It (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:11 – Twilight Delight (6-1)5/683.3%12 pts
Place:1 – Initialize (4-1)4/666.7%14 pts
Show:5 – Ortley Avenue (4-1)3/650.0%10 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:6 – Smokey Smokey (6-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 2:4 – Corona De Oro (15-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 3:2 – Bal A Kazoo (30-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:8 – Our Starry Night (8-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:12 – Mountain Bear (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 6:15 – Cheval De Guerre (10-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 7:10 – Ganaas (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:7 – Utopian (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:9 – Moon Sniper (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 10:3 – Sprint Out Pass (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 11:13 – The Minkster (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 12:14 – B D Valeski (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 9

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:8 – Sharp Mindset (4-1)4/666.7%10 pts
Place:12 – Wado Wave (8-1)3/650.0%11 pts
Show:2 – Perpetua (6-1)2/633.3%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:10 – Diamondintherough (8-1)2/633.3%7 pts
Alt 2:14 – Flaming Mama (10-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 3:1 – Market Strategy (10-1)2/633.3%2 pts
Alt 4:7 – Nyad (8-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 5:5 – Yasmin (4-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 6:6 – Once Upon A Time (5-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 7:13 – Buckeye Favorite (15-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 8:11 – Strawberry Float (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:15 – Givemethebeat (8-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 10:3 – Mo Biscuit (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 11:4 – No Mo Rags (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 12:9 – Action Player (50-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Comments

No comments yet. Why don’t you start the discussion?

Talkback