Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, September 10, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 5 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Shinobu (4-1)3/560.0%10 pts
Place:8 – Maddy Mania (4-1)2/540.0%7 pts
Show:9 – Stirrup (6-1)2/540.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:12 – Peace Mission (5-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 2:2 – Validida (8-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 3:5 – Kabin Eight (12-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 4:10 – Sharply (30-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 5:6 – Racheli (6-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 6:3 – Alliemae (15-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 7:11 – Fan's Choice (30-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 8:4 – Aloha Kim (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 9:7 – Newhope (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Lockdownyourtown (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%15 pts
Place:1 – Heartbeat (3-1)4/580.0%11 pts
Show:2 – Storm Cloud Rising (6-1)2/540.0%4 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Mom's Cheesecake (12-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 2:4 – Noroomformischief (10-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 3:5 – Belle Ofthe Dance (8-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 4:6 – Hollybygolly (4-1)1/520.0%1 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Elewene (2-1) ⭐5/5100.0%15 pts
Place:1 – Cruisin In Harmony (3-1)4/580.0%10 pts
Show:6 – Sharpie Girl (6-1)2/540.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Valkyrie (4-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:3 – Marblehead (4-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 3:2 – Sweet Mary (12-1)1/520.0%2 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – Flip Flop Freak (4-1)3/560.0%11 pts
Place:8 – Runnin Out Of Time (4-1)3/560.0%10 pts
Show:3 – Super Saiyajin (50-1)2/540.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:7 – Taxi (6-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:10 – Honest Truth (6-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 3:11 – Prestissimo (8-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 4:2 – T V Time Out (5-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 5:1 – Arcoven (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:4 – Chancery (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:5 – Ebitda (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 8:9 – Kashville (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Freaks Go (3-1) ⭐4/580.0%12 pts
Place:1 – Quick To Charm (4-1)3/560.0%7 pts
Show:6 – Brunia (4-1)3/560.0%4 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Mcsniper (6-1)2/540.0%7 pts
Alt 2:5 – Rockin The Lane (15-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 3:4 – Quinn's Promise (10-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 4:3 – Ashes And Diamonds (5-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 5:8 – Tizianna (4-1)1/520.0%2 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Fools Rush In (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%14 pts
Place:3 – Love A Warrior (8-1)3/560.0%9 pts
Show:2 – Shock Value (12-1)3/560.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:8 – Old Crow Court (10-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:5 – Topmost (8-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Saveurequity (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 4:6 – Shacklebolt (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 5:7 – Moonfire (6-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:9 – Kalapaki Point (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:10 – Gin On The Rocks (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 8:11 – Intoloun (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 9:12 – Endrush (4-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Bold Strength (1-1) ⭐5/5100.0%20 pts
Place:6 – Show Of Force (20-1)3/560.0%6 pts
Show:9 – First Resort (6-1)2/540.0%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Gearing Up (10-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:3 – Kalahari Dreams (12-1)2/540.0%2 pts
Alt 3:5 – Hypnus (4-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 4:7 – Systemic Change (12-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 5:4 – Master Controller (6-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:8 – Special Session (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:10 – The Best Distance (4-1) ⭐4/580.0%11 pts
Place:6 – National Eclipse (3-1)3/560.0%11 pts
Show:2 – Company You Keep (6-1)3/560.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Vino Couragio (20-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 2:11 – Fast Solution (8-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 3:1 – Contrary Chieftain (12-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 4:5 – Raising Kane (8-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 5:4 – Right On Right On (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:7 – Mowins (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:9 – Midnight Channel (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 8:8 – Up To No Good (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts

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