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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
How often our pick wins, by its price
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.9% | 2,307 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 30.0% | 2,064 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 1 – Bemis (5-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 17 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Quentin B (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 15 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Bright Skittle (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 3 – Mr. Tallymon (15-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Circle Me (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Dark Force (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 2 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Taqdeer (4-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 17 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Margoinabubblebath (3-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 11 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Up The Creek (2-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Spencerian (5-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Musical Prayer (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Swiftwind (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Ruiva (1-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 19 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Reza (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 5 – Allura (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Cactus Closer (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Trim Castle (10-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 4 – Nessy (15-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 4: | 1 – Into Music (30-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 5: | 2 – Skepticism (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 7 – Getting After It (8-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 12 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Mustang Lady (10-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Watershed Moment (2-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – French Mistress (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 12 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Quinn's Promise (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Will Believe (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Bamtwentyklater (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 7 – Texas Dandelion (2-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 15 pts |
| Place: | 2 – Big Luz (4-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 13 pts |
| Show: | 11 – Boss Lady Kar (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 14 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 9 – Callie's Dance (15-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Bride (30-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Higher Calling (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – Dream About (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 5: | 10 – Aloha Magic (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 6 – Denial (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 8 – Golden Sips (6-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 5 – Amavida (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Paseo (2-1) ⭐ | 6/6 | 100.0% | 15 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Struck At Midnight (3-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 14 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Onehotmess (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 10 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Charm Of Venice (4-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Marcinkowski (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Heart Spin (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Ring Rights (30-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – White Whale (4-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 17 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Guardian (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 13 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Stay For The Boom (2-1) | 5/6 | 83.3% | 13 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Trouble Ahead (4-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Malevaje (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Hesper (8-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Colonel Compton (30-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 8 – Dr Fenn (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – We Be Mischief (4-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 10 – Alworth (6-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Beijing (8-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 11 – Stelvio Pass (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 7 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Cowboys Time (20-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 12 – Positano John (5-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 4 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Nomolimbo (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 5: | 2 – Good Company (12-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 6: | 7 – Mojacar (4-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 1 pts |
| Alt 7: | 6 – Magic Moose (30-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 8 – Navigate (30-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 9 – Happy Mischief (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 7 – Mobula (2-1) ⭐ | 4/6 | 66.7% | 14 pts |
| Place: | 3 – Social Belle (8-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Spring Dancer (6-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 10 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 8 – Grade A (2-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 8 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Wisconsin Gal (10-1) | 3/6 | 50.0% | 6 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – J Z's Last Schance (15-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Emoji (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 2 pts |
| Alt 5: | 5 – Dream On Stormy (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 10
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Mayweather (5-1) ⭐ | 5/6 | 83.3% | 14 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Himothy (3-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 2 – Elvis Tony (4-1) | 4/6 | 66.7% | 9 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Dixie Devil (6-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 8 pts |
| Alt 2: | 12 – Wavefront (8-1) | 2/6 | 33.3% | 5 pts |
| Alt 3: | 15 – Melody Man (6-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 4: | 14 – Pick A Switch (30-1) | 1/6 | 16.7% | 3 pts |
| Alt 5: | 10 – Task Force O (10-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 16 – Crazy Diamond (4-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 9 – King Of Heat (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 5 – Premiere Dancer (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 11 – Amalgamate (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 13 – Major Mack (12-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 11: | 6 – Berniedott (20-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 12: | 7 – He Has Game (30-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 13: | 8 – Pargo (15-1) | 0/6 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
