Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, September 26, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

How often our pick wins, by its price

AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.

0%13%27%40%54%Odds-on to 5/2: 43.0% from 1,555 racesOdds-on to 5/243.0%5/2 to 5/1: 31.6% from 1,229 races5/2 to 5/131.6%

Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Odds-on to 5/243.0%1,555
5/2 to 5/131.6%1,229

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 5 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Ashes And Diamonds (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%9 pts
Place:7 – Lexi's Melody (5-1)3/560.0%11 pts
Show:2 – Mustang Lady (4-1)3/560.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:8 – She's Gotta Go (8-1)2/540.0%6 pts
Alt 2:1 – Getting After It (15-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 3:6 – Miss Bourbon (4-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 4:5 – Click (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 5:4 – Vinno Ronnie (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Show Time (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%15 pts
Place:1 – Gardiner (4-1)3/560.0%9 pts
Show:4 – Cool Cowboy (10-1)3/560.0%3 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Coach Cronin (3-1)2/540.0%7 pts
Alt 2:6 – Margin Of Air (4-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 3:2 – Defending Albert (8-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 4:7 – Shadow Coast (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – Telecaster (4-1)5/5100.0%15 pts
Place:4 – Roman Rogue (3-1)4/580.0%12 pts
Show:2 – White Cargo (4-1)3/560.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:8 – Task Force O (2-1)2/540.0%6 pts
Alt 2:1 – Chartered (6-1)2/540.0%2 pts
Alt 3:7 – Crave A Ball (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 4:5 – Premiere Dancer (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 5:3 – Yo Jackson (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – On Par (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%14 pts
Place:4 – Eva Ready (1-1)4/580.0%11 pts
Show:6 – Utopian (8-1)3/560.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Cinister Cix (4-1)2/540.0%6 pts
Alt 2:1 – Brilliant Bomb (20-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 3:7 – Zap D'etat (6-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 4:5 – Stashu (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Fiestabowlforemike (4-1)4/580.0%12 pts
Place:10 – Riccelli (4-1)4/580.0%10 pts
Show:2 – Staunch (2-1)3/560.0%9 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:9 – Apotheon (10-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 2:8 – Gun For Glory (8-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 3:11 – Wrappinville (20-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 4:6 – Mountain Valley (20-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 5:1 – Red Pack's Magic (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:4 – Oren's Flyer (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:5 – Slade (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 8:7 – Red Pack's Candy (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Couplet (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%14 pts
Place:2 – Angel Bella (8-1)4/580.0%10 pts
Show:6 – Passionfruit (4-1)4/580.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:7 – Lobby Rendezvous (15-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 2:5 – Ile De La Cite (2-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Ring Rights (10-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 4:1 – Lady Law (6-1)1/520.0%1 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – New Purpose (2-1) ⭐4/580.0%14 pts
Place:5 – Gone And Plenty (6-1)3/560.0%10 pts
Show:1 – Estardotoo (20-1)2/540.0%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Nymira (4-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 2:10 – Donie Maronie (8-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 3:7 – Second Opinion (8-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 4:4 – Songadeewin (8-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 5:11 – Epernay (15-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 6:9 – True Silver J P (30-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 7:8 – Lecompte's Run (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 8:2 – Techwerkian (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – Local Knowledge (3-1)3/560.0%12 pts
Place:1 – Plutarch (2-1)3/560.0%9 pts
Show:4 – Infiltrate (12-1)3/560.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Stimulate (2-1)3/560.0%6 pts
Alt 2:2 – Blackout Time (6-1)3/560.0%6 pts
Alt 3:3 – Steel (8-1)1/520.0%3 pts

Race 9

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – Bishops Bay (2-1) ⭐5/5100.0%20 pts
Place:7 – East Avenue (4-1)4/580.0%7 pts
Show:8 – Nu What's New (3-1)3/560.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Owen Almighty (4-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:6 – Coal Battle (8-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 3:5 – Prince Of Power (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 4:1 – Macho Music (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 5:2 – Arrowthegreat (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 10

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – Banishing (6-1)4/580.0%10 pts
Place:7 – Chunk Of Gold (2-1)3/560.0%9 pts
Show:2 – Dragoon Guard (4-1)3/560.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Original Sin (3-1)2/540.0%7 pts
Alt 2:3 – Tiztastic (4-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 3:6 – Mcafee (15-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 4:1 – This Is Uscar (8-1)1/520.0%2 pts

Race 11

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Royal Justice (8-1)4/580.0%14 pts
Place:9 – Hereforagoodtime (8-1)4/580.0%11 pts
Show:6 – Mambo Queen (12-1)3/560.0%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Daisy Flyer (4-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 2:10 – Snipsnippitysnip (4-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – One Sweet Girl (15-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 4:3 – Sol D'oro (3-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 5:8 – Ceniza Pampa (6-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 6:7 – Calamity (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:5 – Reining Flowers (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts

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