| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | C | C |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | D |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | F | D |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | C | D |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | B |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | C | C |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | C |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Speed | F | C |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | C | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | C | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | F | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | A | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | F | B |
| Finish Pos | B | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | F | F |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | F |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | F | F |
| Route FPS | F | F |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | D |
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | D | F |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | C | F |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | C | F |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Sprint FPS | B | F |
| Route FPS | B | D |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | A | D |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | D |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | F |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | D |
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | D | F |
| Turf Speed | A | B |
| Distance Speed | A | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | F |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | A | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | C |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | B | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | D | C |
| Turf Speed | D | C |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | B | C |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | B | D |
| Dirt Speed | C | B |
| Turf Speed | C | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | D | D |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | D |
| Route FPS | D | D |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | D | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | C | D |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | B | C |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | C |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Sprint FPS | A | C |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | B |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | C |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | C | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | C | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | C |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | D | B |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | B | C |
| Dirt Speed | F | F |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | C | D |
| Route FPS | C | C |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | C |
| Speed | F | F |
| Early Pace | F | D |
| Mid Pace | F | C |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | C | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | C |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | D | D |
| Early Pace | B | C |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | F | F |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | D |
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | F | F |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | C |
| Early Pace | C | D |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | F |
| Route FPS | D | D |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | B |
| Speed | F | B |
| Early Pace | D | A |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | D | C |
| Finish Pos | D | B |
| Dirt Speed | F | B |
| Turf Speed | F | C |
| Distance Speed | D | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | D | A |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Sprint FPS | F | B |
| Route FPS | B | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | D | C |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | D | B |
| Distance Speed | C | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | B | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Speed | D | B |
| Early Pace | F | B |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | F | C |
| Finish Pos | F | C |
| Dirt Speed | D | B |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | F | F |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | F | C |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | D | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | D | B |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | F | F |
| Late Pace | A | B |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | B |
| Turf Speed | B | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | C | C |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Finish Pos | B | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | B | A |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Sprint FPS | B | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | D |
| Mid Pace | B | D |
| Late Pace | C | C |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | B | B |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | C | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Speed | C | C |
| Early Pace | A | C |
| Mid Pace | A | C |
| Late Pace | B | C |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | B | C |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | C |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | B |
| Late Pace | B | B |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | D |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | C | D |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | D | C |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | D | D |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | D | F |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | F |
| Mid Pace | D | F |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Speed | C | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | C | B |
| Finish Pos | A | C |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | C | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | B | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | F |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | F |
| Mid Pace | C | F |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | C | A |
| Dirt Speed | A | B |
| Turf Speed | C | D |
| Distance Speed | A | B |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | B |
| Early Pace | B | F |
| Mid Pace | C | D |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | A | B |
| Route FPS | A | A |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | B | A |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | A | A |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | C | C |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | B | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | C | B |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | D | D |
| Late Pace | D | B |
| Sprint FPS | A | A |
| Route FPS | A | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | A | A |
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | B | A |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Finish Pos | A | B |
| Dirt Speed | B | A |
| Turf Speed | D | D |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | A | A |
| Early Pace | B | B |
| Mid Pace | A | A |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Sprint FPS | C | B |
| Route FPS | B | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
| Stat | vs. Current Card | vs. All Horses |
|---|---|---|
| Averages | ||
| Pick Pony AI Rating | C | A |
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | D | B |
| Mid Pace | C | B |
| Late Pace | A | A |
| Finish Pos | D | D |
| Dirt Speed | A | A |
| Turf Speed | A | A |
| Distance Speed | A | A |
| Recent | ||
| Speed | B | A |
| Early Pace | D | C |
| Mid Pace | B | B |
| Late Pace | B | A |
| Sprint FPS | D | C |
| Route FPS | D | B |
A paid membership is required to view all stats. Subscribe now →
TL;DR
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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
Race 1 Claiming 6 F 12:45 PM Purse $18,000
Win: About To Set Sail (1) – 67% confidence
Place: The Pretty Sister (7) – 33% confidence
Show: Clearly Credo (2) – 33% confidence
Alternative: Mika Ella Pika (5) – 33% confidence
The field is concentrated on two main runners, but the top choice holds a clear edge in win consensus. Analysts suggest the second choice is a strong place candidate given its recent form over the course and distance.
Race 2 Starter Optional Claiming 6 F 1:15 PM Purse $28,000
Win: Disco Ball (1) – 83% confidence
Place: Get Her Number (5) – 33% confidence
Show: Show Time (6) – 50% confidence
Alternative: Guanare (4) – 33% confidence
Strong agreement surrounds the top pick here following a dominant performance. The remaining positions show more variety, but the third-place selection is viewed consistently as a likely board-hitter.
Race 3 Maiden Special Weight 1 M 1:45 PM Purse $54,000
Win: Clearly My Star (8) – 100% confidence
Place: Nova Nova Nova (3) – 50% confidence
Show: All Star Tout (4) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Mojane Metal (2) – 20% confidence
Total consensus on the win choice makes this a standout on the card. Analysts are divided on the exact sequence behind the favorite, though the runner-up from a previous outing is the preferred second choice.
Race 4 Claiming 1 M 2:15 PM Purse $15,000
Win: Runninginthemoney (6) – 100% confidence
Place: Totally Addicted (2) – 60% confidence
Show: Regatta Bay (3) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Into Wishing (5) – 20% confidence
The top selection is a heavy consensus favorite as a track specialist. Analysts show high confidence in the exacta combination with the second choice, who recently finished just behind the favorite.
