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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.
AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.
Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Odds-on to 5/2 | 41.1% | 2,544 |
| 5/2 to 5/1 | 29.5% | 2,316 |
| Longer than 5/1 | 30.2% | 86 |
Consensus Expert Picks
Consensus rankings based on 5 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.
Race 1
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 6 – Amani's Music (3-1) ⭐ | 3/5 | 60.0% | 9 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Alqab (10-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 3 – Simone (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 8 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 2 – Hitherto (2-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 7 pts |
| Alt 2: | 5 – Heaven's Hope (12-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 1 – Missys Maybaby (12-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 7 – Italianvisa (3-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 2
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Jordans Deal (4-1) ⭐ | 5/5 | 100.0% | 20 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Cavatelli (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 1 – Blazing Freedom (2-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 6 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – More Sweets (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 6 – B On The Loose (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – What About Now (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – High Dollar Dolly (10-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 3
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 3 – Tiz Eddie (1-1) ⭐ | 5/5 | 100.0% | 20 pts |
| Place: | 6 – Goldwyn (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 7 pts |
| Show: | 4 – Sleepy (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Molly's Town (6-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 1 – Illegal Contact (5-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 2 – Win Me Over (8-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 4
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 7 – Velvet Crown (5-1) ⭐ | 4/5 | 80.0% | 11 pts |
| Place: | 10 – Ninetales (4-1) | 4/5 | 80.0% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 13 – She Ran (2-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 11 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Hot Dawg (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Mesdemon (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 3: | 8 – Underestimated (6-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 11 – Tigra (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Oh Bonita (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 2 – Sovereign Stride (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 4 – Murasaki (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 1 – Miss Byerley (6-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 9 – Delightful Beauty (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 12 – Furious Angel (8-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 5
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 4 – Fancy Fairlane (1-1) ⭐ | 5/5 | 100.0% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 1 – Monster Max (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 8 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Chocolate Moose (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 7 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 6 – Diamnd Con Suerte (12-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 2 – Stranger's Church (5-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Texas Free (10-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 4: | 5 – Gdoubleyou (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 6
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Midnite In Finley (5-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 10 pts |
| Place: | 12 – Culture War (3-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 9 pts |
| Show: | 7 – Mi Compadre (4-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Playonwords (6-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 2: | 4 – Moral Man (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 3 – Somethintobelieven (12-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 4: | 10 – Knicks N Stones (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Winery (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 9 – Garryowen (10-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 11 – Chef Ray Wiley (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 8 – Adam Five Oh (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 1 – Only Frank Knows (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 7
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 9 – Prayer Unbridled (12-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 12 pts |
| Place: | 7 – Tiz Wine Time (4-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 10 pts |
| Show: | 12 – Kaboom (8-1) | 3/5 | 60.0% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 4 – Jack's Summer (5-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Alt 2: | 8 – Swiss Meringue (6-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 3: | 13 – Pay Me Later (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 2 – Instilled Zip (6-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 6 – Spooky Ridge (4-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 6: | 3 – Country Embrace (8-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 5 – Innisfree Lass (15-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 10 – Pink Picture (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 1 – I Forgot It (12-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 11 – Goody Two Socks (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 8
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 9 – Master Munnings (4-1) ⭐ | 4/5 | 80.0% | 16 pts |
| Place: | 4 – Gettysburg Address (8-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
| Show: | 11 – Fervent Prayer (8-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 4 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 5 – Moonrise Drive (4-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 4 pts |
| Alt 2: | 3 – Halter Boy (25-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 3: | 12 – Follow The Money (5-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 4: | 6 – Vaccinator (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 2 pts |
| Alt 5: | 10 – Verrazanointhesky (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 6: | 8 – Handsoffthegoods (20-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 7: | 7 – Cheesesteak (5-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 8: | 2 – Franchuchie (25-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 9: | 13 – Stronger Together (8-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 10: | 1 – Parker (30-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
Race 9
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win: | 2 – Sir Gallivant (2-1) ⭐ | 4/5 | 80.0% | 14 pts |
| Place: | 8 – Sweet La Crema (8-1) | 4/5 | 80.0% | 13 pts |
| Show: | 6 – Scotty's On Edge (3-1) | 2/5 | 40.0% | 5 pts |
Alternatives
| Pick | Horse | Experts | Agreement | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alt 1: | 1 – Gin And Whiskey (5-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 3 pts |
| Alt 2: | 7 – Juilliard (10-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 3: | 5 – Tazzy (15-1) | 1/5 | 20.0% | 1 pts |
| Alt 4: | 4 – Bureau (10-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |
| Alt 5: | 3 – Healing Waters (5-1) | 0/5 | 0.0% | 0 pts |