Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, September 11, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Tarantino (1-1) ⭐6/6100.0%21 pts
Place:1 – Mitty's Griddy (4-1)3/650.0%10 pts
Show:2 – Shan (10-1)3/650.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Barksdale (2-1)3/650.0%7 pts
Alt 2:5 – Accretive (8-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 3:6 – Tom Cat Tuesday (6-1)1/616.7%2 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:9 – King Crusher (4-1) ⭐4/666.7%15 pts
Place:1 – Zimomo (15-1)3/650.0%6 pts
Show:6 – Don't Kick Me (6-1)2/633.3%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:7 – Shaved Ice (5-1)2/633.3%6 pts
Alt 2:4 – High Status (10-1)2/633.3%6 pts
Alt 3:5 – Trixie Barry (3-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 4:2 – Cantkeepagoodmndwn (12-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 5:3 – Joe Joe Dude (15-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 6:8 – Chasing Em (4-1)1/616.7%1 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – Sargent Bilko (1-1) ⭐6/6100.0%20 pts
Place:1 – Title Worthy (4-1)5/683.3%14 pts
Show:3 – Never A Doubt (2-1)4/666.7%13 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:6 – Issachar (10-1)2/633.3%2 pts
Alt 2:2 – Red Sun (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 3:5 – Fortune King (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:13 – Rockie Rockie (3-1)3/560.0%10 pts
Place:7 – Greatest Hits (4-1)3/560.0%10 pts
Show:5 – Midnight Yell (6-1)3/560.0%4 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:8 – Getaway Girl (4-1)2/540.0%8 pts
Alt 2:1 – Light Halo (8-1)2/540.0%6 pts
Alt 3:14 – Forgive Me (4-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 4:2 – She's Icy (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 5:3 – Speightful Moon (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:4 – Miss Jesse (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:6 – Drexel Drive (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 8:9 – Jus Like Always (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 9:10 – Bourbon O'clock (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 10:11 – Secret Light (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 11:12 – New York To Paris (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 12:15 – Chickies Perch (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 13:16 – Silk Street (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Silver Sniper (3-1) ⭐5/683.3%19 pts
Place:2 – Ecosystem (4-1)4/666.7%13 pts
Show:4 – Ring Curl (8-1)2/633.3%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – White Whale (15-1)2/633.3%2 pts
Alt 2:8 – Stone County (4-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 3:7 – Join (5-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:6 – Good Mojo (6-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:5 – Hillbilly Daydream (15-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 6:9 – Valiant Humor (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Prince Of Light (4-1) ⭐5/683.3%18 pts
Place:9 – Kid Twist (4-1)5/683.3%15 pts
Show:14 – Inordinary (4-1)3/650.0%10 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Wild Recruit (6-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 2:16 – Papiamento (15-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Longstrider (10-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 4:11 – Bird The Legend (8-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 5:13 – Valiant Award (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:8 – Impavido (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:6 – Frosted Bull (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:1 – Compressed (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:3 – Gray Taps (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 10:15 – Dewy's Denali (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 11:5 – Romantic Lead (8-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 12:12 – Prince J J (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 13:10 – Coal Fired (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Ice Empress (6-1)4/666.7%15 pts
Place:1 – Guiding Star (4-1)3/650.0%10 pts
Show:11 – Mischief Bound (4-1)2/633.3%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:13 – Aegean (6-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 2:8 – Miss Moneyball (15-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 3:16 – Blue Hill (8-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:2 – Maximization (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 5:7 – Prosecco (10-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 6:3 – Appeals To Me (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:4 – Cortina Gold (5-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:6 – Easy Loving (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:9 – Cosmic Creed (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 10:10 – Tess Me Not (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 11:12 – Convincing Smile (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 12:14 – Twenty Three Gold (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 13:15 – Global Equity (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Tiz Mary's Comet (4-1) ⭐5/683.3%15 pts
Place:10 – Capital Connection (5-1)4/666.7%13 pts
Show:9 – Captain Mercury (8-1)3/650.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Keep On Moving (6-1)2/633.3%6 pts
Alt 2:1 – Editor (8-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 3:2 – Fistfulofmoney (12-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:11 – Il Cavallino (6-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:12 – Just Asap (10-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:5 – Lil Muggs (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:7 – Trouble Ahead (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:6 – Storm The Streets (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:8 – Colonel Caliente (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 9

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Blue Fire (4-1) ⭐5/683.3%18 pts
Place:6 – White Rocks (4-1)4/666.7%13 pts
Show:7 – Being Myself (2-1)4/666.7%12 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Union Mist (6-1)2/633.3%2 pts
Alt 2:8 – Amarth (10-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 3:2 – Rando (8-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 4:9 – Gowells Delight (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 5:1 – Vino Tiempo (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:4 – Princess Aliyah (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 10

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – One More Time (2-1) ⭐6/6100.0%15 pts
Place:3 – Roguishness (4-1)4/666.7%15 pts
Show:8 – Obra Prima (20-1)3/650.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:11 – It's Final (12-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 2:4 – Positive Equity (10-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 3:1 – He Has Game (6-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:9 – Wicked Gun (3-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:10 – Flume's Vino (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:5 – Otzelberger (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:6 – El Ramundo (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:2 – Unconnected (50-1)0/60.0%0 pts

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