Race 5 Claiming 1 1/16 M 2:45 PM Purse $24,000
Win: Mambo Queen (5) – 100% confidence
Place: Saint Nancy S (6) – 20% confidence
Show: La Reynita (1) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Storms Of Life (8) – 20% confidence
Another race where analysts are unified on the winner. The secondary positions are widely distributed, suggesting that while the win is certain for many, the exotic combinations may offer value.
Race 6 Starter Optional Claiming 5 1/2 F 3:15 PM Purse $19,000
Win: Double Edge Sword (4) – 50% confidence
Place: Charco (2) – 50% confidence
Show: Runnin Munnin (3) – 40% confidence
Alternative: Rocketeightyeight (1) – 20% confidence
Opinion is split between the top two choices, creating a competitive win market. Analysts suggest both should be used in top spots, with a slight lean toward the more recent winner.
Race 7 Maiden Special Weight 5 1/2 F 3:45 PM Purse $54,000
Win: Fancy Fairlane (8) – 50% confidence
Place: Castle Run (2) – 33% confidence
Show: Ice Wolf (6) – 33% confidence
Alternative: Unitas (7) – 33% confidence
This is a wide-open maiden contest with split backing. While the outside runner has picked up late momentum in consensus, several others are considered legitimate win threats by individual analysts.
Race 8 Allowance Optional Claiming 6 F 4:15 PM Purse $57,000
Win: Hay Jude (2) – 67% confidence
Place: Benji Star (6) – 50% confidence
Show: Smash It (3) – 67% confidence
Alternative: Bron And Brow (9) – 20% confidence
A strong two-horse race at the top, with the favorite slightly edging out the main rival in win-specific picks. Analysts are very consistent on the third-place finisher completing the primary trifecta.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1: Analysts suggest an Exacta box using About To Set Sail (1) and The Pretty Sister (7). For deeper value, a Trifecta Key with About To Set Sail (1) over The Pretty Sister (7), Clearly Credo (2), and Mika Ella Pika (5) is recommended.
Race 2: Given the heavy consensus on the favorite, analysts recommend a Superfecta part-wheel: Disco Ball (1) with Get Her Number (5) and Show Time (6) in the second and third spots, and Guanare (4) in the fourth.
Race 3: With Clearly My Star (8) appearing as a lock for many, analysts propose a Trifecta wheel: Clearly My Star (8) over Nova Nova Nova (3) and All Star Tout (4) over the rest of the field.
Race 4: Runninginthemoney (6) is considered a strong anchor. Analysts suggest an Exacta Straight: Runninginthemoney (6) over Totally Addicted (2). A backup Trifecta using Regatta Bay (3) in the third spot provides coverage.
Race 5: Mambo Queen (5) is the primary target. Analysts suggest a Daily Double starting here into Race 6, using Mambo Queen (5) with both Charco (2) and Double Edge Sword (4).
Race 6: Since opinion is split between Charco (2) and Double Edge Sword (4), analysts recommend an Exacta Box of these two runners. To capture more upside, a Trifecta Box adding Runnin Munnin (3) is advised.
Race 7: This race presents the most variance. Analysts recommend a Superfecta Box with Fancy Fairlane (8), Castle Run (2), Ice Wolf (6), and Unitas (7) to account for the lack of a clear standout.
Race 8: Analysts favor a Trifecta Key: Hay Jude (2) and Benji Star (6) in the top two spots with Smash It (3) and Bron And Brow (9) in the third position.
Value Play Observations
In Race 1, The Pretty Sister (7) at 3-1 presents an overlay opportunity if About To Set Sail (1) is bet down to even money, as several analysts view them as near-equals.
Race 3 features Clearly My Star (8) at 9-5, which analysts consider an overlay given the 100% win consensus across all surveyed sources. The true probability assessed by the group suggests odds closer to 1-2.
In Race 7, Unitas (7) at 5-1 is identified as a value play. While consensus is split, two major analysts have this runner as their top choice, suggesting the morning line might be too high.
Race 8 shows Smash It (3) at 4-1 as a potential under-the-radar show or place bet. While not a win favorite, the high 67% show consensus indicates this runner is more likely to hit the board than the odds imply.
Overall Wagering Strategy
The racing card at Fair Grounds today features several high-conviction races that provide strong anchors for multi-race sequences. Analysts are in total agreement regarding the winners of Race 3, Race 4, and Race 5, with Clearly My Star (8), Runninginthemoney (6), and Mambo Queen (5) all receiving unanimous win backing. These races represent the highest confidence levels on the card and should be treated as the foundation for any Pick 3 or Pick 4 tickets. The combined probability of these three runners winning suggests a low-volatility middle section of the program, which may limit the potential for massive payouts in these specific sequences but offers a high likelihood of a successful ticket.
Conversely, the card bookends these strong opinions with significant analytical tension. Race 6 and Race 7 are identified as the primary split-opinion races. In Race 6, the divide between Charco (2) and Double Edge Sword (4) necessitates a dual-coverage approach, as analysts find little to separate them in terms of speed figures and recent form. Race 7 is even more fractured, with four different horses receiving top-tier support. This lack of consensus suggests that field volatility is highest here, making it an ideal spot for more aggressive exotic structures like superfecta wheels or four-horse boxes to catch a potential price.
Environmental factors appear stable with clear skies and a fast dirt track, favoring the track specialists highlighted in the consensus. Strategic guidance for bettors should focus on leveraging the three standout favorites in Races 3 through 5 to build bankroll for the more unpredictable late-card events. The primary takeaway for the day is the concentration of talent in the middle of the card; bettors should prioritize sequences that bridge these three favorites while allowing for more spread in the wide-open seventh race.
